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Las Palmas v Real Betis — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
1.11 – 2.67 xG
Shots
8 – 13
On target
2 – 5
Shots in box
5 – 10
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.21
Set-piece xG
0.03 – 0.62
Goals − xG
-0.11 – -1.67
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.23.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Alberto Moleiro 8' — goalGiovani Lo Celso 47' — goal
Las Palmas 1.11 xGReal Betis 2.67 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Fabio Silva 1' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Marc Roca 5' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Alberto Moleiro 8' — Goal (0.61 xG, Open Play)Assane Diao 21' — Missed Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 22' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 24' — Missed Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)Pablo Fornals 26' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 32' — Blocked Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Kirian Rodríguez 37' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Marc Roca 38' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 47' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 48' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Johnny Cardoso 61' — Missed Shot (0.53 xG, From Corner)Dário Essugo 65' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 66' — Saved Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Benito Ramírez 72' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ezequiel Ávila 79' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Romain Perraud 79' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pejiño 80' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 81' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Open Play)Enzo Loiodice 91' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)
Las Palmas attacking right Real Betis attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Las Palmas Fabio Silva 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alberto Moleiro
5' Real Betis Marc Roca 0.05 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Giovani Lo Celso
8' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.61 Open Play Left Foot Goal Viti Rozada
21' Real Betis Assane Diao 0.46 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
22' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
24' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.24 Open Play Missed Shot Aitor Ruibal
26' Real Betis Pablo Fornals 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
32' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Assane Diao
37' Las Palmas Kirian Rodríguez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Fabio Silva
38' Real Betis Marc Roca 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Giovani Lo Celso
47' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Goal Assane Diao
48' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benito Ramírez
61' Real Betis Johnny Cardoso 0.53 From Corner Missed Shot Natan
65' Las Palmas Dário Essugo 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alberto Moleiro
66' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Natan
72' Las Palmas Benito Ramírez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Viti Rozada
79' Real Betis Ezequiel Ávila 0.01 Open Play Saved Shot
79' Real Betis Romain Perraud 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Giovani Lo Celso
80' Las Palmas Pejiño 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Javi Muñoz
81' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Aitor Ruibal
91' Las Palmas Enzo Loiodice 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Johnny Cardoso DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.53 0.00 1.20
Pablo Fornals AMR 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 1.28
Romain Perraud DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.43
Diego Llorente DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Rui Silva GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.73
Natan DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.80 0.70
Aitor Ruibal DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.30 0.83
Giovani Lo Celso AMC 85 1 0 2 3 0.48 0.18 0.61
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli AML 78 0 0 2 0 0.64 0.00 0.67
Assane Diao FW 67 0 1 1 2 0.46 0.85 1.32
Marc Roca DMC 67 0 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.96
Cédric Bakambu Sub 23 0 0 2 0 0.33 0.00 0.35
Sergi Altimira Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ezequiel Ávila Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Iker Losada Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kirian Rodríguez MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.71
Enzo Loiodice MR 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.10
Álex Muñoz DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.73
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.69
Juan Herzog DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Viti Rozada DR 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.63 0.71
Alberto Moleiro MC 86 1 0 2 2 0.67 0.33 1.00
Fabio Silva FW 78 0 0 1 1 0.31 0.03 1.03
Dário Essugo MC 77 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 1.05
Daley Sinkgraven DL 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Oliver McBurnie Sub 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Sandro Ramírez ML 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Benito Ramírez Sub 41 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.06 0.10
Javi Muñoz Sub 13 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Pejiño Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Adnan Januzaj Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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