Malmö FF v Kalmar FF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 12 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Malmö FF

13:00

Kalmar FF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 883h before kick-off

Malmö FF win

58.4%

model 57.6%

Draw

22.9%

model 23.4%

Kalmar FF win

18.7%

model 19.0%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.9%
1-0 9.9%
3-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.2%	Under 2.5	44.8%
BTTS yes	54.2%	BTTS no	45.8%
Malmö FF 1+	84.9%	Malmö FF 2+	56.3%
Kalmar FF 1+	63.2%	Kalmar FF 2+	26.4%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Malmö FF carry the stronger rating, 1551 Elo against 1448.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Malmö FF have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for Kalmar FF. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.89 for Malmö FF and 1.00 for Kalmar FF.

Why Malmö FF

Malmö FF carry the stronger rating, 1551 Elo against 1448. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Kalmar FF can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kalmar FF.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Malmö FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kalmar FF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Malmö FF: 57% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kalmar FF: 48% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Malmö FF are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	562420	1.85–1.03	1-1 11%	55%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to win	56.0%	54.0%	40.7%	1.33×	1.85
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
Kalmar FF to win	20.2%	24.4%	36.6%	0.67×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF & not both score	29.6%	25.2%	23.7%	1.06×	3.97
Malmö FF & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	17.3%	1.45×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Kalmar FF & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	18.1%	0.73×	7.55
Kalmar FF & not both score	9.5%	8.4%	18.8%	0.45×	11.92
Draw & not both score	6.2%	8.4%	5.3%	1.57×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF & over 1.5	46.2%	45.2%	34.6%	1.31×	2.21
Malmö FF & over 2.5	36.5%	34.9%	25.4%	1.37×	2.86
Malmö FF & under 3.5	35.3%	34.9%	26.2%	1.33×	2.87
Malmö FF & over 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	14.8%	1.47×	4.62
Malmö FF & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	15.5%	1.16×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Kalmar FF & over 1.5	15.0%	12.9%	27.7%	0.46×	7.77
Kalmar FF & under 3.5	14.7%	12.9%	25.4%	0.51×	7.77
Kalmar FF & over 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	22.9%	0.56×	7.77
Malmö FF & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.69
Kalmar FF & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.3%	1.47×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Kalmar FF & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Kalmar FF & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (1UP)	69.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Kalmar FF (1UP)	38.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (2UP)	56.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Kalmar FF (2UP)	20.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to win 2nd half	45.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	33.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Kalmar FF to win 2nd half	21.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (+2.5)	84.8%	82.4%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
Malmö FF (+0.5)	79.9%	78.5%	63.4%	1.24×	1.27
Kalmar FF (+1.5)	67.4%	68.7%	76.3%	0.90×	1.46
Malmö FF (-0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	40.7%	1.40×	1.75
Kalmar FF (+0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	59.3%	0.73×	2.33
Malmö FF (-1.5)	32.6%	31.3%	23.7%	1.32×	3.19
Kalmar FF (-0.5)	20.2%	21.5%	36.6%	0.59×	4.65
Malmö FF (-2.5)	15.2%	17.6%	11.5%	1.54×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to concede	84.2%	81.4%	76.1%	1.07×	1.23
Kalmar FF clean sheet	15.8%	18.6%	23.9%	0.78×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF clean sheet in 1st half	45.2%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Kalmar FF to concede in 1st half	54.8%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 6.5 corners	82.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Kalmar FF over 2.5 corners	76.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Kalmar FF under 5.5 corners	71.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Kalmar FF over 3.5 corners	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kalmar FF under 4.5 corners	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kalmar FF over 4.5 corners	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kalmar FF under 3.5 corners	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kalmar FF over 5.5 corners	28.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Kalmar FF under 2.5 corners	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Kalmar FF over 6.5 corners	17.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.6%	95.2%	1.03×	1.03
Kalmar FF under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
Kalmar FF under 1.5 goals	72.6%	71.9%	60.8%	1.18×	1.39
Kalmar FF over 0.5 goals	64.2%	63.0%	71.2%	0.88×	1.59
Kalmar FF under 0.5 goals	35.8%	37.0%	28.8%	1.29×	2.70
Kalmar FF over 1.5 goals	27.4%	28.1%	39.2%	0.72×	3.56
Kalmar FF over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	13.06
Kalmar FF over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.4%	4.8%	0.51×	40.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Kalmar FF under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Kalmar FF over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.14
Kalmar FF over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (away no bet)	70.2%	68.5%	64.0%	1.07×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.9%	31.5%	36.0%	0.88×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF even goals	56.4%	56.9%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Kalmar FF odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Malmö FF to score 2+ in a row	47.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Malmö FF to score 3+ in a row	20.1%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
Kalmar FF to score 2+ in a row	19.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
Kalmar FF to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	37.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF corners (+3.5)	92.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Malmö FF corners (+2.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Malmö FF corners (+1.5)	80.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Kalmar FF corners (+3.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Kalmar FF corners (+2.5)	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Malmö FF corners (-1.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Kalmar FF corners (+1.5)	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Malmö FF corners (-2.5)	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Malmö FF corners (-3.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Kalmar FF corners (-1.5)	19.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Kalmar FF corners (-2.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Kalmar FF corners (-3.5)	8.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.4%	13.0%	0.88×	8.74
1-0	9.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.47
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.47
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.47
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.47
1-2	5.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.47
3-1	6.1%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.47
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.52
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.51
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.51
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Kalmar FF leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF or draw (1X)	79.9%	75.6%	63.4%	1.19×	1.32
Malmö FF or Kalmar FF (12)	76.2%	75.5%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Kalmar FF or draw (X2)	44.0%	46.0%	59.3%	0.78×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF or draw at HT	82.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Malmö FF or Kalmar FF at HT	59.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Kalmar FF or draw at HT	58.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF or draw (1UP)	79.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Kalmar FF or draw (1UP)	44.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF or draw in 2nd half	79.0%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Malmö FF or Kalmar FF in 2nd half	66.4%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Kalmar FF or draw in 2nd half	54.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	40.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (DNB)	73.5%	71.5%	52.6%	1.36×	1.40
Kalmar FF (DNB)	26.5%	28.5%	47.4%	0.60×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to score first	60.3%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Kalmar FF to score first	33.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.6%	51.5%	52.7%	0.98×	1.94
Not both teams to score	45.4%	48.5%	47.3%	1.03×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.3%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.3%	34.4%	1.00×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.9%	83.1%	84.2%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.1%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	42.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.7%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.78
0-1 goals	21.3%	22.8%	20.4%	1.12×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.97

