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Kashima Antlers v Urawa Red Diamonds — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Kashima Antlers win
61.0%
model 60.9%
Draw
20.5%
model 20.2%
Urawa Red Diamonds win
18.5%
model 18.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-1 9.9%
  2. 1-1 9.2%
  3. 2-0 9.0%
  4. 1-0 8.7%
  5. 3-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.562.2% Under 2.537.8%
BTTS yes58.4% BTTS no41.6%
Kashima Antlers 1+88.0% Kashima Antlers 2+62.5%
Urawa Red Diamonds 1+66.5% Urawa Red Diamonds 2+29.8%

Expected goals 2.12 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 31%
53.4% fair odds 1.87
strong signal · 556 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
84.0% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1714 Elo against 1517.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashima Antlers have an estimated 61.0% win probability, against 20.5% for the draw and 18.5% for Urawa Red Diamonds. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.12 for Kashima Antlers and 1.09 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

Why Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1714 Elo against 1517. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Urawa Red Diamonds can win

Nothing in the data singles out Urawa Red Diamonds.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kashima Antlers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Urawa Red Diamonds, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kashima Antlers: 63% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Urawa Red Diamonds: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kashima Antlers's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kashima Antlers are the model's most likely outcome at 61.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.12–1.09 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.96–1.12 1-1 10% 59% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win 57.0% 54.1% 42.9% 1.26× 1.85
Draw 21.6% 24.4% 26.3% 0.93× 4.09
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 21.5% 24.4% 31.0% 0.79× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers & both teams score 28.8% 25.2% 18.0% 1.40× 3.97
Kashima Antlers & not both score 28.2% 25.2% 25.0% 1.01× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 17.1% 17.9% 19.3% 0.93× 5.58
Urawa Red Diamonds & both teams score 11.8% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.55
Urawa Red Diamonds & not both score 9.6% 8.4% 17.7% 0.47× 11.92
Draw & not both score 4.5% 4.9% 7.1% 0.68× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers & over 1.5 47.8% 45.2% 30.2% 1.50× 2.21
Kashima Antlers & over 2.5 38.9% 34.9% 23.1% 1.51× 2.87
Kashima Antlers & under 3.5 33.7% 30.9% 33.1% 0.93× 3.24
Kashima Antlers & over 3.5 23.3% 21.7% 10.0% 2.17× 4.62
Kashima Antlers & under 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.1% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 1.5 16.2% 18.0% 21.2% 0.85× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 14.5% 12.9% 20.4% 0.63× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 14.5% 12.9% 20.4% 0.63× 7.77
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 3.5 14.9% 12.9% 23.4% 0.55× 7.77
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 2.5 13.3% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.77
Kashima Antlers & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 12.8% 0.61× 12.69
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 2.5 8.2% 7.9% 13.3% 0.59× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 7.1% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.1% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.70
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 3.5 6.6% 7.9% 7.8% 1.02× 12.70
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 1.5 5.3% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 4.5% 4.8% 7.1% 0.67× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (1UP) 71.0% 75.7% 1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds (1UP) 40.6% 39.3% 2.55
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (2UP) 57.0% 55.1% 1.81
Urawa Red Diamonds (2UP) 21.5% 23.6% 4.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win 2nd half 46.2% 45.3% 2.21
2nd half drawn 31.8% 34.5% 2.90
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 2nd half 22.1% 23.1% 4.33
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (+2.5) 83.8% 82.4% 93.8% 0.88× 1.21
Kashima Antlers (+0.5) 78.5% 78.4% 69.0% 1.14× 1.28
Urawa Red Diamonds (+1.5) 66.4% 68.7% 82.0% 0.84× 1.46
Kashima Antlers (-0.5) 57.0% 57.0% 42.9% 1.33× 1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds (+0.5) 43.0% 43.0% 57.1% 0.75× 2.33
Kashima Antlers (-1.5) 33.6% 31.3% 18.0% 1.73× 3.20
Urawa Red Diamonds (-0.5) 21.5% 21.6% 31.0% 0.70× 4.64
Kashima Antlers (-2.5) 16.2% 17.6% 6.2% 2.85× 5.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede 85.9% 86.4% 75.3% 1.15× 1.16
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet 14.1% 13.6% 24.7% 0.55× 7.36
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 1st half 56.9% 58.4% 1.71
