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LASK Linz v WSG Swarovski Tirol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
LASK Linz win
75.6%
model 75.8%
Draw
17.5%
model 16.0%
WSG Swarovski Tirol win
7.0%
model 8.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (340 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 11.4%
  2. 3-0 9.9%
  3. 2-1 9.0%
  4. 1-0 8.1%
  5. 3-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.566.0% Under 2.534.0%
BTTS yes51.1% BTTS no48.9%
LASK Linz 1+92.7% LASK Linz 2+73.5%
WSG Swarovski Tirol 1+54.5% WSG Swarovski Tirol 2+18.7%

Expected goals 2.61 – 0.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
21/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • LASK Linz carry the stronger rating, 1715 Elo against 1435.
  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0106 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

LASK Linz have an estimated 75.6% win probability, against 17.5% for the draw and 7.0% for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.61 for LASK Linz and 0.79 for WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Why LASK Linz

LASK Linz carry the stronger rating, 1715 Elo against 1435. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why WSG Swarovski Tirol can win

Nothing in the data singles out WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for LASK Linz, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for WSG Swarovski Tirol, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

LASK Linz: 57% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 7.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. WSG Swarovski Tirol: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

LASK Linz are the model's most likely outcome at 75.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 2.51–0.91 2-0 10% 66% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win 71.4% 73.7% 43.6% 1.69× 1.36
Draw 17.7% 19.3% 25.2% 0.77× 5.17
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win 10.9% 13.3% 31.4% 0.42× 7.54
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz & not both score 36.2% 33.1% 22.6% 1.47× 3.02
LASK Linz & both teams score 35.2% 33.1% 21.2% 1.56× 3.02
Draw & both teams score 13.7% 13.3% 18.1% 0.73× 7.54
WSG Swarovski Tirol & both teams score 6.7% 8.4% 16.9% 0.50× 11.93
WSG Swarovski Tirol & not both score 4.1% 4.9% 14.8% 0.33× 20.56
Draw & not both score 4.0% 4.9% 7.4% 0.66× 20.56
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz & over 1.5 63.9% 54.8% 34.8% 1.58× 1.83
LASK Linz & over 2.5 53.6% 48.8% 27.6% 1.77× 2.05
LASK Linz & under 3.5 35.8% 34.9% 30.5% 1.14× 2.87
LASK Linz & over 3.5 35.6% 34.9% 13.3% 2.62× 2.87
LASK Linz & under 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 13.7% 12.9% 18.1% 0.71× 7.77
Draw & under 2.5 12.2% 12.9% 19.5% 0.66× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 12.2% 12.9% 19.5% 0.66× 7.77
WSG Swarovski Tirol & over 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 25.5% 0.31× 12.69
LASK Linz & under 1.5 7.5% 7.9% 9.0% 0.87× 12.70
WSG Swarovski Tirol & over 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 20.0% 0.39× 12.70
WSG Swarovski Tirol & under 3.5 7.4% 7.9% 22.1% 0.36× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.5% 7.9% 6.0% 1.32× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 6.0% 1.32× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 7.4% 0.65× 20.93
WSG Swarovski Tirol & under 2.5 3.6% 4.8% 11.7% 0.41× 20.94
WSG Swarovski Tirol & over 3.5 3.4% 4.8% 9.5% 0.50× 20.94
WSG Swarovski Tirol & under 1.5 2.3% 4.8% 6.2% 0.77× 20.95
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (1UP) 81.7% 87.0% 1.15
WSG Swarovski Tirol (1UP) 29.4% 27.3% 3.67
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (2UP) 71.4% 80.2% 1.25
WSG Swarovski Tirol (2UP) 10.9% 13.1% 7.62
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win 2nd half 58.6% 60.1% 1.66
2nd half drawn 27.5% 26.3% 3.81
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win 2nd half 13.9% 12.5% 8.02
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (+0.5) 89.1% 88.5% 68.6% 1.29× 1.13
LASK Linz (-0.5) 71.4% 73.7% 43.6% 1.69× 1.36
WSG Swarovski Tirol (+2.5) 70.6% 73.7% 90.7% 0.81× 1.36
LASK Linz (-1.5) 50.2% 52.3% 23.1% 2.27× 1.91
WSG Swarovski Tirol (+1.5) 49.8% 47.7% 76.9% 0.62× 2.10
LASK Linz (-2.5) 29.4% 26.3% 9.3% 2.83× 3.80
WSG Swarovski Tirol (+0.5) 28.6% 26.3% 56.4% 0.47× 3.80
WSG Swarovski Tirol (-0.5) 10.9% 11.5% 31.4% 0.37× 8.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol to concede 91.9% 91.8% 78.1% 1.18× 1.09
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet 8.2% 8.2% 21.9% 0.38× 12.15
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol to concede in 1st half 66.0% 69.1% 1.45
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet in 1st half 34.0% 30.9% 3.24
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 6.5 corners 88.0% 85.2% 1.17
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 5.5 corners 79.5% 75.9% 1.32
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 2.5 corners 67.4% 67.5% 1.48
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 4.5 corners 67.1% 67.5% 1.48
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 3.5 corners 50.9% 53.1% 1.88
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 3.5 corners 49.1% 46.9% 2.13
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 4.5 corners 32.9% 32.5% 3.08
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 2.5 corners 32.6% 32.5% 3.08
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 5.5 corners 20.5% 24.1% 4.16
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 6.5 corners 12.0% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 3.5 goals 98.6% 97.5% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 2.5 goals 93.5% 92.3% 86.9% 1.06× 1.08
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 1.5 goals 76.9% 76.2% 64.8% 1.18× 1.31
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 0.5 goals 59.7% 59.5% 70.2% 0.85× 1.68
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 0.5 goals 40.3% 40.5% 29.8% 1.36× 2.47
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 1.5 goals 23.1% 23.8% 35.2% 0.67× 4.21
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 2.5 goals 6.5% 7.7% 13.1% 0.59× 13.05
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 3.5 goals 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 0.79× 40.81
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 1.5 in 1st half 94.8% 94.3% 1.06
WSG Swarovski Tirol under 0.5 in 1st half 69.5% 68.5% 1.46
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 0.5 in 1st half 30.5% 31.5% 3.17
WSG Swarovski Tirol over 1.5 in 1st half 5.2% 5.7% 17.44
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (away no bet) 80.1% 82.5% 63.3% 1.30× 1.21
Draw (away no bet) 19.9% 17.5% 36.7% 0.48× 5.73
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol even goals 58.1% 56.9% 53.6% 1.06× 1.76
WSG Swarovski Tirol odd goals 41.9% 43.1% 46.4% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 75.2% 82.0% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 24.8% 18.0% 5.57
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 76.5% 72.6% 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 23.5% 27.4% 3.65
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 71.7% 71.9% 1.39
LASK Linz to score 2+ in a row 64.4% 60.0% 1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row 37.7% 36.5% 2.74
LASK Linz to score 3+ in a row 35.5% 36.4% 2.75
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 2+ in a row 14.1% 12.2% 8.18
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 3+ in a row 2.5% 2.6% 39.02
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz corners (+3.5) 95.5% 95.8% 1.04
LASK Linz corners (+2.5) 92.4% 89.6% 1.12
LASK Linz corners (+1.5) 87.9% 84.5% 1.18
LASK Linz corners (-1.5) 64.5% 61.9% 1.62
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (+3.5) 55.5% 57.1% 1.75
LASK Linz corners (-2.5) 54.5% 52.5% 1.91
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (+2.5) 45.5% 47.5% 2.10
LASK Linz corners (-3.5) 44.5% 42.9% 2.33
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (+1.5) 35.5% 38.1% 2.63
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (-1.5) 12.1% 15.5% 6.46
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (-2.5) 7.6% 10.4% 9.59
WSG Swarovski Tirol corners (-3.5) 4.5% 4.3% 23.53
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 38.6% 33.7% 2.96
0-8 corners 32.5% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 28.9% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 76.6% 76.5% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 69.8% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 67.5% 67.7% 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 61.4% 63.4% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 57.7% 57.8% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 52.2% 53.3% 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 47.8% 46.7% 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 42.3% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 38.6% 36.6% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 32.5% 32.3% 3.10
Over 12.5 corners 30.2% 32.3% 3.10
Under 7.5 corners 23.4% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 11.1% 11.5% 4.3% 2.67× 8.73
2-0 10.3% 11.5% 7.4% 1.55× 8.73
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.48
3-0 8.6% 7.4% 4.3% 1.73× 13.48
1-0 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.48
1-1 8.2% 7.4% 12.4% 0.60× 13.48
3-1 7.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.64× 13.48
4-0 5.4% 7.4% 1.0% 7.79× 13.48
4-1 4.9% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.46
0-0 4.0% 1.7% 7.4% 0.23× 58.47
0-1 2.3% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.48
0-2 1.4% 1.7% 5.7% 0.30× 58.48
0-3 0.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.49
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.59× 58.49
1-2 3.4% 1.7% 7.9% 0.22× 58.47
1-3 1.0% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.48
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.49
2-2 4.3% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.47
2-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.59× 58.49
3-2 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.47
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.39× 58.48
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.39× 58.49
4-2 2.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.2% 7.18× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.18× 58.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz leading at HT (DNB) 81.3% 86.2% 1.16
WSG Swarovski Tirol leading at HT (DNB) 18.7% 13.8% 7.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw (1X) 89.1% 86.7% 68.6% 1.26× 1.15
LASK Linz or WSG Swarovski Tirol (12) 82.3% 80.7% 74.8% 1.08× 1.24
WSG Swarovski Tirol or draw (X2) 28.6% 26.3% 56.4% 0.47× 3.80
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw at HT 87.7% 88.2% 1.13
LASK Linz or WSG Swarovski Tirol at HT 65.9% 66.4% 1.51
WSG Swarovski Tirol or draw at HT 46.4% 51.8% 1.93
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw (1UP) 89.1% 92.0% 1.09
WSG Swarovski Tirol or draw (1UP) 29.4% 32.3% 3.10
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw in 2nd half 86.1% 87.5% 1.14
LASK Linz or WSG Swarovski Tirol in 2nd half 72.5% 73.7% 1.36
WSG Swarovski Tirol or draw in 2nd half 41.4% 39.9% 2.51
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 48.6% 50.2% 1.99
A half drawn 51.4% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (DNB) 86.8% 87.1% 58.1% 1.50× 1.15
WSG Swarovski Tirol (DNB) 13.2% 12.9% 41.9% 0.31× 7.78
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score first 70.4% 74.5% 1.34
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score first 25.6% 28.0% 3.57
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% 23.27
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.6% 54.9% 55.7% 0.98× 1.82
Not both teams to score 44.4% 45.1% 44.3% 1.02× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.4% 44.3% 43.6% 1.02× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 25.4% 33.6% 34.8% 0.97× 2.98
Not both score & over 2.5 19.0% 21.8% 9.8% 2.23× 4.60
Both score & under 2.5 8.2% 8.4% 12.4% 0.68× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.5% 83.1% 86.9% 0.96× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 16.5% 16.9% 13.1% 1.29× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.8% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.2% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.9% 56.0% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 25.8% 26.5% 3.78
Both score 1st half only 13.8% 10.8% 9.28
Both score in both halves 6.4% 6.8% 14.78
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.7% 81.6% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.3% 18.4% 5.43
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 66.1% 66.7% 1.50
A half without a goal 33.9% 33.3% 3.00
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.7% 42.1% 49.8% 0.85× 2.38
4-6 goals 38.7% 35.1% 26.7% 1.32× 2.85
0-1 goals 13.8% 16.9% 22.1% 0.77× 5.90
7+ goals 5.8% 7.6% 1.9% 3.97× 13.22
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score exactly 0 40.3% 37.0% 29.8% 1.24× 2.70
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score exactly 1 36.6% 36.0% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score exactly 2 16.7% 19.6% 22.4% 0.87× 5.11
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 3+ 6.5% 8.4% 13.1% 0.65× 11.84
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score 3+ 45.8% 36.8% 18.3% 2.01× 2.72
LASK Linz to score exactly 2 25.6% 26.5% 25.5% 1.04× 3.77
LASK Linz to score exactly 1 20.4% 23.2% 34.8% 0.67× 4.30
LASK Linz to score exactly 0 8.2% 10.3% 21.9% 0.47× 9.71
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz leading at HT 53.6% 48.2% 2.07
Draw at HT 34.1% 33.6% 2.97
WSG Swarovski Tirol leading at HT 12.3% 11.8% 8.49
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz -1: 1 50.2% 52.0% 1.92
LASK Linz -1: 2 28.6% 26.5% 3.77
LASK Linz -1: X 21.2% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:1) 50.2% 51.1% 23.1% 2.21× 1.96
WSG Swarovski Tirol (0:1) 28.6% 27.0% 56.4% 0.48× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 21.2% 24.3% 20.7% 1.17× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol (0:2) 49.8% 51.7% 76.9% 0.67× 1.94
LASK Linz (0:2) 29.4% 24.0% 9.3% 2.58× 4.17
Draw (0:2) 20.8% 20.3% 14.0% 1.45× 4.93
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol (0:3) 70.6% 77.7% 90.7% 0.86× 1.29
Draw (0:3) 14.8% 10.0% 6.2% 1.62× 9.95
LASK Linz (0:3) 14.6% 10.0% 3.3% 3.01× 9.96
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol (0:4) 85.4% 91.8% 96.7% 0.95× 1.09
Draw (0:4) 8.4% 4.7% 1.7% 2.81× 21.39
LASK Linz (0:4) 6.2% 4.6% 1.9% 2.43× 21.59
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (1:0) 89.1% 86.5% 68.6% 1.26× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 7.2% 6.9% 16.4% 0.42× 14.44
WSG Swarovski Tirol (1:0) 3.6% 3.2% 15.2% 0.21× 31.52
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (2:0) 96.4% 96.9% 84.8% 1.14× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 2.7% 2.3% 10.2% 0.22× 44.20
WSG Swarovski Tirol (2:0) 0.9% 2.3% 5.2% 0.43× 44.32
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.4% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.7% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 22.9% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede 59.7% 61.0% 70.2% 0.87× 1.64
LASK Linz clean sheet 40.3% 39.0% 29.8% 1.31× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz clean sheet in 1st half 69.5% 68.8% 1.45
LASK Linz to concede in 1st half 30.5% 31.2% 3.20
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz over 2.5 corners 92.2% 89.3% 1.12
LASK Linz over 3.5 corners 84.2% 81.0% 1.24
LASK Linz over 4.5 corners 73.8% 71.9% 1.39
LASK Linz over 5.5 corners 61.9% 62.3% 1.61
LASK Linz under 6.5 corners 50.2% 52.8% 1.90
LASK Linz over 6.5 corners 49.8% 47.2% 2.12
LASK Linz under 5.5 corners 38.1% 37.7% 2.65
LASK Linz under 4.5 corners 26.2% 28.1% 3.56
LASK Linz under 3.5 corners 15.8% 19.0% 5.25
LASK Linz under 2.5 corners 7.8% 10.7% 9.37
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz over 0.5 goals 91.9% 92.3% 78.1% 1.18× 1.08
LASK Linz under 3.5 goals 75.7% 77.7% 92.4% 0.84× 1.29
LASK Linz over 1.5 goals 71.4% 74.2% 43.6% 1.70× 1.35
LASK Linz under 2.5 goals 54.2% 53.3% 81.7% 0.65× 1.88
LASK Linz over 2.5 goals 45.8% 46.7% 18.3% 2.55× 2.14
LASK Linz under 1.5 goals 28.6% 25.8% 56.4% 0.46× 3.87
LASK Linz over 3.5 goals 24.4% 22.3% 7.6% 2.92× 4.49
LASK Linz under 0.5 goals 8.2% 7.8% 21.9% 0.35× 12.90