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
Kalmar FF to score exactly 0	35.8%	36.0%	28.8%	1.25×	2.78
Kalmar FF to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.6%	21.1%	0.93×	5.12
Kalmar FF to score 3+	8.5%	8.5%	18.3%	0.46×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.5%	32.8%	0.81×	3.77
Malmö FF to score 3+	28.2%	26.5%	21.6%	1.23×	3.77
Malmö FF to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
Malmö FF to score exactly 0	15.8%	18.9%	23.9%	0.79×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF leading at HT	41.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT	40.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Kalmar FF leading at HT	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF -1: 2	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Malmö FF -1: 1	32.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Malmö FF -1: X	23.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:1)	44.0%	42.7%	59.3%	0.72×	2.34
Malmö FF (0:1)	32.6%	30.0%	23.7%	1.27×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	23.4%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:2)	67.4%	72.2%	76.3%	0.95×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.4%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54
Malmö FF (0:2)	15.2%	15.3%	11.5%	1.33×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:3)	84.8%	85.2%	88.6%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.4%	5.8%	6.9%	0.85×	17.15
Malmö FF (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	4.8%	1.20×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF (0:4)	94.1%	94.7%	95.2%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.0%	1.2%	3.8%	0.32×	83.14
Malmö FF (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.39

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (1:0)	79.9%	78.5%	63.4%	1.24×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.7%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.80
Kalmar FF (1:0)	7.4%	6.9%	16.5%	0.42×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF (2:0)	92.6%	94.0%	83.5%	1.13×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	10.4%	0.62×	15.55
Kalmar FF (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	6.4%	0.35×	44.38

