Lazio v Fiorentina — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 26 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425
Serie A
xG
Shots
22 – 7
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
11 – 5
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
1.17 – 0.02
Goals − xG
-1.02 – +0.80
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Lazio 2.02 xGFiorentina 1.20 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Lazio attacking right
Fiorentina attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' |
 Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Boulaye Dia |
| 3' |
Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.01 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 5' |
 Fiorentina |
Albert Gudmundsson | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Lucas Beltrán |
| 10' |
Fiorentina |
Yacine Adli | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Robin Gosens |
| 14' |
Fiorentina |
Michael Folorunsho | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Robin Gosens |
| 16' |
Fiorentina |
Lucas Beltrán | 0.31 | Open Play | — | Goal | Dodô |
| 25' |
Lazio |
Luca Pellegrini | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 25' |
Lazio |
Matteo Guendouzi | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 33' |
Fiorentina |
Albert Gudmundsson | 0.55 | Open Play | Left Foot | Shot On Post | Moise Kean |
| 36' |
Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Luca Pellegrini |
| 39' |
Lazio |
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Luca Pellegrini |
| 50' |
Lazio |
Pedro | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Valentín Castellanos |
| 51' |
Lazio |
Mario Gila | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Matteo Guendouzi |
| 57' |
Lazio |
Mario Gila | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Pedro |
| 66' |
Lazio |
Alessio Romagnoli | 0.10 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolo Rovella |
| 66' |
Lazio |
Boulaye Dia | 0.43 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Alessio Romagnoli |
| 67' |
Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 67' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.14 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Adam Marusic |
| 69' |
Fiorentina |
Albert Gudmundsson | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Lucas Beltrán |
| 71' |
Lazio |
Boulaye Dia | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 72' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Nicolo Rovella |
| 78' |
Fiorentina |
Moise Kean | 0.17 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Lucas Beltrán |
| 79' |
Lazio |
Pedro | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Elseid Hysaj |
| 82' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 82' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.06 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Elseid Hysaj |
| 84' |
Lazio |
Pedro | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 91' |
Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.56 | Set Piece | — | Goal | Elseid Hysaj |
| 94' |
Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Elseid Hysaj |
| 97' |
Lazio |
Pedro | 0.04 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Shot On Post | — |
Players
Fiorentina
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Beltrán ML | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.21 | 0.57 |
| Moise Kean FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Marin Pongracic DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Rolando Mandragora MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| David de Gea GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Robin Gosens DL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.63 |
| Luca Ranieri DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Michael Folorunsho MR | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.93 |
| Albert Gudmundsson FW | 79 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| Dodô DR | 79 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.86 |
| Yacine Adli MC | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Pietro Comuzzo Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fabiano Parisi Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Riccardo Sottil Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Amir Richardson Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lazio
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Marusic DR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Valentín Castellanos FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| Mattia Zaccagni AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| Alessio Romagnoli DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| Matteo Guendouzi DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.31 |
| Mario Gila DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Ivan Provedel GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Boulaye Dia AMC | 83 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.53 | 0.11 | 0.66 |
| Luca Pellegrini DL | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru DMC | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Gustav Isaksen AMR | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Pedro Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.54 |
| Nicolo Rovella Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Elseid Hysaj Sub | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.05 |
| Tijjani Noslin Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |