KAA Gent v Standard Liege — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

KAA Gent

14:45

Standard Liege

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 299h before kick-off

KAA Gent win

51.5%

model 52.6%

Draw

27.3%

model 26.0%

Standard Liege win

21.2%

model 21.4%

512721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.4%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.1%	Under 2.5	53.9%
BTTS yes	48.5%	BTTS no	51.5%
KAA Gent 1+	79.7%	KAA Gent 2+	47.3%
Standard Liege 1+	60.3%	Standard Liege 2+	23.6%

Expected goals 1.59 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

KAA Gent or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 69%

78.5% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 1358 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Standard Liege not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

KAA Gent have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Standard Liege. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for KAA Gent and 0.92 for Standard Liege.

Why KAA Gent

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Standard Liege can win

They have had 20 days' rest to KAA Gent's 15.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for KAA Gent, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Standard Liege, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

KAA Gent: 39% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Standard Liege: 50% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

KAA Gent are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.4%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532621	1.59–0.92	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572518	1.63–0.80	1-0 14%	44%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to win	56.6%	54.1%	42.9%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Standard Liege to win	17.9%	19.3%	30.9%	0.63×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent & not both score	35.7%	33.2%	24.4%	1.36×	3.02
KAA Gent & both teams score	20.9%	21.9%	18.7%	1.17×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	16.2%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Standard Liege & not both score	10.4%	13.2%	14.5%	0.91×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.3%	8.4%	7.7%	1.09×	11.94
Standard Liege & both teams score	7.5%	8.4%	16.5%	0.51×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent & over 1.5	42.7%	40.3%	33.6%	1.20×	2.48
KAA Gent & under 3.5	41.4%	40.3%	29.5%	1.37×	2.48
KAA Gent & over 2.5	31.0%	30.9%	26.1%	1.18×	3.24
KAA Gent & under 2.5	25.7%	26.0%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	19.9%	1.09×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	19.9%	1.09×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
KAA Gent & over 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.6%	1.33×	5.56
Standard Liege & under 3.5	14.8%	12.9%	21.9%	0.59×	7.77
KAA Gent & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.77
Standard Liege & over 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	24.4%	0.53×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Standard Liege & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.69
Standard Liege & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.69
Standard Liege & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.93
Standard Liege & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	9.1%	0.52×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (1UP)	68.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Standard Liege (1UP)	33.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (2UP)	56.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Standard Liege (2UP)	17.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to win 2nd half	44.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	36.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Standard Liege to win 2nd half	18.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.19

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege (+2.5)	86.6%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
KAA Gent (+0.5)	82.1%	82.4%	69.1%	1.19×	1.21
Standard Liege (+1.5)	68.9%	68.7%	77.9%	0.88×	1.46
KAA Gent (-0.5)	56.6%	57.0%	42.9%	1.33×	1.75
Standard Liege (+0.5)	43.4%	43.0%	57.1%	0.75×	2.33
KAA Gent (-1.5)	31.1%	31.3%	22.1%	1.42×	3.20
Standard Liege (-0.5)	17.9%	17.6%	30.9%	0.57×	5.68
KAA Gent (-2.5)	13.4%	11.5%	10.5%	1.10×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege to concede	80.3%	81.2%	77.9%	1.04×	1.23
Standard Liege clean sheet	19.7%	18.8%	22.1%	0.85×	5.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege clean sheet in 1st half	49.7%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Standard Liege to concede in 1st half	50.3%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege under 6.5 corners	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Standard Liege under 5.5 corners	77.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Standard Liege over 2.5 corners	70.7%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Standard Liege under 4.5 corners	64.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Standard Liege over 3.5 corners	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Standard Liege under 3.5 corners	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Standard Liege over 4.5 corners	36.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Standard Liege under 2.5 corners	29.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Standard Liege over 5.5 corners	22.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Standard Liege over 6.5 corners	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege under 3.5 goals	99.1%	97.6%	95.2%	1.02×	1.03
Standard Liege under 2.5 goals	95.3%	97.6%	86.9%	1.12×	1.03
Standard Liege under 1.5 goals	80.9%	81.5%	64.7%	1.26×	1.23
Standard Liege over 0.5 goals	55.0%	59.6%	68.1%	0.88×	1.68
Standard Liege under 0.5 goals	45.0%	40.4%	31.9%	1.26×	2.48
Standard Liege over 1.5 goals	19.1%	18.5%	35.3%	0.52×	5.40
Standard Liege over 2.5 goals	4.7%	2.4%	13.1%	0.19×	40.94
Standard Liege over 3.5 goals	0.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.51×	41.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege under 1.5 in 1st half	95.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Standard Liege under 0.5 in 1st half	72.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Standard Liege over 0.5 in 1st half	27.4%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Standard Liege over 1.5 in 1st half	4.1%	4.4%	—	—	22.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (away no bet)	69.0%	66.5%	61.9%	1.07×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	31.0%	33.5%	38.1%	0.88×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege even goals	60.1%	59.0%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
Standard Liege odd goals	39.9%	41.0%	42.6%	0.96×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.3%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.7%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.0%	51.2%	—	—	1.96
KAA Gent to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
KAA Gent to score 3+ in a row	16.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Standard Liege to score 2+ in a row	13.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Standard Liege to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.58

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent corners (+3.5)	92.0%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
KAA Gent corners (+2.5)	86.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
KAA Gent corners (+1.5)	79.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Standard Liege corners (+3.5)	72.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Standard Liege corners (+2.5)	62.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Standard Liege corners (+1.5)	51.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
KAA Gent corners (-1.5)	48.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
KAA Gent corners (-2.5)	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
KAA Gent corners (-3.5)	27.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Standard Liege corners (-1.5)	20.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Standard Liege corners (-2.5)	13.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Standard Liege corners (-3.5)	8.0%	11.3%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	26.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	73.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	65.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Over 9.5 corners	45.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Under 8.5 corners	44.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	32.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	26.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.0%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.73
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
2-0	11.7%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
0-0	9.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.46
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.46
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.46
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.46
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.58
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.59
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.59
1-2	4.6%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.57
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.59
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.59
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.57
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.59
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.58
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.59
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.58
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.59
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent leading at HT (DNB)	72.8%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Standard Liege leading at HT (DNB)	27.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent or draw (1X)	82.1%	80.7%	69.1%	1.17×	1.24
KAA Gent or Standard Liege (12)	74.5%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Standard Liege or draw (X2)	43.4%	45.9%	57.1%	0.80×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent or draw at HT	85.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Standard Liege or draw at HT	59.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
KAA Gent or Standard Liege at HT	55.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent or draw (1UP)	82.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Standard Liege or draw (1UP)	43.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent or draw in 2nd half	81.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
KAA Gent or Standard Liege in 2nd half	63.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Standard Liege or draw in 2nd half	55.2%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (DNB)	76.0%	74.6%	58.2%	1.28×	1.34
Standard Liege (DNB)	24.0%	25.4%	41.8%	0.61×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to score first	60.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Standard Liege to score first	29.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
No goal scored	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.4%	54.7%	46.3%	1.18×	1.83
Both teams to score	44.6%	45.3%	53.7%	0.84×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	35.6%	1.17×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	32.7%	34.4%	41.5%	0.83×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.8%	89.1%	85.5%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.2%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	20.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.2%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.8%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	48.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.4%	47.7%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	29.9%	26.4%	23.5%	1.13×	3.78
4-6 goals	21.5%	22.8%	26.4%	0.86×	4.38
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege to score exactly 0	45.0%	37.1%	31.9%	1.16×	2.70
Standard Liege to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.0%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Standard Liege to score exactly 2	14.4%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.79
Standard Liege to score 3+	4.7%	4.5%	13.1%	0.34×	22.15

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to score exactly 1	32.0%	32.6%	34.6%	0.94×	3.06
KAA Gent to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
KAA Gent to score 3+	22.4%	23.3%	19.3%	1.21×	4.30
KAA Gent to score exactly 0	19.7%	18.9%	22.1%	0.86×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.8%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
KAA Gent leading at HT	40.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Standard Liege leading at HT	15.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent -1: 2	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
KAA Gent -1: 1	31.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
KAA Gent -1: X	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege (0:1)	43.4%	42.7%	57.1%	0.75×	2.34
KAA Gent (0:1)	31.1%	29.9%	22.1%	1.36×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	25.6%	27.0%	21.0%	1.29×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege (0:2)	68.9%	72.3%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	17.7%	15.3%	11.7%	1.31×	6.53
KAA Gent (0:2)	13.4%	11.0%	10.5%	1.05×	9.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege (0:3)	86.6%	90.7%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	6.2%	0.94×	17.21
KAA Gent (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	41.93

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege (0:4)	95.3%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	83.08
KAA Gent (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.2%	0.56×	83.31

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (1:0)	82.1%	81.5%	69.1%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.3%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.81
Standard Liege (1:0)	5.5%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (2:0)	94.5%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	8.6%	0.26×	44.14
Standard Liege (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	4.9%	0.46×	44.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to concede	55.0%	60.9%	68.1%	0.90×	1.64
KAA Gent clean sheet	45.0%	39.1%	31.9%	1.22×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent clean sheet in 1st half	72.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
KAA Gent to concede in 1st half	27.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent over 2.5 corners	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
KAA Gent over 3.5 corners	73.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
KAA Gent under 6.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
KAA Gent over 4.5 corners	58.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
KAA Gent under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
KAA Gent over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
KAA Gent under 4.5 corners	41.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
KAA Gent over 6.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
KAA Gent under 3.5 corners	27.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
KAA Gent under 2.5 corners	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
KAA Gent over 0.5 goals	80.3%	82.1%	77.9%	1.05×	1.22
KAA Gent under 2.5 goals	77.6%	77.7%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
KAA Gent under 1.5 goals	51.6%	53.3%	56.5%	0.94×	1.88
KAA Gent over 1.5 goals	48.4%	46.7%	43.5%	1.07×	2.14
KAA Gent over 2.5 goals	22.4%	22.3%	19.3%	1.16×	4.48
KAA Gent under 0.5 goals	19.7%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.60
KAA Gent over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	9.1%	0.85×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent under 1.5 in 1st half	84.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
KAA Gent under 0.5 in 1st half	49.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
KAA Gent over 0.5 in 1st half	50.3%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
KAA Gent over 1.5 in 1st half	15.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.8%	56.7%	46.1%	1.23×	1.76
Standard Liege (home no bet)	41.2%	43.3%	53.9%	0.80×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent even goals	51.9%	50.6%	52.6%	0.96×	1.98
KAA Gent odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 0-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 2-0	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent at HT / KAA Gent at FT	34.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / KAA Gent at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Standard Liege at HT / Standard Liege at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Draw at HT / Standard Liege at FT	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
KAA Gent at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Standard Liege at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Standard Liege at HT / KAA Gent at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
KAA Gent at HT / Standard Liege at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.24

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to score last	60.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Standard Liege to score last	29.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
KAA Gent to lead by 1 at any time	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
KAA Gent to lead by 2 at any time	36.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Standard Liege to lead by 1 at any time	33.3%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
KAA Gent to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Standard Liege to lead by 2 at any time	8.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Standard Liege to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	64.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent most corners	60.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Standard Liege most corners	29.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.8%	83.5%	76.9%	1.09×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.9%	69.0%	73.9%	0.93×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.1%	69.0%	63.4%	1.09×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.4%	69.0%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.5%	61.1%	1.04×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.0%	48.7%	40.3%	1.21×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.5%	43.6%	49.5%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.0%	39.2%	45.8%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.8%	35.4%	36.7%	0.96×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.5%	24.4%	26.4%	0.93×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.9%	18.6%	22.7%	0.82×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.7%	8.7%	13.0%	0.67×	11.43
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	2.8%	0.91×	39.53

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent never behind	57.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Standard Liege never behind	22.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.0%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	50.0%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.3%	95.5%	93.5%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.3%	77.4%	71.0%	1.09×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.1%	72.5%	76.5%	0.95×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.3%	58.8%	47.8%	1.23×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.7%	41.2%	52.2%	0.79×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	29.9%	27.5%	23.5%	1.17×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	22.7%	22.6%	29.0%	0.78×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	15.6%	0.50×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.7%	4.5%	6.5%	0.70×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.6%	86.7%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.3%	72.6%	62.2%	1.17×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.4%	55.6%	69.0%	0.81×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.6%	44.4%	31.0%	1.43×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.7%	27.4%	37.8%	0.73×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.4%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	7.1%	0.39×	36.33
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	2.9%	0.95×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.6%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.8%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege not to score in both halves	89.6%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
KAA Gent not to score in both halves	69.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
KAA Gent to score in both halves	30.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Standard Liege to score in both halves	10.4%	13.9%	—	—	7.17

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.6%	46.6%	53.7%	0.87×	2.14
Only KAA Gent scores	35.7%	39.8%	24.4%	1.63×	2.51
Only Standard Liege scores	10.4%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.15
Neither team scores	9.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	24.5%	1.02×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	15.9%	1.42×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	13.6%	0.89×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.3%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.7%	4.4%	6.5%	0.68×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
KAA Gent not to win both halves	81.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
KAA Gent to win both halves	18.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Standard Liege to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege to win neither half	69.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
KAA Gent to win either half	66.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
KAA Gent to win neither half	33.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Standard Liege to win either half	30.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Standard Liege not to win to nil	89.6%	88.2%	85.5%	1.03×	1.13
KAA Gent not to win to nil	64.3%	66.8%	75.6%	0.88×	1.50
KAA Gent to win to nil	35.7%	33.2%	24.4%	1.36×	3.02
Standard Liege to win to nil	10.4%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent by 1	25.6%	27.8%	21.0%	1.33×	3.59
Draw	25.5%	27.8%	26.4%	1.05×	3.59
KAA Gent by 2	17.7%	16.9%	11.7%	1.44×	5.90
KAA Gent by 3+	13.4%	11.8%	10.5%	1.13×	8.46
Standard Liege by 1	12.3%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.46
Standard Liege by 2	4.3%	2.7%	8.6%	0.31×	36.93
Standard Liege by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	4.9%	0.55×	37.03