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Konyaspor v Istanbul Basaksehir — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Konyaspor win
26.8%
model 25.8%
Draw
26.8%
model 26.9%
Istanbul Basaksehir win
46.5%
model 47.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.8%
  2. 1-2 9.5%
  3. 0-1 8.4%
  4. 0-2 8.1%
  5. 0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.554.1% Under 2.545.9%
BTTS yes57.5% BTTS no42.5%
Konyaspor 1+69.3% Konyaspor 2+33.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+81.0% Istanbul Basaksehir 2+49.5%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1442.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Istanbul Basaksehir have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 26.8% for Konyaspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Konyaspor and 1.66 for Istanbul Basaksehir.

Why Konyaspor

Nothing in the data singles out Konyaspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir can win

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1442.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Konyaspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Konyaspor: 46% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Istanbul Basaksehir: 50% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Istanbul Basaksehir are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.25–1.60 1-1 13% 54% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 44.4% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.32
Konyaspor to win 28.3% 27.9% 45.4% 0.61× 3.59
Draw 27.3% 27.9% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score 22.7% 21.9% 14.5% 1.51× 4.57
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score 21.6% 21.9% 14.3% 1.53× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.1% 21.9% 18.2% 1.20× 4.57
Konyaspor & both teams score 15.4% 17.9% 23.2% 0.77× 5.59
Konyaspor & not both score 13.0% 13.3% 22.3% 0.59× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.1% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5 36.4% 34.9% 22.3% 1.56× 2.86
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5 29.0% 26.0% 18.0% 1.44× 3.84
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5 28.6% 26.0% 19.5% 1.33× 3.84
Konyaspor & over 1.5 22.5% 21.6% 36.2% 0.60× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.1% 21.6% 18.2% 1.19× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.1% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.1% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Konyaspor & under 3.5 19.4% 18.0% 29.4% 0.61× 5.56
Konyaspor & over 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 30.3% 0.59× 5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5 15.7% 18.0% 9.3% 1.93× 5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5 15.4% 18.0% 10.8% 1.67× 5.56
Konyaspor & under 2.5 10.3% 12.9% 15.2% 0.84× 7.77
Konyaspor & over 3.5 8.9% 7.9% 16.1% 0.49× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.2% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.70
Konyaspor & under 1.5 5.9% 7.9% 9.3% 0.84× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP) 61.1% 63.0% 1.59
Konyaspor (1UP) 47.3% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP) 44.4% 47.8% 2.09
Konyaspor (2UP) 28.3% 25.1% 3.98
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half 39.6% 36.4% 2.75
2nd half drawn 34.9% 34.3% 2.91
Konyaspor to win 2nd half 25.5% 26.3% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (+2.5) 95.9% 96.3% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Istanbul Basaksehir (+1.5) 87.6% 88.5% 78.6% 1.13× 1.13
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5) 71.7% 73.7% 54.6% 1.35× 1.36
Konyaspor (+0.5) 55.6% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.76
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5) 44.4% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.33
Konyaspor (-0.5) 28.3% 26.3% 45.4% 0.58× 3.80
Konyaspor (-1.5) 12.4% 11.5% 21.5% 0.54× 8.69
Konyaspor (-2.5) 4.1% 3.7% 9.9% 0.38× 26.79
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede 71.2% 76.5% 77.8% 0.98× 1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet 28.8% 23.5% 22.2% 1.06× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half 58.5% 57.9% 1.73
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half 41.5% 42.1% 2.38
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners 85.9% 85.2% 1.17
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners 76.5% 75.9% 1.32
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners 71.2% 71.5% 1.40
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners 63.3% 61.8% 1.62
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners 53.3% 53.1% 1.88
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners 46.7% 46.9% 2.13
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners 36.7% 38.2% 2.62
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners 28.8% 28.5% 3.51
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners 23.5% 24.1% 4.15
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners 14.1% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals 92.1% 92.3% 95.4% 0.97× 1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals 79.9% 76.3% 69.8% 1.09× 1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals 78.2% 76.2% 86.2% 0.88× 1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals 52.4% 53.7% 65.2% 0.82× 1.86
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals 47.6% 46.3% 34.8% 1.33× 2.16
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals 21.8% 23.8% 13.8% 1.73× 4.21
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals 20.1% 23.7% 30.2% 0.79× 4.21
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals 7.9% 7.7% 4.6% 1.67× 13.06
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half 86.4% 89.4% 1.12
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half 52.6% 55.9% 1.79
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half 47.4% 44.1% 2.27
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half 13.6% 10.6% 9.39
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (away no bet) 51.0% 51.2% 63.6% 0.81× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 49.0% 48.8% 36.4% 1.34× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals 52.0% 52.8% 54.4% 0.97× 1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals 48.0% 47.2% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.6% 83.1% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.4% 16.9% 5.91
