betaider.com

Llaneros v América de Cali — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 5 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Llaneros win
22.8%
model 24.5%
Draw
30.0%
model 30.6%
América de Cali win
47.1%
model 44.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.1%
  2. 0-1 13.1%
  3. 0-0 12.1%
  4. 0-2 9.4%
  5. 1-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.538.3% Under 2.561.7%
BTTS yes44.8% BTTS no55.2%
Llaneros 1+59.5% Llaneros 2+22.9%
América de Cali 1+73.2% América de Cali 2+37.8%

Expected goals 0.91 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
América de Cali (DNB)
Draw no bet · usually 35%
63.0% fair odds 1.59
strong signal · 255 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Llaneros not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1467.
  • Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

América de Cali have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 30.0% for the draw and 22.8% for Llaneros. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.91 for Llaneros and 1.31 for América de Cali.

Why Llaneros

Nothing in the data singles out Llaneros.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.0%. A combined 2.22 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why América de Cali can win

América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1467. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Llaneros, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for América de Cali, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Llaneros: 40% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. América de Cali: 55% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

América de Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.91–1.32 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.78–1.20 0-1 15% 32% 39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali to win 44.7% 43.1% 24.8% 1.74× 2.32
Draw 32.5% 30.4% 29.5% 1.03× 3.29
Llaneros to win 22.9% 24.5% 45.9% 0.53× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali & not both score 30.8% 29.7% 13.5% 2.20× 3.37
Draw & both teams score 17.5% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Llaneros & not both score 15.1% 17.9% 27.1% 0.66× 5.58
Draw & not both score 15.0% 13.3% 10.8% 1.22× 7.54
América de Cali & both teams score 13.9% 13.3% 11.4% 1.16× 7.54
Llaneros & both teams score 7.7% 8.4% 18.9% 0.44× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali & under 3.5 37.0% 34.9% 19.9% 1.75× 2.87
América de Cali & over 1.5 29.4% 26.0% 16.4% 1.59× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 29.1% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 29.1% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
América de Cali & under 2.5 25.3% 26.0% 12.1% 2.15× 3.84
Llaneros & under 3.5 19.9% 18.0% 35.7% 0.50× 5.56
América de Cali & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 12.8% 1.41× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.5% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
América de Cali & under 1.5 15.3% 18.0% 8.5% 2.12× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 15.0% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Llaneros & under 2.5 13.8% 12.9% 20.4% 0.63× 7.77
Llaneros & over 1.5 13.3% 12.9% 33.9% 0.38× 7.77
Llaneros & under 1.5 9.6% 7.9% 12.1% 0.65× 12.69
Llaneros & over 2.5 9.1% 7.9% 25.6% 0.31× 12.69
América de Cali & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 5.0% 1.57× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 3.4% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.94
Draw & over 3.5 3.4% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.94
Llaneros & over 3.5 2.9% 4.8% 10.3% 0.46× 20.94
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (1UP) 56.6% 58.1% 1.72
Llaneros (1UP) 36.7% 34.3% 2.92
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (2UP) 44.7% 47.8% 2.09
Llaneros (2UP) 22.9% 23.7% 4.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 42.8% 41.1% 2.43
América de Cali to win 2nd half 37.4% 36.1% 2.77
Llaneros to win 2nd half 19.8% 19.2% 5.21
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (+2.5) 98.3% 96.3% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
América de Cali (+1.5) 92.6% 92.1% 79.6% 1.16× 1.09
América de Cali (+0.5) 77.1% 78.4% 54.1% 1.45× 1.28
Llaneros (+0.5) 55.3% 57.0% 75.2% 0.76× 1.76
América de Cali (-0.5) 44.7% 43.0% 24.8% 1.74× 2.33
Llaneros (-0.5) 22.9% 21.6% 45.9% 0.47× 4.64
Llaneros (-1.5) 7.4% 7.9% 20.4% 0.39× 12.63
Llaneros (-2.5) 1.7% 3.7% 8.2% 0.45× 26.96
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali to concede 54.3% 56.0% 75.8% 0.74× 1.79
América de Cali clean sheet 45.7% 44.0% 24.2% 1.82× 2.27
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali clean sheet in 1st half 71.4% 77.4% 1.29
América de Cali to concede in 1st half 28.6% 22.6% 4.42
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali under 6.5 corners 82.7% 81.5% 1.23
América de Cali under 5.5 corners 73.0% 71.6% 1.40
América de Cali over 2.5 corners 72.2% 71.6% 1.40
América de Cali under 4.5 corners 60.1% 61.8% 1.62
América de Cali over 3.5 corners 55.5% 57.1% 1.75
América de Cali under 3.5 corners 44.5% 42.9% 2.33
América de Cali over 4.5 corners 39.9% 38.2% 2.62
América de Cali under 2.5 corners 27.8% 28.4% 3.52
América de Cali over 5.5 corners 27.0% 28.4% 3.52
América de Cali over 6.5 corners 17.3% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali under 3.5 goals 96.6% 97.5% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
América de Cali under 2.5 goals 87.9% 87.9% 92.9% 0.95× 1.14
América de Cali over 0.5 goals 69.9% 68.0% 62.2% 1.09× 1.47
América de Cali under 1.5 goals 66.2% 67.9% 74.4% 0.91× 1.47
América de Cali over 1.5 goals 33.8% 32.1% 25.6% 1.25× 3.12
América de Cali under 0.5 goals 30.1% 32.0% 37.8% 0.85× 3.12
América de Cali over 2.5 goals 12.1% 12.1% 7.1% 1.71× 8.26
América de Cali over 3.5 goals 3.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.26× 40.70
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali under 1.5 in 1st half 91.6% 94.1% 1.06
América de Cali under 0.5 in 1st half 61.9% 64.1% 1.56
América de Cali over 0.5 in 1st half 38.1% 35.9% 2.79
América de Cali over 1.5 in 1st half 8.4% 5.9% 17.08
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 58.7% 57.5% 39.1% 1.47× 1.74
Llaneros (away no bet) 41.3% 42.5% 60.9% 0.70× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali even goals 54.5% 52.8% 57.4% 0.92× 1.89
América de Cali odd goals 45.5% 47.2% 42.6% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.6% 92.9% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.4% 7.1% 14.01
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 53.6% 50.2% 1.99
Not both halves under 1.5 46.4% 49.8% 2.01
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 40.5% 38.2% 2.62
América de Cali to score 2+ in a row 28.9% 25.1% 3.99
Llaneros to score 2+ in a row 14.0% 12.2% 8.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row 11.6% 12.2% 8.23
América de Cali to score 3+ in a row 8.9% 5.7% 17.57
Llaneros to score 3+ in a row 2.7% 2.6% 38.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros corners (+3.5) 87.6% 84.5% 1.18
Llaneros corners (+2.5) 81.3% 79.7% 1.25
América de Cali corners (+3.5) 77.3% 74.9% 1.34
Llaneros corners (+1.5) 73.1% 70.7% 1.41
América de Cali corners (+2.5) 68.6% 65.8% 1.52
América de Cali corners (+1.5) 58.5% 57.1% 1.75
Llaneros corners (-1.5) 41.5% 42.9% 2.33
Llaneros corners (-2.5) 31.4% 34.2% 2.92
América de Cali corners (-1.5) 26.9% 29.3% 3.42
Llaneros corners (-3.5) 22.7% 25.1% 3.98
América de Cali corners (-2.5) 18.7% 20.3% 4.93
América de Cali corners (-3.5) 12.4% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.8% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 27.9% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 25.3% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 81.4% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 74.7% 72.6% 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 66.6% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.9% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 57.2% 57.8% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.2% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 46.8% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 42.8% 42.2% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.1% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 33.4% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 25.3% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 18.6% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 15.3% 13.7% 8.5% 1.62× 7.28
0-0 15.0% 11.5% 10.8% 1.06× 8.73
1-1 14.1% 11.5% 13.1% 0.88× 8.73
0-2 9.9% 7.4% 3.8% 1.98× 13.48
1-0 9.6% 7.4% 12.1% 0.61× 13.48
1-2 7.8% 7.4% 7.0% 1.07× 13.48
2-1 5.1% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.48
0-3 4.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.47
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.48
1-3 3.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.47
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.48
2-0 4.2% 1.7% 8.5% 0.20× 58.47
2-2 3.0% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.47
2-3 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.48
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.49
3-0 1.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.48
3-1 1.3% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.48
3-2 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.49
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.49
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.15× 58.49
4-0 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.49
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.49
4-2 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.49
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.49
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.49
Any other score 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali leading at HT (DNB) 60.7% 65.6% 1.53
Llaneros leading at HT (DNB) 39.3% 34.4% 2.91
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali or draw (X2) 77.1% 75.5% 54.1% 1.40× 1.32
Llaneros or América de Cali (12) 67.5% 69.6% 70.5% 0.99× 1.44
Llaneros or draw (1X) 55.3% 56.9% 75.2% 0.76× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali or draw at HT 81.2% 84.4% 1.19
Llaneros or draw at HT 70.9% 74.3% 1.35
Llaneros or América de Cali at HT 48.0% 52.1% 1.92
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali or draw (1UP) 77.1% 83.9% 1.19
Llaneros or draw (1UP) 55.3% 62.5% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali or draw in 2nd half 80.2% 80.8% 1.24
Llaneros or draw in 2nd half 62.6% 63.9% 1.56
Llaneros or América de Cali in 2nd half 57.2% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.4% 70.4% 1.42
Neither half drawn 28.6% 29.7% 3.37
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (DNB) 66.2% 67.1% 35.0% 1.92× 1.49
Llaneros (DNB) 33.8% 32.9% 65.0% 0.51× 3.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali to score first 51.5% 53.8% 1.86
Llaneros to score first 33.5% 27.3% 3.67
No goal scored 15.0% 10.8% 9.26
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 60.9% 56.5% 51.2% 1.10× 1.77
Both teams to score 39.1% 43.5% 48.8% 0.89× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 54.0% 47.1% 43.1% 1.09× 2.12
Both score & over 2.5 25.0% 27.8% 35.9% 0.77× 3.60
Both score & under 2.5 14.1% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.10
Not both score & over 2.5 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 1.02× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.8% 89.1% 88.7% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 6.2% 10.9% 11.3% 0.97× 9.20
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 81.1% 72.6% 1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half 18.9% 27.4% 3.65
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 72.0% 67.8% 1.48
Both score 2nd half only 16.9% 15.6% 6.41
Both score 1st half only 9.1% 6.8% 14.64
Both score in both halves 2.0% 4.9% 20.32
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.9% 86.3% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 11.1% 13.7% 7.30
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 61.0% 58.8% 1.70
A goal in each half 39.0% 41.2% 2.43
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.2% 47.4% 48.1% 0.98× 2.11
0-1 goals 39.9% 35.1% 31.2% 1.13× 2.85
4-6 goals 13.5% 16.9% 19.5% 0.87× 5.90
7+ goals 0.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.19× 54.76
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali to score exactly 1 36.1% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
América de Cali to score exactly 0 30.1% 33.8% 37.8% 0.89× 2.96
América de Cali to score exactly 2 21.7% 22.4% 18.6% 1.20× 4.46
América de Cali to score 3+ 12.1% 12.8% 7.1% 1.81× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros to score exactly 0 45.7% 36.8% 24.2% 1.52× 2.72
Llaneros to score exactly 1 35.8% 35.6% 34.4% 1.04× 2.81
Llaneros to score exactly 2 14.0% 14.3% 26.1% 0.55× 6.98
Llaneros to score 3+ 4.5% 6.2% 15.6% 0.40× 16.14
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 52.0% 47.9% 2.09
América de Cali leading at HT 29.1% 25.7% 3.89
Llaneros leading at HT 18.8% 15.6% 6.40
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali -1: 1 55.3% 56.6% 1.77
América de Cali -1: X 24.4% 23.6% 4.24
América de Cali -1: 2 20.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (0:1) 77.1% 73.8% 54.1% 1.36× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 15.5% 17.8% 25.6% 0.69× 5.63
Llaneros (0:1) 7.4% 9.2% 20.4% 0.45× 10.88
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (0:2) 92.6% 90.8% 79.6% 1.14× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 5.7% 7.7% 12.4% 0.62× 12.96
Llaneros (0:2) 1.7% 3.8% 8.2% 0.46× 26.66
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (0:3) 98.3% 96.6% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.4% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.20
Llaneros (0:3) 0.3% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.25
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (0:4) 99.7% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Llaneros (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.07× 83.68
Draw (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 0.61× 83.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros (1:0) 55.3% 58.0% 75.2% 0.77× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 24.4% 21.8% 17.2% 1.26× 4.59
