Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-Pulse — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Kawasaki Frontale

06:00

Shimizu S-Pulse

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 2h before kick-off

Kawasaki Frontale win

50.0%

model 50.0%

Draw

28.1%

model 25.3%

Shimizu S-Pulse win

21.9%

model 24.7%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 9.3%
0-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.7%	Under 2.5	53.3%
BTTS yes	49.6%	BTTS no	50.4%
Kawasaki Frontale 1+	78.6%	Kawasaki Frontale 2+	45.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse 1+	63.2%	Shimizu S-Pulse 2+	26.5%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 65%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kawasaki Frontale carry the stronger rating, 1501 Elo against 1407.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kawasaki Frontale have an estimated 50.0% win probability, against 28.1% for the draw and 21.9% for Shimizu S-Pulse. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.54 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

Why Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale carry the stronger rating, 1501 Elo against 1407.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Shimizu S-Pulse can win

Nothing in the data singles out Shimizu S-Pulse.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kawasaki Frontale, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shimizu S-Pulse, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kawasaki Frontale: 53% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shimizu S-Pulse: 38% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kawasaki Frontale's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kawasaki Frontale are the model's most likely outcome at 50.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502525	1.54–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472726	1.37–0.93	1-0 14%	40%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to win	47.2%	47.5%	42.9%	1.11×	2.11
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	26.3%	1.06×	3.59
Shimizu S-Pulse to win	25.6%	27.9%	31.0%	0.90×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale & not both score	29.6%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.97
Kawasaki Frontale & both teams score	17.6%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
Shimizu S-Pulse & not both score	15.5%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Shimizu S-Pulse & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.9%	8.4%	7.1%	1.18×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale & under 3.5	36.3%	34.9%	33.1%	1.06×	2.87
Kawasaki Frontale & over 1.5	33.3%	30.9%	30.2%	1.02×	3.24
Kawasaki Frontale & over 2.5	23.9%	21.7%	23.1%	0.94×	4.62
Kawasaki Frontale & under 2.5	23.3%	21.7%	19.9%	1.09×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	22.5%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	22.5%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 3.5	21.1%	21.7%	23.4%	0.92×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & under 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	12.8%	1.00×	7.77
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	13.3%	0.97×	7.77
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	17.9%	0.72×	7.77
Kawasaki Frontale & over 3.5	10.9%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.69
Shimizu S-Pulse & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Shimizu S-Pulse & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (1UP)	60.1%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Shimizu S-Pulse (1UP)	40.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (2UP)	47.2%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Shimizu S-Pulse (2UP)	25.6%	24.7%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Kawasaki Frontale to win 2nd half	37.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Shimizu S-Pulse to win 2nd half	23.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.5)	91.6%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Shimizu S-Pulse (+1.5)	77.5%	78.4%	82.0%	0.96×	1.28
Kawasaki Frontale (+0.5)	74.4%	73.7%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
Shimizu S-Pulse (+0.5)	52.8%	52.3%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Kawasaki Frontale (-0.5)	47.2%	47.7%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Shimizu S-Pulse (-0.5)	25.6%	26.3%	31.0%	0.85×	3.81
Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)	22.5%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.64
Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5)	8.4%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to concede	74.6%	76.5%	75.3%	1.02×	1.31
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet	25.4%	23.5%	24.7%	0.95×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet in 1st half	55.5%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Shimizu S-Pulse to concede in 1st half	44.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Shimizu S-Pulse over 2.5 corners	77.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Shimizu S-Pulse under 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Shimizu S-Pulse over 3.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Shimizu S-Pulse under 4.5 corners	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Shimizu S-Pulse over 4.5 corners	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Shimizu S-Pulse under 3.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Shimizu S-Pulse over 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Shimizu S-Pulse under 2.5 corners	23.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Shimizu S-Pulse over 6.5 corners	17.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Shimizu S-Pulse under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Shimizu S-Pulse under 1.5 goals	76.1%	76.2%	68.2%	1.12×	1.31
Shimizu S-Pulse over 0.5 goals	60.6%	62.9%	68.0%	0.93×	1.59
Shimizu S-Pulse under 0.5 goals	39.4%	37.1%	32.0%	1.16×	2.70
Shimizu S-Pulse over 1.5 goals	23.9%	23.8%	31.8%	0.75×	4.21
Shimizu S-Pulse over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.04
Shimizu S-Pulse over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Shimizu S-Pulse under 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Shimizu S-Pulse over 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Shimizu S-Pulse over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (away no bet)	63.4%	62.1%	62.0%	1.00×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.6%	37.9%	38.0%	1.00×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse even goals	57.8%	56.9%	54.4%	1.04×	1.76
Shimizu S-Pulse odd goals	42.2%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	7.9%	—	—	12.68

