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Le Havre v Angers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 December 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

0–1
0.32 – 2.10 xG
Shots
5 – 12
On target
1 – 3
Shots in box
2 – 10
xG per shot
0.06 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.12 – 0.67
Goals − xG
-0.32 – -1.10
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.82.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Himad Abdelli 62' — goal
Le Havre 0.32 xGAngers 2.10 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Josué Casimir 0' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 4' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Jim Allevinah 7' — Saved Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Himad Abdelli 12' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Sabbi 15' — Blocked Shot (0.16 xG, Open Play)Abdoulaye Touré 16' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jim Allevinah 19' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 20' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Abdoulaye Touré 21' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 30' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Florent Hanin 35' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 43' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 44' — Saved Shot (0.54 xG, Open Play)Steve Ngoura 61' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Himad Abdelli 62' — Goal (0.55 xG, From Corner)Ibrahima Niane 92' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Niane 97' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)
Le Havre attacking right Angers attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Le Havre Josué Casimir 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Emmanuel Sabbi
4' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
7' Angers Jim Allevinah 0.49 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Farid El Melali
12' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Farid El Melali
15' Le Havre Emmanuel Sabbi 0.16 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Issa Soumaré
16' Le Havre Abdoulaye Touré 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Issa Soumaré
19' Angers Jim Allevinah 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
20' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Farid El Melali
21' Le Havre Abdoulaye Touré 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
30' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jim Allevinah
35' Angers Florent Hanin 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Himad Abdelli
43' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Florent Hanin
44' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.54 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Himad Abdelli
61' Le Havre Steve Ngoura 0.12 From Corner Saved Shot Christopher Operi
62' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.55 From Corner Goal Farid El Melali
92' Angers Ibrahima Niane 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Abdoulaye Bamba
97' Angers Ibrahima Niane 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot

Players

Le Havre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Abdoulaye Touré MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
André Ayew FW 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Desmas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christopher Operi DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.02
Gautier Lloris DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Issa Soumaré AMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.18 0.18
Étienne Youté DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Timothee Pembele DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Josué Casimir DMR 78 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Emmanuel Sabbi AMC 62 0 0 1 1 0.16 0.01 0.19
Daler Kuzyaev MC 62 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Steve Ngoura Sub 28 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.00
Yassine Kechta Sub 28 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antoine Joujou Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Angers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jim Allevinah AMR 90 0 0 2 1 0.60 0.04 0.64
Himad Abdelli AMC 90 1 0 2 2 0.58 0.58 0.72
Florent Hanin DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.10 0.15
Abdoulaye Bamba DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.11
Yahia Fofana GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jordan Lefort DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.64
Jean Eudes Aholou DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Carlens Arcus DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.64
Haris Belkebla DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.54
Farid El Melali AML 81 0 1 0 4 0.00 1.15 0.63
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng FW 73 0 0 5 0 0.79 0.00 0.67
Ibrahima Niane Sub 17 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Yassin Belkhdim Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Esteban Lepaul Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jacques Ekomie Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lilian Raolisoa Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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