América de Cali (1:0) 20.3% 21.8% 7.7% 2.84× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros (2:0) 79.7% 80.4% 92.4% 0.87× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 13.4% 10.4% 5.0% 2.08× 9.62
América de Cali (2:0) 6.8% 6.5% 2.8% 2.32× 15.49
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.0% 49.4% 2.02
Halves equal 32.1% 28.9% 3.46
1st half highest scoring 24.9% 24.1% 4.14
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros to concede 69.9% 66.6% 62.2% 1.07× 1.50
Llaneros clean sheet 30.1% 33.4% 37.8% 0.88× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros clean sheet in 1st half 61.9% 64.1% 1.56
Llaneros to concede in 1st half 38.1% 35.9% 2.79
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros over 2.5 corners 80.1% 80.9% 1.24
Llaneros under 6.5 corners 73.5% 71.9% 1.39
Llaneros over 3.5 corners 66.0% 66.7% 1.50
Llaneros under 5.5 corners 62.3% 62.3% 1.61
Llaneros over 4.5 corners 51.3% 52.8% 1.90
Llaneros under 4.5 corners 48.7% 47.2% 2.12
Llaneros over 5.5 corners 37.7% 37.7% 2.65
Llaneros under 3.5 corners 34.0% 33.3% 3.00
Llaneros over 6.5 corners 26.5% 28.1% 3.56
Llaneros under 2.5 corners 19.9% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros under 3.5 goals 99.2% 96.4% 95.3% 1.01× 1.04
Llaneros under 2.5 goals 95.5% 96.4% 84.4% 1.14× 1.04
Llaneros under 1.5 goals 81.5% 82.1% 58.4% 1.41× 1.22
Llaneros over 0.5 goals 54.3% 53.3% 75.8% 0.70× 1.88
Llaneros under 0.5 goals 45.7% 46.7% 24.2% 1.93× 2.14
Llaneros over 1.5 goals 18.5% 17.9% 41.6% 0.43× 5.59
Llaneros over 2.5 goals 4.5% 3.6% 15.6% 0.23× 27.41
Llaneros over 3.5 goals 0.8% 3.6% 4.7% 0.77× 27.58
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros under 1.5 in 1st half 95.5% 96.9% 1.03
Llaneros under 0.5 in 1st half 71.4% 79.7% 1.25
Llaneros over 0.5 in 1st half 28.6% 20.3% 4.93
Llaneros over 1.5 in 1st half 4.5% 3.1% 31.99
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali (home no bet) 57.9% 56.7% 45.6% 1.24× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 42.1% 43.3% 54.4% 0.80× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros even goals 60.5% 55.9% 53.4% 1.05× 1.79
Llaneros odd goals 39.5% 44.1% 46.6% 0.95× 2.27
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 44.4% 42.3% 2.37
HT 0-1 21.0% 24.1% 4.15
HT 1-0 14.7% 11.0% 9.13
HT 1-1 7.3% 7.1% 14.05
HT 0-2 5.1% 7.1% 14.08
HT 2-0 2.5% 2.3% 43.43
HT 1-2 1.7% 2.3% 43.48
Any other HT score 1.8% 2.3% 43.48
HT 2-1 1.2% 2.3% 43.52
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.3% 43.59
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali at HT / América de Cali at FT 24.0% 21.9% 4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.5% 21.8% 4.58
Draw at HT / América de Cali at FT 18.8% 16.8% 5.96
Llaneros at HT / Llaneros at FT 12.1% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Llaneros at FT 9.8% 6.0% 16.60
Llaneros at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.78
América de Cali at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.5% 28.80
Llaneros at HT / América de Cali at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.89
América de Cali at HT / Llaneros at FT 0.9% 3.5% 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali to score last 51.6% 51.9% 1.93
Llaneros to score last 33.4% 33.0% 3.03
No goal scored 15.0% 10.2% 9.81
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 85.0% 90.1% 1.11
América de Cali to lead by 1 at any time 56.6% 55.1% 1.82
Llaneros to lead by 1 at any time 36.7% 34.8% 2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 34.5% 29.5% 3.39
América de Cali to lead by 2 at any time 24.2% 19.7% 5.09
Llaneros to lead by 2 at any time 10.3% 10.4% 9.59
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.1% 10.4% 9.59
América de Cali to lead by 3 at any time 7.9% 6.7% 15.04
Llaneros to lead by 3 at any time 2.2% 1.6% 62.13
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros most corners 52.4% 51.9% 1.93
América de Cali most corners 36.7% 39.3% 2.54
Corners level 10.9% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.4% 83.5% 85.7% 0.98× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.9% 78.6% 80.0% 0.98× 1.27
1-3 goals 71.1% 72.4% 68.4% 1.06× 1.38
2-6 goals 59.7% 59.2% 67.5% 0.88× 1.69
2-5 goals 58.5% 59.2% 65.4% 0.91× 1.69
2-4 goals 55.0% 59.2% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 53.2% 53.2% 45.3% 1.17× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.2% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 31.4% 35.4% 42.6% 0.83× 2.83
3-5 goals 30.3% 35.4% 40.5% 0.87× 2.83
3-4 goals 26.8% 30.2% 34.8% 0.87× 3.31
4-6 goals 13.5% 14.9% 19.5% 0.76× 6.72
4-5 goals 12.4% 14.9% 17.4% 0.86× 6.72
5-6 goals 4.7% 2.6% 7.9% 0.32× 39.12
7+ goals 0.4% 2.5% 1.5% 1.66× 39.32
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
América de Cali never behind 48.4% 56.6% 1.77
