KV Kortrijk v Waasland-Beveren — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627
BEL-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.2%
- 1-0 12.1%
- 0-0 9.6%
- 2-1 8.8%
- 0-1 8.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 42.9% | Under 2.5 | 57.1% |
| BTTS yes | 48.2% | BTTS no | 51.8% |
| KV Kortrijk 1+ | 74.9% | KV Kortrijk 2+ | 40.3% |
| Waasland-Beveren 1+ | 63.7% | Waasland-Beveren 2+ | 26.9% |
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out KV Kortrijk.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Waasland-Beveren have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
KV Kortrijk have an estimated 45.0% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 27.0% for Waasland-Beveren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for KV Kortrijk and 1.01 for Waasland-Beveren.
Why KV Kortrijk
Nothing in the data singles out KV Kortrijk.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 2.40 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Waasland-Beveren can win
Waasland-Beveren carry the stronger rating, 1464 Elo against 1376. They have had 23 days' rest to KV Kortrijk's 17.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for KV Kortrijk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Waasland-Beveren, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
KV Kortrijk: 34% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Waasland-Beveren: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
KV Kortrijk are the model's most likely outcome at 45.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 65/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.38–1.01 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.40–0.92 | 1-0 13% | 41% | 46% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.