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Kaizer Chiefs v AmaZulu — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · RSA-Premiership · 2627

RSA-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Kaizer Chiefs win
51.4%
model 51.5%
Draw
30.6%
model 30.2%
AmaZulu win
18.0%
model 18.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.2%
  2. 1-0 12.2%
  3. 0-0 11.6%
  4. 2-0 11.0%
  5. 2-1 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.542.1% Under 2.557.9%
BTTS yes46.5% BTTS no53.5%
Kaizer Chiefs 1+78.3% Kaizer Chiefs 2+45.2%
AmaZulu 1+56.6% AmaZulu 2+20.3%

Expected goals 1.53 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Kaizer Chiefs carry the stronger rating, 1607 Elo against 1571.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Kaizer Chiefs have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 30.6% for the draw and 18.0% for AmaZulu. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.53 for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.83 for AmaZulu.

Why Kaizer Chiefs

Kaizer Chiefs carry the stronger rating, 1607 Elo against 1571.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.6%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why AmaZulu can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kaizer Chiefs, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AmaZulu, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kaizer Chiefs: 56% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AmaZulu: 40% possession, 7.8 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kaizer Chiefs are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.33–0.84 1-1 15% 37% 44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to win 45.7% 47.4% 42.1% 1.13× 2.11
Draw 33.0% 30.4% 30.7% 0.99× 3.29
AmaZulu to win 21.3% 24.4% 27.4% 0.89× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs & not both score 29.4% 25.2% 29.9% 0.84× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 19.1% 17.9% 17.9% 1.00× 5.58
Kaizer Chiefs & both teams score 16.3% 17.9% 12.4% 1.44× 5.58
Draw & not both score 13.8% 13.3% 13.0% 1.02× 7.54
AmaZulu & not both score 12.7% 13.3% 18.5% 0.72× 7.54
AmaZulu & both teams score 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 0.92× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs & under 3.5 35.9% 34.9% 35.6% 0.98× 2.87
Kaizer Chiefs & over 1.5 32.8% 30.9% 26.6% 1.16× 3.24
Draw & under 2.5 28.9% 26.0% 27.8% 0.94× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 28.9% 26.0% 27.8% 0.94× 3.84
Kaizer Chiefs & over 2.5 22.8% 21.6% 16.3% 1.33× 4.62
Kaizer Chiefs & under 2.5 22.9% 21.6% 26.0% 0.83× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.1% 18.0% 17.9% 1.01× 5.56
AmaZulu & under 3.5 17.8% 18.0% 23.0% 0.78× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 13.8% 12.9% 13.0% 0.99× 7.77
AmaZulu & over 1.5 14.1% 12.9% 17.1% 0.75× 7.77
Kaizer Chiefs & under 1.5 12.9% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
AmaZulu & under 2.5 11.3% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
AmaZulu & over 2.5 10.0% 12.9% 12.0% 1.07× 7.77
Kaizer Chiefs & over 3.5 9.8% 7.9% 6.7% 1.17× 12.69
AmaZulu & under 1.5 7.3% 7.9% 10.6% 0.75× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.57× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.57× 20.93
AmaZulu & over 3.5 3.5% 4.8% 4.7% 1.02× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (1UP) 58.9% 58.2% 1.72
AmaZulu (1UP) 36.9% 34.0% 2.94
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (2UP) 45.7% 49.6% 2.02
AmaZulu (2UP) 21.3% 23.3% 4.28
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 41.9% 41.2% 2.43
Kaizer Chiefs to win 2nd half 36.9% 36.3% 2.76
AmaZulu to win 2nd half 21.2% 22.9% 4.36
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu (+2.5) 91.7% 92.1% 93.7% 0.98× 1.09
Kaizer Chiefs (+0.5) 78.7% 78.5% 72.6% 1.08× 1.27
AmaZulu (+1.5) 77.3% 78.5% 80.7% 0.97× 1.28
AmaZulu (+0.5) 54.3% 52.4% 57.9% 0.90× 1.91
Kaizer Chiefs (-0.5) 45.7% 47.6% 42.1% 1.13× 2.10
