Kocaelispor v Samsunspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Kocaelispor

13:00

Samsunspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 9h before kick-off

Kocaelispor win

33.4%

model 34.9%

Draw

33.3%

model 32.2%

Samsunspor win

33.3%

model 32.9%

333333

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (767 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 15.0%
0-0 12.6%
1-0 10.9%
0-1 10.4%
2-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.7%	Under 2.5	62.3%
BTTS yes	46.1%	BTTS no	53.9%
Kocaelispor 1+	67.4%	Kocaelispor 2+	30.8%
Samsunspor 1+	66.0%	Samsunspor 2+	29.4%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 46%

61.5% fair odds 1.63

strong signal · 956 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Kocaelispor.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kocaelispor have an estimated 33.4% win probability, against 33.3% for Samsunspor and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Kocaelispor and 1.08 for Samsunspor.

Why Kocaelispor

Nothing in the data singles out Kocaelispor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.20 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.12 to 1.08. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Samsunspor can win

Samsunspor carry the stronger rating, 1584 Elo against 1461.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kocaelispor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Samsunspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kocaelispor: 55% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Samsunspor: 58% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kocaelispor are the model's most likely outcome at 33.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.0%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	353233	1.12–1.08	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	283636	0.82–0.95	0-0 19%	26%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	36.1%	36.4%	26.0%	1.40×	2.75
Samsunspor to win	35.6%	36.4%	28.7%	1.27×	2.75
Kocaelispor to win	28.3%	27.9%	45.4%	0.61×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor & not both score	25.5%	25.2%	14.3%	1.75×	3.97
Kocaelispor & not both score	20.0%	21.9%	22.3%	0.98×	4.57
Draw & not both score	18.4%	17.9%	8.0%	2.24×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	18.2%	0.98×	5.58
Samsunspor & both teams score	10.1%	13.2%	14.5%	0.91×	7.55
Kocaelispor & both teams score	8.3%	8.4%	23.2%	0.36×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	33.3%	30.9%	20.4%	1.51×	3.24
Draw & under 3.5	33.3%	30.9%	20.4%	1.51×	3.24
Samsunspor & under 3.5	31.1%	30.9%	19.5%	1.58×	3.24
Kocaelispor & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	29.4%	0.88×	3.84
Samsunspor & under 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	10.8%	2.00×	4.62
Samsunspor & over 1.5	21.0%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.62
Kocaelispor & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	8.0%	2.25×	5.56
Kocaelispor & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	36.2%	0.50×	5.56
Samsunspor & under 1.5	14.6%	12.9%	6.5%	1.98×	7.77
Kocaelispor & under 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.78
Samsunspor & over 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	18.0%	0.71×	7.78
Kocaelispor & over 2.5	10.2%	12.9%	30.3%	0.42×	7.78
Samsunspor & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	9.3%	0.51×	20.93
Kocaelispor & over 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	16.1%	0.30×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (1UP)	47.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kocaelispor (1UP)	40.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (2UP)	35.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Kocaelispor (2UP)	28.3%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	46.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Samsunspor to win 2nd half	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Kocaelispor to win 2nd half	23.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Samsunspor (+1.5)	90.3%	92.1%	78.6%	1.17×	1.09
Samsunspor (+0.5)	71.7%	73.7%	54.6%	1.35×	1.36
Kocaelispor (+0.5)	64.4%	62.9%	71.3%	0.88×	1.59
Samsunspor (-0.5)	35.6%	37.1%	28.7%	1.29×	2.70
Kocaelispor (-0.5)	28.3%	26.3%	45.4%	0.58×	3.80
Kocaelispor (-1.5)	9.7%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.65
Kocaelispor (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	9.9%	0.38×	26.86

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede	56.1%	62.6%	77.8%	0.80×	1.60
Samsunspor clean sheet	43.9%	37.4%	22.2%	1.69×	2.68

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor clean sheet in 1st half	70.2%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Samsunspor to concede in 1st half	29.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 6.5 corners	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Samsunspor under 5.5 corners	77.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Samsunspor over 2.5 corners	68.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Samsunspor under 4.5 corners	65.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Samsunspor over 3.5 corners	50.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Samsunspor under 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Samsunspor over 4.5 corners	34.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Samsunspor under 2.5 corners	31.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Samsunspor over 5.5 corners	22.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Samsunspor over 6.5 corners	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.6%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Samsunspor under 2.5 goals	92.8%	92.4%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Samsunspor under 1.5 goals	75.2%	76.2%	65.2%	1.17×	1.31
Samsunspor over 0.5 goals	61.5%	62.9%	69.8%	0.90×	1.59
Samsunspor under 0.5 goals	38.5%	37.1%	30.2%	1.23×	2.70
Samsunspor over 1.5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	34.8%	0.68×	4.20
Samsunspor over 2.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	13.8%	0.56×	13.07
Samsunspor over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.4%	4.6%	0.53×	41.11

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 1.5 in 1st half	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Samsunspor under 0.5 in 1st half	68.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Samsunspor over 0.5 in 1st half	31.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Samsunspor over 1.5 in 1st half	5.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.27

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	56.0%	57.5%	36.4%	1.58×	1.74
Kocaelispor (away no bet)	44.0%	42.5%	63.6%	0.67×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor even goals	57.4%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Samsunspor odd goals	42.6%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.3%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	—	—	21.76

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	59.1%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Not both halves under 1.5	40.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	34.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Samsunspor to score 2+ in a row	20.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Kocaelispor to score 2+ in a row	16.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.84
Samsunspor to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.13
Kocaelispor to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor corners (+3.5)	89.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Kocaelispor corners (+2.5)	83.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Samsunspor corners (+3.5)	78.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Kocaelispor corners (+1.5)	74.7%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Samsunspor corners (+2.5)	69.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Samsunspor corners (+1.5)	58.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kocaelispor corners (-1.5)	41.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Kocaelispor corners (-2.5)	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Samsunspor corners (-1.5)	25.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Kocaelispor corners (-3.5)	21.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Samsunspor corners (-2.5)	17.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Samsunspor corners (-3.5)	10.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.1%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	19.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 7.5 corners	58.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	46.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	41.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	13.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	18.4%	13.8%	8.0%	1.72×	7.26
1-1	14.8%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.73
0-1	14.6%	11.5%	6.5%	1.76×	8.73
1-0	12.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-2	7.7%	7.4%	4.4%	1.67×	13.46
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	6.7%	1.12×	13.46
2-0	5.7%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
2-1	5.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.58
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.59
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.58
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.59
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.58
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.59
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.58
3-1	1.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.58
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.59
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.28×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	3.85×	58.59
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.59
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.59
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	58.59
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	11.54×	58.59
Any other score	0.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor leading at HT (DNB)	52.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Kocaelispor leading at HT (DNB)	47.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor or draw (X2)	71.7%	72.1%	54.6%	1.32×	1.39
Kocaelispor or draw (1X)	64.4%	63.6%	71.3%	0.89×	1.57
Kocaelispor or Samsunspor (12)	63.9%	63.6%	74.0%	0.86×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor or draw at HT	78.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Kocaelispor or draw at HT	76.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Kocaelispor or Samsunspor at HT	44.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor or draw (1UP)	71.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Kocaelispor or draw (1UP)	64.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor or draw in 2nd half	76.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Kocaelispor or draw in 2nd half	69.8%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Kocaelispor or Samsunspor in 2nd half	53.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.5%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Neither half drawn	25.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (DNB)	55.7%	58.1%	38.7%	1.50×	1.72
Kocaelispor (DNB)	44.3%	41.9%	61.3%	0.68×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to score first	43.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Kocaelispor to score first	37.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	18.4%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.0%	56.5%	44.4%	1.27×	1.77
Both teams to score	36.0%	43.5%	55.6%	0.78×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	58.8%	47.2%	33.7%	1.40×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	21.2%	27.7%	43.2%	0.64×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	14.8%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	5.1%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	11.98

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.1%	91.7%	83.4%	1.10×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.9%	8.3%	16.6%	0.50×	12.03

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.1%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score 1st half only	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Both score in both halves	1.5%	4.8%	—	—	20.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.3%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.7%	9.3%	—	—	10.79

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.4%	47.4%	23.5%	2.02×	2.11
2-3 goals	44.1%	42.1%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	10.3%	16.9%	28.4%	0.59×	5.92
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	2.7%	0.68×	55.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to score exactly 0	38.5%	36.0%	30.2%	1.19×	2.78
Samsunspor to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Samsunspor to score exactly 2	17.5%	19.5%	21.2%	0.92×	5.12
Samsunspor to score 3+	7.2%	8.5%	13.8%	0.62×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Kocaelispor to score exactly 0	43.9%	35.1%	22.2%	1.58×	2.85
Kocaelispor to score exactly 2	14.9%	14.4%	23.8%	0.60×	6.96
Kocaelispor to score 3+	5.1%	10.3%	22.2%	0.46×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	55.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Samsunspor leading at HT	23.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Kocaelispor leading at HT	21.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor -1: 1	64.4%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Samsunspor -1: X	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Samsunspor -1: 2	13.7%	14.0%	—	—	7.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:1)	71.7%	71.0%	54.6%	1.30×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.62
Kocaelispor (0:1)	9.7%	9.3%	21.5%	0.43×	10.77

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:2)	90.3%	90.7%	78.6%	1.16×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.98
Kocaelispor (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	9.9%	0.38×	26.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	6.5%	0.37×	42.06
Kocaelispor (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	96.5%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	83.43
Kocaelispor (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.2%	1.01×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor (1:0)	64.4%	65.2%	71.3%	0.91×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	21.7%	15.8%	1.37×	4.61
Samsunspor (1:0)	13.7%	12.8%	13.0%	0.98×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor (2:0)	86.3%	88.3%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.5%	7.7%	0.84×	15.46
Samsunspor (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.17

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	34.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
1st half highest scoring	24.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor to concede	61.5%	63.3%	69.8%	0.91×	1.58
Kocaelispor clean sheet	38.5%	36.7%	30.2%	1.22×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor clean sheet in 1st half	68.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Kocaelispor to concede in 1st half	31.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor over 2.5 corners	78.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Kocaelispor under 6.5 corners	77.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Kocaelispor under 5.5 corners	66.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Kocaelispor over 3.5 corners	62.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Kocaelispor under 4.5 corners	52.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners	47.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Kocaelispor under 3.5 corners	37.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Kocaelispor over 5.5 corners	33.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Kocaelispor over 6.5 corners	22.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Kocaelispor under 2.5 corners	22.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor under 3.5 goals	99.0%	96.4%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
Kocaelispor under 2.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	77.8%	1.19×	1.08
Kocaelispor under 1.5 goals	80.1%	82.1%	54.1%	1.52×	1.22
Kocaelispor over 0.5 goals	56.1%	58.8%	77.8%	0.76×	1.70
Kocaelispor under 0.5 goals	43.9%	41.2%	22.2%	1.86×	2.43
Kocaelispor over 1.5 goals	20.0%	17.9%	45.9%	0.39×	5.60
Kocaelispor over 2.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	22.2%	0.35×	12.91
Kocaelispor over 3.5 goals	1.0%	3.6%	7.4%	0.49×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	96.5%	—	—	1.04
Kocaelispor under 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Kocaelispor over 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Kocaelispor over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.81

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.4%	51.5%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Samsunspor (home no bet)	49.6%	48.5%	52.4%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor even goals	59.6%	55.5%	50.9%	1.09×	1.80
Kocaelispor odd goals	40.4%	44.5%	49.1%	0.91×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	48.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	16.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.66
HT 2-0	3.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.70
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.85
Any other HT score	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	27.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Samsunspor at HT / Samsunspor at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Samsunspor at FT	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Kocaelispor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Kocaelispor at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Kocaelispor at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Samsunspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Kocaelispor at HT / Samsunspor at FT	1.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.23
Samsunspor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT	1.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.25

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to score last	43.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
Kocaelispor to score last	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	18.4%	13.1%	—	—	7.61

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	81.6%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Samsunspor to lead by 1 at any time	47.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Kocaelispor to lead by 1 at any time	40.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	29.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Samsunspor to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Kocaelispor to lead by 2 at any time	12.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.5%	—	—	15.33
Samsunspor to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.32
Kocaelispor to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor most corners	52.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Samsunspor most corners	35.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.6%	83.5%	85.5%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.1%	78.6%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.4%	61.2%	1.18×	1.38
1-2 goals	55.2%	59.2%	38.3%	1.55×	1.69
2-6 goals	54.4%	53.2%	74.0%	0.72×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.6%	53.1%	70.0%	0.76×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.1%	53.1%	59.9%	0.89×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.29
3-6 goals	26.1%	30.2%	51.3%	0.59×	3.31
3-5 goals	25.4%	30.2%	47.3%	0.64×	3.31
3-4 goals	22.9%	24.4%	37.3%	0.66×	4.09
4-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	28.4%	0.52×	6.74
4-5 goals	9.5%	8.8%	24.4%	0.36×	11.43
5-6 goals	3.2%	2.5%	14.2%	0.18×	39.43
7+ goals	0.2%	2.5%	2.7%	0.95×	39.57

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor never behind	40.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Kocaelispor never behind	33.9%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.5%	50.8%	50.7%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.5%	49.2%	49.3%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	62.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 1st half	38.0%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.3%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Odd goals in 2nd half	42.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.0%	95.5%	93.3%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	83.3%	1.15×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	89.5%	87.7%	69.1%	1.27×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	81.6%	82.4%	92.0%	0.90×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	46.2%	1.57×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.6%	52.4%	76.5%	0.69×	1.91
Under 1.5 goals	45.4%	47.6%	23.5%	2.02×	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	53.8%	0.51×	3.64
Under 0.5 goals	18.4%	17.6%	8.0%	2.21×	5.67
Over 3.5 goals	10.5%	12.3%	30.9%	0.40×	8.12
Over 4.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	16.7%	0.27×	22.20
Over 5.5 goals	1.0%	4.5%	6.7%	0.68×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.3%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.0%	97.3%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.3%	97.2%	80.5%	1.21×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	87.5%	86.7%	59.9%	1.45×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.3%	62.1%	30.4%	2.04×	1.61
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.7%	37.9%	69.6%	0.54×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	12.5%	13.3%	40.1%	0.33×	7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.7%	2.8%	19.5%	0.14×	36.33
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.0%	2.7%	7.4%	0.37×	36.42
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.7%	2.8%	0.99×	36.44

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	51.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	48.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	13.6%	—	—	7.38
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.9%	3.3%	—	—	30.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	91.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	8.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor not to score in both halves	88.8%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Samsunspor not to score in both halves	86.2%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Samsunspor to score in both halves	13.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.04
Kocaelispor to score in both halves	11.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	36.0%	39.8%	55.6%	0.72×	2.51
Only Samsunspor scores	25.5%	26.1%	14.3%	1.82×	3.83
Only Kocaelispor scores	20.0%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.48
Neither team scores	18.4%	16.1%	8.0%	2.02×	6.20

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.3%	25.0%	22.8%	1.10×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	27.0%	25.0%	15.7%	1.59×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	18.4%	17.5%	8.0%	2.19×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	15.8%	17.4%	23.1%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.0%	7.6%	14.3%	0.53×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.5%	4.4%	10.2%	0.43×	22.63
6 or more goals	1.0%	4.4%	6.7%	0.66×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	35.8%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	28.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor not to win both halves	94.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Samsunspor not to win both halves	92.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Samsunspor to win both halves	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Kocaelispor to win both halves	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor to win neither half	60.5%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Samsunspor to win neither half	53.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Samsunspor to win either half	46.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Kocaelispor to win either half	39.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kocaelispor not to win to nil	80.0%	78.0%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
Samsunspor not to win to nil	74.5%	75.3%	85.7%	0.88×	1.33
Samsunspor to win to nil	25.5%	24.7%	14.3%	1.72×	4.05
Kocaelispor to win to nil	20.0%	22.0%	22.3%	0.98×	4.55

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	36.1%	34.8%	26.0%	1.34×	2.87
Samsunspor by 1	21.8%	24.1%	15.8%	1.53×	4.14
Kocaelispor by 1	18.6%	16.9%	24.1%	0.70×	5.90
Samsunspor by 2	9.9%	7.3%	7.7%	0.94×	13.79
Kocaelispor by 2	7.4%	7.2%	11.7%	0.62×	13.80
Samsunspor by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	36.95
Kocaelispor by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	9.9%	0.27×	36.99