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 1st half 43.1% 41.6% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 6.5 corners 80.2% 81.4% 1.23
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 corners 78.7% 75.9% 1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds under 5.5 corners 68.9% 67.5% 1.48
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 corners 62.5% 61.8% 1.62
Urawa Red Diamonds under 4.5 corners 54.2% 53.1% 1.88
Urawa Red Diamonds over 4.5 corners 45.8% 46.9% 2.13
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 corners 37.5% 38.2% 2.62
Urawa Red Diamonds over 5.5 corners 31.1% 32.5% 3.08
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 corners 21.3% 24.1% 4.16
Urawa Red Diamonds over 6.5 corners 19.8% 18.6% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 goals 97.3% 97.5% 95.9% 1.02× 1.03
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 goals 89.7% 87.9% 87.8% 1.00× 1.14
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 goals 69.2% 68.0% 68.2% 1.00× 1.47
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 goals 67.3% 68.0% 68.0% 1.00× 1.47
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 goals 32.7% 32.0% 32.0% 1.00× 3.12
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 goals 30.8% 32.0% 31.8% 1.01× 3.12
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 goals 10.3% 12.1% 12.2% 0.99× 8.27
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 goals 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 0.60× 40.74
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 1st half 92.5% 94.2% 1.06
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 1st half 63.9% 64.2% 1.56
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 1st half 36.1% 35.8% 2.80
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 1st half 7.5% 5.8% 17.18
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (away no bet) 72.5% 68.6% 62.0% 1.11× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 27.5% 31.4% 38.0% 0.83× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds even goals 55.3% 56.9% 54.4% 1.04× 1.76
Urawa Red Diamonds odd goals 44.7% 43.1% 45.6% 0.95× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 80.3% 82.8% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 19.7% 17.2% 5.82
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 70.5% 67.1% 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 29.5% 32.9% 3.04
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.3% 59.9% 1.67
Kashima Antlers to score 2+ in a row 49.6% 46.0% 2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row 26.5% 25.0% 4.00
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ in a row 21.8% 19.5% 5.13
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 2+ in a row 21.2% 19.5% 5.13
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ in a row 5.0% 5.6% 17.88
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers corners (+3.5) 90.2% 89.6% 1.12
Kashima Antlers corners (+2.5) 84.6% 79.7% 1.25
Kashima Antlers corners (+1.5) 77.2% 74.9% 1.34
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+3.5) 73.4% 70.7% 1.41
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+2.5) 64.0% 61.9% 1.62
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+1.5) 53.4% 52.5% 1.91
Kashima Antlers corners (-1.5) 46.6% 47.5% 2.11
Kashima Antlers corners (-2.5) 36.0% 38.1% 2.63
Kashima Antlers corners (-3.5) 26.6% 29.3% 3.42
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-1.5) 22.8% 25.1% 3.98
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-2.5) 15.4% 20.3% 4.93
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-3.5) 9.8% 10.4% 9.57
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 35.0% 33.3% 3.01
0-8 corners 33.9% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 31.1% 33.2% 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 76.1% 76.5% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 73.7% 72.7% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 66.1% 67.7% 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 65.0% 67.7% 1.48
Over 9.5 corners 55.4% 57.7% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 55.2% 57.7% 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 44.8% 42.3% 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 44.6% 42.3% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 35.0% 32.3% 3.09
Under 8.5 corners 33.9% 32.3% 3.09
Over 12.5 corners 26.3% 27.3% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 23.9% 23.5% 4.25
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 9.2% 7.4% 12.8% 0.58× 13.48
1-1 10.0% 7.4% 13.4% 0.55× 13.48
2-0 8.8% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.48
2-1 9.9% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.48
0-1 5.3% 7.4% 10.0% 0.74× 13.48
1-2 5.7% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.48
2-2 5.5% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.48
3-0 5.8% 7.4% 3.6% 2.04× 13.48
3-1 6.4% 7.4% 3.0% 2.47× 13.48
Any other score 5.4% 7.4% 3.2% 2.34× 13.48
0-0 4.5% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 58.46
0-2 2.9% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.47
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.48
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.49
