LAFC v Red Bull New York — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

LAFC

22:30

Red Bull New York

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 67h before kick-off

LAFC win

67.6%

model 65.9%

Draw

21.8%

model 20.1%

Red Bull New York win

10.6%

model 14.0%

682211

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.0%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.5%
3-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.7%	Under 2.5	41.3%
BTTS yes	52.5%	BTTS no	47.5%
LAFC 1+	88.4%	LAFC 2+	63.4%
Red Bull New York 1+	59.0%	Red Bull New York 2+	22.4%

Expected goals 2.16 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

LAFC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

69.0% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 931 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Red Bull New York not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1401.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LAFC have an estimated 67.6% win probability, against 21.8% for the draw and 10.6% for Red Bull New York. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.15 for LAFC and 0.89 for Red Bull New York.

Why LAFC

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1401.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Red Bull New York can win

Nothing in the data singles out Red Bull New York.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LAFC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Red Bull New York, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LAFC: 50% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Red Bull New York: 52% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

LAFC are the model's most likely outcome at 67.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.0%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	662014	2.16–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	701911	2.19–0.75	2-0 13%	56%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win	70.0%	73.5%	45.4%	1.62×	1.36
Draw	19.0%	19.4%	24.9%	0.78×	5.17
Red Bull New York to win	11.0%	13.3%	29.9%	0.44×	7.54

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & not both score	41.6%	40.1%	21.1%	1.90×	2.50
LAFC & both teams score	28.4%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	13.3%	13.3%	19.1%	0.69×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94
Red Bull New York & both teams score	5.5%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.94
Red Bull New York & not both score	5.5%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & over 1.5	58.9%	55.0%	37.1%	1.48×	1.82
LAFC & over 2.5	46.2%	45.2%	30.9%	1.46×	2.21
LAFC & under 3.5	42.6%	40.3%	28.3%	1.43×	2.48
LAFC & over 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	17.2%	1.51×	3.84
LAFC & under 2.5	23.9%	21.7%	14.5%	1.49×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	14.7%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.7%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	13.3%	12.9%	19.1%	0.67×	7.77
LAFC & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.77
Red Bull New York & under 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.69
Red Bull New York & over 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	23.5%	0.34×	12.70
Red Bull New York & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Red Bull New York & under 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	8.9%	0.53×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	8.9%	0.53×	20.93
Red Bull New York & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.94
Red Bull New York & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1UP)	79.4%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Red Bull New York (1UP)	27.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.74

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2UP)	70.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Red Bull New York (2UP)	11.0%	13.2%	—	—	7.61

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win 2nd half	56.5%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	30.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Red Bull New York to win 2nd half	13.2%	12.4%	—	—	8.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (+0.5)	89.0%	88.5%	70.1%	1.26×	1.13
Red Bull New York (+2.5)	74.9%	73.7%	89.5%	0.82×	1.36
LAFC (-0.5)	70.0%	73.7%	45.4%	1.62×	1.36
Red Bull New York (+1.5)	53.7%	52.3%	76.7%	0.68×	1.91
LAFC (-1.5)	46.3%	47.7%	23.3%	2.05×	2.10
Red Bull New York (+0.5)	30.0%	26.3%	54.6%	0.48×	3.80
LAFC (-2.5)	25.1%	26.3%	10.5%	2.49×	3.81
Red Bull New York (-0.5)	11.0%	11.5%	29.9%	0.38×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede	88.8%	86.5%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Red Bull New York clean sheet	11.2%	13.5%	18.0%	0.75×	7.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede in 1st half	61.1%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Red Bull New York clean sheet in 1st half	38.9%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York over 2.5 corners	78.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull New York under 6.5 corners	77.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull New York under 5.5 corners	66.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Red Bull New York over 3.5 corners	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Red Bull New York under 4.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Red Bull New York over 4.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Red Bull New York under 3.5 corners	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Red Bull New York over 5.5 corners	33.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Red Bull New York over 6.5 corners	22.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Red Bull New York under 2.5 corners	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Red Bull New York under 2.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Red Bull New York under 1.5 goals	82.7%	81.4%	61.3%	1.33×	1.23
Red Bull New York over 0.5 goals	52.8%	53.7%	73.2%	0.73×	1.86
Red Bull New York under 0.5 goals	47.2%	46.3%	26.8%	1.73×	2.16
Red Bull New York over 1.5 goals	17.3%	18.6%	38.7%	0.48×	5.38
Red Bull New York over 2.5 goals	4.1%	2.5%	16.7%	0.15×	40.66
Red Bull New York over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 1.5 in 1st half	96.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Red Bull New York under 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Red Bull New York over 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Red Bull New York over 1.5 in 1st half	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.35

