Kyoto Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Kyoto Sanga

06:00

Kashiwa Reysol

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 122h before kick-off

Kyoto Sanga win

22.6%

model 23.5%

Draw

22.5%

model 21.7%

Kashiwa Reysol win

54.9%

model 54.8%

232355

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.9%
1-2 9.8%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 8.1%
1-3 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.0%	Under 2.5	39.0%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
Kyoto Sanga 1+	70.0%	Kyoto Sanga 2+	33.9%
Kashiwa Reysol 1+	85.8%	Kashiwa Reysol 2+	58.0%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

74/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

91%

★ Best pick

Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

57.5% fair odds 1.74

strong signal · 663 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kashiwa Reysol not to win both halves

Win both halves

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kashiwa Reysol carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1461.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashiwa Reysol have an estimated 54.9% win probability, against 22.6% for Kyoto Sanga and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.95 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Why Kyoto Sanga

Nothing in the data singles out Kyoto Sanga.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kashiwa Reysol can win

Kashiwa Reysol carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Kyoto Sanga, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kashiwa Reysol, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Kyoto Sanga: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kashiwa Reysol: 60% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kashiwa Reysol are the model's most likely outcome at 54.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 74/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	232255	1.21–1.95	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	302446	1.23–1.60	1-1 11%	54%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win	46.1%	47.4%	31.0%	1.53×	2.11
Kyoto Sanga to win	29.5%	27.9%	42.9%	0.65×	3.59
Draw	24.3%	24.5%	26.3%	0.93×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol & not both score	23.4%	21.9%	17.7%	1.24×	4.57
Kashiwa Reysol & both teams score	22.7%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & both teams score	15.1%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	25.0%	0.53×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.7%	8.4%	7.1%	1.18×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol & over 1.5	36.6%	34.9%	21.2%	1.65×	2.87
Kashiwa Reysol & under 3.5	30.4%	30.9%	23.4%	1.32×	3.24
Kashiwa Reysol & over 2.5	29.1%	26.0%	17.9%	1.46×	3.84
Kyoto Sanga & over 1.5	22.2%	21.7%	30.2%	0.72×	4.62
Kyoto Sanga & under 3.5	20.8%	21.7%	33.1%	0.65×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Kashiwa Reysol & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.56
Kashiwa Reysol & over 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	7.8%	2.32×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & under 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Kyoto Sanga & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Kashiwa Reysol & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Kyoto Sanga & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	12.8%	0.61×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (1UP)	62.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Kyoto Sanga (1UP)	47.7%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (2UP)	46.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Kyoto Sanga (2UP)	29.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win 2nd half	40.3%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	33.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Kyoto Sanga to win 2nd half	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (+2.5)	96.0%	96.3%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Kashiwa Reysol (+1.5)	87.8%	88.5%	82.0%	1.08×	1.13
Kashiwa Reysol (+0.5)	70.5%	73.7%	57.1%	1.29×	1.36
Kyoto Sanga (+0.5)	53.9%	52.3%	69.0%	0.76×	1.91
Kashiwa Reysol (-0.5)	46.1%	47.7%	31.0%	1.54×	2.10
Kyoto Sanga (-0.5)	29.5%	26.3%	42.9%	0.61×	3.80
Kyoto Sanga (-1.5)	12.2%	11.5%	18.0%	0.64×	8.70
Kyoto Sanga (-2.5)	4.0%	3.7%	6.2%	0.60×	26.81

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede	70.9%	76.4%	75.3%	1.01×	1.31
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet	29.1%	23.6%	24.7%	0.96×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Kashiwa Reysol to concede in 1st half	41.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 corners	74.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kashiwa Reysol under 6.5 corners	68.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Kashiwa Reysol over 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kashiwa Reysol under 5.5 corners	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Kashiwa Reysol over 5.5 corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Kashiwa Reysol under 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kashiwa Reysol over 6.5 corners	32.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 corners	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 goals	79.9%	76.3%	68.0%	1.12×	1.31
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 goals	78.2%	76.2%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.7%	68.2%	0.79×	1.86
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.3%	31.8%	1.46×	2.16
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 goals	21.8%	23.8%	12.2%	1.95×	4.21
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 goals	20.1%	23.7%	32.0%	0.74×	4.21
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	4.1%	1.87×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (away no bet)	54.8%	51.3%	62.0%	0.83×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	45.2%	48.7%	38.0%	1.28×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol even goals	52.0%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.89
Kashiwa Reysol odd goals	48.0%	47.2%	45.6%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Kashiwa Reysol to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Kyoto Sanga to score 2+ in a row	25.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+3.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga corners (+3.5)	77.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+1.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Kyoto Sanga corners (+2.5)	68.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Kyoto Sanga corners (+1.5)	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-1.5)	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-2.5)	31.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Kyoto Sanga corners (-1.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-3.5)	22.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Kyoto Sanga corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Kyoto Sanga corners (-3.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	25.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.48
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.48
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
0-0	5.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
1-3	5.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.46
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.48
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.46
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.47
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.48
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.47
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.48
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.49
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.49
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT (DNB)	56.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT (DNB)	43.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga or Kashiwa Reysol (12)	75.7%	75.5%	73.7%	1.02×	1.32
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (X2)	70.5%	72.1%	57.1%	1.26×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1X)	53.9%	52.6%	69.0%	0.76×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw at HT	74.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Kyoto Sanga or draw at HT	67.7%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Kyoto Sanga or Kashiwa Reysol at HT	57.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (1UP)	70.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1UP)	53.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw in 2nd half	74.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Kyoto Sanga or Kashiwa Reysol in 2nd half	66.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Kyoto Sanga or draw in 2nd half	59.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (DNB)	61.0%	62.8%	42.0%	1.50×	1.59
Kyoto Sanga (DNB)	39.0%	37.2%	58.0%	0.64×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score first	53.3%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Kyoto Sanga to score first	41.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.5%	54.9%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.5%	45.1%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.0%	44.3%	37.2%	1.19×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	34.6%	34.3%	40.0%	0.86×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	9.7%	0.87×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.3%	83.1%	86.2%	0.96×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.7%	16.9%	13.8%	1.23×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.4%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.1%	26.5%	21.0%	1.26×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.6%	22.8%	29.6%	0.77×	4.38
7+ goals	2.6%	1.8%	2.5%	0.72×	54.54

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 1	32.3%	33.8%	36.4%	0.93×	2.96
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	19.8%	1.39×	3.65
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+	21.8%	22.4%	12.2%	1.84×	4.46
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 0	20.1%	22.4%	32.0%	0.70×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	36.4%	0.98×	2.81
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 0	29.1%	26.5%	24.7%	1.08×	3.77
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.2%	24.4%	0.95×	4.30
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+	12.8%	14.3%	14.9%	0.96×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT	32.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT	25.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol -1: 1	53.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Kashiwa Reysol -1: 2	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Kashiwa Reysol -1: X	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:1)	70.5%	71.0%	57.1%	1.24×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.3%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.63
Kyoto Sanga (0:1)	12.2%	13.8%	18.0%	0.77×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:2)	87.8%	87.0%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	12.94
Kyoto Sanga (0:2)	4.0%	3.8%	6.2%	0.61×	26.52

