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Juventus v Empoli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 2 February 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

4–1
2.01 – 0.95 xG
Shots
23 – 10
On target
8 – 3
Shots in box
14 – 5
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.41 – 0.74
Goals − xG
+1.99 – +0.05
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Mattia De Sciglio 3' — goalRandal Kolo Muani 60' — goalRandal Kolo Muani 63' — goalDusan Vlahovic 89' — goalFrancisco Conceição 91' — goal
Juventus 2.01 xGEmpoli 0.95 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mattia De Sciglio 3' — Goal (0.62 xG, From Corner)Mattia De Sciglio 13' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Nicolás González 23' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 23' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Nicolás González 25' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Randal Kolo Muani 27' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 30' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Weston McKennie 32' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Colombo 34' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 37' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 37' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Nicolò Savona 45' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Teun Koopmeiners 45' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Szymon Zurkowski 50' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 52' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Renato Veiga 53' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Nicolás González 54' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Nicolás González 55' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Teun Koopmeiners 59' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Federico Gatti 60' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Randal Kolo Muani 60' — Goal (0.52 xG, Open Play)Randal Kolo Muani 63' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 63' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 66' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Sebastiano Esposito 67' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Szymon Zurkowski 68' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Liam Henderson 71' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Colombo 80' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 81' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Liberato Cacace 83' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Esposito 87' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Dusan Vlahovic 89' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 91' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)
Juventus attacking right Empoli attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Empoli Mattia De Sciglio 0.62 From Corner Goal
13' Empoli Mattia De Sciglio 0.10 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
23' Juventus Nicolás González 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Weston McKennie
23' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Manuel Locatelli
25' Juventus Nicolás González 0.04 Set Piece Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
27' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
30' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
32' Juventus Weston McKennie 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Randal Kolo Muani
34' Empoli Lorenzo Colombo 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Sebastiano Esposito
37' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
37' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
45' Juventus Nicolò Savona 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
45' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
50' Empoli Szymon Zurkowski 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sebastiano Esposito
52' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nicolás González
53' Juventus Renato Veiga 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
54' Juventus Nicolás González 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
55' Juventus Nicolás González 0.04 Set Piece Saved Shot Teun Koopmeiners
59' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Manuel Locatelli
60' Juventus Federico Gatti 0.05 From Corner Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
60' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.52 Open Play Right Foot Goal
63' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal Timothy Weah
63' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
66' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
67' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luca Marianucci
68' Empoli Szymon Zurkowski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Youssef Maleh
71' Empoli Liam Henderson 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Sebastiano Esposito
80' Empoli Lorenzo Colombo 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Liam Henderson
81' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Nicolò Savona
83' Empoli Liberato Cacace 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
87' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
89' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Goal
91' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Goal Kephren Thuram

Players

Empoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mattia De Sciglio DC 90 1 0 2 0 0.72 0.00 0.15
Lorenzo Colombo FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Sebastiano Esposito AMC 90 0 0 2 3 0.03 0.13 0.13
Liberato Cacace DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.08
Liam Henderson MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.04
Luca Marianucci DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.04
Emmanuel Gyasi DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Devis Vásquez GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Youssef Maleh AMC 85 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.06
Ardian Ismajli DC 60 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Faustino Anjorin MC 50 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Szymon Zurkowski Sub 40 0 0 2 0 0.12 0.00 0.15
Saba Goglichidze Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Lorenzo Tosto Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jacopo Bacci Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ismael Konaté Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Randal Kolo Muani FW 90 2 0 3 1 0.64 0.07 1.16
Teun Koopmeiners DMC 90 0 0 5 3 0.26 0.09 0.29
Federico Gatti DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Nicolò Savona DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.08 0.19
Timothy Weah DR 90 0 1 2 1 0.04 0.07 0.10
Renato Veiga DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.45
Manuel Locatelli DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.03 0.22
Michele Di Gregorio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolás González AMR 87 0 0 4 1 0.23 0.07 0.16
Weston McKennie AMC 86 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.09 0.31
Kenan Yildiz AML 66 0 0 2 5 0.09 0.29 0.31
Dusan Vlahovic Sub 24 1 0 2 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Kephren Thuram Sub 4 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.45
Francisco Conceição Sub 3 1 0 1 0 0.45 0.00 0.45
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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