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Juventus v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 19 August 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

3–0
1.31 – 0.17 xG
Shots
13 – 3
On target
6 – 0
Shots in box
8 – 1
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.10 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+1.67 – -0.17
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Samuel Mbangula 22' — goalTimothy Weah 45' — goalAndrea Cambiaso 90' — goal
Juventus 1.33 xGComo 0.17 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Dusan Vlahovic 19' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Samuel Mbangula 22' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 35' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 41' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Dusan Vlahovic 42' — Blocked Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 44' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 45' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 52' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 52' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Andrea Cambiaso 59' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Juan Cabal 68' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Alessandro Gabrielloni 76' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Strefezza 78' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 87' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Andrea Cambiaso 90' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Douglas Luiz 94' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)
Juventus attacking right Como attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
19' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Andrea Cambiaso
22' Juventus Samuel Mbangula 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal
35' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
41' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
42' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.36 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
44' Como Andrea Belotti 0.11 Open Play Blocked Shot Marco Sala
45' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal Kenan Yildiz
52' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andrea Cambiaso
52' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.07 Open Play Shot On Post
59' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
68' Juventus Juan Cabal 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
76' Como Alessandro Gabrielloni 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
78' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alessandro Gabrielloni
87' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Federico Gatti
90' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Samuel Mbangula
94' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot

Players

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dusan Vlahovic FW 90 0 0 5 0 0.92 0.00 0.89
Andrea Cambiaso DR 90 1 0 2 2 0.12 0.45 0.58
Samuel Mbangula AML 90 1 1 1 1 0.06 0.08 0.14
Juan Cabal DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.13
Kenan Yildiz AMC 90 0 1 2 3 0.06 0.49 0.62
Federico Gatti DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.07
Bremer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Michele Di Gregorio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Manuel Locatelli DMC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.43
Kephren Thuram DMC 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.40
Timothy Weah AMR 48 1 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.19
Nicolò Savona Sub 42 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolo Fagioli Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Douglas Luiz Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04

Como

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gabriel Strefezza MR 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Alberto Moreno DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Matthias Braunöder MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Edoardo Goldaniga DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Federico Barba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
José Reina GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marco Sala DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.11
Yannick Engelhardt Sub 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Patrick Cutrone FW 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Andrea Belotti FW 58 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.11
Lucas Da Cunha ML 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Alessandro Gabrielloni Sub 32 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.04 0.06
Simone Verdi Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alberto Cerri Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Daniele Baselli MC 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oliver Abildgaard Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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