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Kifisia v Levadiakos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Kifisia win
30.2%
model 33.6%
Draw
29.4%
model 29.6%
Levadiakos win
40.4%
model 36.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.1%
  2. 1-2 8.5%
  3. 0-0 8.3%
  4. 2-1 8.1%
  5. 0-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.552.8% Under 2.547.2%
BTTS yes58.6% BTTS no41.4%
Kifisia 1+74.3% Kifisia 2+39.4%
Levadiakos 1+76.0% Levadiakos 2+41.8%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 72%
78.9% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 12.5 corners
Corners O/U
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1161 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Levadiakos carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1452.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Levadiakos have an estimated 40.4% win probability, against 30.2% for Kifisia and 29.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Kifisia and 1.43 for Levadiakos.

Why Kifisia

Nothing in the data singles out Kifisia.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.36 to 1.43. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Levadiakos can win

Levadiakos carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1452.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kifisia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Levadiakos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kifisia: 47% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Levadiakos: 53% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Levadiakos are the model's most likely outcome at 40.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.36–1.43 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.41–1.55 1-1 13% 57% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win 38.7% 36.5% 33.7% 1.08× 2.74
Kifisia to win 32.8% 30.4% 41.5% 0.73× 3.29
Draw 28.5% 27.9% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos & both teams score 21.6% 21.9% 14.4% 1.52× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 21.3% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Kifisia & both teams score 18.7% 17.9% 17.7% 1.01× 5.58
Levadiakos & not both score 17.1% 17.9% 19.5% 0.92× 5.58
Kifisia & not both score 14.1% 13.3% 24.0% 0.55× 7.55
Draw & not both score 7.2% 8.4% 8.4% 0.99× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos & over 1.5 32.7% 30.9% 24.2% 1.27× 3.24
Kifisia & over 1.5 27.5% 26.0% 32.4% 0.80× 3.84
Levadiakos & over 2.5 26.5% 26.0% 18.5% 1.41× 3.84
Levadiakos & under 3.5 24.2% 21.6% 26.7% 0.81× 4.62
Kifisia & over 2.5 22.3% 21.6% 26.5% 0.82× 4.62
Kifisia & under 3.5 20.9% 21.6% 29.8% 0.73× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 21.3% 21.6% 16.8% 1.28× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.6% 21.6% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.6% 21.6% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
Levadiakos & over 3.5 14.6% 12.9% 7.2% 1.79× 7.77
Kifisia & over 3.5 11.9% 12.9% 11.9% 1.08× 7.78
Levadiakos & under 2.5 12.2% 12.9% 15.4% 0.84× 7.78
Kifisia & under 2.5 10.5% 12.9% 15.2% 0.85× 7.78
Draw & over 2.5 7.9% 7.9% 3.9% 2.02× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 7.9% 7.9% 3.9% 2.02× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.69
Levadiakos & under 1.5 6.0% 7.9% 9.7% 0.82× 12.69
Kifisia & under 1.5 5.3% 7.9% 9.2% 0.85× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (1UP) 57.2% 58.0% 1.73
Kifisia (1UP) 52.2% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (2UP) 38.7% 37.1% 2.70
Kifisia (2UP) 32.8% 31.1% 3.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win 2nd half 35.9% 36.0% 2.78
2nd half drawn 34.9% 34.5% 2.90
Kifisia to win 2nd half 29.1% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (+2.5) 94.1% 92.1% 89.3% 1.03× 1.09
Levadiakos (+1.5) 84.0% 82.4% 78.9% 1.05× 1.21
Levadiakos (+0.5) 67.2% 68.7% 58.5% 1.17× 1.46
Kifisia (+0.5) 61.3% 62.9% 66.3% 0.95× 1.59
Levadiakos (-0.5) 38.7% 37.1% 33.7% 1.10× 2.69
Kifisia (-0.5) 32.8% 31.3% 41.5% 0.75× 3.20
Kifisia (-1.5) 16.0% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.69
Kifisia (-2.5) 5.9% 7.9% 10.7% 0.74× 12.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to concede 75.7% 79.0% 72.3% 1.09× 1.27
Levadiakos clean sheet 24.3% 21.0% 27.7% 0.76× 4.75
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to concede in 1st half 45.5% 50.8% 1.97
Levadiakos clean sheet in 1st half 54.5% 49.2% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 6.5 corners 89.1% 84.9% 1.18
Levadiakos under 5.5 corners 81.8% 80.9% 1.24
Levadiakos under 4.5 corners 71.2% 72.3% 1.38
Levadiakos over 2.5 corners 60.9% 61.4% 1.63