1-3 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.16× 58.49
2-3 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.48
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.60× 58.49
3-2 3.6% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.47
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.16× 58.48
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.70× 58.49
4-0 2.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.35× 58.47
4-1 3.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.60× 58.47
4-2 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.48
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT (DNB) 69.8% 74.3% 1.35
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT (DNB) 30.2% 25.7% 3.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw (1X) 78.5% 75.6% 69.0% 1.10× 1.32
Kashima Antlers or Urawa Red Diamonds (12) 78.4% 75.6% 73.7% 1.02× 1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (X2) 43.0% 45.9% 57.1% 0.80× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw at HT 81.6% 84.4% 1.19
Kashima Antlers or Urawa Red Diamonds at HT 61.1% 62.1% 1.61
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw at HT 57.4% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP) 78.5% 84.0% 1.19
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1UP) 43.0% 52.7% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw in 2nd half 77.9% 76.9% 1.30
Kashima Antlers or Urawa Red Diamonds in 2nd half 68.2% 65.5% 1.53
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw in 2nd half 53.8% 54.7% 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.5% 58.1% 1.72
Neither half drawn 41.5% 41.9% 2.39
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (DNB) 72.6% 71.4% 58.0% 1.23× 1.40
Urawa Red Diamonds (DNB) 27.4% 28.6% 42.0% 0.68× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score first 60.8% 64.4% 1.55
Urawa Red Diamonds to score first 34.7% 27.4% 3.65
No goal scored 4.5% 4.3% 23.19
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.7% 54.9% 50.5% 1.09× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.3% 45.1% 49.5% 0.91× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.7% 44.3% 37.2% 1.19× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 30.7% 34.3% 40.0% 0.86× 2.92
Not both score & over 2.5 11.6% 12.3% 9.7% 1.28× 8.11
Both score & under 2.5 10.0% 8.4% 13.4% 0.62× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.1% 83.0% 86.2% 0.96× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.9% 17.0% 13.8% 1.23× 5.90
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.2% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.8% 32.4% 3.08
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.4% 56.0% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 26.1% 26.5% 3.78
Both score 1st half only 13.8% 10.8% 9.28
Both score in both halves 6.7% 6.8% 14.77
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.5% 81.6% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.5% 18.4% 5.43
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 60.2% 58.7% 1.70
A half without a goal 39.8% 41.3% 2.42
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.1% 42.1% 47.2% 0.89× 2.37
4-6 goals 33.2% 30.8% 21.0% 1.46× 3.25
0-1 goals 19.0% 20.2% 29.6% 0.68× 4.95
7+ goals 3.7% 1.8% 2.5% 0.73× 54.42
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 1 36.6% 36.0% 36.4% 0.99× 2.78
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 0 32.7% 33.8% 32.0% 1.06× 2.96
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 2 20.4% 22.4% 19.8% 1.13× 4.47
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ 10.3% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ 31.1% 32.6% 14.9% 2.19× 3.06
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 1 27.7% 26.5% 36.4% 0.73× 3.77
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.5% 24.4% 1.09× 3.77
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 0 14.1% 14.3% 24.7% 0.58× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers leading at HT 42.6% 43.1% 2.32
Draw at HT 38.9% 38.0% 2.64
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT 18.4% 15.6% 6.41
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers -1: 2 43.0% 42.8% 2.34
Kashima Antlers -1: 1 33.6% 30.1% 3.32
Kashima Antlers -1: X 23.4% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:1) 43.0% 42.7% 57.1% 0.75× 2.34
Kashima Antlers (0:1) 33.6% 30.1% 18.0% 1.67× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 23.4% 24.3% 25.0% 0.97× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:2) 66.4% 72.1% 82.0% 0.88× 1.39
Draw (0:2) 17.3% 15.3% 12.0% 1.27× 6.54
Kashima Antlers (0:2) 16.2% 15.3% 6.2% 2.48× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:3) 83.8% 85.2% 93.8% 0.91× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 9.7% 5.8% 4.3% 1.37× 17.12
Kashima Antlers (0:3) 6.5% 5.8% 2.1% 2.83× 17.17
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:4) 93.5% 94.7% 97.9% 0.97× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.84× 83.17
Kashima Antlers (0:4) 2.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.52× 83.42
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (1:0) 78.5% 78.4% 69.0% 1.14× 1.28
