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Las Palmas v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 12 January 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–2
1.63 – 1.40 xG
Shots
15 – 12
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
7 – 9
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.85 – 0.08
Goals − xG
-0.63 – +0.60
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Coba da Costa 69' — goalBorja Mayoral 85' — goalAdnan Januzaj 87' — goal
Las Palmas 1.63 xGGetafe 1.40 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Bertug Yildirim 0' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Carles Aleñá 11' — Shot On Post (0.10 xG, Open Play)Christantus Uche 12' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Luis Milla 15' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 16' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Fabio Silva 20' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Coba da Costa 27' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 31' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Omar Alderete 34' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Christantus Uche 40' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Fabio Silva 42' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 48' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Manu Fuster 48' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Fabio Silva 55' — Saved Shot (0.74 xG, )Sandro Ramírez 57' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Mauro Arambarri 59' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Manu Fuster 60' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mauro Arambarri 66' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Javi Muñoz 66' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Coba da Costa 69' — Goal (0.46 xG, Open Play)Peter 78' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Borja Mayoral 85' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Adnan Januzaj 87' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 91' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mika Mármol 91' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Alberto Moleiro 95' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Las Palmas attacking right Getafe attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot
11' Getafe Carles Aleñá 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Coba da Costa
12' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luis Milla
15' Getafe Luis Milla 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Carles Aleñá
16' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.03 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Sandro Ramírez
20' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Álex Suárez
27' Getafe Coba da Costa 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mauro Arambarri
31' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alberto Moleiro
34' Getafe Omar Alderete 0.03 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot
40' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Bertug Yildirim
42' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javi Muñoz
48' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Manu Fuster
48' Las Palmas Manu Fuster 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
55' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.74 Right Foot Saved Shot
57' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
59' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christantus Uche
60' Las Palmas Manu Fuster 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Fabio Silva
66' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Juan Iglesias
66' Las Palmas Javi Muñoz 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
69' Getafe Coba da Costa 0.46 Open Play Goal Christantus Uche
78' Getafe Peter 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
85' Getafe Borja Mayoral 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal Coba da Costa
87' Las Palmas Adnan Januzaj 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Goal
91' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alberto Moleiro
91' Las Palmas Mika Mármol 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Enzo Loiodice
92' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
95' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mika Mármol

Players

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Coba da Costa ML 90 1 1 2 2 0.53 0.53 1.21
Mauro Arambarri MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.07 0.62
Christantus Uche FW 90 0 1 2 2 0.09 0.55 0.69
Luis Milla MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.63
Omar Alderete DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Juan Iglesias DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.21
Domingos Duarte DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Djené Dakonam DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carles Aleñá MR 64 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.03 0.19
Bertug Yildirim FW 64 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.06 0.07
Borja Mayoral Sub 26 1 0 1 0 0.44 0.00 0.90
Peter Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.46
Alex Sola Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alberto Moleiro AML 90 0 0 3 2 0.08 0.05 0.27
Kirian Rodríguez DMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.07 0.00 0.24
Mika Mármol DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.03 0.31
Álex Suárez DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.16
Scott McKenna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javi Muñoz AMC 88 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.06 0.09
Fabio Silva FW 81 0 0 3 1 0.91 0.06 0.23
Sandro Ramírez AMR 81 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.09
Dário Essugo DMC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Juan Herzog DR 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Manu Fuster Sub 43 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.03 0.16
Marc Cardona Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jaime Mata Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Enzo Loiodice Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Adnan Januzaj Sub 2 1 0 1 0 0.35 0.00 0.35
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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