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Kawasaki Frontale to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 2+ in a row	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ in a row	11.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.15

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+3.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+2.5)	81.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+3.5)	80.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+1.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+2.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (+1.5)	61.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-1.5)	38.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-2.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-1.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-3.5)	19.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-2.5)	18.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Shimizu S-Pulse corners (-3.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.2%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	17.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.9%	11.5%	12.8%	0.89×	8.73
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
0-0	9.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.46
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.49
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.46
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.47
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.48
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.49
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.48
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT (DNB)	63.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Shimizu S-Pulse leading at HT (DNB)	36.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1X)	74.4%	72.1%	69.0%	1.05×	1.39
Kawasaki Frontale or Shimizu S-Pulse (12)	72.8%	72.1%	73.7%	0.98×	1.39
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw (X2)	52.8%	52.5%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw at HT	80.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw at HT	66.1%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Kawasaki Frontale or Shimizu S-Pulse at HT	53.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP)	74.4%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw (1UP)	52.8%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw in 2nd half	76.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Shimizu S-Pulse or draw in 2nd half	62.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Kawasaki Frontale or Shimizu S-Pulse in 2nd half	61.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.7%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.3%	30.5%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (DNB)	64.8%	62.9%	58.0%	1.08×	1.59
Shimizu S-Pulse (DNB)	35.2%	37.1%	42.0%	0.88×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score first	53.7%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse to score first	36.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.9%	51.4%	49.5%	1.04×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.1%	48.6%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.9%	44.3%	40.0%	1.11×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.4%	34.3%	37.2%	0.92×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.4%	9.7%	0.87×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.5%	89.1%	86.2%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.5%	10.9%	13.8%	0.79×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.8%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.2%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.2%	5.0%	—	—	20.06

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.2%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.8%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
0-1 goals	33.2%	30.8%	29.6%	1.04×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.2%	20.2%	21.0%	0.96×	4.95
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	2.5%	0.72×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 0	39.4%	36.0%	32.0%	1.13×	2.78
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
Shimizu S-Pulse to score exactly 2	17.1%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Shimizu S-Pulse to score 3+	6.8%	8.5%	12.2%	0.69×	11.83

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.7%	36.4%	0.90×	3.06
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 0	25.4%	26.5%	24.7%	1.07×	3.77
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 2	23.9%	23.2%	24.4%	0.95×	4.30
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+	16.0%	18.9%	14.9%	1.27×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT	33.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
Shimizu S-Pulse leading at HT	19.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale -1: 2	52.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Kawasaki Frontale -1: X	24.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Kawasaki Frontale -1: 1	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:1)	52.8%	51.1%	57.1%	0.90×	1.96
Draw (0:1)	24.7%	24.3%	25.0%	0.97×	4.12
Kawasaki Frontale (0:1)	22.5%	24.3%	18.0%	1.35×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:2)	77.5%	79.4%	82.0%	0.97×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.1%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.11
Kawasaki Frontale (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	6.2%	1.25×	12.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:3)	91.6%	92.6%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	4.3%	1.36×	17.18
Kawasaki Frontale (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	2.1%	1.15×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.46
Kawasaki Frontale (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (1:0)	74.4%	72.6%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Shimizu S-Pulse (1:0)	8.8%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (2:0)	91.2%	93.9%	88.1%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.5%	6.5%	6.0%	1.07×	15.50
Shimizu S-Pulse (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede	60.6%	63.4%	68.0%	0.93×	1.58
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet	39.4%	36.6%	32.0%	1.15×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 1st half	68.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 1st half	31.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 corners	82.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Kawasaki Frontale under 6.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kawasaki Frontale under 5.5 corners	62.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kawasaki Frontale over 4.5 corners	52.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Kawasaki Frontale under 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Kawasaki Frontale over 5.5 corners	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Kawasaki Frontale over 6.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 corners	17.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 goals	84.0%	82.1%	85.1%	0.96×	1.22
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 goals	74.6%	74.2%	75.3%	0.99×	1.35
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 goals	60.2%	63.5%	60.9%	1.04×	1.58
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 goals	39.8%	36.5%	39.1%	0.93×	2.74
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 goals	25.4%	25.8%	24.7%	1.05×	3.87
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 goals	16.0%	17.9%	14.9%	1.20×	5.59
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.79

