Krylia Sovetov v Fakel Voronezh — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Krylia Sovetov

07:00

Fakel Voronezh

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 997h before kick-off

Krylia Sovetov win

53.6%

model 51.7%

Draw

27.6%

model 29.5%

Fakel Voronezh win

18.8%

model 18.7%

542819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.8%
1-1 13.4%
0-0 12.4%
2-0 11.4%
2-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.5%	Under 2.5	62.5%
BTTS yes	41.8%	BTTS no	58.2%
Krylia Sovetov 1+	76.1%	Krylia Sovetov 2+	41.8%
Fakel Voronezh 1+	53.3%	Fakel Voronezh 2+	17.8%

Expected goals 1.43 – 0.76. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Krylia Sovetov carry the stronger rating, 1422 Elo against 1336.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Krylia Sovetov have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 27.6% for the draw and 18.8% for Fakel Voronezh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Krylia Sovetov and 0.76 for Fakel Voronezh.

Why Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov carry the stronger rating, 1422 Elo against 1336.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. A combined 2.19 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Fakel Voronezh can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fakel Voronezh.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Krylia Sovetov, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fakel Voronezh, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Krylia Sovetov: 49% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fakel Voronezh: 46% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Krylia Sovetov are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	533117	1.35–0.64	1-0 17%	32%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov to win	52.8%	51.5%	44.2%	1.17×	1.94
Draw	30.7%	30.4%	27.8%	1.09×	3.29
Fakel Voronezh to win	16.6%	19.3%	28.2%	0.69×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov & not both score	37.8%	33.2%	25.6%	1.30×	3.01
Draw & both teams score	15.8%	17.9%	20.7%	0.87×	5.59
Krylia Sovetov & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	18.8%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	14.8%	13.3%	7.4%	1.80×	7.54
Fakel Voronezh & not both score	11.1%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.55
Fakel Voronezh & both teams score	5.5%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov & under 3.5	43.2%	40.3%	30.9%	1.31×	2.48
Krylia Sovetov & over 1.5	35.6%	34.9%	33.5%	1.04×	2.87
Krylia Sovetov & under 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	18.4%	1.42×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	27.8%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.8%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Krylia Sovetov & over 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	26.0%	0.83×	4.62
Krylia Sovetov & under 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	10.8%	1.66×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.8%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	14.8%	12.9%	7.4%	1.75×	7.77
Fakel Voronezh & under 3.5	14.8%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.77
Fakel Voronezh & under 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	11.9%	1.09×	7.77
Krylia Sovetov & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	13.5%	0.58×	12.70
Fakel Voronezh & over 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	20.7%	0.38×	12.70
Fakel Voronezh & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Fakel Voronezh & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Fakel Voronezh & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (1UP)	63.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Fakel Voronezh (1UP)	29.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (2UP)	52.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Fakel Voronezh (2UP)	16.6%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Krylia Sovetov to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Fakel Voronezh to win 2nd half	16.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (+2.5)	90.1%	92.1%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Krylia Sovetov (+0.5)	83.4%	82.4%	71.8%	1.15×	1.21
Fakel Voronezh (+1.5)	73.7%	73.7%	77.3%	0.95×	1.36
Krylia Sovetov (-0.5)	52.8%	52.4%	44.2%	1.19×	1.91
Fakel Voronezh (+0.5)	47.2%	47.6%	55.8%	0.85×	2.10
Krylia Sovetov (-1.5)	26.3%	26.3%	22.7%	1.16×	3.80
Fakel Voronezh (-0.5)	16.6%	17.6%	28.2%	0.62×	5.68
Krylia Sovetov (-2.5)	9.9%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to concede	74.1%	76.5%	77.9%	0.98×	1.31
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet	25.9%	23.5%	22.1%	1.06×	4.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Fakel Voronezh to concede in 1st half	44.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 corners	83.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Fakel Voronezh under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 corners	68.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Fakel Voronezh under 5.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Fakel Voronezh over 4.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Fakel Voronezh under 4.5 corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Fakel Voronezh over 5.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 corners	31.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Fakel Voronezh over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 corners	17.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.6%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 goals	97.3%	97.6%	88.8%	1.10×	1.03
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 goals	86.4%	87.9%	70.1%	1.25×	1.14
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 goals	52.6%	53.7%	32.7%	1.64×	1.86
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 goals	47.4%	46.3%	67.3%	0.69×	2.16
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 goals	13.6%	12.1%	29.9%	0.41×	8.26
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 goals	2.7%	2.4%	11.2%	0.22×	40.83
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.4%	3.1%	0.80×	40.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 in 1st half	97.2%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 in 1st half	77.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 in 1st half	22.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 in 1st half	2.8%	4.1%	—	—	24.12

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (away no bet)	63.3%	62.1%	61.4%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.7%	37.9%	38.6%	0.98×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh even goals	63.8%	59.1%	53.4%	1.11×	1.69
Fakel Voronezh odd goals	36.2%	40.9%	46.6%	0.88×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	46.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Krylia Sovetov to score 2+ in a row	34.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Krylia Sovetov to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Fakel Voronezh to score 2+ in a row	9.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.56
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.47