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:3)	96.0%	96.6%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	4.3%	0.56×	42.13
Kyoto Sanga (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	2.1%	1.15×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.59
Kyoto Sanga (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (1:0)	53.9%	54.2%	69.0%	0.79×	1.85
Kashiwa Reysol (1:0)	23.7%	21.8%	11.9%	1.84×	4.59
Draw (1:0)	22.4%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (2:0)	76.3%	80.3%	88.1%	0.91×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	13.9%	10.4%	6.0%	1.73×	9.62
Kashiwa Reysol (2:0)	9.8%	6.5%	6.0%	1.08×	15.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede	79.9%	76.0%	68.0%	1.12×	1.32
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet	20.1%	24.0%	32.0%	0.75×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 1st half	47.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 corners	80.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Kyoto Sanga under 6.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Kyoto Sanga under 5.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kyoto Sanga under 4.5 corners	51.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Kyoto Sanga over 4.5 corners	48.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Kyoto Sanga over 5.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Kyoto Sanga over 6.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 corners	19.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	85.1%	1.03×	1.15
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 goals	70.9%	74.2%	75.3%	0.98×	1.35
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 goals	65.0%	67.8%	60.9%	1.11×	1.47
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals	35.0%	32.2%	39.1%	0.82×	3.11
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 goals	29.1%	25.8%	24.7%	1.05×	3.87
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	14.9%	0.86×	7.85
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	5.1%	0.72×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.81

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (home no bet)	65.5%	63.8%	54.1%	1.18×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	34.5%	36.2%	45.9%	0.79×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga even goals	54.2%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
Kyoto Sanga odd goals	45.8%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	19.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	16.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	25.8%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Draw at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score last	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Kyoto Sanga to score last	41.0%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 1 at any time	62.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 1 at any time	47.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 2 at any time	30.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol most corners	52.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Kyoto Sanga most corners	36.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.5%	78.6%	81.8%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.8%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.6%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.6%	63.4%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.4%	53.2%	44.3%	1.20×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.1%	48.7%	41.3%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.7%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.3%	43.6%	46.4%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	35.6%	1.10×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.1%	30.3%	21.0%	1.44×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.8%	24.5%	18.0%	1.36×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.2%	14.9%	8.9%	1.68×	6.72
7+ goals	2.6%	2.6%	2.5%	1.01×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol never behind	46.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Kyoto Sanga never behind	32.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.8%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.2%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.5%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.2%	82.4%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	70.4%	1.10×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.4%	66.2%	76.6%	0.86×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	46.7%	1.12×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	53.3%	0.89×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.6%	33.8%	23.4%	1.44×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.6%	22.7%	29.6%	0.77×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.8%	17.6%	11.2%	1.57×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.5%	1.40×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.5%	92.5%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.2%	81.0%	87.2%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.5%	72.6%	61.2%	1.19×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.3%	55.5%	69.5%	0.80×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.7%	44.5%	30.5%	1.46×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.5%	27.4%	38.8%	0.71×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.8%	19.0%	12.8%	1.48×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.5%	7.5%	5.9%	1.28×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	2.6%	1.06×	36.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Kashiwa Reysol not to score in both halves	70.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Kashiwa Reysol to score in both halves	29.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Kyoto Sanga to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.5%	58.4%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Only Kashiwa Reysol scores	23.4%	22.3%	17.7%	1.26×	4.48
Only Kyoto Sanga scores	14.4%	10.9%	25.0%	0.44×	9.14
Neither team scores	5.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.4%	22.6%	23.9%	0.95×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.9%	17.4%	22.6%	0.77×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	5.9%	1.31×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.8%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.7%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win both halves	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Kashiwa Reysol not to win both halves	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Kashiwa Reysol to win both halves	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Kyoto Sanga to win both halves	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win either half	59.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Kyoto Sanga to win neither half	55.5%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Kyoto Sanga to win either half	44.5%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Kashiwa Reysol to win neither half	40.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win to nil	85.6%	88.2%	75.0%	1.18×	1.13
Kashiwa Reysol not to win to nil	76.6%	78.0%	82.3%	0.95×	1.28
Kashiwa Reysol to win to nil	23.4%	22.0%	17.7%	1.24×	4.55
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil	14.4%	11.8%	25.0%	0.47×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.3%	24.2%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
Kashiwa Reysol by 1	22.4%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.14
Kyoto Sanga by 1	17.3%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.91
Kashiwa Reysol by 2	13.9%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.47
Kashiwa Reysol by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.77
Kyoto Sanga by 2	8.2%	7.3%	12.0%	0.60×	13.78
Kyoto Sanga by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	6.2%	0.44×	36.95