Levante v Barcelona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Levante

11:00

Barcelona

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 175h before kick-off

Levante win

27.3%

model 25.9%

Draw

21.2%

model 20.7%

Barcelona win

51.5%

model 53.4%

272152

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.1%
1-1 8.5%
2-2 6.7%
1-3 6.5%
0-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.9%	Under 2.5	30.1%
BTTS yes	67.8%	BTTS no	32.2%
Levante 1+	76.8%	Levante 2+	42.8%
Barcelona 1+	88.4%	Barcelona 2+	63.3%

Expected goals 1.46 – 2.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Barcelona over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

63.4% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 789 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Barcelona not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 95%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Barcelona carry the stronger rating, 1646 Elo against 1532.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Barcelona have played 7 matches in the last 30 days.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Barcelona have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for Levante and 21.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Levante and 2.15 for Barcelona.

Why Levante

At home Levante average 2.71 xG a match. They have had 15 days' rest to Barcelona's 11. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Barcelona were missing 1.52 expected goal involvements a match against 0.96.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Barcelona can win

Barcelona carry the stronger rating, 1646 Elo against 1532. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Levante's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Carlos Espí (0.41), Iván Romero (0.38), Roger Brugué (0.28). Barcelona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lamine Yamal (0.79), Raphinha (0.76), Robert Lewandowski (0.48).

Availability

1 of Levante's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Levante's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Barcelona's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Levante: 41% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.44 xG a match from set pieces. Barcelona: 63% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Barcelona are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.1%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Levante are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.7 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

WDLWWWLLDW last 10 scored 17 from 17.8 xG conceded 16 from 13.3 xG

Barcelona have scored 23 from 21.3 expected and conceded 8 from 9.8 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WWWWLWLWWW last 10 scored 23 from 21.3 xG conceded 8 from 9.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262153	1.46–2.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	211861	1.50–2.56	1-2 8%	77%	72%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to win	56.3%	54.0%	28.1%	1.93×	1.85
Levante to win	24.5%	24.4%	47.0%	0.52×	4.09
Draw	19.2%	19.4%	25.0%	0.77×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona & both teams score	37.3%	33.2%	13.6%	2.44×	3.01
Barcelona & not both score	19.0%	17.9%	14.6%	1.23×	5.58
Levante & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	20.1%	0.89×	5.58
Levante & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	25.5%	0.33×	11.95
Draw & not both score	1.9%	4.9%	5.0%	0.97×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona & over 1.5	51.8%	48.7%	21.0%	2.32×	2.05
Barcelona & over 2.5	46.3%	45.2%	16.5%	2.74×	2.21
Barcelona & over 3.5	33.4%	30.9%	6.3%	4.91×	3.24
Barcelona & under 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	21.9%	0.99×	4.62