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fakel Voronezh corners (+2.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Krylia Sovetov corners (+3.5)	79.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Fakel Voronezh corners (+1.5)	74.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Krylia Sovetov corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Krylia Sovetov corners (+1.5)	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fakel Voronezh corners (-1.5)	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Fakel Voronezh corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Krylia Sovetov corners (-1.5)	26.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fakel Voronezh corners (-3.5)	20.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Krylia Sovetov corners (-2.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Krylia Sovetov corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	66.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Over 12.5 corners	17.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	17.2%	13.8%	10.8%	1.27×	7.27
0-0	14.8%	11.5%	7.4%	1.56×	8.73
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	14.9%	0.77×	8.73
2-0	12.4%	11.4%	7.8%	1.47×	8.74
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	7.8%	0.96×	13.47
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.47
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.36×	58.52
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.52
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.51
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.52
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
1-2	3.8%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.50
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.52
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.52
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.51
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.52
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.52
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.50
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.52
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.52
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.51
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov leading at HT (DNB)	73.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT (DNB)	27.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov or draw (1X)	83.4%	80.7%	71.8%	1.12×	1.24
Krylia Sovetov or Fakel Voronezh (12)	69.4%	69.6%	72.2%	0.96×	1.44
Fakel Voronezh or draw (X2)	47.2%	48.5%	55.8%	0.87×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov or draw at HT	86.6%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Fakel Voronezh or draw at HT	63.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Krylia Sovetov or Fakel Voronezh at HT	49.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov or draw (1UP)	83.4%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Fakel Voronezh or draw (1UP)	47.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov or draw in 2nd half	83.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Fakel Voronezh or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Krylia Sovetov or Fakel Voronezh in 2nd half	57.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.2%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	29.8%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (DNB)	76.1%	74.5%	61.0%	1.22×	1.34
Fakel Voronezh (DNB)	23.9%	25.5%	39.0%	0.65×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov to score first	57.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Fakel Voronezh to score first	27.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
No goal scored	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	63.7%	56.5%	47.4%	1.19×	1.77
Both teams to score	36.3%	43.5%	52.6%	0.83×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.9%	47.1%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.3%	27.7%	37.8%	0.73×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	14.9%	0.83×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	10.4%	0.80×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.7%	89.1%	86.9%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.3%	10.9%	13.1%	0.83×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.4%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	15.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Both score 1st half only	8.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.73
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	10.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
A goal in each half	39.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	39.6%	35.1%	25.6%	1.37×	2.85
4-6 goals	13.7%	17.0%	25.4%	0.67×	5.90
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.6%	1.11×	55.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 0	52.6%	47.3%	32.7%	1.45×	2.11
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 1	33.8%	33.9%	37.6%	0.90×	2.95
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 2	10.8%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.82
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+	2.7%	4.5%	11.2%	0.40×	22.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov to score exactly 1	35.0%	32.7%	35.2%	0.93×	3.06
Krylia Sovetov to score exactly 0	25.9%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
Krylia Sovetov to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.3%	0.96×	4.30
Krylia Sovetov to score 3+	15.5%	18.9%	18.8%	1.00×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Krylia Sovetov leading at HT	36.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT	13.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov -1: 2	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Krylia Sovetov -1: X	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Krylia Sovetov -1: 1	26.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:1)	47.2%	45.9%	55.8%	0.82×	2.18
Draw (0:1)	26.5%	27.0%	21.7%	1.25×	3.70
Krylia Sovetov (0:1)	26.3%	27.0%	22.7%	1.19×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:2)	73.7%	75.6%	77.3%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54
Krylia Sovetov (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:3)	90.1%	92.6%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.9%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.19
Krylia Sovetov (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	83.35
Krylia Sovetov (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (1:0)	83.4%	81.4%	71.8%	1.13×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.0%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.81
Fakel Voronezh (1:0)	4.6%	3.2%	11.5%	0.28×	31.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov (2:0)	95.4%	96.9%	88.5%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	7.4%	0.31×	44.27
Fakel Voronezh (2:0)	0.9%	2.2%	4.3%	0.52×	44.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.1%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Halves equal	32.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov clean sheet	52.6%	53.1%	32.7%	1.62×	1.88
Krylia Sovetov to concede	47.4%	46.9%	67.3%	0.70×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov clean sheet in 1st half	77.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Krylia Sovetov to concede in 1st half	22.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov under 6.5 corners	83.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Krylia Sovetov over 2.5 corners	75.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Krylia Sovetov under 5.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Krylia Sovetov over 3.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Krylia Sovetov under 4.5 corners	58.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Krylia Sovetov over 4.5 corners	41.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Krylia Sovetov under 3.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Krylia Sovetov over 5.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Krylia Sovetov under 2.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Krylia Sovetov over 6.5 corners	16.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.3%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
Krylia Sovetov under 2.5 goals	84.5%	82.1%	81.2%	1.01×	1.22
Krylia Sovetov over 0.5 goals	74.1%	74.2%	77.9%	0.95×	1.35
Krylia Sovetov under 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.4%	57.1%	1.11×	1.58
Krylia Sovetov over 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.6%	42.9%	0.85×	2.73
Krylia Sovetov under 0.5 goals	25.9%	25.8%	22.1%	1.17×	3.88
Krylia Sovetov over 2.5 goals	15.5%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.60
Krylia Sovetov over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.7%	7.4%	0.50×	27.37