Llaneros never behind 28.4% 30.1% 3.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.7% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.3% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 60.2% 57.0% 1.76
Odd goals in 1st half 39.8% 43.0% 2.32
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.7% 58.4% 1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.3% 41.6% 2.40
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.4% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 94.9% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 86.0% 87.6% 79.1% 1.11× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 85.0% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 2.5 goals 68.1% 66.2% 56.1% 1.18× 1.51
Over 1.5 goals 60.1% 61.7% 68.8% 0.90× 1.62
Under 1.5 goals 39.9% 38.3% 31.2% 1.23× 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 31.9% 33.8% 44.0% 0.77× 2.96
Under 0.5 goals 15.0% 12.4% 10.8% 1.14× 8.09
Over 3.5 goals 14.0% 12.4% 20.9% 0.59× 8.09
Over 4.5 goals 5.1% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 1.6% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.24
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.6% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.3% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.4% 92.5% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 83.0% 81.1% 72.9% 1.11× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.6% 55.4% 41.5% 1.34× 1.81
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.4% 44.6% 58.5% 0.76× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 17.0% 18.9% 27.1% 0.70× 5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.6% 7.5% 10.5% 0.71× 13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.7% 2.8% 3.8% 0.72× 36.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.4% 2.8% 1.6% 1.77× 36.21
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 95.0% 95.8% 1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.1% 86.1% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 55.6% 62.6% 1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half 44.4% 37.4% 2.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half 19.9% 13.9% 7.20
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.0% 4.2% 23.57
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 88.7% 85.4% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 68.4% 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.1% 67.5% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.9% 32.5% 3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.6% 32.4% 3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.3% 14.6% 6.86
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros not to score in both halves 89.7% 86.0% 1.16
América de Cali not to score in both halves 80.4% 84.2% 1.19
América de Cali to score in both halves 19.6% 15.8% 6.33
Llaneros to score in both halves 10.3% 14.0% 7.12
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 39.1% 39.9% 48.8% 0.82× 2.51
Only América de Cali scores 30.8% 33.3% 13.5% 2.47× 3.00
Only Llaneros scores 15.1% 16.1% 27.1% 0.59× 6.22
Neither team scores 15.0% 10.9% 10.8% 1.01× 9.13
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.3% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 24.9% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 17.9% 17.4% 23.2% 0.75× 5.74
Exactly 0 goals 15.0% 12.1% 10.8% 1.11× 8.27
Exactly 4 goals 8.9% 7.6% 11.7% 0.65× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 0.76× 22.66
6 or more goals 1.6% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.69
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 35.5% 39.5% 2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half 32.9% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 31.6% 33.4% 2.99
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros not to win both halves 96.1% 97.2% 1.03
América de Cali not to win both halves 88.9% 88.0% 1.14
América de Cali to win both halves 11.1% 12.0% 8.30
Llaneros to win both halves 3.9% 2.8% 35.62
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros to win neither half 65.2% 67.8% 1.48
América de Cali to win either half 55.4% 59.4% 1.68
América de Cali to win neither half 44.6% 40.6% 2.46
Llaneros to win either half 34.8% 32.2% 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Llaneros not to win to nil 84.9% 83.0% 72.9% 1.14× 1.20
América de Cali not to win to nil 69.2% 69.7% 86.5% 0.81× 1.44
América de Cali to win to nil 30.8% 30.3% 13.5% 2.25× 3.30
Llaneros to win to nil 15.1% 17.0% 27.1% 0.63× 5.90
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 32.5% 27.6% 29.5% 0.94× 3.62
América de Cali by 1 24.4% 24.2% 17.2% 1.40× 4.14
Llaneros by 1 15.5% 16.9% 25.6% 0.66× 5.91
América de Cali by 2 13.4% 11.8% 5.0% 2.36× 8.47
América de Cali by 3+ 6.8% 7.3% 2.8% 2.61× 13.78
Llaneros by 2 5.7% 7.3% 12.4% 0.59× 13.79
Llaneros by 3+ 1.7% 2.7% 8.2% 0.33× 37.03
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide