Le Mans v Brest — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 22 August 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627
Ligue 1
xG
Shots
8 – 26
On target
5 – 6
Shots in box
5 – 23
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 1.90
Goals − xG
+1.23 – -0.97
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Le Mans 0.77 xGBrest 2.97 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Le Mans attacking right
Brest attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Brest |
Kamory Doumbia | 0.09 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Raphaël Le Guen |
| 1' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.10 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 1' |
Brest |
Raphaël Le Guen | 0.01 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Joris Chotard |
| 6' |
 Le Mans |
Antoine Rabillard | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Adil Bourabaa |
| 12' |
Le Mans |
Lucas Buades | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 12' |
Le Mans |
Yasser Larouci | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Rayan Bamba |
| 14' |
Brest |
Raphaël Le Guen | 0.08 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 17' |
Brest |
Raphaël Le Guen | 0.12 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Romain Del Castillo |
| 24' |
Brest |
Kamory Doumbia | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ludovic Ajorque |
| 30' |
Brest |
Romain Del Castillo | 0.22 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Kamory Doumbia |
| 33' |
Brest |
Pathé Mboup | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Bradley Locko |
| 34' |
Le Mans |
Louis Mafouta | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 35' |
Le Mans |
Yasser Larouci | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Adil Bourabaa |
| 36' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Kenny Lala |
| 42' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pathé Mboup |
| 43' |
Brest |
Pathé Mboup | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 43' |
Le Mans |
Adil Bourabaa | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 46' |
Le Mans |
Dame Gueye | 0.46 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Louis Mafouta |
| 54' |
Le Mans |
Louis Mafouta | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Adil Bourabaa |
| 61' |
Brest |
Kamory Doumbia | 0.95 | From Corner | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 61' |
Brest |
Lucas Tousart | 0.35 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Joris Chotard |
| 67' |
Brest |
Mamady Diambou | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 78' |
Brest |
Kamory Doumbia | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mama Baldé |
| 78' |
Brest |
Lucas Tousart | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Joris Chotard |
| 78' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.12 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Kenny Lala |
| 78' |
Brest |
Mamady Diambou | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kamory Doumbia |
| 81' |
Brest |
Joris Chotard | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 83' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.06 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Kenny Lala |
| 87' |
Brest |
Joris Chotard | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 88' |
Brest |
Mama Baldé | 0.08 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 90' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.01 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Kenny Lala |
| 92' |
Brest |
Mama Baldé | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 95' |
Brest |
Axel Camblan | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Mama Baldé |
| 96' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Joris Chotard |
Players
Brest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamory Doumbia AMC | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1.18 | 0.33 | 0.54 |
| Ludovic Ajorque FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.08 | 0.42 |
| Lucas Tousart DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Raphaël Le Guen DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| Joris Chotard DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.03 | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| Kenny Lala DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Bradley Locko DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| Egil Selvik GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Romain Del Castillo AMR | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.30 |
| Pathé Mboup AML | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.42 |
| Joseph Nonge DMC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mamady Diambou Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| Mama Baldé Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.31 |
| Axel Camblan Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Mathis Lainé Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Le Mans
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Rabillard MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Lucas Buades DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Théo Eyoum DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Rayan Bamba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| Noa Boissé DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolas Kocik GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yasser Larouci DML | 84 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Dame Gueye FW | 75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Adil Bourabaa MC | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.68 |
| Louis Mafouta FW | 66 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| Alexandre Lauray MC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Erwan Colas Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Bretelle Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| William Harhouz Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Billal Brahimi Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Calodat Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |