Llaneros v América de Cali — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 5 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627
COL-Primera A
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 14.1%
- 0-1 13.1%
- 0-0 12.1%
- 0-2 9.4%
- 1-0 8.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 38.3% | Under 2.5 | 61.7% |
| BTTS yes | 44.8% | BTTS no | 55.2% |
| Llaneros 1+ | 59.5% | Llaneros 2+ | 22.9% |
| América de Cali 1+ | 73.2% | América de Cali 2+ | 37.8% |
Expected goals 0.91 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1467.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
América de Cali have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 30.0% for the draw and 22.8% for Llaneros. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.91 for Llaneros and 1.31 for América de Cali.
Why Llaneros
Nothing in the data singles out Llaneros.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 30.0%. A combined 2.22 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.
Why América de Cali can win
América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1467. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Llaneros, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for América de Cali, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Llaneros: 40% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. América de Cali: 55% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
América de Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.91–1.32 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.78–1.20 | 0-1 15% | 32% | 39% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali to win | 44.7% | 43.1% | 24.8% | 1.74× | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32.5% | 30.4% | 29.5% | 1.03× | 3.29 |
| Llaneros to win | 22.9% | 24.5% | 45.9% | 0.53× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali & not both score | 30.8% | 29.7% | 13.5% | 2.20× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 0.95× | 5.58 |
| Llaneros & not both score | 15.1% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 0.66× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 15.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 1.22× | 7.54 |
| América de Cali & both teams score | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 1.16× | 7.54 |
| Llaneros & both teams score | 7.7% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 0.44× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali & under 3.5 | 37.0% | 34.9% | 19.9% | 1.75× | 2.87 |
| América de Cali & over 1.5 | 29.4% | 26.0% | 16.4% | 1.59× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 29.1% | 26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 29.1% | 26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.84 |
| América de Cali & under 2.5 | 25.3% | 26.0% | 12.1% | 2.15× | 3.84 |
| Llaneros & under 3.5 | 19.9% | 18.0% | 35.7% | 0.50× | 5.56 |
| América de Cali & over 2.5 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 1.41× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.56 |
| América de Cali & under 1.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 2.12× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 1.19× | 7.77 |
| Llaneros & under 2.5 | 13.8% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 0.63× | 7.77 |
| Llaneros & over 1.5 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 33.9% | 0.38× | 7.77 |
| Llaneros & under 1.5 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 0.65× | 12.69 |
| Llaneros & over 2.5 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 25.6% | 0.31× | 12.69 |
| América de Cali & over 3.5 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.57× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.82× | 20.94 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.82× | 20.94 |
| Llaneros & over 3.5 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 0.46× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (1UP) | 56.6% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Llaneros (1UP) | 36.7% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (2UP) | 44.7% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Llaneros (2UP) | 22.9% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.22 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 42.8% | 41.1% | — | — | 2.43 |
| América de Cali to win 2nd half | 37.4% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Llaneros to win 2nd half | 19.8% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.21 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (+2.5) | 98.3% | 96.3% | 91.8% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| América de Cali (+1.5) | 92.6% | 92.1% | 79.6% | 1.16× | 1.09 |
| América de Cali (+0.5) | 77.1% | 78.4% | 54.1% | 1.45× | 1.28 |
| Llaneros (+0.5) | 55.3% | 57.0% | 75.2% | 0.76× | 1.76 |
| América de Cali (-0.5) | 44.7% | 43.0% | 24.8% | 1.74× | 2.33 |
| Llaneros (-0.5) | 22.9% | 21.6% | 45.9% | 0.47× | 4.64 |
| Llaneros (-1.5) | 7.4% | 7.9% | 20.4% | 0.39× | 12.63 |
| Llaneros (-2.5) | 1.7% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 0.45× | 26.96 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali to concede | 54.3% | 56.0% | 75.8% | 0.74× | 1.79 |
| América de Cali clean sheet | 45.7% | 44.0% | 24.2% | 1.82× | 2.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali clean sheet in 1st half | 71.4% | 77.4% | — | — | 1.29 |
| América de Cali to concede in 1st half | 28.6% | 22.6% | — | — | 4.42 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali under 6.5 corners | 82.7% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| América de Cali under 5.5 corners | 73.0% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| América de Cali over 2.5 corners | 72.2% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| América de Cali under 4.5 corners | 60.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| América de Cali over 3.5 corners | 55.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| América de Cali under 3.5 corners | 44.5% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| América de Cali over 4.5 corners | 39.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| América de Cali under 2.5 corners | 27.8% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| América de Cali over 5.5 corners | 27.0% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| América de Cali over 6.5 corners | 17.3% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali under 3.5 goals | 96.6% | 97.5% | 98.1% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| América de Cali under 2.5 goals | 87.9% | 87.9% | 92.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| América de Cali over 0.5 goals | 69.9% | 68.0% | 62.2% | 1.09× | 1.47 |
| América de Cali under 1.5 goals | 66.2% | 67.9% | 74.4% | 0.91× | 1.47 |
| América de Cali over 1.5 goals | 33.8% | 32.1% | 25.6% | 1.25× | 3.12 |
| América de Cali under 0.5 goals | 30.1% | 32.0% | 37.8% | 0.85× | 3.12 |
| América de Cali over 2.5 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.71× | 8.26 |
| América de Cali over 3.5 goals | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.26× | 40.70 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.6% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| América de Cali under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.9% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| América de Cali over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.1% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| América de Cali over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.4% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.08 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 58.7% | 57.5% | 39.1% | 1.47× | 1.74 |