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 67.0% 68.4% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.0% 31.6% 3.17
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.0% 55.3% 1.81
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row 38.8% 36.6% 2.73
Konyaspor to score 2+ in a row 26.3% 25.1% 3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.1% 19.5% 5.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row 14.2% 12.2% 8.23
Konyaspor to score 3+ in a row 7.3% 5.6% 17.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor corners (+3.5) 89.4% 84.5% 1.18
Konyaspor corners (+2.5) 83.1% 79.7% 1.25
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5) 79.3% 74.9% 1.34
Konyaspor corners (+1.5) 74.6% 70.7% 1.41
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5) 70.3% 70.7% 1.41
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5) 59.4% 57.2% 1.75
Konyaspor corners (-1.5) 40.6% 42.8% 2.33
Konyaspor corners (-2.5) 29.7% 29.3% 3.41
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5) 25.4% 29.3% 3.42
Konyaspor corners (-3.5) 20.7% 25.1% 3.98
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5) 16.9% 20.3% 4.93
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5) 10.6% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 51.0% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 28.6% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 20.4% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.9% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 79.6% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.6% 72.7% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 62.0% 63.4% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.6% 63.4% 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 51.0% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 49.0% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 39.4% 36.6% 2.73
Over 9.5 corners 38.0% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 28.4% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 20.4% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 14.1% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.9% 11.4% 12.6% 0.91× 8.73
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 6.7% 1.12× 13.47
0-0 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.47
0-1 7.9% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.47
0-2 7.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.67× 13.47
2-1 7.2% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.47
1-0 5.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.47
2-2 5.8% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
1-3 5.0% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.50
2-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.51
3-1 3.0% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.51
3-2 2.4% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.51
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.52
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.52
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.52
4-1 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.52
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.52
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 11.55× 58.52
Any other score 3.3% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.51
0-3 4.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.50
0-4 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.51
1-4 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.51
2-0 4.5% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.50
2-3 3.1% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB) 55.9% 57.1% 1.75
Konyaspor leading at HT (DNB) 44.1% 42.9% 2.33
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor or Istanbul Basaksehir (12) 72.7% 72.1% 74.0% 0.98× 1.39
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (X2) 71.7% 72.1% 54.6% 1.32× 1.39
Konyaspor or draw (1X) 55.6% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT 74.8% 74.6% 1.34
Konyaspor or draw at HT 68.0% 66.4% 1.51
Konyaspor or Istanbul Basaksehir at HT 57.2% 56.6% 1.77
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP) 71.7% 79.9% 1.25
Konyaspor or draw (1UP) 55.6% 62.6% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half 74.5% 73.7% 1.36
Konyaspor or Istanbul Basaksehir in 2nd half 65.1% 65.7% 1.52
Konyaspor or draw in 2nd half 60.4% 63.6% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 61.3% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 38.7% 38.4% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB) 61.0% 62.7% 38.7% 1.62× 1.59
Konyaspor (DNB) 39.0% 37.3% 61.3% 0.61× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first 52.3% 53.8% 1.86
Konyaspor to score first 40.6% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 7.1% 7.5% 13.36
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 58.3% 54.9% 55.6% 0.99× 1.82
Not both teams to score 41.7% 45.1% 44.4% 1.02× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.3% 44.2% 43.2% 1.02× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 32.9% 34.3% 33.7% 1.02× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 12.9% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 8.9% 8.4% 10.8% 0.78× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.1% 83.1% 83.4% 1.00× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 16.9% 16.9% 16.6% 1.02× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.1% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.9% 32.3% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.4% 56.1% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 25.7% 26.2% 3.81
Both score 1st half only 13.7% 10.6% 9.46
Both score in both halves 6.2% 6.7% 14.85
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.1% 82.7% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.9% 17.3% 5.79
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.9% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 43.1% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.2% 47.4% 45.7% 1.04× 2.11
4-6 goals 29.3% 26.5% 28.4% 0.93× 3.78
0-1 goals 20.9% 22.8% 23.5% 0.97× 4.38
7+ goals 2.6% 1.8% 2.7% 0.68× 54.98
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1 32.3% 33.8% 35.2% 0.96× 2.96
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2 25.9% 27.4% 21.2% 1.30× 3.65
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ 21.8% 22.4% 13.8% 1.63× 4.46
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0 20.1% 22.4% 30.2% 0.74× 4.47
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor to score exactly 1 35.8% 35.6% 32.1% 1.11× 2.81
Konyaspor to score exactly 0 28.8% 26.5% 22.2% 1.20× 3.77
Konyaspor to score exactly 2 22.3% 23.3% 23.8% 0.98× 4.30
Konyaspor to score 3+ 13.1% 14.3% 22.2% 0.65× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.8% 43.4% 2.30
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT 32.0% 33.6% 2.97
Konyaspor leading at HT 25.2% 25.4% 3.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 1 55.6% 56.6% 1.77
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 2 23.5% 23.6% 4.24
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: X 20.9% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1) 71.7% 70.9% 54.6% 1.30× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 15.9% 17.8% 24.1% 0.74× 5.63
Konyaspor (0:1) 12.4% 13.8% 21.5% 0.65× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2) 87.6% 86.9% 78.6% 1.11× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.3% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.95
Konyaspor (0:2) 4.1% 3.8% 9.9% 0.38× 26.49
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3) 95.9% 96.6% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.0% 2.4% 6.5% 0.37× 42.08
Konyaspor (0:3) 1.1% 2.4% 3.6% 0.67× 42.16
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4) 98.9% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.51
Konyaspor (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.59
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (1:0) 55.6% 58.0% 71.3% 0.81× 1.72
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0) 23.5% 21.8% 13.0% 1.67× 4.60
Draw (1:0) 20.9% 21.7% 15.8% 1.37× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (2:0) 76.5% 80.4% 87.0% 0.92× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 13.8% 10.4% 7.7% 1.35× 9.61
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0) 9.7% 6.5% 5.5% 1.18× 15.50
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.8% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 26.2% 26.5% 3.78
1st half highest scoring 26.0% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor to concede 79.9% 76.0% 69.8% 1.09× 1.32
Konyaspor clean sheet 20.1% 24.0% 30.2% 0.80× 4.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor clean sheet in 1st half 52.6% 55.9% 1.79
Konyaspor to concede in 1st half 47.4% 44.1% 2.27
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor over 2.5 corners 79.8% 76.6% 1.31
Konyaspor under 6.5 corners 77.2% 76.6% 1.31
Konyaspor under 5.5 corners 65.7% 66.7% 1.50
Konyaspor over 3.5 corners 64.6% 62.3% 1.61
Konyaspor under 4.5 corners 51.3% 52.8% 1.90
Konyaspor over 4.5 corners 48.7% 47.2% 2.12
Konyaspor under 3.5 corners 35.4% 37.7% 2.65
Konyaspor over 5.5 corners 34.3% 33.3% 3.00
Konyaspor over 6.5 corners 22.8% 23.4% 4.27
Konyaspor under 2.5 corners 20.2% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor under 3.5 goals 96.2% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Konyaspor under 2.5 goals 86.9% 87.2% 77.8% 1.12× 1.15
Konyaspor over 0.5 goals 71.2% 74.2% 77.8% 0.95× 1.35
Konyaspor under 1.5 goals 64.6% 63.5% 54.1% 1.17× 1.58
Konyaspor over 1.5 goals 35.4% 36.5% 45.9% 0.80× 2.74
Konyaspor under 0.5 goals 28.8% 25.8% 22.2% 1.16× 3.88
Konyaspor over 2.5 goals 13.1% 12.8% 22.2% 0.58× 7.84
Konyaspor over 3.5 goals 3.8% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.41
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half 89.9% 90.0% 1.11
Konyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half 58.5% 57.5% 1.74
Konyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half 41.5% 42.5% 2.36
Konyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half 10.1% 10.0% 10.03
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (home no bet) 61.9% 60.1% 52.4% 1.15× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 38.1% 39.9% 47.6% 0.84× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor even goals 54.1% 50.6% 50.9% 1.00× 1.98
Konyaspor odd goals 45.9% 49.4% 49.1% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.0% 32.0% 3.12
HT 0-1 19.5% 18.8% 5.31
HT 1-0 16.3% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 10.8% 11.0% 9.12
HT 0-2 6.3% 7.0% 14.19
HT 2-0 4.4% 2.3% 43.74
Any other HT score 4.4% 2.3% 43.74
HT 1-2 3.4% 2.3% 43.81
HT 2-1 2.8% 2.3% 43.86
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 44.00
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 25.0% 26.5% 3.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.4% 16.8% 5.95
Konyaspor at HT / Konyaspor at FT 16.3% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 16.2% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Konyaspor at FT 10.2% 12.6% 7.91
Konyaspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.63
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.65
Konyaspor at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 3.2% 3.5% 28.86
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Konyaspor at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last 52.3% 51.8% 1.93
Konyaspor to score last 40.5% 40.2% 2.49
No goal scored 7.1% 7.5% 13.36
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.9% 92.6% 1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time 61.1% 61.3% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 48.4% 44.1% 2.27
Konyaspor to lead by 1 at any time 47.3% 44.0% 2.27
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time 30.3% 29.2% 3.42
Konyaspor to lead by 2 at any time 18.3% 15.0% 6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.7% 15.0% 6.68
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time 12.1% 10.4% 9.62
Konyaspor to lead by 3 at any time 5.7% 6.5% 15.32
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor most corners 52.4% 51.9% 1.93
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners 35.9% 39.3% 2.54