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Krylia Sovetov under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Krylia Sovetov over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Krylia Sovetov over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.0%	—	—	9.96

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.9%	60.2%	49.6%	1.21×	1.66
Fakel Voronezh (home no bet)	35.1%	39.8%	50.4%	0.79×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov even goals	53.4%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Krylia Sovetov odd goals	46.6%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 1-1	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.93
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.96
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	44.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov at HT / Krylia Sovetov at FT	31.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Krylia Sovetov at FT	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Krylia Sovetov at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Krylia Sovetov at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Krylia Sovetov at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov to score last	57.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Fakel Voronezh to score last	27.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	14.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.85

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Krylia Sovetov to lead by 1 at any time	63.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Krylia Sovetov to lead by 2 at any time	30.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 1 at any time	29.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.62
Krylia Sovetov to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.64
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 2 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.5%	—	—	65.44

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh most corners	52.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Krylia Sovetov most corners	36.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.6%	83.5%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.6%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.4%	66.1%	1.10×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.9%	59.2%	73.0%	0.81×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.7%	59.2%	69.3%	0.85×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.2%	59.2%	61.4%	0.96×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.1%	53.2%	44.8%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.7%	47.9%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	31.7%	35.4%	46.6%	0.76×	2.83
3-5 goals	30.5%	35.4%	42.9%	0.82×	2.83
3-4 goals	26.9%	30.2%	35.0%	0.86×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.7%	14.9%	25.4%	0.59×	6.72
4-5 goals	12.5%	14.9%	21.7%	0.69×	6.72
5-6 goals	4.8%	2.5%	11.9%	0.21×	39.30
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	1.6%	1.55×	39.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov never behind	55.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Fakel Voronezh never behind	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.4%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	73.2%	1.20×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	92.6%	0.95×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.9%	66.2%	51.9%	1.28×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.4%	61.7%	74.4%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.6%	38.3%	25.6%	1.50×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	32.1%	33.8%	48.1%	0.70×	2.96
Under 0.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	7.4%	1.68×	8.09
Over 3.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	26.8%	0.46×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.6%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.3%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.3%	97.3%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.3%	92.5%	84.6%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.8%	81.1%	66.0%	1.23×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.2%	55.5%	34.7%	1.60×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.8%	44.5%	65.3%	0.68×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.2%	18.9%	34.0%	0.56×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.7%	7.5%	15.4%	0.49×	13.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.7%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.37
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.7%	1.7%	1.62×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.3%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to score in both halves	92.8%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Krylia Sovetov not to score in both halves	76.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Krylia Sovetov to score in both halves	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Fakel Voronezh to score in both halves	7.2%	9.6%	—	—	10.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Krylia Sovetov scores	37.8%	39.9%	25.6%	1.56×	2.51
Both teams score	36.3%	39.8%	52.6%	0.76×	2.51
Neither team scores	14.8%	11.0%	7.4%	1.49×	9.13
Only Fakel Voronezh scores	11.1%	10.9%	14.9%	0.73×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	26.6%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	24.8%	22.6%	18.4%	1.23×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	18.0%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.8%	12.1%	7.4%	1.64×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	9.0%	7.6%	13.7%	0.56×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	3.6%	4.4%	8.2%	0.54×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.6%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	31.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Krylia Sovetov not to win both halves	84.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Krylia Sovetov to win both halves	15.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Fakel Voronezh to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to win neither half	72.3%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Krylia Sovetov to win either half	62.2%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Krylia Sovetov to win neither half	37.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Fakel Voronezh to win either half	27.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win to nil	88.9%	88.2%	85.1%	1.04×	1.13
Krylia Sovetov not to win to nil	62.2%	66.8%	74.4%	0.90×	1.50
Krylia Sovetov to win to nil	37.8%	33.2%	25.6%	1.30×	3.01
Fakel Voronezh to win to nil	11.1%	11.8%	14.9%	0.79×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krylia Sovetov by 1	26.5%	27.8%	21.7%	1.28×	3.60
Draw	30.7%	27.6%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Krylia Sovetov by 2	16.4%	16.9%	12.5%	1.36×	5.90
Fakel Voronezh by 1	12.0%	11.8%	17.0%	0.70×	8.47
Krylia Sovetov by 3+	9.9%	7.3%	10.4%	0.70×	13.79
Fakel Voronezh by 2	3.7%	2.7%	7.4%	0.37×	37.02
Fakel Voronezh by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.11