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Lyngby Boldklub v FC Nordsjælland — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Lyngby Boldklub win
28.5%
model 26.2%
Draw
28.5%
model 29.3%
FC Nordsjælland win
43.0%
model 44.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.7%
  2. 0-1 12.5%
  3. 0-0 10.8%
  4. 0-2 8.9%
  5. 1-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.540.6% Under 2.559.4%
BTTS yes46.6% BTTS no53.4%
Lyngby Boldklub 1+62.0% Lyngby Boldklub 2+25.2%
FC Nordsjælland 1+73.8% FC Nordsjælland 2+38.7%

Expected goals 0.97 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • FC Nordsjælland carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1376.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Nordsjælland have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 28.5% for the draw and 28.5% for Lyngby Boldklub. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.97 for Lyngby Boldklub and 1.34 for FC Nordsjælland.

Why Lyngby Boldklub

Nothing in the data singles out Lyngby Boldklub.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.5%. A combined 2.31 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Nordsjælland can win

FC Nordsjælland carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1376. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Lyngby Boldklub, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Nordsjælland, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lyngby Boldklub: 53% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Nordsjælland: 44% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Nordsjælland are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 0.90–1.30 1-1 14% 38% 44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to win 44.9% 43.1% 30.0% 1.43× 2.32
Draw 30.0% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Lyngby Boldklub to win 25.1% 27.9% 44.9% 0.62× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland & not both score 28.7% 25.2% 13.5% 1.87× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 18.1% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
FC Nordsjælland & both teams score 16.3% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
Lyngby Boldklub & not both score 15.4% 17.9% 20.7% 0.87× 5.58
Draw & not both score 11.8% 13.3% 6.1% 2.19× 7.55
Lyngby Boldklub & both teams score 9.7% 8.4% 24.5% 0.34× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland & under 3.5 35.3% 34.9% 18.5% 1.89× 2.87
FC Nordsjælland & over 1.5 31.4% 30.9% 26.2% 1.18× 3.24
Draw & under 2.5 25.6% 26.0% 16.8% 1.55× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 25.6% 26.0% 16.8% 1.55× 3.84
FC Nordsjælland & under 2.5 22.8% 21.7% 9.4% 2.31× 4.62
FC Nordsjælland & over 2.5 22.1% 21.7% 20.9% 1.03× 4.62
Lyngby Boldklub & under 3.5 20.8% 21.7% 27.3% 0.79× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 18.1% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Lyngby Boldklub & over 1.5 15.9% 18.0% 35.5% 0.51× 5.56
Lyngby Boldklub & under 2.5 13.6% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
FC Nordsjælland & under 1.5 13.5% 12.9% 4.1% 3.11× 7.77
Lyngby Boldklub & over 2.5 11.4% 12.9% 29.5% 0.44× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 11.8% 12.9% 6.1% 2.12× 7.77
Lyngby Boldklub & under 1.5 9.1% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.69
FC Nordsjælland & over 3.5 9.6% 7.9% 11.8% 0.67× 12.69
Lyngby Boldklub & over 3.5 4.2% 4.8% 17.9% 0.27× 20.93
Draw & over 2.5 4.4% 4.8% 8.8% 0.54× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.4% 4.8% 8.8% 0.54× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (1UP) 58.1% 58.1% 1.72
Lyngby Boldklub (1UP) 40.2% 39.2% 2.55
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (2UP) 44.9% 47.8% 2.09
Lyngby Boldklub (2UP) 25.1% 24.7% 4.05
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.1% 40.9% 2.45
FC Nordsjælland to win 2nd half 38.1% 36.1% 2.77
Lyngby Boldklub to win 2nd half 21.8% 23.1% 4.33
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (+2.5) 97.7% 96.3% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
FC Nordsjælland (+1.5) 91.2% 92.1% 78.8% 1.17× 1.09
FC Nordsjælland (+0.5) 74.9% 73.7% 55.1% 1.34× 1.36
Lyngby Boldklub (+0.5) 55.1% 57.0% 70.0% 0.81× 1.76
FC Nordsjælland (-0.5) 44.9% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Lyngby Boldklub (-0.5) 25.1% 26.3% 44.9% 0.59× 3.81
Lyngby Boldklub (-1.5) 8.8% 7.9% 21.2% 0.37× 12.62
Lyngby Boldklub (-2.5) 2.3% 3.7% 8.3% 0.45× 26.93
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to concede 59.5% 62.8% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet 40.5% 37.2% 19.3% 1.93× 2.69
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet in 1st half 67.8% 69.4% 1.44
FC Nordsjælland to concede in 1st half 32.2% 30.6% 3.27
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland under 6.5 corners 82.9% 81.5% 1.23
FC Nordsjælland over 2.5 corners 74.0% 71.6% 1.40
FC Nordsjælland under 5.5 corners 72.8% 71.6% 1.40
FC Nordsjælland under 4.5 corners 59.2% 57.1% 1.75
FC Nordsjælland over 3.5 corners 57.1% 57.1% 1.75
FC Nordsjælland under 3.5 corners 42.9% 42.9% 2.33
FC Nordsjælland over 4.5 corners 40.8% 42.9% 2.33
FC Nordsjælland over 5.5 corners 27.2% 28.4% 3.52
FC Nordsjælland under 2.5 corners 26.0% 28.4% 3.52
FC Nordsjælland over 6.5 corners 17.1% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland under 3.5 goals 95.7% 97.5% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
FC Nordsjælland under 2.5 goals 85.7% 87.9% 84.0% 1.05× 1.14
FC Nordsjælland over 0.5 goals 72.8% 72.0% 73.6% 0.98× 1.39
FC Nordsjælland under 1.5 goals 62.6% 63.0% 57.9% 1.09× 1.59
FC Nordsjælland over 1.5 goals 37.4% 37.0% 42.1% 0.88× 2.70
FC Nordsjælland under 0.5 goals 27.2% 28.0% 26.4% 1.06× 3.57
FC Nordsjælland over 2.5 goals 14.3% 12.1% 16.0% 0.76× 8.24
FC Nordsjælland over 3.5 goals 4.3% 2.5% 6.3% 0.39× 40.65
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland under 1.5 in 1st half 90.3% 94.1% 1.06
FC Nordsjælland under 0.5 in 1st half 59.4% 62.5% 1.60
FC Nordsjælland over 0.5 in 1st half 40.6% 37.5% 2.67
FC Nordsjælland over 1.5 in 1st half 9.7% 5.9% 16.94
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 54.5% 51.3% 36.1% 1.42× 1.95
Lyngby Boldklub (away no bet) 45.5% 48.7% 63.9% 0.76× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland even goals 53.7% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
FC Nordsjælland odd goals 46.3% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.4% 92.4% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.6% 7.6% 13.10
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 47.9% 50.1% 2.00
Not both halves under 1.5 52.1% 49.9% 2.00
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 45.3% 45.7% 2.19
FC Nordsjælland to score 2+ in a row 31.5% 28.9% 3.46
Lyngby Boldklub to score 2+ in a row 17.3% 16.3% 6.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.2% 8.19
FC Nordsjælland to score 3+ in a row 10.2% 12.1% 8.26
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ in a row 3.8% 2.6% 38.26
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland corners (+3.5) 85.7% 84.5% 1.18
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+3.5) 84.6% 79.7% 1.25
FC Nordsjælland corners (+2.5) 78.1% 74.9% 1.34
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+2.5) 76.7% 74.9% 1.34
FC Nordsjælland corners (+1.5) 68.4% 65.8% 1.52
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+1.5) 66.7% 65.8% 1.52
FC Nordsjælland corners (-1.5) 33.3% 34.2% 2.92
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-1.5) 31.6% 34.2% 2.92
FC Nordsjælland corners (-2.5) 23.3% 25.1% 3.98
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-2.5) 21.9% 25.1% 3.98
FC Nordsjælland corners (-3.5) 15.4% 20.3% 4.94
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-3.5) 14.3% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 54.8% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 27.3% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 17.9% 22.7% 4.41
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 87.8% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 82.1% 80.8% 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 74.7% 72.6% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 65.5% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 56.9% 57.8% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 54.8% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 45.2% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 43.1% 42.2% 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 34.5% 32.3% 3.09
Over 10.5 corners 25.3% 27.4% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 17.9% 19.2% 5.20
Over 12.5 corners 12.2% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.8% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
0-1 13.5% 11.5% 4.1% 2.77× 8.73
0-0 11.8% 11.5% 6.1% 1.89× 8.73
0-2 9.3% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.48
1-0 9.1% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
1-2 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.48
2-1 5.9% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
0-3 4.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
0-4 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
1-3 3.7% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.47
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
2-0 4.5% 1.7% 6.3% 0.27× 58.46
2-2 3.8% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.47
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.48
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
3-0 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.48
3-1 1.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.48
3-2 1.1% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.48
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.49
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.49
4-1 0.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.49
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.49
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland leading at HT (DNB) 59.0% 58.0% 1.72
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT (DNB) 41.0% 42.0% 2.38
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland or draw (X2) 74.9% 72.1% 55.1% 1.31× 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub or FC Nordsjælland (12) 70.0% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (1X) 55.1% 56.9% 70.0% 0.81× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland or draw at HT 79.1% 79.9% 1.25
Lyngby Boldklub or draw at HT 70.0% 66.5% 1.50
Lyngby Boldklub or FC Nordsjælland at HT 50.9% 47.5% 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland or draw (1UP) 74.9% 80.3% 1.25
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (1UP) 55.1% 62.5% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland or draw in 2nd half 78.2% 76.9% 1.30
Lyngby Boldklub or draw in 2nd half 61.9% 63.9% 1.57
Lyngby Boldklub or FC Nordsjælland in 2nd half 59.9% 59.1% 1.69
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 68.7% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 31.3% 30.4% 3.29
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (DNB) 64.2% 62.9% 40.1% 1.57× 1.59
Lyngby Boldklub (DNB) 35.8% 37.1% 59.9% 0.62× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to score first 52.0% 53.8% 1.86
Lyngby Boldklub to score first 36.1% 32.8% 3.05
No goal scored 11.8% 10.0% 10.04
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 55.8% 54.9% 39.7% 1.38× 1.82
Both teams to score 44.2% 45.1% 60.3% 0.75× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 48.3% 44.3% 30.6% 1.45× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 30.4% 34.3% 49.6% 0.69× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.8% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.4% 89.1% 80.4% 1.11× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.6% 10.9% 19.6% 0.56× 9.17
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 77.9% 75.4% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 22.1% 24.6% 4.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 67.5% 62.2% 1.61
Both score 2nd half only 19.3% 15.7% 6.36
Both score 1st half only 10.4% 10.7% 9.34
Both score in both halves 2.9% 5.0% 20.14
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.8% 86.0% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 13.2% 14.0% 7.13
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 56.2% 57.2% 1.75
A goal in each half 43.8% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.3% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
0-1 goals 34.5% 30.8% 19.3% 1.60× 3.25
4-6 goals 17.4% 20.2% 36.4% 0.55× 4.96
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.73
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 1 35.4% 36.0% 31.7% 1.14× 2.78
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 0 27.2% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 2 23.1% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
FC Nordsjælland to score 3+ 14.3% 12.8% 16.0% 0.80× 7.80
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 0 40.5% 34.8% 19.3% 1.81× 2.87
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 2 16.5% 18.9% 25.9% 0.73× 5.29
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ 6.4% 10.3% 21.8% 0.47× 9.74
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 49.1% 52.5% 1.90
FC Nordsjælland leading at HT 30.0% 33.5% 2.99
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT 20.9% 20.1% 4.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland -1: 1 55.1% 56.6% 1.77
FC Nordsjælland -1: X 23.8% 23.6% 4.24
FC Nordsjælland -1: 2 21.2% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:1) 74.9% 71.1% 55.1% 1.29× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 16.3% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.63
Lyngby Boldklub (0:1) 8.8% 9.2% 21.2% 0.44× 10.83
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:2) 91.2% 90.8% 78.8% 1.15× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.5% 7.7% 13.2% 0.58× 12.96
Lyngby Boldklub (0:2) 2.3% 3.8% 8.3% 0.45× 26.62
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:3) 97.7% 96.6% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.18
Lyngby Boldklub (0:3) 0.5% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.25
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:4) 99.5% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.64
Lyngby Boldklub (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.68
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (1:0) 55.1% 58.0% 70.0% 0.83× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 23.8% 21.8% 14.6% 1.49× 4.59
FC Nordsjælland (1:0) 21.2% 21.8% 15.7% 1.39× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (2:0) 78.8% 80.4% 84.3% 0.95× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 13.6% 10.4% 8.3% 1.26× 9.62
FC Nordsjælland (2:0) 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.8% 49.9% 2.00
Halves equal 29.6% 26.6% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.6% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to concede 72.8% 73.1% 73.6% 0.99× 1.37
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet 27.2% 26.9% 26.4% 1.02× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet in 1st half 59.4% 62.5% 1.60
Lyngby Boldklub to concede in 1st half 40.6% 37.5% 2.67
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 6.5 corners 83.8% 81.0% 1.24
Lyngby Boldklub under 5.5 corners 73.9% 71.9% 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 corners 73.0% 71.9% 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub under 4.5 corners 60.5% 62.3% 1.61
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 corners 55.8% 57.5% 1.74
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 corners 44.2% 42.5% 2.35
Lyngby Boldklub over 4.5 corners 39.5% 37.7% 2.65
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 corners 27.0% 28.1% 3.56
Lyngby Boldklub over 5.5 corners 26.1% 28.1% 3.56
Lyngby Boldklub over 6.5 corners 16.2% 19.0% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 goals 98.6% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 goals 93.6% 92.3% 78.2% 1.18× 1.08
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 goals 77.1% 77.7% 52.6% 1.48× 1.29
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 goals 59.5% 58.8% 80.7% 0.73× 1.70
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 goals 40.5% 41.2% 19.3% 2.14× 2.43
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 goals 22.9% 22.3% 47.4% 0.47× 4.49
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 goals 6.4% 7.7% 21.8% 0.36× 12.92
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 goals 1.4% 3.6% 8.8% 0.41× 27.55
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 in 1st half 94.1% 95.5% 1.05
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 in 1st half 67.8% 68.1% 1.47
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 in 1st half 32.2% 31.9% 3.13
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 in 1st half 5.9% 4.5% 22.34
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (home no bet) 60.0% 56.7% 54.2% 1.05× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 40.0% 43.3% 45.8% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub even goals 58.2% 55.5% 50.4% 1.10× 1.80
Lyngby Boldklub odd goals 41.8% 44.5% 49.6% 0.90× 2.25
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.4% 40.4% 2.47
HT 0-1 20.8% 24.1% 4.16
HT 1-0 15.5% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-1 8.3% 7.1% 14.03
HT 0-2 5.5% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-0 3.0% 2.3% 43.39
Any other HT score 2.3% 2.3% 43.44
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.3% 43.45
HT 2-1 1.6% 2.3% 43.49
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 43.58
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 24.4% 21.9% 4.57
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.6% 21.7% 4.60
Draw at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 18.3% 16.8% 5.96
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 13.6% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 10.3% 12.7% 7.90
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% 16.74
FC Nordsjælland at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% 28.79
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 2.3% 3.5% 28.87
FC Nordsjælland at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 1.2% 3.5% 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to score last 52.1% 52.0% 1.92
Lyngby Boldklub to score last 36.1% 38.5% 2.60
No goal scored 11.8% 9.3% 10.70
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.2% 90.7% 1.10
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 1 at any time 58.1% 55.1% 1.81
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 1 at any time 40.2% 39.2% 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 38.3% 34.9% 2.87
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 2 at any time 25.9% 25.4% 3.94
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 2 at any time 12.5% 10.5% 9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.0% 10.5% 9.56
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 3 at any time 9.0% 6.7% 14.99
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 3 at any time 3.0% 1.6% 61.33
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland most corners 44.9% 43.5% 2.30
Lyngby Boldklub most corners 43.0% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 12.1% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.6% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.8% 83.5% 73.8% 1.13× 1.20
1-3 goals 70.0% 69.0% 56.2% 1.23× 1.45
2-6 goals 64.8% 63.4% 79.1% 0.80× 1.58
2-5 goals 63.0% 63.4% 72.2% 0.88× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.2% 59.2% 60.6% 0.98× 1.69
1-2 goals 50.3% 53.2% 35.5% 1.50× 1.88
2-3 goals 47.3% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-6 goals 37.1% 39.1% 57.0% 0.69× 2.55
3-5 goals 35.4% 39.1% 50.1% 0.78× 2.56
3-4 goals 30.6% 35.4% 38.6% 0.92× 2.83
4-6 goals 17.4% 18.6% 36.4% 0.51× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.7% 18.6% 29.5% 0.63× 5.37
5-6 goals 6.6% 8.7% 18.7% 0.47× 11.45
7+ goals 0.8% 2.5% 1.9% 1.32× 39.30
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland never behind 48.0% 56.6% 1.77
Lyngby Boldklub never behind 30.1% 35.5% 2.82