Draw (1:0) 13.4% 12.8% 19.3% 0.66× 7.80
Urawa Red Diamonds (1:0) 8.1% 6.9% 11.9% 0.58× 14.43
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (2:0) 91.9% 93.9% 88.1% 1.07× 1.07
Draw (2:0) 5.7% 6.4% 6.0% 1.07× 15.51
Urawa Red Diamonds (2:0) 2.4% 2.3% 6.0% 0.38× 44.22
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.0% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede 67.3% 66.6% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
Kashima Antlers clean sheet 32.7% 33.4% 32.0% 1.05× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 1st half 63.9% 64.3% 1.56
Kashima Antlers to concede in 1st half 36.1% 35.7% 2.80
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 corners 88.7% 86.3% 1.16
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 corners 77.6% 76.6% 1.31
Kashima Antlers over 4.5 corners 63.9% 62.3% 1.61
Kashima Antlers under 6.5 corners 63.8% 62.3% 1.61
Kashima Antlers under 5.5 corners 50.5% 52.8% 1.90
Kashima Antlers over 5.5 corners 49.5% 47.2% 2.12
Kashima Antlers under 4.5 corners 36.1% 37.7% 2.65
Kashima Antlers over 6.5 corners 36.2% 37.7% 2.65
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 corners 22.4% 23.4% 4.27
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 corners 11.3% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 goals 86.5% 87.3% 94.9% 0.92× 1.15
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 goals 85.9% 87.2% 75.3% 1.16× 1.15
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 goals 68.9% 67.9% 85.1% 0.80× 1.47
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 goals 58.2% 58.8% 39.1% 1.50× 1.70
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 goals 41.8% 41.2% 60.9% 0.68× 2.43
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 goals 31.1% 32.1% 14.9% 2.16× 3.11
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 goals 14.1% 12.8% 24.7% 0.52× 7.84
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 goals 13.5% 12.7% 5.1% 2.52× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 1st half 79.4% 77.4% 1.29
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 1st half 56.9% 58.1% 1.72
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 1st half 43.1% 41.9% 2.39
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 1st half 20.6% 22.6% 4.42
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 50.1% 51.6% 45.9% 1.12× 1.94
Urawa Red Diamonds (home no bet) 49.9% 48.4% 54.1% 0.89× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers even goals 51.0% 50.6% 52.4% 0.97× 1.98
Kashima Antlers odd goals 49.0% 49.4% 47.6% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.6% 28.8% 3.47
HT 1-0 23.2% 24.1% 4.15
HT 0-1 12.4% 10.9% 9.16
HT 1-1 10.4% 10.9% 9.18
HT 2-0 9.8% 7.1% 14.01
Any other HT score 6.4% 7.1% 14.06
HT 2-1 4.4% 2.3% 43.29
HT 0-2 2.8% 2.3% 43.41
HT 1-2 2.3% 2.3% 43.44
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.54
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 35.8% 40.8% 2.45
Draw at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 18.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.2% 12.7% 7.89
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 11.0% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 8.7% 6.0% 16.63
Kashima Antlers at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.77
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% 28.79
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 3.1% 3.5% 28.84
Kashima Antlers at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 1.8% 3.5% 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score last 60.7% 61.9% 1.62
Urawa Red Diamonds to score last 34.8% 33.1% 3.02
No goal scored 4.5% 4.3% 23.19
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.5% 95.6% 1.05
Kashima Antlers to lead by 1 at any time 71.0% 74.1% 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.9% 50.7% 1.97
Kashima Antlers to lead by 2 at any time 40.9% 39.2% 2.55
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 1 at any time 40.6% 39.2% 2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 22.9% 19.6% 5.10
Kashima Antlers to lead by 3 at any time 19.3% 15.0% 6.69
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 2 at any time 13.4% 10.5% 9.53
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 3 at any time 3.6% 1.6% 60.75
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers most corners 57.5% 55.4% 1.80
Urawa Red Diamonds most corners 32.0% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 10.5% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.3% 78.6% 68.0% 1.16× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.8% 78.6% 81.8% 0.96× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.9% 72.4% 65.0% 1.11× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.3% 63.4% 59.3% 1.07× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.6% 59.2% 69.6% 0.85× 1.69
3-6 goals 55.6% 59.2% 44.3% 1.34× 1.69
3-5 goals 50.2% 53.2% 41.3% 1.29× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.1% 43.6% 47.2% 0.92× 2.30
3-4 goals 39.6% 39.2% 35.6% 1.10× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.2% 39.1% 46.4% 0.84× 2.56
4-6 goals 33.2% 35.4% 21.0% 1.68× 2.83
4-5 goals 27.8% 30.2% 18.0% 1.68× 3.31