Kaizer Chiefs (-1.5) 22.7% 21.5% 19.3% 1.12× 4.64
AmaZulu (-0.5) 21.3% 21.5% 27.4% 0.78× 4.64
Kaizer Chiefs (-2.5) 8.3% 7.9% 6.3% 1.26× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu to concede 73.4% 76.5% 68.7% 1.11× 1.31
AmaZulu clean sheet 26.6% 23.5% 31.3% 0.75× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu clean sheet in 1st half 56.5% 57.8% 1.73
AmaZulu to concede in 1st half 43.5% 42.2% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu under 6.5 corners 89.3% 85.2% 1.17
AmaZulu under 5.5 corners 81.3% 81.5% 1.23
AmaZulu under 4.5 corners 69.5% 67.5% 1.48
AmaZulu over 2.5 corners 64.9% 61.8% 1.62
AmaZulu under 3.5 corners 53.6% 53.1% 1.88
AmaZulu over 3.5 corners 46.4% 46.9% 2.13
AmaZulu under 2.5 corners 35.1% 38.2% 2.62
AmaZulu over 4.5 corners 30.5% 32.5% 3.08
AmaZulu over 5.5 corners 18.7% 18.6% 5.39
AmaZulu over 6.5 corners 10.7% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu under 3.5 goals 98.9% 97.6% 98.0% 1.00× 1.03
AmaZulu under 2.5 goals 94.7% 92.4% 92.5% 1.00× 1.08
AmaZulu under 1.5 goals 79.4% 76.3% 78.3% 0.97× 1.31
AmaZulu over 0.5 goals 56.8% 59.5% 57.3% 1.04× 1.68
AmaZulu under 0.5 goals 43.2% 40.5% 42.7% 0.95× 2.47
AmaZulu over 1.5 goals 20.6% 23.7% 21.7% 1.09× 4.21
AmaZulu over 2.5 goals 5.3% 7.6% 7.5% 1.02× 13.09
AmaZulu over 3.5 goals 1.1% 2.4% 2.0% 1.20× 40.93
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu under 1.5 in 1st half 95.5% 95.6% 1.05
AmaZulu under 0.5 in 1st half 71.5% 68.4% 1.46
AmaZulu over 0.5 in 1st half 28.5% 31.6% 3.17
AmaZulu over 1.5 in 1st half 4.5% 4.4% 22.69
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (away no bet) 58.1% 57.6% 57.8% 1.00× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 41.9% 42.5% 42.2% 1.01× 2.36
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu even goals 59.3% 56.9% 58.5% 0.97× 1.76
AmaZulu odd goals 40.7% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.8% 92.3% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 13.01
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 51.8% 50.1% 2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals 48.2% 49.9% 2.01
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 44.8% 38.4% 2.60
Kaizer Chiefs to score 2+ in a row 32.6% 28.8% 3.47
AmaZulu to score 2+ in a row 15.3% 16.4% 6.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.1% 8.23
Kaizer Chiefs to score 3+ in a row 10.9% 12.1% 8.29
AmaZulu to score 3+ in a row 3.1% 2.6% 38.50
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+3.5) 92.5% 89.6% 1.12
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+2.5) 87.6% 84.5% 1.18
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+1.5) 80.6% 79.7% 1.25
AmaZulu corners (+3.5) 72.1% 70.7% 1.41
AmaZulu corners (+2.5) 62.1% 61.9% 1.62
AmaZulu corners (+1.5) 50.9% 52.5% 1.91
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-1.5) 49.1% 47.5% 2.10
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-2.5) 37.9% 38.1% 2.63
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-3.5) 27.9% 29.3% 3.41
AmaZulu corners (-1.5) 19.4% 20.3% 4.93
AmaZulu corners (-2.5) 12.4% 15.5% 6.45
AmaZulu corners (-3.5) 7.5% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 51.0% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 27.8% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 21.2% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.0% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 78.8% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.0% 72.7% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 61.6% 63.4% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.2% 63.4% 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 51.0% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 49.0% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 39.8% 36.6% 2.73
Over 9.5 corners 38.4% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 29.0% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 21.2% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 15.0% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 15.1% 13.7% 15.0% 0.91× 7.28
0-0 13.8% 11.5% 13.0% 0.88× 8.73
1-0 12.9% 11.4% 15.7% 0.73× 8.73
2-0 10.1% 11.4% 10.6% 1.08× 8.74
2-1 8.5% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.47
0-1 7.3% 7.4% 10.6% 0.70× 13.47
1-2 5.4% 7.4% 5.3% 1.40× 13.47
0-2 4.0% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.50
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.52
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.20× 58.52
1-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.52
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
2-2 3.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.60× 58.50
2-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.10× 58.52
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.20× 58.52
3-0 4.5% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.50
3-1 3.7% 1.7% 2.6% 0.65× 58.50
3-2 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.4% 4.20× 58.52
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.41× 58.52
4-0 1.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.80× 58.52
4-1 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.52
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.20× 58.52
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.20× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 8.41× 58.52
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs leading at HT (DNB) 66.0% 74.0% 1.35
AmaZulu leading at HT (DNB) 34.0% 26.0% 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw (1X) 78.7% 75.6% 72.6% 1.04× 1.32
Kaizer Chiefs or AmaZulu (12) 67.0% 69.6% 69.3% 1.00× 1.44
AmaZulu or draw (X2) 54.3% 52.6% 57.9% 0.91× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw at HT 82.8% 84.4% 1.19
AmaZulu or draw at HT 66.6% 66.3% 1.51
Kaizer Chiefs or AmaZulu at HT 50.7% 47.5% 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw (1UP) 78.7% 84.1% 1.19
AmaZulu or draw (1UP) 54.3% 59.4% 1.68
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw in 2nd half 78.8% 77.1% 1.30
AmaZulu or draw in 2nd half 63.1% 63.7% 1.57
Kaizer Chiefs or AmaZulu in 2nd half 58.1% 58.8% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 68.1% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 31.9% 30.4% 3.29
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (DNB) 68.2% 67.2% 60.5% 1.11× 1.49
AmaZulu (DNB) 31.8% 32.8% 39.5% 0.83× 3.05
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score first 52.8% 53.9% 1.86
AmaZulu to score first 33.4% 27.0% 3.70
No goal scored 13.8% 10.5% 9.53
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 55.9% 54.8% 61.0% 0.90× 1.82
Both teams to score 44.1% 45.2% 39.0% 1.16× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 48.1% 44.3% 54.3% 0.82× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 29.0% 33.6% 24.2% 1.39× 2.97
Both score & under 2.5 15.1% 21.7% 15.0% 1.44× 4.61
Not both score & over 2.5 7.8% 8.4% 6.9% 1.21× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 92.1% 89.1% 94.3% 0.94× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 7.9% 10.9% 5.7% 1.91× 9.18
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 78.2% 75.7% 1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half 21.8% 24.3% 4.12
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 68.0% 62.7% 1.60
Both score 2nd half only 19.2% 15.9% 6.30
Both score 1st half only 10.2% 10.5% 9.52
Both score in both halves 2.6% 4.9% 20.59
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 87.2% 85.8% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 12.8% 14.2% 7.06
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 56.2% 57.4% 1.74
A goal in each half 43.8% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.7% 47.4% 47.4% 1.00× 2.11
0-1 goals 33.9% 30.8% 38.8% 0.79× 3.25
4-6 goals 16.7% 20.2% 13.0% 1.55× 4.95
7+ goals 0.7% 1.8% 1.2% 1.49× 55.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu to score exactly 0 43.2% 37.0% 42.7% 0.87× 2.70
AmaZulu to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.0% 35.8% 1.01× 2.78
AmaZulu to score exactly 2 15.2% 19.5% 14.4% 1.35× 5.12
AmaZulu to score 3+ 5.3% 8.4% 7.5% 1.12× 11.84
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 1 35.2% 35.6% 38.6% 0.92× 2.81
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 0 26.6% 26.5% 31.3% 0.85× 3.77
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 2 23.3% 23.3% 20.3% 1.14× 4.30
Kaizer Chiefs to score 3+ 14.9% 14.4% 10.2% 1.41× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 49.3% 52.5% 1.91
Kaizer Chiefs leading at HT 33.4% 33.7% 2.97
AmaZulu leading at HT 17.2% 15.6% 6.40
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs -1: 2 54.3% 52.1% 1.92
Kaizer Chiefs -1: X 23.0% 23.6% 4.24
Kaizer Chiefs -1: 1 22.7% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu (0:1) 54.3% 51.2% 57.9% 0.88× 1.95
Draw (0:1) 23.0% 24.3% 23.0% 1.06× 4.12
Kaizer Chiefs (0:1) 22.7% 24.3% 19.3% 1.26× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu (0:2) 77.3% 79.5% 80.7% 0.98× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.4% 11.0% 13.2% 0.83× 9.10
Kaizer Chiefs (0:2) 8.3% 7.7% 6.3% 1.23× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu (0:3) 91.7% 92.6% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.8% 5.8% 5.3% 1.10× 17.21
Kaizer Chiefs (0:3) 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 1.95× 42.10
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu (0:4) 97.6% 98.1% 98.8% 0.99× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.47× 83.40
Kaizer Chiefs (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 0.6% 1.96× 83.55
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (1:0) 78.7% 78.5% 72.6% 1.08× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 13.7% 12.8% 16.3% 0.79× 7.80
AmaZulu (1:0) 7.6% 6.9% 11.4% 0.61× 14.46
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (2:0) 92.4% 94.0% 88.6% 1.06× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.8% 6.4% 7.7% 0.83× 15.54
AmaZulu (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 3.9% 0.58× 44.39
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 42.6% 47.4% 2.11
Halves equal 32.3% 29.9% 3.34
1st half highest scoring 25.2% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to concede 56.8% 60.9% 57.3% 1.06× 1.64
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet 43.2% 39.1% 42.7% 0.92× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet in 1st half 71.5% 68.0% 1.47
Kaizer Chiefs to concede in 1st half 28.5% 32.0% 3.13
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs over 2.5 corners 82.3% 80.9% 1.24
Kaizer Chiefs under 6.5 corners 71.7% 71.9% 1.39
Kaizer Chiefs over 3.5 corners 68.7% 66.7% 1.50
Kaizer Chiefs under 5.5 corners 59.9% 57.5% 1.74
Kaizer Chiefs over 4.5 corners 54.0% 52.8% 1.90
Kaizer Chiefs under 4.5 corners 46.0% 47.2% 2.12
Kaizer Chiefs over 5.5 corners 40.1% 42.5% 2.35
Kaizer Chiefs under 3.5 corners 31.3% 33.3% 3.00
Kaizer Chiefs over 6.5 corners 28.3% 28.1% 3.56
Kaizer Chiefs under 2.5 corners 17.7% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs under 3.5 goals 95.4% 96.3% 96.5% 1.00× 1.04
Kaizer Chiefs under 2.5 goals 85.1% 87.2% 89.8% 0.97× 1.15
Kaizer Chiefs over 0.5 goals 73.4% 74.2% 68.7% 1.08× 1.35
Kaizer Chiefs under 1.5 goals 61.8% 63.4% 69.7% 0.91× 1.58
Kaizer Chiefs over 1.5 goals 38.2% 36.6% 30.3% 1.21× 2.73
Kaizer Chiefs under 0.5 goals 26.6% 25.8% 31.3% 0.82× 3.88
Kaizer Chiefs over 2.5 goals 14.9% 12.8% 10.2% 1.26× 7.83
Kaizer Chiefs over 3.5 goals 4.6% 3.7% 3.5% 1.06× 27.38
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs under 1.5 in 1st half 88.8% 90.0% 1.11
Kaizer Chiefs under 0.5 in 1st half 56.5% 57.4% 1.74
Kaizer Chiefs over 0.5 in 1st half 43.5% 42.6% 2.35
Kaizer Chiefs over 1.5 in 1st half 11.2% 10.0% 9.98
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 60.7% 60.1% 52.8% 1.14× 1.67
AmaZulu (home no bet) 39.3% 39.9% 47.2% 0.85× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs even goals 53.5% 50.6% 53.7% 0.94× 1.98
Kaizer Chiefs odd goals 46.5% 49.4% 46.3% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.8% 41.1% 2.44
HT 1-0 22.6% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 13.2% 11.0% 9.10
HT 1-1 8.1% 7.1% 14.16
HT 2-0 6.6% 7.1% 14.18
Any other HT score 2.5% 2.3% 43.88
HT 0-2 2.3% 2.3% 43.90
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.3% 43.90
HT 1-2 1.3% 2.3% 43.97
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 44.04
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT 26.9% 26.6% 3.76
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.1% 21.8% 4.59
Draw at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT 17.0% 16.8% 5.95
AmaZulu at HT / AmaZulu at FT 10.8% 12.6% 7.91
Draw at HT / AmaZulu at FT 9.3% 6.1% 16.53
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% 16.65
AmaZulu at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% 28.81
AmaZulu at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT 1.8% 3.5% 28.92
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / AmaZulu at FT 1.3% 3.5% 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score last 53.0% 51.9% 1.93
AmaZulu to score last 33.2% 33.2% 3.02
No goal scored 13.8% 9.9% 10.12
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 86.2% 90.3% 1.11
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 1 at any time 58.9% 55.2% 1.81
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 38.1% 34.8% 2.87
AmaZulu to lead by 1 at any time 36.9% 34.8% 2.88
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 2 at any time 27.2% 25.3% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.1% 10.4% 9.62
AmaZulu to lead by 2 at any time 10.9% 10.4% 9.64
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 3 at any time 9.7% 6.6% 15.12
AmaZulu to lead by 3 at any time 2.5% 1.6% 64.07
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs most corners 60.7% 60.4% 1.66
AmaZulu most corners 28.5% 31.0% 3.22
Corners level 10.8% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.9% 83.5% 85.0% 0.98× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.3% 78.6% 81.1% 0.97× 1.27
1-3 goals 68.8% 69.0% 73.2% 0.94× 1.45
2-6 goals 65.4% 69.0% 60.2% 1.15× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.7% 63.4% 59.1% 1.07× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.2% 59.2% 55.3% 1.07× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.4% 48.7% 56.3% 0.86× 2.06
2-3 goals 48.7% 48.7% 47.4% 1.03× 2.06
3-6 goals 36.1% 39.2% 29.9% 1.31× 2.55
3-5 goals 34.5% 35.4% 28.9% 1.23× 2.83
3-4 goals 29.9% 30.2% 25.0% 1.21× 3.31
4-6 goals 16.7% 18.6% 13.0% 1.43× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.1% 18.6% 12.0% 1.55× 5.37
5-6 goals 6.2% 8.7% 5.1% 1.72× 11.44
7+ goals 0.7% 2.5% 1.2% 2.08× 39.49
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kaizer Chiefs never behind 49.3% 56.7% 1.76
AmaZulu never behind 27.3% 29.9% 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 55.4% 50.1% 52.2% 0.96× 1.99
Odd number of goals 44.6% 49.9% 47.8% 1.04× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.0% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.0% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.6% 59.2% 1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.4% 40.8% 2.45
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.7% 95.5% 97.8% 0.98× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.1% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 86.2% 87.6% 87.0% 1.01× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 82.6% 82.4% 86.0% 0.96× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 66.1% 66.2% 61.2% 1.08× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 63.2% 61.7% 69.1% 0.89× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 36.8% 38.3% 30.9% 1.24× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 33.9% 33.8% 38.8% 0.87× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 17.4% 17.6% 14.0% 1.26× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 13.8% 12.4% 13.0% 0.95× 8.09