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 1.5 in 1st half 70.7% 79.6% 1.26
LASK Linz over 0.5 in 1st half 66.0% 67.9% 1.47
LASK Linz under 0.5 in 1st half 34.0% 32.1% 3.11
LASK Linz over 1.5 in 1st half 29.3% 20.4% 4.91
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 62.0% 60.2% 44.5% 1.35× 1.66
WSG Swarovski Tirol (home no bet) 38.0% 39.8% 55.5% 0.72× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz even goals 50.3% 50.6% 52.1% 0.97× 1.98
LASK Linz odd goals 49.7% 49.4% 47.9% 1.03× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 25.4% 28.8% 3.48
HT 0-0 23.8% 24.1% 4.14
HT 2-0 13.7% 10.9% 9.14
Any other HT score 10.1% 10.9% 9.18
HT 1-1 9.4% 7.1% 14.01
HT 0-1 8.5% 7.1% 14.03
HT 2-1 5.0% 7.1% 14.08
HT 1-2 1.7% 2.3% 43.49
HT 0-2 1.6% 2.3% 43.50
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 43.54
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz at HT / LASK Linz at FT 48.5% 44.9% 2.23
Draw at HT / LASK Linz at FT 19.5% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.2% 12.7% 7.90
WSG Swarovski Tirol at HT / WSG Swarovski Tirol at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.73
Draw at HT / WSG Swarovski Tirol at FT 4.4% 3.5% 28.79
LASK Linz at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.5% 28.81
WSG Swarovski Tirol at HT / LASK Linz at FT 3.4% 3.5% 28.83
WSG Swarovski Tirol at HT / Draw at FT 3.5% 3.5% 28.83
LASK Linz at HT / WSG Swarovski Tirol at FT 1.1% 3.5% 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score last 70.6% 72.1% 1.39
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score last 25.4% 26.7% 3.74
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% 23.27
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.0% 95.6% 1.05
LASK Linz to lead by 1 at any time 81.7% 87.1% 1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 64.0% 61.4% 1.63
LASK Linz to lead by 2 at any time 56.9% 55.1% 1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 34.6% 29.5% 3.39
LASK Linz to lead by 3 at any time 33.0% 29.4% 3.40
WSG Swarovski Tirol to lead by 1 at any time 29.4% 25.5% 3.92
WSG Swarovski Tirol to lead by 2 at any time 7.5% 6.6% 15.06
WSG Swarovski Tirol to lead by 3 at any time 1.6% 1.6% 62.75
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz most corners 73.7% 70.7% 1.41
WSG Swarovski Tirol most corners 18.3% 19.2% 5.21
Corners level 7.9% 8.5% 11.81
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.9% 83.5% 86.2% 0.97× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.4% 83.5% 76.2% 1.10× 1.20
2-5 goals 73.1% 72.4% 71.4% 1.01× 1.38
1-4 goals 70.1% 72.4% 79.3% 0.91× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.4% 63.4% 64.5% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 60.5% 63.4% 51.4% 1.23× 1.58
3-5 goals 53.2% 53.2% 46.7% 1.14× 1.88
1-3 goals 51.5% 53.2% 64.5% 0.82× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.7% 43.6% 49.8% 0.88× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.5% 43.6% 39.8% 1.10× 2.30
4-6 goals 38.7% 39.2% 26.7% 1.47× 2.55
4-5 goals 31.4% 35.4% 21.9% 1.61× 2.83
1-2 goals 29.7% 30.3% 39.8% 0.76× 3.31
5-6 goals 20.0% 24.5% 11.9% 2.06× 4.09
7+ goals 5.8% 8.7% 1.9% 4.58× 11.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz never behind 66.5% 70.1% 1.43
WSG Swarovski Tirol never behind 14.3% 13.2% 7.57
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.5% 50.8% 47.9% 1.06× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.5% 49.2% 52.1% 0.94× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.0% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.0% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.0% 95.5% 92.6% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 86.9% 87.6% 93.3% 0.94× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 86.2% 87.6% 77.9% 1.13× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 74.1% 72.5% 86.4% 0.84× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 66.3% 66.2% 53.1% 1.25× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 55.5% 58.8% 71.7% 0.82× 1.70
Over 3.5 goals 44.5% 41.2% 28.3% 1.45× 2.43
Under 2.5 goals 33.7% 33.8% 46.9% 0.72× 2.96
Over 4.5 goals 25.9% 27.5% 13.6% 2.02× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 13.8% 12.4% 22.1% 0.56× 8.09
Over 5.5 goals 13.1% 12.4% 6.7% 1.85× 8.09
Under 0.5 goals 4.0% 4.5% 7.4% 0.61× 22.20
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 93.7% 92.5% 98.0% 0.94× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 85.0% 81.1% 92.8% 0.87× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 82.8% 81.1% 70.6% 1.15× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 68.2% 67.4% 84.1% 0.80× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 56.9% 55.4% 37.7% 1.47× 1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 43.1% 44.6% 62.3% 0.71× 2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 31.8% 32.6% 15.9% 2.05× 3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 17.2% 18.9% 29.4% 0.64× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 15.0% 18.9% 7.2% 2.64× 5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 6.3% 7.5% 2.0% 3.77× 13.27
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 82.3% 86.2% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 76.2% 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 57.6% 62.7% 1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half 42.4% 37.3% 2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 23.8% 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half 17.7% 13.8% 7.26
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.9% 85.3% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 68.4% 67.6% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 59.0% 54.9% 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 41.0% 45.1% 2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 31.6% 32.4% 3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.1% 14.7% 6.79
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol not to score in both halves 87.2% 85.8% 1.17
LASK Linz to score in both halves 50.2% 55.4% 1.81
LASK Linz not to score in both halves 49.8% 44.6% 2.24
WSG Swarovski Tirol to score in both halves 12.8% 14.2% 7.03
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.6% 58.4% 55.7% 1.05× 1.71
Only LASK Linz scores 36.2% 39.8% 22.6% 1.76× 2.51
Only WSG Swarovski Tirol scores 4.1% 4.6% 14.8% 0.31× 21.81
Neither team scores 4.0% 4.6% 7.4% 0.62× 21.82
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 25.0% 0.90× 4.42
Exactly 2 goals 19.9% 17.4% 25.0% 0.70× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 18.7% 17.4% 15.0% 1.16× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 12.8% 12.1% 7.1% 1.69× 8.27
6 or more goals 13.1% 12.1% 6.7% 1.81× 8.27
Exactly 1 goals 9.8% 7.6% 15.0% 0.51× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 4.0% 4.4% 7.4% 0.60× 22.66
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 59.0% 53.5% 1.87
1 goal in 2nd half 26.9% 29.8% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 14.1% 14.5% 6.88
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol not to win both halves 98.2% 97.3% 1.03
LASK Linz not to win both halves 68.4% 70.4% 1.42
LASK Linz to win both halves 31.6% 29.6% 3.38
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win both halves 1.8% 2.7% 36.54
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win either half 80.6% 82.7% 1.21
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win neither half 75.6% 79.5% 1.26
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win either half 24.4% 20.5% 4.88
LASK Linz to win neither half 19.4% 17.3% 5.77
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
WSG Swarovski Tirol not to win to nil 95.9% 96.1% 85.2% 1.13× 1.04
LASK Linz not to win to nil 63.8% 66.8% 77.4% 0.86× 1.50
LASK Linz to win to nil 36.2% 33.2% 22.6% 1.47× 3.01
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win to nil 4.1% 3.9% 14.8% 0.26× 25.78
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz by 3+ 29.4% 27.9% 9.3% 3.00× 3.59
LASK Linz by 1 21.2% 24.1% 20.7% 1.17× 4.14
LASK Linz by 2 20.8% 24.1% 14.0% 1.72× 4.14
Draw 17.7% 16.9% 25.2% 0.67× 5.91
WSG Swarovski Tirol by 1 7.2% 7.3% 16.4% 0.44× 13.78
WSG Swarovski Tirol by 2 2.7% 2.7% 10.2% 0.26× 37.00
WSG Swarovski Tirol by 3+ 0.9% 2.7% 5.2% 0.52× 37.06
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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