| Llaneros (away no bet) | 41.3% | 42.5% | 60.9% | 0.70× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali even goals | 54.5% | 52.8% | 57.4% | 0.92× | 1.89 |
| América de Cali odd goals | 45.5% | 47.2% | 42.6% | 1.11× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 93.6% | 92.9% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 53.6% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 46.4% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 40.5% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| América de Cali to score 2+ in a row | 28.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Llaneros to score 2+ in a row | 14.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 11.6% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.23 |
| América de Cali to score 3+ in a row | 8.9% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.57 |
| Llaneros to score 3+ in a row | 2.7% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.89 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros corners (+3.5) | 87.6% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Llaneros corners (+2.5) | 81.3% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| América de Cali corners (+3.5) | 77.3% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Llaneros corners (+1.5) | 73.1% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| América de Cali corners (+2.5) | 68.6% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| América de Cali corners (+1.5) | 58.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Llaneros corners (-1.5) | 41.5% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Llaneros corners (-2.5) | 31.4% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| América de Cali corners (-1.5) | 26.9% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Llaneros corners (-3.5) | 22.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| América de Cali corners (-2.5) | 18.7% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| América de Cali corners (-3.5) | 12.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 46.8% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.9% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 25.3% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.4% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 74.7% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 66.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 63.9% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 53.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 46.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 36.1% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 33.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 25.3% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.6% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 15.3% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 1.62× | 7.28 |
| 0-0 | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 1.06× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 0.88× | 8.73 |
| 0-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.98× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 0.61× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.07× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 0.68× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 58.48 |
| 1-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.23× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.46× | 58.48 |
| 2-0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.20× | 58.47 |
| 2-2 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.33× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 12.29× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.72× | 58.49 |
| 3-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.05× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.15× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.02× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.46× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.46× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 12.29× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.72× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali leading at HT (DNB) | 60.7% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Llaneros leading at HT (DNB) | 39.3% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali or draw (X2) | 77.1% | 75.5% | 54.1% | 1.40× | 1.32 |
| Llaneros or América de Cali (12) | 67.5% | 69.6% | 70.5% | 0.99× | 1.44 |
| Llaneros or draw (1X) | 55.3% | 56.9% | 75.2% | 0.76× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali or draw at HT | 81.2% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Llaneros or draw at HT | 70.9% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Llaneros or América de Cali at HT | 48.0% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali or draw (1UP) | 77.1% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Llaneros or draw (1UP) | 55.3% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali or draw in 2nd half | 80.2% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Llaneros or draw in 2nd half | 62.6% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Llaneros or América de Cali in 2nd half | 57.2% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 71.4% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Neither half drawn | 28.6% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (DNB) | 66.2% | 67.1% | 35.0% | 1.92× | 1.49 |
| Llaneros (DNB) | 33.8% | 32.9% | 65.0% | 0.51× | 3.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali to score first | 51.5% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Llaneros to score first | 33.5% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.67 |
| No goal scored | 15.0% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.26 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 60.9% | 56.5% | 51.2% | 1.10× | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 39.1% | 43.5% | 48.8% | 0.89× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 54.0% | 47.1% | 43.1% | 1.09× | 2.12 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 25.0% | 27.8% | 35.9% | 0.77× | 3.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 0.94× | 8.10 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 1.02× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 93.8% | 89.1% | 88.7% | 1.00× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 6.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 0.97× | 9.20 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 81.1% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 18.9% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 72.0% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 16.9% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.1% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.64 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.0% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.32 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.9% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 11.1% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.30 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 61.0% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
| A goal in each half | 39.0% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 47.4% | 48.1% | 0.98× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 39.9% | 35.1% | 31.2% | 1.13× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.5% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 0.87× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.19× | 54.76 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali to score exactly 1 | 36.1% | 36.0% | 36.7% | 0.98× | 2.78 |
| América de Cali to score exactly 0 | 30.1% | 33.8% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.96 |
| América de Cali to score exactly 2 | 21.7% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 1.20× | 4.46 |
| América de Cali to score 3+ | 12.1% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.81× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros to score exactly 0 | 45.7% | 36.8% | 24.2% | 1.52× | 2.72 |
| Llaneros to score exactly 1 | 35.8% | 35.6% | 34.4% | 1.04× | 2.81 |
| Llaneros to score exactly 2 | 14.0% | 14.3% | 26.1% | 0.55× | 6.98 |
| Llaneros to score 3+ | 4.5% | 6.2% | 15.6% | 0.40× | 16.14 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 52.0% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
| América de Cali leading at HT | 29.1% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
| Llaneros leading at HT | 18.8% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali -1: 1 | 55.3% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| América de Cali -1: X | 24.4% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| América de Cali -1: 2 | 20.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (0:1) | 77.1% | 73.8% | 54.1% | 1.36× | 1.36 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.5% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 0.69× | 5.63 |
| Llaneros (0:1) | 7.4% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 0.45× | 10.88 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (0:2) | 92.6% | 90.8% | 79.6% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 0.62× | 12.96 |
| Llaneros (0:2) | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 0.46× | 26.66 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (0:3) | 98.3% | 96.6% | 91.8% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.20 |
| Llaneros (0:3) | 0.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.81× | 42.25 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (0:4) | 99.7% | 98.1% | 97.1% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Llaneros (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.07× | 83.68 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.61× | 83.65 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros (1:0) | 55.3% | 58.0% | 75.2% | 0.77× | 1.72 |
| Draw (1:0) | 24.4% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 1.26× | 4.59 |
| América de Cali (1:0) | 20.3% | 21.8% | 7.7% | 2.84× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros (2:0) | 79.7% | 80.4% | 92.4% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.08× | 9.62 |
| América de Cali (2:0) | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.32× | 15.49 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.0% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Halves equal | 32.1% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros to concede | 69.9% | 66.6% | 62.2% | 1.07× | 1.50 |
| Llaneros clean sheet | 30.1% | 33.4% | 37.8% | 0.88× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros clean sheet in 1st half | 61.9% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Llaneros to concede in 1st half | 38.1% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros over 2.5 corners | 80.1% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Llaneros under 6.5 corners | 73.5% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Llaneros over 3.5 corners | 66.0% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Llaneros under 5.5 corners | 62.3% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Llaneros over 4.5 corners | 51.3% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Llaneros under 4.5 corners | 48.7% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Llaneros over 5.5 corners | 37.7% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Llaneros under 3.5 corners | 34.0% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Llaneros over 6.5 corners | 26.5% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Llaneros under 2.5 corners | 19.9% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros under 3.5 goals | 99.2% | 96.4% | 95.3% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Llaneros under 2.5 goals | 95.5% | 96.4% | 84.4% | 1.14× | 1.04 |
| Llaneros under 1.5 goals | 81.5% | 82.1% | 58.4% | 1.41× | 1.22 |
| Llaneros over 0.5 goals | 54.3% | 53.3% | 75.8% | 0.70× | 1.88 |
| Llaneros under 0.5 goals | 45.7% | 46.7% | 24.2% | 1.93× | 2.14 |
| Llaneros over 1.5 goals | 18.5% | 17.9% | 41.6% | 0.43× | 5.59 |
| Llaneros over 2.5 goals | 4.5% | 3.6% | 15.6% | 0.23× | 27.41 |
| Llaneros over 3.5 goals | 0.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 0.77× | 27.58 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.5% | 96.9% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Llaneros under 0.5 in 1st half | 71.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Llaneros over 0.5 in 1st half | 28.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Llaneros over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.5% | 3.1% | — | — | 31.99 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali (home no bet) | 57.9% | 56.7% | 45.6% | 1.24× | 1.76 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 42.1% | 43.3% | 54.4% | 0.80× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros even goals | 60.5% | 55.9% | 53.4% | 1.05× | 1.79 |
| Llaneros odd goals | 39.5% | 44.1% | 46.6% | 0.95× | 2.27 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 44.4% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| HT 0-1 | 21.0% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 1-0 | 14.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.05 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| Any other HT score | 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.52 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.59 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali at HT / América de Cali at FT | 24.0% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 23.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / América de Cali at FT | 18.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Llaneros at HT / Llaneros at FT | 12.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Llaneros at FT | 9.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
| Llaneros at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| América de Cali at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Llaneros at HT / América de Cali at FT | 1.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| América de Cali at HT / Llaneros at FT | 0.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali to score last | 51.6% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Llaneros to score last | 33.4% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| No goal scored | 15.0% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.81 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 85.0% | 90.1% | — | — | 1.11 |
| América de Cali to lead by 1 at any time | 56.6% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Llaneros to lead by 1 at any time | 36.7% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 34.5% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
| América de Cali to lead by 2 at any time | 24.2% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Llaneros to lead by 2 at any time | 10.3% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| América de Cali to lead by 3 at any time | 7.9% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.04 |
| Llaneros to lead by 3 at any time | 2.2% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.13 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros most corners | 52.4% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| América de Cali most corners | 36.7% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.54 |
| Corners level | 10.9% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.4% | 83.5% | 85.7% | 0.98× | 1.20 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.9% | 78.6% | 80.0% | 0.98× | 1.27 |
| 1-3 goals | 71.1% | 72.4% | 68.4% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 59.7% | 59.2% | 67.5% | 0.88× | 1.69 |
| 2-5 goals | 58.5% | 59.2% | 65.4% | 0.91× | 1.69 |
| 2-4 goals | 55.0% | 59.2% | 59.7% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 53.2% | 53.2% | 45.3% | 1.17× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 48.7% | 48.1% | 1.01× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 31.4% | 35.4% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.83 |
| 3-5 goals | 30.3% | 35.4% | 40.5% | 0.87× | 2.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 26.8% | 30.2% | 34.8% | 0.87× | 3.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.5% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 0.76× | 6.72 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 0.86× | 6.72 |
| 5-6 goals | 4.7% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 0.32× | 39.12 |
| 7+ goals | 0.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.66× | 39.32 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Cali never behind | 48.4% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Llaneros never behind | 28.4% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.7% | 50.8% | 50.3% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.3% | 49.2% | 49.7% | 0.99× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 60.2% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 39.8% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.32 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 55.7% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 44.3% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 98.4% | 95.5% | 96.4% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94.9% | 92.3% | 90.7% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86.0% | 87.6% | 79.1% | 1.11× | 1.14 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 85.0% | 87.6% | 89.2% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68.1% | 66.2% | 56.1% | 1.18× | 1.51 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.1% | 61.7% | 68.8% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39.9% | 38.3% | 31.2% | 1.23× | 2.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31.9% | 33.8% | 44.0% | 0.77× | 2.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.0% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 0.59× | 8.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 0.83× | 12.93 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 1.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.24× | 22.24 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.6% | 97.2% | 98.4% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 98.3% | 97.2% | 96.2% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 94.4% | 92.5% | 89.5% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 83.0% | 81.1% | 72.9% | 1.11× | 1.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 55.6% | 55.4% | 41.5% | 1.34× | 1.81 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 44.4% | 44.6% | 58.5% | 0.76× | 2.24 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 17.0% | 18.9% | 27.1% | 0.70× | 5.28 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 0.71× | 13.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.72× | 36.17 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.77× | 36.21 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 95.0% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 80.1% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 55.6% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 44.4% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 19.9% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.20 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 5.0% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.57 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 88.7% | 85.4% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.4% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 67.1% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 32.9% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 31.6% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 11.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros not to score in both halves | 89.7% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| América de Cali not to score in both halves | 80.4% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| América de Cali to score in both halves | 19.6% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.33 |
| Llaneros to score in both halves | 10.3% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.12 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 39.1% | 39.9% | 48.8% | 0.82× | 2.51 |
| Only América de Cali scores | 30.8% | 33.3% | 13.5% | 2.47× | 3.00 |
| Only Llaneros scores | 15.1% | 16.1% | 27.1% | 0.59× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 15.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 1.01× | 9.13 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 28.3% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.00× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 24.9% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 17.9% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 0.75× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 1.11× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 8.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 0.65× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 0.76× | 22.66 |
| 6 or more goals | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.22× | 22.69 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.5% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 32.9% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 31.6% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros not to win both halves | 96.1% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| América de Cali not to win both halves | 88.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| América de Cali to win both halves | 11.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.30 |
| Llaneros to win both halves | 3.9% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.62 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros to win neither half | 65.2% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| América de Cali to win either half | 55.4% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| América de Cali to win neither half | 44.6% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Llaneros to win either half | 34.8% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros not to win to nil | 84.9% | 83.0% | 72.9% | 1.14× | 1.20 |
| América de Cali not to win to nil | 69.2% | 69.7% | 86.5% | 0.81× | 1.44 |
| América de Cali to win to nil | 30.8% | 30.3% | 13.5% | 2.25× | 3.30 |
| Llaneros to win to nil | 15.1% | 17.0% | 27.1% | 0.63× | 5.90 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 32.5% | 27.6% | 29.5% | 0.94× | 3.62 |
| América de Cali by 1 | 24.4% | 24.2% | 17.2% | 1.40× | 4.14 |
| Llaneros by 1 | 15.5% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 0.66× | 5.91 |
| América de Cali by 2 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 2.36× | 8.47 |
| América de Cali by 3+ | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 2.61× | 13.78 |
| Llaneros by 2 | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 0.59× | 13.79 |
| Llaneros by 3+ | 1.7% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 0.33× | 37.03 |