Levante & over 1.5	21.5%	21.6%	34.2%	0.63×	4.62
Levante & over 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	20.1%	0.89×	5.56
Levante & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.78
Levante & under 3.5	12.0%	12.9%	33.3%	0.39×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	5.3%	2.43×	7.78
Draw & over 3.5	10.3%	12.9%	5.3%	2.43×	7.78
Barcelona & under 2.5	10.0%	7.9%	11.7%	0.67×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.69
Levante & under 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	19.1%	0.41×	12.69
Barcelona & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.93
Levante & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	13.0%	0.37×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	1.9%	4.8%	5.0%	0.95×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (1UP)	73.5%	75.7%	47.0%	1.61×	1.32
Levante (1UP)	47.8%	42.9%	63.4%	0.68×	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (2UP)	56.3%	55.1%	29.7%	1.85×	1.82
Levante (2UP)	24.5%	23.7%	48.9%	0.49×	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to win 2nd half	45.4%	45.6%	27.7%	1.64×	2.20
2nd half drawn	28.2%	26.3%	33.0%	0.80×	3.80
Levante to win 2nd half	26.5%	26.2%	39.4%	0.67×	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Barcelona (+1.5)	88.9%	88.5%	79.1%	1.12×	1.13
Barcelona (+0.5)	75.5%	78.5%	53.0%	1.48×	1.28
Barcelona (-0.5)	56.3%	57.0%	28.1%	2.03×	1.75
Levante (+0.5)	43.7%	43.0%	72.0%	0.60×	2.33
Levante (-0.5)	24.5%	21.5%	47.0%	0.46×	4.64
Levante (-1.5)	11.1%	11.5%	20.9%	0.55×	8.70
Levante (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	9.9%	0.38×	26.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to concede	79.1%	79.0%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
Barcelona clean sheet	20.9%	21.0%	19.5%	1.08×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to concede in 1st half	47.1%	50.9%	48.1%	1.06×	1.97
Barcelona clean sheet in 1st half	52.9%	49.1%	51.9%	0.95×	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona over 2.5 corners	85.8%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Barcelona over 3.5 corners	73.5%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Barcelona under 6.5 corners	67.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Barcelona over 4.5 corners	59.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Barcelona under 5.5 corners	54.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Barcelona over 5.5 corners	45.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Barcelona under 4.5 corners	40.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Barcelona over 6.5 corners	32.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Barcelona under 3.5 corners	26.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Barcelona under 2.5 corners	14.2%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona over 0.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	69.6%	1.33×	1.08
Barcelona under 3.5 goals	77.7%	76.2%	97.4%	0.78×	1.31
Barcelona over 1.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	31.6%	2.15×	1.47
Barcelona under 2.5 goals	56.8%	59.6%	90.3%	0.66×	1.68
Barcelona over 2.5 goals	43.2%	40.4%	9.7%	4.17×	2.48
Barcelona under 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	68.4%	0.47×	3.12
Barcelona over 3.5 goals	22.3%	23.8%	2.6%	9.00×	4.21
Barcelona under 0.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	30.4%	0.25×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona under 1.5 in 1st half	69.9%	68.1%	93.6%	0.73×	1.47
Barcelona over 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	67.8%	36.4%	1.86×	1.47
Barcelona under 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	32.2%	63.6%	0.51×	3.11
Barcelona over 1.5 in 1st half	30.1%	31.9%	6.4%	4.96×	3.14

