Malmö FF v Hammarby — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Malmö FF

08:00

Hammarby

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,359h before kick-off

Malmö FF win

23.1%

model 21.9%

Draw

23.1%

model 23.2%

Hammarby win

53.7%

model 54.9%

232354

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.8%
0-2 8.5%
0-1 8.2%
1-3 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.6%	Under 2.5	40.4%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
Malmö FF 1+	68.5%	Malmö FF 2+	32.1%
Hammarby 1+	85.5%	Hammarby 2+	57.5%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1551.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hammarby have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 23.1% for Malmö FF. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.16 for Malmö FF and 1.93 for Hammarby.

Why Malmö FF

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hammarby can win

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1551. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Malmö FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hammarby, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Malmö FF: 57% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hammarby: 63% possession, 25.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hammarby are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	212257	1.15–2.01	1-1 10%	61%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win	56.8%	54.1%	36.6%	1.48×	1.85
Draw	22.5%	24.4%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
Malmö FF to win	20.8%	24.4%	40.7%	0.60×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & both teams score	29.9%	25.2%	18.1%	1.39×	3.97
Hammarby & not both score	26.9%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Malmö FF & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	17.3%	0.77×	7.54
Malmö FF & not both score	8.6%	8.4%	23.7%	0.35×	11.92
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.3%	0.91×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & over 1.5	48.8%	45.2%	27.7%	1.63×	2.21
Hammarby & over 2.5	40.2%	40.3%	22.9%	1.76×	2.48
Hammarby & under 3.5	32.2%	30.8%	25.4%	1.21×	3.24
Hammarby & over 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	11.5%	1.89×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Hammarby & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	14.0%	1.29×	5.56
Malmö FF & over 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	34.6%	0.52×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Malmö FF & over 2.5	13.6%	12.9%	25.4%	0.51×	7.77
Malmö FF & under 3.5	13.8%	12.9%	26.2%	0.49×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Hammarby & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Malmö FF & under 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	15.5%	0.51×	12.70
Malmö FF & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.3%	0.89×	20.92
Malmö FF & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1UP)	71.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Malmö FF (1UP)	40.6%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2UP)	56.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Malmö FF (2UP)	20.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win 2nd half	49.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	30.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Malmö FF to win 2nd half	19.9%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Hammarby (+1.5)	91.9%	92.1%	76.3%	1.21×	1.09
Hammarby (+0.5)	79.2%	78.5%	59.3%	1.32×	1.27
Hammarby (-0.5)	56.8%	57.0%	36.6%	1.56×	1.75
Malmö FF (+0.5)	43.2%	43.0%	63.4%	0.68×	2.33
Malmö FF (-0.5)	20.8%	21.5%	40.7%	0.53×	4.64
Malmö FF (-1.5)	8.2%	7.9%	23.7%	0.33×	12.64
Malmö FF (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	11.5%	0.32×	26.89