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.5%	51.6%	45.9%	1.13×	1.94
Shimizu S-Pulse (home no bet)	48.5%	48.4%	54.1%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale even goals	53.2%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.98
Kawasaki Frontale odd goals	46.8%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	22.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	14.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	27.5%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Shimizu S-Pulse at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Shimizu S-Pulse at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score last	53.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Shimizu S-Pulse to score last	36.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	9.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 1 at any time	40.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 2 at any time	27.5%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Shimizu S-Pulse to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.23

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale most corners	50.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Shimizu S-Pulse most corners	38.2%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.0%	72.4%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.9%	68.9%	68.0%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.8%	63.4%	65.0%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.4%	59.2%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.7%	48.7%	46.4%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.5%	39.2%	44.3%	0.88×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.4%	39.1%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.1%	35.4%	35.6%	0.99×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.2%	18.6%	21.0%	0.89×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.1%	18.6%	18.0%	1.03×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.7%	8.9%	0.99×	11.45
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	2.5%	1.01×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale never behind	49.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Shimizu S-Pulse never behind	30.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	53.2%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.5%	94.5%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.9%	77.4%	76.6%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.8%	66.2%	70.4%	0.94×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.6%	58.9%	53.3%	1.10×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40.4%	41.2%	46.7%	0.88×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	33.2%	33.8%	29.6%	1.14×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.1%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.91
Over 4.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	11.2%	0.69×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.5%	92.4%	87.2%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.8%	72.6%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.9%	51.8%	61.2%	0.85×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.1%	48.2%	38.8%	1.24×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.2%	27.4%	30.5%	0.90×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.5%	7.6%	12.8%	0.59×	13.24
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	5.9%	0.47×	36.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	2.6%	1.06×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.0%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse not to score in both halves	86.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Kawasaki Frontale not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Kawasaki Frontale to score in both halves	24.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Shimizu S-Pulse to score in both halves	13.3%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.1%	50.4%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Only Kawasaki Frontale scores	29.6%	26.1%	25.0%	1.05×	3.83
Only Shimizu S-Pulse scores	15.5%	16.1%	17.7%	0.91×	6.22
Neither team scores	9.9%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	23.9%	1.04×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.3%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.7%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	9.9%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Kawasaki Frontale not to win both halves	87.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Kawasaki Frontale to win both halves	12.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Shimizu S-Pulse to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse to win neither half	61.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Kawasaki Frontale to win either half	58.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Kawasaki Frontale to win neither half	41.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Shimizu S-Pulse to win either half	38.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shimizu S-Pulse not to win to nil	84.5%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.20
Kawasaki Frontale not to win to nil	70.4%	75.3%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil	29.6%	24.7%	25.0%	0.99×	4.04
Shimizu S-Pulse to win to nil	15.5%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	26.3%	1.06×	3.59
Kawasaki Frontale by 1	24.7%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Shimizu S-Pulse by 1	16.8%	16.9%	19.3%	0.88×	5.91
Kawasaki Frontale by 2	14.1%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.47
Kawasaki Frontale by 3+	8.4%	7.3%	6.2%	1.18×	13.78
Shimizu S-Pulse by 2	6.5%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.79
Shimizu S-Pulse by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.01