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Mallorca v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–1
1.65 – 0.94 xG
Shots
8 – 13
On target
2 – 1
Shots in box
6 – 8
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.09
Goals − xG
+0.35 – +0.06
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Donny van de Beek 6' — goalCyle Larin 19' — goalCyle Larin 50' — goal
Mallorca 1.65 xGGirona 0.94 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Donny van de Beek 6' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Manuel Morlanes 13' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yáser Asprilla 15' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 19' — Goal (0.57 xG, Open Play)Bryan Gil Salvatierra 32' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 35' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sergi Darder 44' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Bryan Gil Salvatierra 47' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Arnau Martinez 49' — Missed Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 50' — Goal (0.61 xG, Open Play)Antonio Sánchez 57' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Manuel Morlanes 57' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Oriol Romeu 62' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Abel Ruiz 67' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Abel Ruiz 69' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Iván Martín 75' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Yáser Asprilla 80' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)David López 85' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Daley Blind 86' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Misehouy 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Abdón Prats 93' — Missed Shot (0.21 xG, Open Play)
Mallorca attacking right Girona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Girona Donny van de Beek 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Goal
13' Mallorca Manuel Morlanes 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
15' Girona Yáser Asprilla 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Bryan Gil Salvatierra
19' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.57 Open Play Left Foot Goal Vedat Muriqi
32' Girona Bryan Gil Salvatierra 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
35' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.05 Open Play Missed Shot Johan Mojica
44' Mallorca Sergi Darder 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Johan Mojica
47' Girona Bryan Gil Salvatierra 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
49' Girona Arnau Martinez 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
50' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.61 Open Play Left Foot Goal
57' Mallorca Antonio Sánchez 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Johan Mojica
57' Mallorca Manuel Morlanes 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
62' Girona Oriol Romeu 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
67' Girona Abel Ruiz 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Daley Blind
69' Girona Abel Ruiz 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Iván Martín
75' Girona Iván Martín 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Arnau Martinez
80' Girona Yáser Asprilla 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Arnau Martinez
85' Girona David López 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Portu
86' Girona Daley Blind 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Iván Martín
91' Girona Gabriel Misehouy 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Miguel Gutiérrez
93' Mallorca Abdón Prats 0.21 Open Play Missed Shot Pablo Maffeo

Players

Girona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Arnau Martinez MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.39 0.07 0.63
Yáser Asprilla AMC 90 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.24
David López DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.49
Daley Blind DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.04 0.54
Miguel Gutiérrez DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.16
Paulo Gazzaniga GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Oriol Romeu MC 77 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.51
Donny van de Beek MC 67 1 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld FW 67 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.46 0.41
Bryan Gil Salvatierra DMR 61 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.02 0.55
Juanpe DC 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gabriel Misehouy Sub 29 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.11
Cristhian Stuani Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abel Ruiz Sub 23 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Iván Martín Sub 23 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.07 0.21
Portu Sub 13 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.00

Mallorca

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Pablo Maffeo DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.21 0.21
Omar Mascarell MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.57
Martin Valjent DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Johan Mojica DL 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.15 0.15
Dominik Greif GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Copete DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Antonio Sánchez MR 88 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.16
Cyle Larin FW 87 2 0 3 0 1.22 0.00 1.28
Manuel Morlanes MC 77 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.26
Sergi Darder ML 77 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.59
Vedat Muriqi FW 31 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.57 0.57
Roberto Navarro Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Dani Rodríguez Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abdón Prats Sub 3 0 0 1 0 0.21 0.00 0.21
Siebe Van der Heyden Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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