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (away no bet)	56.0%	57.5%	65.3%	0.88×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.0%	42.5%	34.7%	1.22×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona even goals	50.4%	52.7%	54.1%	0.97×	1.90
Barcelona odd goals	49.6%	47.3%	45.9%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	66.1%	71.5%	87.2%	0.82×	1.40
Both halves over 1.5 goals	33.9%	28.5%	12.8%	2.22×	3.51

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	83.4%	77.4%	62.3%	1.24×	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	16.6%	22.6%	37.7%	0.60×	4.42

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	75.4%	75.3%	52.3%	1.44×	1.33
Barcelona to score 2+ in a row	58.0%	55.4%	23.6%	2.35×	1.80
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.4%	36.3%	18.9%	1.92×	2.76
Levante to score 2+ in a row	32.0%	28.5%	34.3%	0.83×	3.51
Barcelona to score 3+ in a row	28.0%	25.2%	6.3%	4.00×	3.97
Levante to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	13.1%	0.43×	17.76

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona corners (+3.5)	86.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Barcelona corners (+2.5)	80.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Levante corners (+3.5)	77.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Barcelona corners (+1.5)	71.9%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Levante corners (+2.5)	68.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Levante corners (+1.5)	58.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Barcelona corners (-1.5)	41.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Barcelona corners (-2.5)	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Levante corners (-1.5)	28.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Barcelona corners (-3.5)	22.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Levante corners (-2.5)	19.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Levante corners (-3.5)	13.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
12+ corners	35.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	30.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	65.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	45.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	35.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	11.6%	11.5%	2.8%	4.14×	8.73
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.46
1-1	7.1%	7.4%	15.0%	0.50×	13.46
1-3	6.9%	7.4%	1.9%	3.94×	13.46
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	4.4%	1.69×	13.46
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	4.7%	1.60×	13.46
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.46
2-3	5.4%	7.4%	2.0%	3.69×	13.46
0-0	1.9%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.58
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.57
0-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.57
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.58
1-0	2.9%	1.7%	13.0%	0.13×	58.58
1-4	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.39×	58.57
2-0	2.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.58
2-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.39×	58.57
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.59
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.58
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.54×	58.57
3-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.58
3-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.52×	58.58
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.59
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.58
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.26×	58.59
4-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.1%	13.57×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona leading at HT (DNB)	68.7%	73.7%	37.6%	1.96×	1.36
Levante leading at HT (DNB)	31.3%	26.3%	62.4%	0.42×	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante or Barcelona (12)	80.8%	80.7%	75.0%	1.08×	1.24
Barcelona or draw (X2)	75.5%	75.6%	53.0%	1.43×	1.32
Levante or draw (1X)	43.7%	46.0%	72.0%	0.64×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw at HT	78.8%	80.1%	64.5%	1.24×	1.25
Levante or Barcelona at HT	67.7%	66.1%	56.8%	1.16×	1.51
Levante or draw at HT	53.5%	47.6%	78.6%	0.61×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw (1UP)	75.5%	83.8%	59.8%	1.40×	1.19
Levante or draw (1UP)	47.8%	52.3%	78.2%	0.67×	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw in 2nd half	73.5%	73.8%	60.6%	1.22×	1.36
Levante or Barcelona in 2nd half	71.8%	73.7%	67.0%	1.10×	1.36
Levante or draw in 2nd half	54.6%	54.4%	72.3%	0.75×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	51.4%	50.0%	62.3%	0.80×	2.00
Neither half drawn	48.6%	50.0%	37.7%	1.33×	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (DNB)	69.7%	67.2%	37.4%	1.80×	1.49
Levante (DNB)	30.3%	32.8%	62.6%	0.52×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score first	59.5%	62.3%	39.4%	1.58×	1.60
Levante to score first	38.7%	32.6%	55.7%	0.59×	3.07
No goal scored	1.9%	4.3%	5.0%	0.85×	23.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	72.0%	62.3%	55.1%	1.13×	1.60
Not both teams to score	28.0%	37.7%	44.9%	0.84×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	64.9%	50.2%	40.3%	1.25×	1.99
Not both score & under 2.5	17.1%	21.8%	35.6%	0.61×	4.59
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	9.4%	1.31×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	7.1%	8.4%	15.0%	0.56×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	67.8%	70.7%	86.5%	0.82×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	32.2%	29.3%	13.5%	2.18×	3.42

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.8%	66.3%	71.5%	0.93×	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.2%	33.7%	28.5%	1.18×	2.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	38.3%	45.3%	60.5%	0.75×	2.21
Both score 2nd half only	30.3%	26.9%	23.0%	1.17×	3.71
Both score 1st half only	17.5%	15.7%	11.2%	1.40×	6.39
Both score in both halves	13.9%	10.5%	5.5%	1.90×	9.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.6%	70.4%	83.4%	0.85×	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	31.4%	29.6%	16.6%	1.78×	3.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	73.6%	72.9%	54.7%	1.33×	1.37
A half without a goal	26.4%	27.1%	45.3%	0.60×	3.69

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.4%	47.4%	23.1%	2.05×	2.11
2-3 goals	34.5%	30.7%	50.1%	0.61×	3.26
7+ goals	10.8%	16.9%	2.1%	7.90×	5.92
0-1 goals	9.3%	7.6%	24.9%	0.31×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score 3+	43.2%	37.0%	9.7%	3.82×	2.70
Barcelona to score exactly 2	26.1%	27.4%	22.0%	1.24×	3.65
Barcelona to score exactly 1	21.7%	22.4%	38.1%	0.59×	4.47
Barcelona to score exactly 0	9.0%	8.5%	30.4%	0.28×	11.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to score exactly 1	32.7%	32.6%	38.5%	0.85×	3.06
Levante to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.77
Levante to score exactly 0	20.9%	23.3%	19.5%	1.19×	4.30
Levante to score 3+	20.8%	23.3%	19.6%	1.19×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona leading at HT	46.5%	52.4%	21.4%	2.45×	1.91
Draw at HT	32.3%	33.9%	43.2%	0.78×	2.95
Levante leading at HT	21.2%	19.9%	35.5%	0.56×	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona -1: 1	43.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Barcelona -1: 2	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Barcelona -1: X	20.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (0:1)	75.5%	73.7%	53.0%	1.39×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	13.3%	13.8%	26.3%	0.53×	7.22
Levante (0:1)	11.1%	13.8%	20.9%	0.66×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (0:2)	88.9%	87.0%	79.1%	1.10×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.98
Levante (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	9.9%	0.38×	26.45

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	7.0%	0.34×	42.01
Levante (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	3.0%	0.79×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	97.0%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.36
Levante (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.8%	1.59×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (1:0)	43.7%	43.0%	72.0%	0.60×	2.33
Barcelona (1:0)	35.8%	37.4%	10.6%	3.54×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	20.5%	21.7%	17.6%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante (2:0)	64.2%	66.9%	89.4%	0.75×	1.49
Barcelona (2:0)	19.3%	15.7%	3.8%	4.17×	6.36
Draw (2:0)	16.5%	15.6%	6.9%	2.26×	6.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.3%	51.3%	0.94×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	30.3%	29.3%	26.4%	1.11×	3.41
Halves equal	20.2%	24.2%	22.4%	1.08×	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to concede	91.0%	92.9%	69.6%	1.34×	1.08
Levante clean sheet	9.0%	7.1%	30.4%	0.23×	14.04

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante to concede in 1st half	66.7%	68.2%	36.4%	1.87×	1.47
Levante clean sheet in 1st half	33.3%	31.8%	63.6%	0.50×	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante over 2.5 corners	80.2%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Levante under 6.5 corners	76.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Levante over 3.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Levante under 5.5 corners	64.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Levante under 4.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Levante over 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Levante over 5.5 corners	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Levante under 3.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Levante over 6.5 corners	23.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Levante under 2.5 corners	19.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 3.5 goals	92.6%	92.2%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Levante under 2.5 goals	79.2%	77.7%	80.4%	0.97×	1.29
Levante over 0.5 goals	79.1%	77.7%	80.5%	0.97×	1.29
Levante under 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.3%	57.9%	0.92×	1.88
Levante over 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.7%	42.1%	1.11×	2.14
Levante under 0.5 goals	20.9%	22.3%	19.5%	1.14×	4.49
Levante over 2.5 goals	20.8%	22.3%	19.6%	1.14×	4.49
Levante over 3.5 goals	7.4%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.9%	86.1%	1.04×	1.11
Levante over 0.5 in 1st half	47.1%	51.0%	48.1%	1.06×	1.96
Levante under 0.5 in 1st half	52.9%	49.0%	51.9%	0.95×	2.04
Levante over 1.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.1%	13.9%	0.73×	9.90

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (home no bet)	74.5%	66.9%	52.8%	1.27×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	25.5%	33.1%	47.2%	0.70×	3.02

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante even goals	52.2%	50.6%	47.4%	1.07×	1.98
Levante odd goals	47.8%	49.4%	52.6%	0.94×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	19.4%	18.9%	16.4%	1.16×	5.29
HT 0-0	17.6%	18.9%	32.1%	0.59×	5.30
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.1%	10.2%	1.08×	9.05
Any other HT score	12.4%	11.1%	4.5%	2.44×	9.05
HT 1-0	11.2%	11.0%	22.8%	0.48×	9.06
HT 0-2	10.6%	11.0%	2.9%	3.81×	9.06
HT 1-2	6.8%	7.1%	1.5%	4.69×	14.11
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.2%	3.1%	0.71×	44.63
HT 2-0	3.6%	2.2%	6.3%	0.36×	44.66
HT 2-2	2.2%	2.2%	1.1%	1.97×	44.77