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (away no bet)	78.7%	73.7%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.3%	26.3%	35.4%	0.74×	3.81

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York even goals	61.2%	59.0%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
Red Bull New York odd goals	38.8%	41.0%	46.4%	0.88×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.3%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.7%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
LAFC to score 2+ in a row	58.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
LAFC to score 3+ in a row	29.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Red Bull New York to score 2+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Red Bull New York to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.53

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
LAFC corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
LAFC corners (+1.5)	75.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Red Bull New York corners (+3.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Red Bull New York corners (+2.5)	63.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Red Bull New York corners (+1.5)	53.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
LAFC corners (-1.5)	46.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
LAFC corners (-2.5)	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
LAFC corners (-3.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Red Bull New York corners (-1.5)	24.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Red Bull New York corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Red Bull New York corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	29.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	12.7%	11.5%	6.3%	1.82×	8.73
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	8.4%	1.37×	8.73
1-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
3-0	9.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.48
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
Any other score	7.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.48
4-0	5.1%	7.4%	1.3%	5.89×	13.48
0-1	3.6%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.47
0-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.48
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-2	3.3%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.49
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.47
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT (DNB)	81.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Red Bull New York leading at HT (DNB)	18.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1X)	89.0%	86.7%	70.1%	1.24×	1.15
LAFC or Red Bull New York (12)	81.0%	80.6%	75.1%	1.07×	1.24
Red Bull New York or draw (X2)	30.0%	26.5%	54.6%	0.48×	3.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw at HT	88.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
LAFC or Red Bull New York at HT	62.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Red Bull New York or draw at HT	49.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1UP)	89.0%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Red Bull New York or draw (1UP)	30.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw in 2nd half	86.8%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
LAFC or Red Bull New York in 2nd half	69.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Red Bull New York or draw in 2nd half	43.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (DNB)	86.4%	87.1%	60.3%	1.45×	1.15
Red Bull New York (DNB)	13.6%	12.9%	39.7%	0.32×	7.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score first	70.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Red Bull New York to score first	24.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.32
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.7%	51.4%	38.9%	1.32×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.3%	48.6%	61.1%	0.80×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	38.2%	38.5%	50.9%	0.76×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	34.6%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	18.2%	21.7%	9.2%	2.37×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.0%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.8%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.2%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.2%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	21.9%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.1%	5.0%	—	—	19.87

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.1%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	31.0%	30.7%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	20.4%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.39
7+ goals	3.0%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.49

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to score exactly 0	47.2%	42.9%	26.8%	1.60×	2.33
Red Bull New York to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Red Bull New York to score exactly 2	13.3%	12.8%	22.1%	0.58×	7.80
Red Bull New York to score 3+	4.1%	4.5%	16.7%	0.27×	22.03

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score 3+	37.5%	35.6%	25.2%	1.41×	2.81
LAFC to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
LAFC to score exactly 1	24.5%	23.3%	31.0%	0.75×	4.30
LAFC to score exactly 0	11.2%	14.3%	18.0%	0.80×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT	50.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Draw at HT	37.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Red Bull New York leading at HT	11.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC -1: 1	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
LAFC -1: 2	30.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
LAFC -1: X	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:1)	46.3%	45.9%	23.3%	1.98×	2.18
Red Bull New York (0:1)	30.0%	27.0%	54.6%	0.49×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.7%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:2)	53.7%	58.5%	76.7%	0.76×	1.71
LAFC (0:2)	25.1%	23.6%	10.5%	2.24×	4.24
Draw (0:2)	21.2%	20.3%	12.8%	1.58×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:3)	74.9%	78.1%	89.5%	0.87×	1.28
Draw (0:3)	13.8%	10.0%	6.6%	1.51×	9.97
LAFC (0:3)	11.3%	10.0%	4.0%	2.49×	10.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:4)	88.7%	92.0%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.0%	4.6%	2.1%	2.25×	21.51
LAFC (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.17

