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Juan Pablo II v Sport Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Juan Pablo II win
38.9%
model 39.2%
Draw
28.3%
model 26.1%
Sport Boys win
32.8%
model 34.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 10.6%
  3. 0-1 9.8%
  4. 2-1 8.4%
  5. 1-2 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.547.0% Under 2.553.0%
BTTS yes51.7% BTTS no48.3%
Juan Pablo II 1+73.4% Juan Pablo II 2+38.2%
Sport Boys 1+70.7% Sport Boys 2+34.8%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
100%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Juan Pablo II.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Juan Pablo II have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.8% for Sport Boys and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.32 for Juan Pablo II and 1.23 for Sport Boys.

Why Juan Pablo II

Nothing in the data singles out Juan Pablo II.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.32 to 1.23. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Boys can win

Sport Boys carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1425. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juan Pablo II: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Boys: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Juan Pablo II are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.29–1.19 1-1 13% 45% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to win 39.2% 36.5% 50.0% 0.73× 2.74
Sport Boys to win 34.3% 30.4% 25.1% 1.21× 3.29
Draw 26.6% 27.9% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II & not both score 22.4% 21.9% 26.5% 0.82× 4.57
Sport Boys & not both score 19.4% 17.9% 12.2% 1.47× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 18.4% 17.9% 17.5% 1.03× 5.58
Juan Pablo II & both teams score 16.8% 17.9% 23.6% 0.76× 5.58
Sport Boys & both teams score 14.9% 13.3% 13.1% 1.01× 7.54
Draw & not both score 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 1.07× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5 29.4% 26.0% 33.8% 0.77× 3.84
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5 28.0% 26.0% 38.2% 0.68× 3.84
Sport Boys & under 3.5 26.2% 26.0% 19.1% 1.36× 3.84
Sport Boys & over 1.5 24.0% 21.6% 17.3% 1.25× 4.62
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5 21.1% 21.6% 30.9% 0.70× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.7% 21.6% 18.9% 1.14× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.7% 21.6% 18.9% 1.14× 4.62
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5 18.1% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.4% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Sport Boys & over 2.5 18.1% 18.0% 14.4% 1.25× 5.56
Sport Boys & under 2.5 16.2% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5 11.1% 12.9% 12.0% 1.07× 7.77
Sport Boys & under 1.5 10.3% 12.9% 8.0% 1.61× 7.77
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5 9.8% 7.9% 16.4% 0.48× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 8.1% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.70
Sport Boys & over 3.5 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 1.27× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (1UP) 54.4% 52.9% 1.89
Sport Boys (1UP) 50.1% 52.6% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (2UP) 39.2% 37.3% 2.68
Sport Boys (2UP) 34.3% 31.3% 3.20
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 37.4% 36.3% 2.76
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half 32.0% 34.3% 2.92
Sport Boys to win 2nd half 30.6% 34.2% 2.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (+2.5) 94.0% 92.1% 88.5% 1.04× 1.09
Sport Boys (+1.5) 82.7% 82.4% 75.3% 1.09× 1.21
Juan Pablo II (+0.5) 65.7% 68.7% 74.9% 0.92× 1.46
Sport Boys (+0.5) 60.8% 62.9% 50.0% 1.26× 1.59
Juan Pablo II (-0.5) 39.2% 37.1% 50.0% 0.74× 2.69
Sport Boys (-0.5) 34.3% 31.3% 25.1% 1.25× 3.19
Juan Pablo II (-1.5) 17.3% 17.6% 24.7% 0.71× 5.68
Juan Pablo II (-2.5) 6.0% 7.9% 11.5% 0.69× 12.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to concede 72.4% 76.5% 80.2% 0.95× 1.31
Sport Boys clean sheet 27.6% 23.5% 19.8% 1.19× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys clean sheet in 1st half 57.4% 57.9% 1.73
Sport Boys to concede in 1st half 42.6% 42.1% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 6.5 corners 80.3% 81.4% 1.23
Sport Boys over 2.5 corners 76.4% 75.9% 1.32
Sport Boys under 5.5 corners 69.6% 67.5% 1.48
Sport Boys over 3.5 corners 60.4% 61.8% 1.62
Sport Boys under 4.5 corners 55.7% 57.1% 1.75
Sport Boys over 4.5 corners 44.3% 42.9% 2.33
Sport Boys under 3.5 corners 39.6% 38.2% 2.62
Sport Boys over 5.5 corners 30.5% 32.5% 3.08
Sport Boys under 2.5 corners 23.6% 24.1% 4.15
Sport Boys over 6.5 corners 19.7% 18.6% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 3.5 goals 96.7% 97.5% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Sport Boys under 2.5 goals 88.2% 87.9% 92.0% 0.96× 1.14
Sport Boys over 0.5 goals 69.5% 68.0% 65.8% 1.03× 1.47
Sport Boys under 1.5 goals 66.7% 68.0% 71.6% 0.95× 1.47
Sport Boys over 1.5 goals 33.3% 32.0% 28.4% 1.13× 3.12
Sport Boys under 0.5 goals 30.5% 32.0% 34.2% 0.94× 3.12
Sport Boys over 2.5 goals 11.8% 12.1% 8.0% 1.51× 8.27
Sport Boys over 3.5 goals 3.3% 2.5% 2.5% 0.96× 40.81
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 1st half 91.7% 94.1% 1.06
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 64.5% 1.55
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 35.5% 2.82
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 1st half 8.3% 5.9% 16.95
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (away no bet) 59.6% 57.6% 66.6% 0.86× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 40.4% 42.4% 33.4% 1.27× 2.36
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys even goals 54.7% 52.8% 56.9% 0.93× 1.89
Sport Boys odd goals 45.3% 47.2% 43.1% 1.10× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.3% 88.0% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.7% 12.0% 8.30
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 58.1% 59.9% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 41.9% 40.1% 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 50.5% 51.3% 1.95
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row 29.5% 25.2% 3.97
Sport Boys to score 2+ in a row 25.9% 25.1% 3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 16.4% 6.10
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row 9.0% 5.7% 17.62
Sport Boys to score 3+ in a row 7.3% 5.6% 17.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5) 84.9% 79.7% 1.25
Sport Boys corners (+3.5) 82.9% 79.7% 1.25
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5) 77.5% 74.9% 1.34
Sport Boys corners (+2.5) 75.0% 74.9% 1.34
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5) 68.1% 65.8% 1.52
Sport Boys corners (+1.5) 65.3% 65.8% 1.52
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5) 34.7% 34.2% 2.92
Sport Boys corners (-1.5) 31.9% 34.2% 2.92
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5) 25.0% 25.2% 3.98
Sport Boys corners (-2.5) 22.5% 25.1% 3.98
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5) 17.1% 20.3% 4.93
Sport Boys corners (-3.5) 15.1% 20.3% 4.93
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.3% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.0% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 23.7% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.0% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.3% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.9% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.9% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.1% 57.7% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.7% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.3% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.9% 42.3% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.1% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 32.1% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 23.7% 23.5% 4.25
Over 12.5 corners 17.0% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.6% 11.4% 11.3% 1.02× 8.73
1-0 11.1% 11.4% 12.0% 0.95× 8.74
0-1 10.3% 11.4% 8.0% 1.43× 8.74
0-0 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 0.95× 13.47
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 1.00× 13.47
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 1.00× 13.47
2-1 8.3% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.47
0-2 5.9% 7.4% 3.1% 2.40× 13.47
2-2 4.9% 1.7% 5.6% 0.30× 58.50
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.51
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.5% 3.13× 58.52
1-3 3.0% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.51
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
2-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.51
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.51
3-1 3.6% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.50
3-2 2.1% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.51
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.35× 58.52
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.04× 58.52
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.67× 58.52
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.52
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.70× 58.52
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 9.40× 58.52
Any other score 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB) 54.9% 55.9% 1.79
Sport Boys leading at HT (DNB) 45.1% 44.1% 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or Sport Boys (12) 73.4% 72.1% 74.9% 0.96× 1.39
Juan Pablo II or draw (1X) 65.7% 69.6% 74.9% 0.93× 1.44
Sport Boys or draw (X2) 60.8% 63.5% 50.0% 1.27× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT 75.5% 79.8% 1.25
Sport Boys or draw at HT 70.2% 74.4% 1.34