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.7% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.3% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.4% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.6% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.5% 95.5% 91.2% 1.05× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.7% 92.3% 79.6% 1.16× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.2% 87.6% 93.9% 0.93× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 81.8% 82.4% 62.0% 1.33× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 65.5% 66.2% 80.7% 0.82× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 62.1% 61.8% 41.3% 1.49× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 37.9% 38.2% 58.7% 0.65× 2.62
Under 1.5 goals 34.5% 33.8% 19.3% 1.75× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 18.2% 17.6% 38.0% 0.46× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 11.8% 12.4% 6.1% 2.04× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 7.3% 7.7% 20.4% 0.38× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 2.5% 4.5% 8.8% 0.51× 22.22
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.2% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.4% 97.2% 90.0% 1.08× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.8% 92.5% 75.3% 1.23× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 77.4% 75.9% 52.1% 1.46× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 52.4% 51.8% 75.3% 0.69× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 47.6% 48.2% 24.7% 1.95× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 22.6% 24.1% 47.9% 0.50× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.2% 7.5% 24.7% 0.30× 13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.6% 2.8% 10.0% 0.28× 36.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.33× 36.20
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.6% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.8% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.6% 62.9% 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.4% 37.1% 2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.2% 21.2% 4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.4% 7.2% 13.85
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 85.8% 85.3% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.4% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.5% 61.7% 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.5% 38.3% 2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.6% 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.2% 14.7% 6.79
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to score in both halves 87.0% 85.8% 1.17
FC Nordsjælland not to score in both halves 78.0% 78.3% 1.28
FC Nordsjælland to score in both halves 22.0% 21.7% 4.60
Lyngby Boldklub to score in both halves 13.0% 14.2% 7.02
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 44.2% 46.6% 60.3% 0.77× 2.15
Only FC Nordsjælland scores 28.7% 26.1% 13.5% 1.94× 3.83
Only Lyngby Boldklub scores 15.4% 16.1% 20.7% 0.78× 6.22
Neither team scores 11.8% 10.9% 6.1% 1.80× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.6% 25.0% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 22.6% 22.6% 13.5% 1.68× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.7% 17.4% 20.9% 0.83× 5.74
Exactly 0 goals 11.8% 12.1% 6.1% 1.99× 8.28
Exactly 4 goals 10.9% 12.1% 17.9% 0.67× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 4.8% 4.4% 11.8% 0.37× 22.64
6 or more goals 2.5% 4.4% 8.8% 0.50× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 37.5% 39.7% 2.52
1 goal in 2nd half 34.9% 33.5% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 27.6% 29.8% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win both halves 95.4% 97.2% 1.03
FC Nordsjælland not to win both halves 88.4% 87.9% 1.14
FC Nordsjælland to win both halves 11.6% 12.1% 8.29
Lyngby Boldklub to win both halves 4.6% 2.8% 35.29
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to win neither half 62.0% 65.0% 1.54
FC Nordsjælland to win either half 56.6% 59.4% 1.68
FC Nordsjælland to win neither half 43.4% 40.6% 2.47
Lyngby Boldklub to win either half 38.0% 35.0% 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win to nil 84.6% 83.0% 79.3% 1.05× 1.20
FC Nordsjælland not to win to nil 71.4% 75.3% 86.5% 0.87× 1.33
FC Nordsjælland to win to nil 28.7% 24.7% 13.5% 1.83× 4.05
Lyngby Boldklub to win to nil 15.4% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.90
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.0% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
FC Nordsjælland by 1 23.8% 24.2% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Lyngby Boldklub by 1 16.3% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.91
FC Nordsjælland by 2 13.6% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.47
FC Nordsjælland by 3+ 7.6% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.78
Lyngby Boldklub by 2 6.5% 7.3% 13.2% 0.55× 13.79
Lyngby Boldklub by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 8.3% 0.33× 37.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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