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1:0)	89.0%	86.4%	70.1%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.43
Red Bull New York (1:0)	3.1%	3.2%	13.2%	0.24×	31.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2:0)	96.9%	96.9%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.21
Red Bull New York (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to concede	52.8%	53.1%	73.2%	0.73×	1.88
LAFC clean sheet	47.2%	46.9%	26.8%	1.75×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 1st half	74.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
LAFC to concede in 1st half	25.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC over 2.5 corners	87.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
LAFC over 3.5 corners	76.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
LAFC over 4.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
LAFC under 6.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
LAFC under 5.5 corners	50.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
LAFC over 5.5 corners	49.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
LAFC over 6.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
LAFC under 4.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
LAFC under 3.5 corners	23.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
LAFC under 2.5 corners	12.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC over 0.5 goals	88.8%	87.3%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
LAFC under 3.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
LAFC over 1.5 goals	64.4%	63.5%	51.1%	1.24×	1.58
LAFC under 2.5 goals	62.5%	63.5%	74.8%	0.85×	1.58
LAFC over 2.5 goals	37.5%	36.5%	25.2%	1.45×	2.74
LAFC under 1.5 goals	35.6%	36.5%	48.9%	0.75×	2.74
LAFC over 3.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	9.4%	1.91×	5.59
LAFC under 0.5 goals	11.2%	12.7%	18.0%	0.71×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
LAFC over 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
LAFC under 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
LAFC over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.3%	60.2%	45.4%	1.33×	1.66
Red Bull New York (home no bet)	36.7%	39.8%	54.6%	0.73×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC even goals	50.6%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
LAFC odd goals	49.4%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	27.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 0-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 1-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC at HT / LAFC at FT	46.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Draw at HT / LAFC at FT	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Red Bull New York at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Draw at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
LAFC at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Red Bull New York at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Red Bull New York at HT / LAFC at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
LAFC at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score last	70.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Red Bull New York to score last	24.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
LAFC to lead by 1 at any time	79.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
LAFC to lead by 2 at any time	52.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	29.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
LAFC to lead by 3 at any time	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Red Bull New York to lead by 1 at any time	27.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Red Bull New York to lead by 2 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Red Bull New York to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	63.23

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC most corners	56.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Red Bull New York most corners	33.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	9.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.8%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.6%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.4%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
3-6 goals	53.4%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.6%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	38.0%	39.2%	34.4%	1.14×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.0%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.2%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.5%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.72
7+ goals	3.0%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC never behind	67.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Red Bull New York never behind	14.9%	13.4%	—	—	7.49

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.5%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.6%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.0%	66.2%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.4%	58.8%	59.9%	0.98×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	43.6%	41.2%	40.1%	1.03×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	34.0%	33.8%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	20.4%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	17.5%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.8%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.4%	92.5%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.0%	75.9%	74.8%	1.02×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.4%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.2%	55.4%	51.9%	1.07×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.8%	44.6%	48.1%	0.93×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.6%	27.4%	25.5%	1.08×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.0%	24.1%	25.2%	0.95×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.6%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.2%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to score in both halves	90.6%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
LAFC not to score in both halves	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
LAFC to score in both halves	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Red Bull New York to score in both halves	9.4%	10.2%	—	—	9.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.3%	50.5%	61.1%	0.83×	1.98
Only LAFC scores	41.6%	46.6%	21.1%	2.21×	2.15
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92
Only Red Bull New York scores	5.5%	7.2%	12.3%	0.59×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.8%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.7%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.8%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	18.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
LAFC not to win both halves	71.2%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
LAFC to win both halves	28.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
Red Bull New York to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win either half	78.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Red Bull New York to win neither half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Red Bull New York to win either half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
LAFC to win neither half	21.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win to nil	94.5%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
LAFC not to win to nil	58.4%	58.9%	78.9%	0.75×	1.70
LAFC to win to nil	41.6%	41.1%	21.1%	1.95×	2.43
Red Bull New York to win to nil	5.5%	7.9%	12.3%	0.65×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC by 3+	25.1%	27.8%	10.5%	2.64×	3.59
LAFC by 1	23.7%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
LAFC by 2	21.2%	24.1%	12.8%	1.88×	4.14
Draw	19.0%	16.9%	24.9%	0.68×	5.91
Red Bull New York by 1	7.9%	7.3%	16.8%	0.43×	13.78
Red Bull New York by 2	2.5%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	37.00
Red Bull New York by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.06