Juan Pablo II or Sport Boys at HT 54.3% 47.8% 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP) 65.7% 75.7% 1.32
Sport Boys or draw (1UP) 60.8% 71.5% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half 69.4% 65.8% 1.52
Sport Boys or draw in 2nd half 68.0% 65.7% 1.52
Juan Pablo II or Sport Boys in 2nd half 62.6% 63.7% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.3% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.7% 30.6% 3.27
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (DNB) 53.3% 51.0% 66.6% 0.77× 1.96
Sport Boys (DNB) 46.7% 49.0% 33.4% 1.47× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score first 47.8% 45.7% 2.19
Sport Boys to score first 44.0% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 8.1% 7.5% 13.30
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 50.1% 51.4% 53.8% 0.96× 1.94
Not both teams to score 49.9% 48.6% 46.2% 1.05× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 42.4% 41.6% 37.6% 1.11× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 37.5% 38.5% 42.7% 0.90× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.6% 12.3% 11.3% 1.09× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 8.7% 0.96× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.7% 85.7% 85.6% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.3% 14.3% 14.4% 1.00× 6.98
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.6% 74.3% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.4% 25.7% 3.89
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.8% 66.8% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 22.2% 20.9% 4.78
Both score 1st half only 11.8% 10.5% 9.49
Both score in both halves 4.3% 4.9% 20.21
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.0% 82.9% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 16.0% 17.1% 5.84
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 51.0% 53.3% 1.88
A goal in each half 49.0% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
0-1 goals 29.5% 26.5% 27.5% 0.96× 3.78
4-6 goals 22.4% 22.8% 26.9% 0.85× 4.38
7+ goals 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.00× 55.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to score exactly 1 36.2% 36.0% 37.6% 0.96× 2.78
Sport Boys to score exactly 0 30.5% 33.8% 34.2% 0.99× 2.96
Sport Boys to score exactly 2 21.5% 22.4% 20.5% 1.09× 4.46
Sport Boys to score 3+ 11.8% 12.8% 8.0% 1.60× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1 35.5% 35.6% 32.9% 1.08× 2.81
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0 27.6% 26.5% 19.8% 1.34× 3.77
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2 22.9% 23.3% 25.1% 0.93× 4.30
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ 14.0% 14.4% 22.5% 0.64× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 45.7% 52.2% 1.91
Juan Pablo II leading at HT 29.8% 25.6% 3.91
Sport Boys leading at HT 24.5% 20.2% 4.95
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II -1: 2 60.8% 62.4% 1.60
Juan Pablo II -1: X 21.8% 23.6% 4.24
Juan Pablo II -1: 1 17.3% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:1) 60.8% 61.3% 50.0% 1.23× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 21.8% 24.3% 25.5% 0.95× 4.12
Juan Pablo II (0:1) 17.3% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:2) 82.7% 82.8% 75.3% 1.10× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.3% 11.0% 13.5% 0.82× 9.11
Juan Pablo II (0:2) 6.0% 7.7% 11.5% 0.67× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:3) 94.0% 92.6% 88.5% 1.05× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.3% 2.4% 7.6% 0.31× 42.02
Juan Pablo II (0:3) 1.7% 2.4% 4.0% 0.59× 42.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:4) 98.3% 98.1% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 0.47× 83.46
Juan Pablo II (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 0.73× 83.57
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (1:0) 65.7% 69.8% 74.9% 0.93× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 20.1% 21.7% 17.6% 1.23× 4.60
Sport Boys (1:0) 14.2% 12.8% 7.6% 1.68× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II (2:0) 85.8% 88.4% 92.4% 0.96× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.6% 6.5% 5.6% 1.14× 15.50
Sport Boys (2:0) 4.6% 2.3% 2.2% 1.04× 44.21
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.9% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.0% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 26.0% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede 69.5% 66.6% 65.8% 1.01× 1.50
Juan Pablo II clean sheet 30.5% 33.4% 34.2% 0.98× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half 62.2% 64.6% 1.55
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half 37.8% 35.4% 2.82
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners 78.5% 76.6% 1.31
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners 78.0% 76.6% 1.31
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners 67.4% 66.7% 1.50
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners 62.4% 62.3% 1.61
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners 53.5% 52.8% 1.90
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners 46.5% 47.2% 2.12
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners 37.6% 37.7% 2.65
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners 32.6% 33.3% 3.00
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners 22.0% 23.4% 4.27
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners 21.5% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals 95.8% 96.4% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals 86.0% 87.2% 77.5% 1.13× 1.15
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals 72.4% 74.2% 80.2% 0.93× 1.35
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals 63.1% 63.4% 52.5% 1.21× 1.58
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals 36.9% 36.6% 47.5% 0.77× 2.74
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals 27.6% 25.8% 19.8% 1.30× 3.88
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals 14.0% 12.8% 22.5% 0.57× 7.83
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals 4.2% 3.7% 7.6% 0.48× 27.40
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half 89.3% 90.0% 1.11
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half 57.4% 57.5% 1.74
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half 42.6% 42.5% 2.35
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half 10.7% 10.0% 10.00
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (home no bet) 56.3% 56.7% 50.0% 1.13× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 43.7% 43.3% 50.0% 0.87× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals 53.8% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Juan Pablo II odd goals 46.2% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 35.7% 38.2% 2.62
HT 1-0 19.9% 18.8% 5.31
HT 0-1 17.0% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 9.4% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-0 5.5% 7.0% 14.20
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.3% 43.77
Any other HT score 3.1% 2.3% 43.84
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.87
HT 1-2 2.2% 2.3% 43.90
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 44.02
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 22.4% 21.7% 4.60
Sport Boys at HT / Sport Boys at FT 18.0% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.8% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 14.8% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Sport Boys at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.89
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.65
Sport Boys at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% 28.81
Juan Pablo II at HT / Sport Boys at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.90
Sport Boys at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.91
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II to score last 47.8% 46.7% 2.14
Sport Boys to score last 44.0% 40.4% 2.48
No goal scored 8.1% 7.5% 13.30
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.9% 92.6% 1.08
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time 54.4% 50.7% 1.97
Sport Boys to lead by 1 at any time 50.1% 50.6% 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.9% 39.2% 2.55
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time 22.8% 19.6% 5.11
Sport Boys to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 15.0% 6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.5% 10.4% 9.59
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time 7.6% 6.6% 15.22
Sport Boys to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.5% 15.31
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II most corners 45.8% 46.9% 2.13
Sport Boys most corners 42.7% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 11.5% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.8% 87.4% 87.1% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.3% 83.5% 78.0% 1.07× 1.20
2-6 goals 69.2% 69.0% 70.9% 0.97× 1.45
1-3 goals 68.1% 69.0% 63.8% 1.08× 1.45
2-5 goals 66.5% 69.0% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-4 goals 59.9% 59.2% 58.4% 1.01× 1.69
1-2 goals 46.9% 48.7% 41.1% 1.18× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.7% 44.2% 1.10× 2.06
3-6 goals 43.7% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.30
3-5 goals 41.0% 43.6% 46.2% 0.94× 2.30
3-4 goals 34.4% 35.4% 37.1% 0.95× 2.83
4-6 goals 22.4% 24.5% 26.9% 0.91× 4.09
4-5 goals 19.7% 18.6% 23.5% 0.79× 5.37
5-6 goals 9.2% 8.8% 12.7% 0.69× 11.42
7+ goals 1.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.39× 39.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juan Pablo II never behind 41.8% 48.1% 2.08
Sport Boys never behind 37.5% 44.5% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.8% 50.8% 46.9% 1.08× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.2% 49.2% 53.1% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.3% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.7% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.6% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.4% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.0% 95.5% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.9% 92.3% 92.2% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 89.4% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 76.3% 77.4% 71.5% 1.08× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 70.5% 72.5% 72.5% 1.00× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 55.0% 52.5% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
Over 2.5 goals 45.0% 47.5% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
Under 1.5 goals 29.5% 27.5% 27.5% 1.00× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 23.7% 22.6% 28.5% 0.79× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 10.6% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 0.99× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 0.85× 22.22
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.6% 97.3% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.7% 97.2% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 87.8% 86.7% 83.3% 1.04× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 69.9% 67.4% 63.1% 1.07× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 60.4% 62.1% 65.1% 0.95× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 39.6% 37.9% 34.9% 1.09× 2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 30.1% 32.6% 36.9% 0.88× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 12.2% 13.3% 16.7% 0.79× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.3% 2.8% 5.8% 0.48× 36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.46× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.4% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 72.6% 70.9% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 64.3% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 35.7% 36.3% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 27.4% 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.6% 7.3% 13.72
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.2% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.6% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.7% 54.7% 1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.3% 45.3% 2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.4% 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.8% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to score in both halves 80.7% 84.3% 1.19
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves 77.9% 78.3% 1.28
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves 22.1% 21.7% 4.60
Sport Boys to score in both halves 19.3% 15.7% 6.38
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 50.1% 53.9% 53.8% 1.00× 1.86
Only Juan Pablo II scores 22.4% 22.3% 26.5% 0.84× 4.48
Only Sport Boys scores 19.4% 16.1% 12.2% 1.32× 6.21
Neither team scores 8.1% 7.2% 7.8% 0.92× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.5% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 21.4% 22.6% 19.8% 1.14× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.6% 22.9% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 13.2% 12.1% 14.4% 0.84× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 0.98× 13.09
Exactly 5 goals 6.5% 7.6% 9.3% 0.82× 13.10
6 or more goals 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 0.84× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.3% 43.9% 2.28
1 goal in 2nd half 34.2% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 23.4% 23.1% 4.33
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win both halves 92.5% 94.0% 1.06
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves 90.5% 93.9% 1.07
Juan Pablo II to win both halves 9.5% 6.1% 16.45
Sport Boys to win both halves 7.5% 6.0% 16.60
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to win neither half 52.3% 55.0% 1.82
Juan Pablo II to win either half 52.3% 55.0% 1.82
Juan Pablo II to win neither half 47.7% 45.0% 2.22
Sport Boys to win either half 47.7% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win to nil 80.6% 83.0% 87.8% 0.95× 1.21
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil 77.6% 78.0% 73.5% 1.06× 1.28
Juan Pablo II to win to nil 22.4% 22.0% 26.5% 0.83× 4.55
Sport Boys to win to nil 19.4% 17.0% 12.2% 1.40× 5.88
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.6% 27.8% 25.1% 1.11× 3.60
Juan Pablo II by 1 21.8% 24.1% 25.5% 0.95× 4.14
Sport Boys by 1 20.1% 24.1% 17.6% 1.37× 4.14
Juan Pablo II by 2 11.3% 11.8% 13.5% 0.88× 8.47
Sport Boys by 2 9.6% 7.3% 5.6% 1.29× 13.79
Juan Pablo II by 3+ 6.0% 7.2% 11.5% 0.63× 13.80
Sport Boys by 3+ 4.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.24× 36.99
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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