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.9% 87.4% 85.5% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 76.9% 78.6% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-6 goals 76.4% 78.6% 74.0% 1.06× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.1% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 63.1% 63.4% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
1-3 goals 60.9% 63.4% 61.2% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.6% 53.2% 51.3% 1.04× 1.88
3-5 goals 47.3% 48.7% 47.3% 1.03× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.2% 48.7% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 38.6% 39.2% 38.3% 1.02× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.2% 39.2% 37.3% 1.05× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.3% 30.2% 28.4% 1.06× 3.31
4-5 goals 25.0% 24.5% 24.4% 1.00× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.4% 14.9% 14.2% 1.05× 6.72
7+ goals 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 0.95× 39.40
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind 45.6% 56.5% 1.77
Konyaspor never behind 31.8% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.1% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.9% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.2% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.8% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.7% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.3% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.1% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.9% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.0% 82.4% 83.3% 0.99× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 79.1% 77.4% 76.5% 1.01× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.1% 66.2% 69.1% 0.96× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 54.2% 52.5% 53.8% 0.97× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 45.8% 47.5% 46.2% 1.03× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 31.9% 33.8% 30.9% 1.09× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 20.9% 22.6% 23.5% 0.96× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 16.0% 17.6% 16.7% 1.05× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 6.9% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 7.1% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.94
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.2% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.4% 92.5% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.0% 81.1% 80.5% 1.01× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 72.2% 72.6% 69.6% 1.04× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 58.9% 55.5% 59.9% 0.93× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 41.1% 44.5% 40.1% 1.11× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 27.8% 27.4% 30.4% 0.90× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 19.0% 18.9% 19.5% 0.97× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 1.02× 13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 0.99× 36.34
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.4% 89.1% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.0% 69.2% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.9% 69.1% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.2% 30.9% 3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.0% 30.8% 3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.6% 10.9% 9.17
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.8% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 76.4% 79.9% 1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 50.3% 53.3% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 49.7% 46.7% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.6% 20.1% 4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.2% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to score in both halves 78.9% 78.3% 1.28
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves 70.7% 74.0% 1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves 29.3% 26.0% 3.84
Konyaspor to score in both halves 21.1% 21.7% 4.61
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 58.3% 58.3% 55.6% 1.05× 1.72
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores 21.6% 22.3% 14.3% 1.56× 4.48
Only Konyaspor scores 13.0% 10.9% 22.3% 0.49× 9.14
Neither team scores 7.1% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.8% 22.6% 22.8% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 15.9% 17.4% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 13.8% 12.1% 15.7% 0.77× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 9.1% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.09
6 or more goals 6.9% 7.6% 6.7% 1.15× 13.10
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 50.3% 51.5% 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 30.5% 33.6% 2.98
No goals in 2nd half 19.2% 17.1% 5.84
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to win both halves 93.4% 94.0% 1.06
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves 87.1% 88.0% 1.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves 12.9% 12.0% 8.33
Konyaspor to win both halves 6.6% 6.0% 16.66
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half 58.7% 59.5% 1.68
Konyaspor to win neither half 55.9% 59.4% 1.68
Konyaspor to win either half 44.1% 40.6% 2.46
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half 41.3% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to win to nil 87.0% 88.2% 77.7% 1.14× 1.13
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil 78.4% 78.0% 85.7% 0.91× 1.28
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil 21.6% 22.0% 14.3% 1.53× 4.55
Konyaspor to win to nil 13.0% 11.8% 22.3% 0.53× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.3% 27.8% 26.0% 1.07× 3.60
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1 20.9% 24.1% 15.8% 1.53× 4.14
Konyaspor by 1 15.9% 16.9% 24.1% 0.70× 5.90
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2 13.8% 11.8% 7.7% 1.54× 8.47
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+ 9.7% 7.3% 5.5% 1.33× 13.79
Konyaspor by 2 8.3% 7.3% 11.7% 0.62× 13.79
Konyaspor by 3+ 4.1% 2.7% 9.9% 0.27× 37.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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