Juan Pablo II v Deportivo Moquegua — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Juan Pablo II

16:30

Deportivo Moquegua

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 325h before kick-off

Juan Pablo II win

54.6%

model 50.8%

Draw

22.7%

model 24.2%

Deportivo Moquegua win

22.7%

model 25.0%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.5%
1-0 11.4%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 9.0%
0-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.1%	Under 2.5	49.9%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Juan Pablo II 1+	80.3%	Juan Pablo II 2+	48.2%
Deportivo Moquegua 1+	65.2%	Deportivo Moquegua 2+	28.5%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Even number of goals

Odd/Even · usually 47%

50.3% fair odds 1.99

moderate signal · 2377 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Juan Pablo II.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Juan Pablo II have an estimated 54.6% win probability, against 22.7% for Deportivo Moquegua and 22.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Juan Pablo II and 1.06 for Deportivo Moquegua.

Why Juan Pablo II

Nothing in the data singles out Juan Pablo II.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Moquegua can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juan Pablo II: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Juan Pablo II are the model's most likely outcome at 54.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512425	1.62–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522424	1.61–1.01	1-0 12%	49%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to win	51.8%	51.4%	50.0%	1.03×	1.95
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	25.1%	0.98×	4.09
Deportivo Moquegua to win	23.9%	24.5%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II & not both score	29.5%	25.2%	26.5%	0.95×	3.97
Juan Pablo II & both teams score	22.2%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Deportivo Moquegua & not both score	12.9%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5	39.8%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.87
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5	36.1%	34.9%	33.8%	1.03×	2.87
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5	30.3%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5	21.5%	21.7%	19.3%	1.12×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.56
Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5	12.6%	12.9%	14.4%	0.90×	7.77
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77
Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.2%	1.27×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (1UP)	65.2%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Moquegua (1UP)	40.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (2UP)	51.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Deportivo Moquegua (2UP)	23.9%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half	41.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	35.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half	23.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (+2.5)	88.5%	88.5%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
Juan Pablo II (+0.5)	76.1%	78.4%	74.9%	1.05×	1.28
Deportivo Moquegua (+1.5)	72.7%	73.7%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
Juan Pablo II (-0.5)	51.8%	52.3%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5)	48.2%	47.7%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Juan Pablo II (-1.5)	27.3%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.80
Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5)	23.9%	21.6%	25.1%	0.86×	4.64
Juan Pablo II (-2.5)	11.5%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede	80.1%	81.3%	80.2%	1.01×	1.23
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	19.9%	18.7%	19.8%	0.95×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half	50.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half	50.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners	91.4%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners	84.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners	8.6%	10.0%	—	—	10.04

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.0%	71.6%	1.00×	1.39
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals	63.4%	63.0%	65.8%	0.96×	1.59
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals	36.6%	37.0%	34.2%	1.08×	2.70
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals	26.6%	28.0%	28.4%	0.99×	3.57
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.03
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	2.5%	0.96×	40.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.32

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (away no bet)	68.0%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.0%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua even goals	56.7%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Deportivo Moquegua odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.5%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	—	—	8.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.5%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row	40.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row	19.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	2.6%	—	—	37.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5)	83.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5)	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5)	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5)	17.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.0%	11.5%	12.0%	0.95×	8.73
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
2-0	9.5%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.48
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.48
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.48
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.46
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.47
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.48
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.47
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.48
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.48
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB)	66.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB)	33.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw (1X)	76.1%	75.5%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Moquegua (12)	75.6%	75.5%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (X2)	48.2%	48.6%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT	81.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT	62.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Moquegua at HT	56.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)	76.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP)	48.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half	76.9%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Juan Pablo II or Deportivo Moquegua in 2nd half	64.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half	58.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (DNB)	68.5%	67.2%	66.6%	1.01×	1.49
Deportivo Moquegua (DNB)	31.5%	32.8%	33.4%	0.98×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score first	57.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua to score first	35.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	7.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.5%	51.4%	53.8%	0.96×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.5%	48.6%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.8%	38.5%	37.6%	1.02×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	39.0%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.2%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.8%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.8%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.1%	—	—	19.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	48.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.6%	26.4%	27.5%	0.96×	3.78
4-6 goals	25.0%	26.4%	26.9%	0.98×	3.78
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.62

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0	36.6%	36.0%	34.2%	1.05×	2.78
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.6%	20.5%	0.95×	5.11
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+	8.1%	8.5%	8.0%	1.06×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.6%	32.9%	0.99×	3.06
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Juan Pablo II to score 3+	22.0%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0	19.9%	18.9%	19.8%	0.95×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Juan Pablo II leading at HT	37.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT	18.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II -1: 2	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Juan Pablo II -1: 1	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Juan Pablo II -1: X	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:1)	48.2%	46.0%	50.0%	0.92×	2.18
Juan Pablo II (0:1)	27.3%	27.0%	24.7%	1.09×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:2)	72.7%	75.7%	75.3%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.55
Juan Pablo II (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	11.5%	0.96×	9.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:3)	88.5%	90.8%	88.5%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.16
Juan Pablo II (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:4)	96.0%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.35
Juan Pablo II (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.55

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (1:0)	76.1%	78.4%	74.9%	1.05×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.88
Deportivo Moquegua (1:0)	8.5%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (2:0)	91.5%	93.9%	92.4%	1.02×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.5%	5.6%	1.14×	15.50
Deportivo Moquegua (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.04×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede	63.4%	63.4%	65.8%	0.96×	1.58
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	36.6%	36.6%	34.2%	1.07×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half	66.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half	33.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners	82.9%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners	71.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners	54.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners	45.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners	17.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals	80.1%	82.1%	80.2%	1.02×	1.22
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals	78.0%	77.8%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals	52.1%	53.2%	52.5%	1.01×	1.88
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals	47.9%	46.8%	47.5%	0.99×	2.14
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals	22.0%	22.2%	22.5%	0.99×	4.50
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals	19.9%	17.9%	19.8%	0.90×	5.58
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	7.6%	1.01×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.5%	51.6%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Deportivo Moquegua (home no bet)	49.5%	48.4%	50.0%	0.97×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals	52.0%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Juan Pablo II odd goals	48.0%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	23.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	31.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	10.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Juan Pablo II at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score last	57.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Deportivo Moquegua to score last	35.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	7.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time	65.2%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time	40.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time	33.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II most corners	63.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Deportivo Moquegua most corners	25.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.6%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.3%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.2%	68.9%	63.8%	1.08×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	46.9%	48.7%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.3%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.30
3-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.1%	39.1%	37.1%	1.06×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.0%	30.2%	26.9%	1.12×	3.31
4-5 goals	21.8%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.8%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.73
7+ goals	1.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.40×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II never behind	52.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua never behind	27.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	85.6%	1.02×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	71.5%	1.02×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.4%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.6%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	28.5%	0.96×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	26.6%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	14.4%	0.86×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.4%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.7%	67.4%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.6%	62.1%	65.1%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.4%	37.9%	34.9%	1.09×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.3%	32.6%	36.9%	0.88×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.6%	13.3%	16.7%	0.79×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.5%	5.8%	1.30×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.9%	1.47×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves	85.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves	69.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves	30.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves	15.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.5%	53.9%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Juan Pablo II scores	29.5%	26.1%	26.5%	0.98×	3.83
Only Deportivo Moquegua scores	12.9%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.14
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.7%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.6%	17.4%	19.8%	0.88×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.0%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	21.7%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves	84.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Juan Pablo II to win both halves	15.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.42

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to win either half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half	62.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Deportivo Moquegua to win either half	37.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Juan Pablo II to win neither half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil	87.1%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil	70.5%	75.3%	73.5%	1.02×	1.33
Juan Pablo II to win to nil	29.5%	24.7%	26.5%	0.93×	4.04
Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil	12.9%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II by 1	24.5%	24.2%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Draw	24.4%	24.2%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
Juan Pablo II by 2	15.8%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.91
Deportivo Moquegua by 1	15.4%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.91
Juan Pablo II by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	11.5%	1.03×	8.48
Deportivo Moquegua by 2	6.1%	7.3%	5.6%	1.29×	13.79
Deportivo Moquegua by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.01