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to concede	68.3%	72.5%	76.1%	0.95×	1.38
Hammarby clean sheet	31.7%	27.5%	23.9%	1.15×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby clean sheet in 1st half	61.0%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Hammarby to concede in 1st half	39.0%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 2.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Hammarby over 3.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Hammarby under 6.5 corners	68.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Hammarby over 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Hammarby under 5.5 corners	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Hammarby over 5.5 corners	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Hammarby under 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Hammarby over 6.5 corners	31.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Hammarby under 3.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Hammarby under 2.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.9%	71.2%	1.23×	1.14
Hammarby under 3.5 goals	85.5%	87.9%	95.2%	0.92×	1.14
Hammarby under 2.5 goals	67.4%	68.0%	81.7%	0.83×	1.47
Hammarby over 1.5 goals	59.7%	59.6%	39.2%	1.52×	1.68
Hammarby under 1.5 goals	40.3%	40.4%	60.8%	0.66×	2.47
Hammarby over 2.5 goals	32.6%	32.0%	18.3%	1.75×	3.12
Hammarby over 3.5 goals	14.5%	12.1%	4.8%	2.51×	8.25
Hammarby under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	28.8%	0.42×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby under 1.5 in 1st half	80.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Hammarby over 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Hammarby under 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Hammarby over 1.5 in 1st half	19.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	52.0%	51.2%	36.0%	1.42×	1.95
Malmö FF (away no bet)	48.0%	48.8%	64.0%	0.76×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby even goals	50.9%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
Hammarby odd goals	49.1%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.3%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.7%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Hammarby to score 2+ in a row	50.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Hammarby to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Malmö FF to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Malmö FF to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby corners (+3.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hammarby corners (+1.5)	80.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Malmö FF corners (+3.5)	72.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Malmö FF corners (+2.5)	61.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Malmö FF corners (+1.5)	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Hammarby corners (-1.5)	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Hammarby corners (-2.5)	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Hammarby corners (-3.5)	28.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Malmö FF corners (-1.5)	19.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Malmö FF corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Malmö FF corners (-3.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.7%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	18.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.4%	13.0%	0.88×	8.74
0-2	8.6%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.47
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.47
1-3	6.6%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.47
0-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.47
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
Any other score	6.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
0-4	2.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
1-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.50
1-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.50
2-0	2.8%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.51
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.50
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.52
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.52
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT (DNB)	65.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Malmö FF leading at HT (DNB)	34.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (X2)	79.2%	75.6%	59.3%	1.27×	1.32
Malmö FF or Hammarby (12)	77.5%	75.6%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Malmö FF or draw (1X)	43.2%	45.9%	63.4%	0.73×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw at HT	79.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Malmö FF or Hammarby at HT	60.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Malmö FF or draw at HT	60.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (1UP)	79.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Malmö FF or draw (1UP)	43.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Malmö FF or Hammarby in 2nd half	69.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Malmö FF or draw in 2nd half	50.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (DNB)	73.2%	71.5%	47.4%	1.51×	1.40
Malmö FF (DNB)	26.8%	28.5%	52.6%	0.54×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score first	60.6%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Malmö FF to score first	34.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.7%	54.9%	52.7%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.3%	45.1%	47.3%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.4%	44.3%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.5%	33.6%	34.4%	0.98×	2.97
Not both score & over 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.0%	83.0%	84.2%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	19.0%	17.0%	15.8%	1.07×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Both score in both halves	7.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.4%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.7%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
A half without a goal	38.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.1%	42.1%	49.1%	0.86×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.6%	30.8%	26.2%	1.17×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.1%	20.2%	20.4%	0.99×	4.95
7+ goals	4.2%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.81

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score 3+	32.6%	33.8%	18.3%	1.85×	2.96
Hammarby to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	21.1%	1.30×	3.65
Hammarby to score exactly 1	26.9%	27.4%	32.3%	0.85×	3.65
Hammarby to score exactly 0	13.4%	12.8%	28.8%	0.45×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	32.8%	1.08×	2.81
Malmö FF to score exactly 0	31.7%	32.6%	23.9%	1.37×	3.06
Malmö FF to score exactly 2	20.9%	23.3%	22.1%	1.05×	4.30
Malmö FF to score 3+	11.0%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Draw at HT	39.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Malmö FF leading at HT	20.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby -1: 1	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Hammarby -1: 2	34.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Hammarby -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:1)	79.2%	73.9%	59.3%	1.25×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	12.6%	13.8%	17.3%	0.80×	7.22
Malmö FF (0:1)	8.2%	9.2%	23.7%	0.39×	10.83

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:2)	91.9%	90.8%	76.3%	1.19×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.7%	7.7%	12.5%	0.62×	12.97
Malmö FF (0:2)	2.5%	3.8%	11.5%	0.33×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.13
Malmö FF (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.56
Malmö FF (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (1:0)	43.2%	43.0%	63.4%	0.68×	2.33
Hammarby (1:0)	34.3%	30.5%	16.5%	1.85×	3.28
Draw (1:0)	22.5%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (2:0)	65.7%	70.3%	83.5%	0.84×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	17.4%	15.7%	10.4%	1.51×	6.37
Hammarby (2:0)	16.9%	15.7%	6.4%	2.47×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	23.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to concede	86.6%	86.0%	71.2%	1.21×	1.16
Malmö FF clean sheet	13.4%	14.0%	28.8%	0.49×	7.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to concede in 1st half	55.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Malmö FF clean sheet in 1st half	44.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF under 6.5 corners	87.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Malmö FF under 5.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Malmö FF over 2.5 corners	70.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Malmö FF under 4.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Malmö FF over 3.5 corners	52.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Malmö FF under 3.5 corners	48.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Malmö FF over 4.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Malmö FF under 2.5 corners	29.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Malmö FF over 5.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Malmö FF over 6.5 corners	12.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Malmö FF under 2.5 goals	89.0%	87.3%	78.4%	1.11×	1.15
Malmö FF over 0.5 goals	68.3%	67.9%	76.1%	0.89×	1.47
Malmö FF under 1.5 goals	68.1%	67.9%	56.5%	1.20×	1.47
Malmö FF over 1.5 goals	31.9%	32.1%	43.5%	0.74×	3.11
Malmö FF under 0.5 goals	31.7%	32.1%	23.9%	1.34×	3.11
Malmö FF over 2.5 goals	11.0%	12.7%	21.6%	0.59×	7.85
Malmö FF over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF under 1.5 in 1st half	91.2%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Malmö FF under 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Malmö FF over 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Malmö FF over 1.5 in 1st half	8.8%	4.8%	—	—	20.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (home no bet)	71.6%	66.4%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	28.4%	33.6%	38.5%	0.87×	2.98

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF even goals	55.0%	55.4%	53.9%	1.03×	1.80
Malmö FF odd goals	45.0%	44.6%	46.1%	0.97×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
HT 0-1	21.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
Any other HT score	6.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.74
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.87
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.99

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby at HT / Hammarby at FT	33.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / Hammarby at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Malmö FF at HT / Malmö FF at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Malmö FF at FT	7.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Malmö FF at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Hammarby at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Malmö FF at HT / Hammarby at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Hammarby at HT / Malmö FF at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score last	60.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Malmö FF to score last	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Hammarby to lead by 1 at any time	71.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Hammarby to lead by 2 at any time	41.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Malmö FF to lead by 1 at any time	40.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Hammarby to lead by 3 at any time	20.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Malmö FF to lead by 2 at any time	13.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Malmö FF to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby most corners	61.1%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Malmö FF most corners	28.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.7%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.0%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.0%	59.2%	48.3%	1.22×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.4%	59.2%	64.1%	0.92×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.1%	53.2%	45.0%	1.18×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	49.1%	0.89×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.6%	35.4%	26.2%	1.35×	2.83
1-2 goals	34.1%	35.4%	42.0%	0.84×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.8%	30.2%	22.9%	1.32×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.0%	18.6%	12.0%	1.56×	5.37
7+ goals	4.2%	2.5%	4.8%	0.53×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby never behind	54.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Malmö FF never behind	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.9%	87.7%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.9%	82.4%	79.6%	1.03×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.8%	77.4%	83.5%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.2%	61.7%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	61.2%	61.7%	69.2%	0.89×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	38.8%	38.3%	47.1%	0.81×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.8%	38.3%	30.8%	1.24×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.2%	22.6%	16.5%	1.37×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.6%	20.4%	0.87×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.1%	12.3%	8.1%	1.52×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.5%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.7%	86.8%	91.1%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	75.9%	72.2%	1.05×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.3%	72.6%	80.7%	0.90×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.0%	51.8%	60.5%	0.86×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.0%	48.2%	39.5%	1.22×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.7%	27.4%	19.3%	1.42×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	24.1%	27.8%	0.87×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.3%	13.2%	8.9%	1.49×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.5%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.6%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF not to score in both halves	81.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Hammarby not to score in both halves	61.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Hammarby to score in both halves	38.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Malmö FF to score in both halves	18.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.7%	58.4%	52.7%	1.11×	1.71
Only Hammarby scores	26.9%	26.1%	18.8%	1.39×	3.83
Only Malmö FF scores	8.6%	7.2%	23.7%	0.30×	13.90
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.75

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.7%	22.6%	27.0%	0.84×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.6%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.3%	12.1%	15.3%	0.79×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	11.1%	12.1%	8.7%	1.39×	8.29
6 or more goals	10.1%	12.1%	8.1%	1.48×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
1 goal in 2nd half	28.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF not to win both halves	95.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Hammarby not to win both halves	80.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Hammarby to win both halves	19.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.24
Malmö FF to win both halves	4.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win either half	69.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Malmö FF to win neither half	63.5%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Malmö FF to win either half	36.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Hammarby to win neither half	30.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF not to win to nil	91.4%	92.0%	76.3%	1.21×	1.09
Hammarby not to win to nil	73.1%	75.3%	81.2%	0.93×	1.33
Hammarby to win to nil	26.9%	24.7%	18.8%	1.31×	4.04
Malmö FF to win to nil	8.6%	8.0%	23.7%	0.34×	12.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby by 1	22.5%	24.2%	20.4%	1.19×	4.14
Draw	22.5%	24.2%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
Hammarby by 2	17.4%	17.0%	10.4%	1.62×	5.90
Hammarby by 3+	16.9%	16.9%	6.4%	2.66×	5.90
Malmö FF by 1	12.6%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.47
Malmö FF by 2	5.7%	7.2%	12.5%	0.58×	13.81
Malmö FF by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	11.5%	0.24×	37.06