Levadiakos under 3.5 corners 56.6% 56.9% 1.76
Levadiakos over 3.5 corners 43.4% 43.1% 2.32
Levadiakos under 2.5 corners 39.1% 38.6% 2.59
Levadiakos over 4.5 corners 28.8% 27.7% 3.61
Levadiakos over 5.5 corners 18.2% 19.1% 5.25
Levadiakos over 6.5 corners 10.9% 15.1% 6.64
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 3.5 goals 92.8% 92.4% 96.7% 0.95× 1.08
Levadiakos under 2.5 goals 79.7% 76.2% 89.7% 0.85× 1.31
Levadiakos over 0.5 goals 78.7% 76.2% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
Levadiakos under 1.5 goals 54.2% 53.7% 67.6% 0.80× 1.86
Levadiakos over 1.5 goals 45.8% 46.3% 32.4% 1.43× 2.16
Levadiakos under 0.5 goals 21.3% 23.8% 32.2% 0.74× 4.21
Levadiakos over 2.5 goals 20.3% 23.8% 10.3% 2.31× 4.21
Levadiakos over 3.5 goals 7.2% 7.7% 3.3% 2.33× 13.07
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos under 1.5 in 1st half 87.2% 89.5% 1.12
Levadiakos under 0.5 in 1st half 53.9% 55.9% 1.79
Levadiakos over 0.5 in 1st half 46.1% 44.1% 2.27
Levadiakos over 1.5 in 1st half 12.8% 10.5% 9.56
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (away no bet) 53.5% 51.3% 62.3% 0.82× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 46.5% 48.7% 37.7% 1.29× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos even goals 52.3% 52.7% 56.7% 0.93× 1.90
Levadiakos odd goals 47.7% 47.3% 43.3% 1.09× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.1% 83.2% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.9% 16.8% 5.94
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.5% 68.6% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.5% 31.4% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 59.7% 55.5% 1.80
Levadiakos to score 2+ in a row 36.2% 36.2% 2.76
Kifisia to score 2+ in a row 31.5% 28.5% 3.51
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.9% 19.3% 5.18
Levadiakos to score 3+ in a row 12.5% 12.0% 8.34
Kifisia to score 3+ in a row 9.8% 5.6% 17.73
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia corners (+3.5) 89.7% 84.2% 1.19
Kifisia corners (+2.5) 83.7% 80.0% 1.25
Levadiakos corners (+3.5) 77.7% 75.5% 1.33
Kifisia corners (+1.5) 75.6% 75.5% 1.33
Levadiakos corners (+2.5) 68.7% 66.8% 1.50
Levadiakos corners (+1.5) 57.9% 56.8% 1.76
Kifisia corners (-1.5) 42.1% 43.2% 2.31
Kifisia corners (-2.5) 31.3% 33.2% 3.01
Levadiakos corners (-1.5) 24.4% 24.5% 4.08
Kifisia corners (-3.5) 22.3% 24.5% 4.08
Levadiakos corners (-2.5) 16.3% 20.0% 5.00
Levadiakos corners (-3.5) 10.3% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 60.8% 49.7% 2.01
9-11 corners 23.3% 26.3% 3.80
12+ corners 15.8% 21.6% 4.62
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 88.9% 82.8% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 84.2% 79.9% 1.25
Under 10.5 corners 78.0% 76.6% 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 70.2% 72.5% 1.38
Under 8.5 corners 60.8% 62.7% 1.60
Under 7.5 corners 50.3% 52.2% 1.92
Over 7.5 corners 49.8% 47.8% 2.09
Over 8.5 corners 39.2% 37.3% 2.68
Over 9.5 corners 29.8% 27.5% 3.64
Over 10.5 corners 22.0% 23.4% 4.28
Over 11.5 corners 15.8% 20.1% 4.97
Over 12.5 corners 11.1% 17.2% 5.82
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.4% 11.5% 13.1% 0.87× 8.73
1-2 8.8% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.46
0-0 7.2% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.46
2-1 8.0% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.46
0-1 6.0% 7.4% 9.7% 0.77× 13.46
0-2 6.2% 7.4% 6.0% 1.25× 13.46
1-0 5.3% 7.4% 9.2% 0.80× 13.46
2-0 5.2% 7.4% 6.2% 1.21× 13.46
2-2 6.2% 7.4% 3.7% 2.01× 13.46
0-3 3.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.57
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.59
1-3 4.5% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.57
1-4 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.58
2-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.57
2-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.59
3-0 2.4% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.58
3-1 3.8% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.57
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.58
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.16× 58.58
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.2% 8.31× 58.59
4-0 0.9% 1.7% 1.8% 0.92× 58.59
4-1 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.59
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.59
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.2% 8.31× 58.59
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.31× 58.59
Any other score 3.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos leading at HT (DNB) 50.6% 55.5% 1.80
Kifisia leading at HT (DNB) 49.4% 44.5% 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia or Levadiakos (12) 71.5% 72.1% 74.9% 0.96× 1.39
Levadiakos or draw (X2) 67.2% 69.6% 58.5% 1.19× 1.44
Kifisia or draw (1X) 61.3% 63.5% 66.3% 0.96× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw at HT 71.4% 74.6% 1.34
Kifisia or draw at HT 70.7% 74.6% 1.34
Kifisia or Levadiakos at HT 57.9% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw (1UP) 67.2% 75.9% 1.32
Kifisia or draw (1UP) 61.3% 71.3% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos or draw in 2nd half 70.9% 73.7% 1.36
Kifisia or Levadiakos in 2nd half 65.1% 65.5% 1.53
Kifisia or draw in 2nd half 64.1% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.1% 61.4% 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.9% 38.6% 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (DNB) 54.1% 51.0% 44.8% 1.14× 1.96
Kifisia (DNB) 45.9% 49.0% 55.2% 0.89× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score first 48.5% 45.6% 2.19
Kifisia to score first 44.3% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 7.2% 7.4% 13.54
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 61.6% 56.5% 48.5% 1.17× 1.77
Not both teams to score 38.4% 43.5% 51.5% 0.84× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.2% 44.2% 35.5% 1.25× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 29.9% 33.6% 38.6% 0.87× 2.97
Both score & under 2.5 13.4% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.6% 8.4% 13.1% 0.64× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.1% 83.1% 88.9% 0.94× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 18.9% 16.9% 11.1% 1.52× 5.93
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 65.9% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.1% 32.4% 3.08
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.5% 56.1% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 27.1% 26.0% 3.84
Both score 1st half only 14.3% 10.5% 9.50
Both score in both halves 7.0% 6.7% 14.94
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.6% 81.7% 1.22
Both teams to score by HT 21.4% 18.3% 5.48
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 59.2% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 40.8% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.1% 47.4% 50.7% 0.94× 2.11
4-6 goals 31.2% 30.7% 21.8% 1.41× 3.26
0-1 goals 18.5% 20.2% 26.9% 0.75× 4.94
7+ goals 3.1% 1.8% 1.0% 1.77× 55.10
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score exactly 1 32.9% 33.9% 35.5% 0.95× 2.95
Levadiakos to score exactly 2 25.5% 27.4% 22.4% 1.22× 3.65
Levadiakos to score exactly 0 21.3% 22.4% 32.2% 0.69× 4.47
Levadiakos to score 3+ 20.3% 22.4% 10.3% 2.18× 4.47
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to score exactly 1 34.4% 32.7% 33.7% 0.97× 3.06
Kifisia to score exactly 0 24.3% 23.3% 27.7% 0.84× 4.30
Kifisia to score exactly 2 24.3% 23.3% 20.7% 1.12× 4.30
Kifisia to score 3+ 17.0% 18.9% 18.3% 1.03× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.1% 43.2% 2.32
Levadiakos leading at HT 29.3% 25.4% 3.93
Kifisia leading at HT 28.6% 25.4% 3.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos -1: 1 61.3% 62.4% 1.60
Levadiakos -1: 2 20.1% 23.6% 4.24
Levadiakos -1: X 18.6% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (0:1) 67.2% 65.5% 58.5% 1.12× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 16.8% 17.8% 20.5% 0.87× 5.62
Kifisia (0:1) 16.0% 17.8% 21.2% 0.84× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (0:2) 84.0% 82.8% 78.9% 1.05× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 10.1% 11.0% 10.7% 1.03× 9.10
Kifisia (0:2) 5.9% 7.7% 10.7% 0.72× 12.99
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (0:3) 94.1% 92.7% 89.3% 1.04× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.1% 2.4% 8.0% 0.30× 41.96
Kifisia (0:3) 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 0.83× 42.06
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (0:4) 98.2% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 0.65× 83.32
Kifisia (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 0.97× 83.42
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (1:0) 61.3% 65.1% 66.3% 0.98× 1.54
Levadiakos (1:0) 20.1% 21.7% 13.8% 1.58× 4.61
Draw (1:0) 18.6% 17.0% 20.1% 0.85× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (2:0) 79.9% 80.4% 86.2% 0.93× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 12.2% 10.4% 8.2% 1.27× 9.62
Levadiakos (2:0) 8.0% 6.5% 5.7% 1.12× 15.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.6% 48.2% 2.07
Halves equal 26.7% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.7% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to concede 78.7% 75.9% 67.8% 1.12× 1.32
Kifisia clean sheet 21.3% 24.1% 32.2% 0.75× 4.15
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia clean sheet in 1st half 53.9% 55.9% 1.79
Kifisia to concede in 1st half 46.1% 44.1% 2.27
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 6.5 corners 79.6% 76.1% 1.31
Kifisia over 2.5 corners 72.6% 71.5% 1.40
Kifisia under 5.5 corners 70.0% 67.8% 1.48
Kifisia under 4.5 corners 57.6% 57.4% 1.74
Kifisia over 3.5 corners 57.1% 57.4% 1.74
Kifisia under 3.5 corners 42.9% 42.6% 2.35
Kifisia over 4.5 corners 42.4% 42.6% 2.35
Kifisia over 5.5 corners 30.0% 32.2% 3.10
Kifisia under 2.5 corners 27.4% 28.5% 3.51
Kifisia over 6.5 corners 20.4% 23.9% 4.19
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 3.5 goals 94.5% 92.3% 94.3% 0.98× 1.08
Kifisia under 2.5 goals 83.0% 82.1% 81.7% 1.01× 1.22
Kifisia over 0.5 goals 75.7% 77.7% 72.3% 1.07× 1.29
Kifisia under 1.5 goals 58.7% 58.8% 61.2% 0.96× 1.70
Kifisia over 1.5 goals 41.3% 41.2% 38.8% 1.06× 2.43
Kifisia under 0.5 goals 24.3% 22.3% 27.7% 0.81× 4.48
Kifisia over 2.5 goals 17.0% 17.9% 18.3% 0.98× 5.60
Kifisia over 3.5 goals 5.5% 7.7% 5.7% 1.35× 12.91
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 1.5 in 1st half 87.6% 90.0% 1.11
Kifisia over 0.5 in 1st half 45.5% 50.9% 1.97
Kifisia under 0.5 in 1st half 54.5% 49.1% 2.04
Kifisia over 1.5 in 1st half 12.4% 10.0% 9.95
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos (home no bet) 57.6% 56.7% 57.3% 0.99× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 42.4% 43.3% 42.7% 1.02× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia even goals 53.0% 50.6% 52.8% 0.96× 1.97
Kifisia odd goals 47.0% 49.4% 47.2% 1.05× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.7% 28.7% 3.48
HT 0-1 17.8% 18.9% 5.30
HT 1-0 17.5% 18.9% 5.30
HT 1-1 11.4% 11.0% 9.06
HT 0-2 5.6% 7.1% 14.13
HT 2-0 5.4% 7.1% 14.13
Any other HT score 4.8% 2.2% 44.56
HT 1-2 3.4% 2.2% 44.67
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.2% 44.67
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.2% 44.86
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos at HT / Levadiakos at FT 21.7% 22.1% 4.52
Kifisia at HT / Kifisia at FT 19.4% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.0% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Levadiakos at FT 14.0% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Kifisia at FT 11.2% 12.7% 7.90
Kifisia at HT / Draw at FT 6.1% 6.0% 16.61
Levadiakos at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.63
Kifisia at HT / Levadiakos at FT 3.1% 3.4% 29.16
Levadiakos at HT / Kifisia at FT 2.2% 3.4% 29.20
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to score last 48.5% 47.0% 2.13
Kifisia to score last 44.3% 40.2% 2.49
No goal scored 7.2% 7.4% 13.54
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.8% 92.7% 1.08
Levadiakos to lead by 1 at any time 57.2% 55.0% 1.82
Kifisia to lead by 1 at any time 52.2% 50.6% 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 49.5% 44.1% 2.27
Levadiakos to lead by 2 at any time 27.1% 25.2% 3.97
Kifisia to lead by 2 at any time 22.6% 19.6% 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.1% 14.9% 6.69
Levadiakos to lead by 3 at any time 10.3% 10.4% 9.61
Kifisia to lead by 3 at any time 7.8% 6.5% 15.31
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia most corners 53.8% 52.9% 1.89
Levadiakos most corners 34.7% 33.8% 2.96
Corners level 11.6% 10.6% 9.39
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.8% 83.5% 88.5% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 78.4% 78.6% 72.3% 1.09× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.0% 72.4% 80.1% 0.90× 1.38
2-5 goals 73.5% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 63.7% 63.5% 61.6% 1.03× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.4% 59.2% 69.2% 0.86× 1.69
3-6 goals 53.6% 53.1% 47.6% 1.12× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.8% 48.7% 45.4% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.1% 48.7% 50.7% 0.96× 2.06
3-4 goals 39.0% 39.2% 37.0% 1.06× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.0% 39.2% 43.3% 0.90× 2.55
4-6 goals 31.2% 35.4% 21.8% 1.62× 2.83
4-5 goals 26.4% 30.2% 19.5% 1.55× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.7% 14.9% 10.9% 1.37× 6.73
7+ goals 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 2.47× 39.43
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos never behind 40.6% 48.1% 2.08
Kifisia never behind 35.6% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.8% 50.8% 53.8% 0.94× 1.97