5-6 goals 16.0% 18.6% 8.9% 2.10× 5.37
7+ goals 3.7% 2.6% 2.5% 1.01× 39.16
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers never behind 54.9% 62.1% 1.61
Urawa Red Diamonds never behind 24.5% 24.5% 4.08
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.8% 46.8% 1.09× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.2% 53.2% 0.92× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.8% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.2% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.5% 95.5% 92.9% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 90.9% 92.3% 94.5% 0.98× 1.08
Over 1.5 goals 81.0% 82.4% 70.4% 1.17× 1.21
Under 4.5 goals 80.3% 82.4% 88.8% 0.93× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 63.1% 61.8% 76.6% 0.81× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 59.3% 58.8% 46.7% 1.26× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 40.7% 41.2% 53.3% 0.77× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 36.9% 38.2% 23.4% 1.63× 2.62
Over 4.5 goals 19.7% 17.6% 11.2% 1.57× 5.67
Under 1.5 goals 19.0% 17.6% 29.6% 0.60× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 9.1% 7.7% 5.5% 1.40× 12.92
Under 0.5 goals 4.5% 4.5% 7.1% 0.63× 22.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.1% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 89.8% 86.8% 94.1% 0.92× 1.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 76.2% 75.9% 87.2% 0.87× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 75.8% 75.9% 61.2% 1.24× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 52.4% 51.8% 69.5% 0.75× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 47.6% 48.2% 30.5% 1.58× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 24.2% 24.1% 38.8% 0.62× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 23.8% 24.1% 12.8% 1.88× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 10.2% 13.2% 5.9% 2.25× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.9% 2.8% 2.6% 1.06× 36.11
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 86.0% 88.9% 1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half 72.4% 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 63.1% 63.7% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 36.9% 36.3% 2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.6% 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.0% 11.1% 9.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.3% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 73.5% 77.7% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 53.2% 53.2% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 46.8% 46.8% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 26.5% 22.3% 4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.7% 17.2% 5.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds not to score in both halves 82.4% 84.3% 1.19
Kashima Antlers not to score in both halves 61.8% 63.4% 1.58
Kashima Antlers to score in both halves 38.2% 36.6% 2.73
Urawa Red Diamonds to score in both halves 17.6% 15.7% 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.7% 58.4% 50.5% 1.16× 1.71
Only Kashima Antlers scores 28.2% 26.1% 25.0% 1.04× 3.83
Only Urawa Red Diamonds scores 9.6% 7.2% 17.7% 0.41× 13.89
Neither team scores 4.5% 4.6% 7.1% 0.64× 21.80
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.4% 0.97× 4.42
Exactly 2 goals 21.7% 22.6% 23.9% 0.95× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 17.2% 17.4% 12.3% 1.41× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 14.4% 12.1% 22.6% 0.53× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 10.6% 12.1% 5.9% 2.06× 8.28
6 or more goals 9.1% 7.6% 5.5% 1.38× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 4.5% 4.4% 7.1% 0.62× 22.65
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 53.2% 51.4% 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 30.0% 33.4% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 16.7% 17.1% 5.84
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win both halves 95.9% 97.2% 1.03
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves 80.4% 84.1% 1.19
Kashima Antlers to win both halves 19.7% 15.9% 6.27
Urawa Red Diamonds to win both halves 4.1% 2.8% 35.54
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win either half 69.1% 68.0% 1.47
Urawa Red Diamonds to win neither half 63.6% 65.1% 1.54
Urawa Red Diamonds to win either half 36.5% 34.9% 2.87
Kashima Antlers to win neither half 30.9% 32.0% 3.12
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win to nil 90.4% 92.0% 82.3% 1.12× 1.09
Kashima Antlers not to win to nil 71.8% 75.3% 75.0% 1.00× 1.33
Kashima Antlers to win to nil 28.2% 24.7% 25.0% 0.99× 4.05
Urawa Red Diamonds to win to nil 9.6% 8.0% 17.7% 0.45× 12.52
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers by 1 23.4% 24.2% 25.0% 0.97× 4.14
Draw 21.6% 24.1% 26.3% 0.92× 4.14
Kashima Antlers by 2 17.3% 16.9% 12.0% 1.41× 5.91
Kashima Antlers by 3+ 16.2% 16.9% 6.2% 2.74× 5.91
Urawa Red Diamonds by 1 13.4% 11.8% 19.3% 0.61× 8.47
Urawa Red Diamonds by 2 5.7% 7.3% 6.0% 1.21× 13.79
Urawa Red Diamonds by 3+ 2.4% 2.7% 6.0% 0.45× 37.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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