Over 4.5 goals 6.9% 7.7% 6.1% 1.27× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.3% 4.5% 2.2% 2.01× 22.25
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.3% 98.8% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.6% 97.2% 97.7% 1.00× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.3% 92.5% 93.4% 0.99× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 78.4% 75.9% 83.1% 0.91× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 52.0% 51.8% 44.3% 1.17× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 48.0% 48.2% 55.7% 0.87× 2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 21.6% 24.1% 16.9% 1.43× 4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 7.7% 7.5% 6.6% 1.14× 13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 1.18× 36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.7% 1.2% 2.23× 36.40
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.6% 92.9% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.6% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.2% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.8% 36.3% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.4% 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.4% 7.1% 14.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.6% 85.2% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 70.8% 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 63.3% 62.2% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 36.7% 37.8% 2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 29.2% 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.4% 14.8% 6.77
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu not to score in both halves 88.7% 86.1% 1.16
Kaizer Chiefs not to score in both halves 77.0% 78.2% 1.28
Kaizer Chiefs to score in both halves 23.0% 21.8% 4.59
AmaZulu to score in both halves 11.3% 13.9% 7.21
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 44.1% 46.6% 39.0% 1.19× 2.15
Only Kaizer Chiefs scores 29.4% 26.2% 29.9% 0.88× 3.82
Neither team scores 13.8% 11.0% 13.0% 0.84× 9.13
Only AmaZulu scores 12.7% 10.9% 18.5% 0.59× 9.14
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 29.2% 25.0% 30.5% 0.82× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 20.1% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.4% 17.4% 17.1% 1.02× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 13.8% 12.1% 13.0% 0.93× 8.28
Exactly 4 goals 10.5% 12.1% 8.1% 1.48× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 4.6% 4.4% 4.1% 1.09× 22.67
6 or more goals 2.3% 4.4% 2.2% 1.97× 22.70
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 36.7% 40.0% 2.50
1 goal in 2nd half 34.1% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 29.2% 29.9% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu not to win both halves 96.1% 97.2% 1.03
Kaizer Chiefs not to win both halves 87.2% 88.0% 1.14
Kaizer Chiefs to win both halves 12.8% 12.0% 8.33
AmaZulu to win both halves 3.9% 2.8% 35.41
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu to win neither half 65.4% 67.8% 1.48
Kaizer Chiefs to win either half 57.6% 59.5% 1.68
Kaizer Chiefs to win neither half 42.4% 40.5% 2.47
AmaZulu to win either half 34.6% 32.2% 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AmaZulu not to win to nil 87.3% 88.2% 81.5% 1.08× 1.13
Kaizer Chiefs not to win to nil 70.6% 75.2% 70.1% 1.07× 1.33
Kaizer Chiefs to win to nil 29.4% 24.8% 29.9% 0.83× 4.04
AmaZulu to win to nil 12.7% 11.8% 18.5% 0.64× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 33.0% 27.6% 30.7% 0.90× 3.62
Kaizer Chiefs by 1 23.0% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.14
Kaizer Chiefs by 2 14.4% 11.8% 13.2% 0.89× 8.47
AmaZulu by 1 13.7% 11.8% 16.3% 0.73× 8.47
Kaizer Chiefs by 3+ 8.3% 7.2% 6.3% 1.15× 13.79
AmaZulu by 2 5.8% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.81
AmaZulu by 3+ 1.8% 2.7% 3.9% 0.70× 37.08
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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