Even number of goals 54.2% 49.2% 46.2% 1.07× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.0% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.0% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.1% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 92.8% 92.3% 91.6% 1.01× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.0% 92.3% 96.7% 0.95× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.2% 82.4% 88.3% 0.93× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 81.5% 82.4% 73.1% 1.13× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 65.6% 66.3% 77.4% 0.86× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 56.8% 58.8% 48.5% 1.21× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 43.2% 41.2% 51.5% 0.80× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 34.4% 33.7% 22.6% 1.49× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 18.5% 17.6% 26.9% 0.66× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 17.8% 17.6% 11.7% 1.51× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 8.0% 7.7% 3.3% 2.35× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 7.2% 7.7% 8.4% 0.92× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.7% 97.2% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.1% 92.5% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.7% 76.0% 86.9% 0.87× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 75.4% 75.9% 64.3% 1.18× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.7% 55.5% 69.5% 0.80× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.3% 44.5% 30.5% 1.46× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 24.6% 24.1% 35.7% 0.67× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.3% 24.1% 13.1% 1.83× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.9% 7.5% 3.6% 2.10× 13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.3% 2.8% 1.1% 2.62× 36.35
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.4% 89.3% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.3% 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.0% 63.8% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.0% 36.2% 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.7% 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.6% 10.7% 9.34
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.6% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.8% 78.0% 1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.4% 53.1% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.6% 46.9% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.2% 22.0% 4.55
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.4% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to score in both halves 74.8% 74.4% 1.34
Levadiakos not to score in both halves 72.1% 74.3% 1.35
Levadiakos to score in both halves 27.9% 25.7% 3.89
Kifisia to score in both halves 25.2% 25.6% 3.91
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 61.6% 60.2% 48.5% 1.24× 1.66
Only Levadiakos scores 17.1% 16.1% 19.5% 0.83× 6.21
Only Kifisia scores 14.1% 11.0% 24.0% 0.46× 9.13
Neither team scores 7.2% 7.2% 8.4% 0.85× 13.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.7% 22.7% 24.8% 0.91× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 26.1% 0.87× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.6% 17.5% 11.1% 1.57× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 11.3% 12.1% 18.7% 0.65× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 9.8% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.13
6 or more goals 8.0% 7.6% 3.3% 2.32× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 7.2% 7.6% 8.4% 0.90× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.4% 51.0% 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 29.2% 29.7% 3.37
No goals in 2nd half 18.4% 16.9% 5.91
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win both halves 91.4% 93.9% 1.07
Levadiakos not to win both halves 89.1% 88.1% 1.14
Levadiakos to win both halves 10.9% 11.9% 8.42
Kifisia to win both halves 8.6% 6.1% 16.48
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levadiakos to win either half 54.4% 54.8% 1.82
Kifisia to win neither half 50.9% 54.7% 1.83
Kifisia to win either half 49.1% 45.3% 2.21
Levadiakos to win neither half 45.6% 45.2% 2.21
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win to nil 85.9% 88.2% 76.0% 1.16× 1.13
Levadiakos not to win to nil 82.9% 83.0% 80.5% 1.03× 1.21
Levadiakos to win to nil 17.1% 17.0% 19.5% 0.87× 5.88
Kifisia to win to nil 14.1% 11.8% 24.0% 0.49× 8.47
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.5% 27.8% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
Levadiakos by 1 18.6% 16.9% 20.1% 0.84× 5.90
Kifisia by 1 16.8% 16.9% 20.5% 0.83× 5.90
Levadiakos by 2 12.2% 11.8% 8.2% 1.44× 8.46
Kifisia by 2 10.1% 11.8% 10.7% 1.11× 8.47
Levadiakos by 3+ 8.0% 7.2% 5.7% 1.26× 13.80
Kifisia by 3+ 5.9% 7.2% 10.7% 0.68× 13.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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