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to concede	64.2%	63.4%	71.2%	0.89×	1.58
Malmö FF clean sheet	35.8%	36.6%	28.8%	1.27×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Malmö FF to concede in 1st half	33.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF over 2.5 corners	90.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Malmö FF over 3.5 corners	80.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Malmö FF over 4.5 corners	67.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Malmö FF under 6.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Malmö FF over 5.5 corners	53.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Malmö FF under 5.5 corners	46.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Malmö FF over 6.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Malmö FF under 4.5 corners	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Malmö FF under 3.5 corners	20.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Malmö FF under 2.5 corners	9.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF under 3.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Malmö FF over 0.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Malmö FF under 2.5 goals	71.8%	74.2%	78.4%	0.95×	1.35
Malmö FF over 1.5 goals	55.1%	58.8%	43.5%	1.35×	1.70
Malmö FF under 1.5 goals	44.9%	41.2%	56.5%	0.73×	2.43
Malmö FF over 2.5 goals	28.2%	25.8%	21.6%	1.19×	3.88
Malmö FF under 0.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	23.9%	0.75×	5.60
Malmö FF over 3.5 goals	11.6%	12.8%	9.4%	1.35×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF under 1.5 in 1st half	81.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Malmö FF under 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Malmö FF over 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Malmö FF over 1.5 in 1st half	18.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.2%	51.6%	38.5%	1.34×	1.94
Kalmar FF (home no bet)	45.8%	48.4%	61.5%	0.79×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF even goals	51.2%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Malmö FF odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
HT 1-0	23.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-0	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
Any other HT score	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.78
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF at HT / Malmö FF at FT	35.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Draw at HT / Malmö FF at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Kalmar FF at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Malmö FF at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Kalmar FF at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Kalmar FF at HT / Malmö FF at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Malmö FF at HT / Kalmar FF at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to score last	60.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Kalmar FF to score last	33.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Malmö FF to lead by 1 at any time	69.7%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Malmö FF to lead by 2 at any time	39.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Kalmar FF to lead by 1 at any time	38.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Malmö FF to lead by 3 at any time	17.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Kalmar FF to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.62
Kalmar FF to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	63.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF most corners	62.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Kalmar FF most corners	27.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.4%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.0%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.3%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.1%	53.2%	48.3%	1.10×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.6%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.2%	42.0%	0.93×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.7%	30.2%	26.2%	1.15×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.3%	30.2%	22.9%	1.32×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.7%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	4.8%	0.53×	39.39

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF never behind	55.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Kalmar FF never behind	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.6%	82.4%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.4%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.6%	66.2%	69.2%	0.96×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.8%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.2%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	32.4%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.4%	17.6%	16.5%	1.07×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.1%	92.5%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.5%	81.1%	80.7%	1.00×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.0%	72.6%	72.2%	1.01×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.2%	55.5%	60.5%	0.92×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.8%	44.5%	39.5%	1.12×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.0%	27.4%	27.8%	0.99×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.5%	18.9%	19.3%	0.98×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.9%	7.5%	8.9%	0.85×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.33

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.9%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.0%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.0%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.1%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Malmö FF not to score in both halves	64.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Malmö FF to score in both halves	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Kalmar FF to score in both halves	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.6%	54.0%	52.7%	1.02×	1.85
Only Malmö FF scores	29.6%	26.2%	23.7%	1.11×	3.82
Only Kalmar FF scores	9.5%	7.2%	18.8%	0.38×	13.89
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.2%	5.3%	1.34×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.6%	27.0%	0.84×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	17.4%	15.3%	1.14×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.09
6 or more goals	7.2%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to win both halves	96.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Malmö FF not to win both halves	80.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Malmö FF to win both halves	19.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.26
Kalmar FF to win both halves	3.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.47

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malmö FF to win either half	68.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Kalmar FF to win neither half	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Kalmar FF to win either half	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Malmö FF to win neither half	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kalmar FF not to win to nil	90.5%	92.0%	81.2%	1.13×	1.09
Malmö FF not to win to nil	70.4%	75.2%	76.3%	0.99×	1.33
Malmö FF to win to nil	29.6%	24.8%	23.7%	1.05×	4.04
Kalmar FF to win to nil	9.5%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.8%	24.2%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
Malmö FF by 1	23.4%	24.2%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Malmö FF by 2	17.4%	17.0%	12.5%	1.36×	5.90
Malmö FF by 3+	15.2%	16.9%	11.5%	1.48×	5.90
Kalmar FF by 1	12.7%	11.8%	20.4%	0.58×	8.47
Kalmar FF by 2	5.4%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.81
Kalmar FF by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.07