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona at HT / Barcelona at FT	38.0%	41.2%	12.7%	3.24×	2.43
Draw at HT / Barcelona at FT	14.7%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.88
Levante at HT / Levante at FT	13.1%	12.7%	26.6%	0.48×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.1%	6.1%	13.9%	0.44×	16.52
Draw at HT / Levante at FT	8.5%	6.0%	18.0%	0.34×	16.54
Barcelona at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	6.2%	0.97×	16.63
Levante at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	5.2%	0.67×	29.10
Levante at HT / Barcelona at FT	3.6%	3.4%	4.0%	0.85×	29.14
Barcelona at HT / Levante at FT	2.8%	3.4%	2.8%	1.24×	29.17

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score last	59.5%	56.7%	39.3%	1.44×	1.77
Levante to score last	38.7%	38.4%	55.8%	0.69×	2.61
No goal scored	1.9%	4.3%	5.0%	0.85×	23.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.1%	95.6%	95.0%	1.01×	1.05
Barcelona to lead by 1 at any time	73.5%	74.2%	47.0%	1.58×	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	64.2%	61.5%	41.6%	1.48×	1.63
Levante to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.0%	63.4%	0.69×	2.27
Barcelona to lead by 2 at any time	45.7%	44.0%	15.4%	2.86×	2.28
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	30.7%	29.4%	16.6%	1.77×	3.40
Barcelona to lead by 3 at any time	24.1%	19.6%	4.5%	4.33×	5.09
Levante to lead by 2 at any time	19.3%	15.0%	26.6%	0.56×	6.68
Levante to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.5%	12.2%	0.53×	15.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona most corners	51.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Levante most corners	37.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
1-5 goals	77.1%	78.6%	89.3%	0.88×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.6%	69.0%	69.4%	0.99×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.1%	69.0%	47.5%	1.45×	1.45
1-4 goals	61.5%	63.5%	81.8%	0.78×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	43.9%	1.21×	1.88
2-4 goals	54.1%	53.1%	61.9%	0.86×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.4%	48.7%	23.1%	2.10×	2.06
1-3 goals	42.0%	43.6%	69.9%	0.62×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.1%	39.2%	19.5%	2.01×	2.55
2-3 goals	34.5%	35.4%	50.1%	0.71×	2.83
5-6 goals	25.8%	30.2%	11.3%	2.67×	3.31
1-2 goals	22.3%	24.4%	45.5%	0.54×	4.09
7+ goals	10.8%	14.8%	2.1%	6.94×	6.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona never behind	50.3%	62.4%	36.7%	1.70×	1.60
Levante never behind	24.7%	24.6%	53.0%	0.46×	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.8%	53.6%	0.95×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.2%	46.4%	1.06×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.6%	51.5%	53.4%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.4%	48.5%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	52.0%	49.7%	1.05×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	48.0%	50.3%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.1%	95.5%	95.0%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	75.1%	1.23×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	78.9%	77.4%	94.2%	0.82×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	75.8%	77.4%	49.6%	1.56×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	63.4%	61.8%	86.7%	0.71×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	56.2%	58.8%	25.2%	2.34×	1.70
Under 3.5 goals	43.8%	41.2%	74.8%	0.55×	2.43
Over 4.5 goals	36.6%	38.2%	13.3%	2.87×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	24.2%	22.6%	50.4%	0.45×	4.42
Over 5.5 goals	21.1%	22.6%	5.8%	3.91×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	24.9%	0.31×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	1.9%	4.5%	5.0%	0.89×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	89.0%	86.7%	66.6%	1.30×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	88.0%	86.7%	97.8%	0.89×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	75.1%	75.9%	93.7%	0.81×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.9%	67.4%	33.3%	2.02×	1.49
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	54.5%	51.8%	84.9%	0.61×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	45.5%	48.2%	15.1%	3.19×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.1%	32.6%	66.7%	0.49×	3.06
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	24.9%	24.1%	6.3%	3.85×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	12.0%	13.3%	2.2%	5.98×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.0%	13.3%	33.4%	0.40×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	82.4%	86.4%	67.9%	1.27×	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.2%	90.1%	0.79×	1.41
Over 1.5 in 1st half	51.8%	56.3%	29.0%	1.94×	1.78
Under 1.5 in 1st half	48.2%	43.7%	71.0%	0.62×	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.8%	10.0%	2.90×	3.47
Under 0.5 in 1st half	17.6%	13.6%	32.1%	0.42×	7.37

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	85.5%	81.7%	1.05×	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.5%	67.0%	46.2%	1.45×	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	61.8%	79.8%	0.77×	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	38.2%	20.2%	1.90×	2.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.5%	33.0%	53.8%	0.61×	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.5%	18.3%	0.79×	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante not to score in both halves	71.5%	74.2%	73.7%	1.01×	1.35
Barcelona not to score in both halves	51.3%	56.5%	81.6%	0.69×	1.77
Barcelona to score in both halves	48.7%	43.5%	18.4%	2.37×	2.30
Levante to score in both halves	28.5%	25.8%	26.3%	0.98×	3.88

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	72.0%	66.3%	55.1%	1.20×	1.51
Only Barcelona scores	19.0%	16.1%	14.6%	1.11×	6.20
Only Levante scores	7.1%	7.2%	25.5%	0.28×	13.94
Neither team scores	1.9%	4.6%	5.0%	0.91×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	21.1%	22.6%	5.8%	3.91×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.7%	17.5%	24.5%	0.71×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	12.0%	1.46×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.5%	17.4%	7.7%	2.27×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	14.8%	12.1%	25.7%	0.47×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	7.5%	7.6%	20.0%	0.38×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	1.9%	4.4%	5.0%	0.88×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.5%	57.8%	46.2%	1.25×	1.73
1 goal in 2nd half	23.9%	23.5%	35.6%	0.66×	4.25
No goals in 2nd half	10.7%	14.3%	18.3%	0.79×	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante not to win both halves	94.4%	94.0%	88.2%	1.07×	1.06
Barcelona not to win both halves	78.9%	75.4%	94.7%	0.80×	1.33
Barcelona to win both halves	21.1%	24.6%	5.3%	4.64×	4.07
Levante to win both halves	5.6%	6.0%	11.8%	0.51×	16.71

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to win either half	70.8%	72.9%	43.8%	1.66×	1.37
Levante to win neither half	57.9%	59.4%	36.9%	1.61×	1.68
Levante to win either half	42.1%	40.6%	63.1%	0.64×	2.47
Barcelona to win neither half	29.2%	27.1%	56.2%	0.48×	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Levante not to win to nil	92.9%	92.0%	74.5%	1.24×	1.09
Barcelona not to win to nil	81.0%	83.0%	85.4%	0.97×	1.21
Barcelona to win to nil	19.0%	17.0%	14.6%	1.17×	5.87
Levante to win to nil	7.1%	8.0%	25.5%	0.31×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona by 1	20.5%	24.1%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Barcelona by 3+	19.3%	16.9%	3.8%	4.49×	5.90
Draw	19.2%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.90
Barcelona by 2	16.5%	16.9%	6.9%	2.45×	5.90
Levante by 1	13.3%	11.8%	26.3%	0.45×	8.46
Levante by 2	7.0%	7.2%	11.1%	0.65×	13.81
Levante by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	9.9%	0.27×	36.94