Lazio v AC Milan — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 31 August 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425
Serie A
xG
Shots
7 – 10
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 7
xG per shot
0.33 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.66
Goals − xG
-0.33 – +0.66
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Lazio 2.33 xGAC Milan 1.34 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Lazio attacking right
AC Milan attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Lazio |
Boulaye Dia | 0.30 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Valentín Castellanos |
| 7' |
 AC Milan |
Strahinja Pavlovic | 0.50 | From Corner | — | Goal | Christian Pulisic |
| 9' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Manuel Lazzari |
| 10' |
Lazio |
Loum Tchaouna | 0.08 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Nuno Tavares |
| 15' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.04 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 16' |
AC Milan |
Samuel Chukwueze | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 30' |
AC Milan |
Noah Okafor | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 39' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 58' |
AC Milan |
Filippo Terracciano | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Samuel Chukwueze |
| 61' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.48 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Nuno Tavares |
| 63' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 65' |
Lazio |
Boulaye Dia | 0.84 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Nuno Tavares |
| 71' |
AC Milan |
Rafael Leão | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Tammy Abraham |
| 79' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.54 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Valentín Castellanos |
| 93' |
AC Milan |
Tammy Abraham | 0.34 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 94' |
AC Milan |
Tammy Abraham | 0.07 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Yunus Musah |
| 94' |
AC Milan |
Yunus Musah | 0.01 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
Players
AC Milan
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strahinja Pavlovic DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Filippo Terracciano DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Youssouf Fofana DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Christian Pulisic AML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 0.47 |
| Fikayo Tomori DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Mike Maignan GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Noah Okafor FW | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Samuel Chukwueze AMR | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| Tijjani Reijnders DMC | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Emerson DR | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Rafael Leão Sub | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Yunus Musah Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.34 |
| Theo Hernández Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Tammy Abraham Sub | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.11 | 0.45 |
Lazio
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Zaccagni ML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 2.30 |
| Patric DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| Alessio Romagnoli DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| Nuno Tavares DL | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 1.73 |
| Nicolo Rovella MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 |
| Matteo Guendouzi MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| Ivan Provedel GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Valentín Castellanos FW | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 1.42 |
| Boulaye Dia AMC | 83 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 2.22 |
| Loum Tchaouna MR | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Manuel Lazzari DR | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Gustav Isaksen Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Adam Marusic Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Elseid Hysaj Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tijjani Noslin Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |