Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 21 October 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
10 – 5
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
6 – 4
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.06 – 0.23
Goals − xG
+1.04 – +0.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Manchester City 0.96 xGBrighton and Hove Albion 0.96 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Manchester City attacking right
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4' |
 Manchester City |
Jéremy Doku | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Phil Foden |
| 6' |
Manchester City |
Julián Álvarez | 0.37 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Jéremy Doku |
| 11' |
 Brighton and Hove Albion |
Kaoru Mitoma | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Carlos Baleba |
| 11' |
Manchester City |
Josko Gvardiol | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Bernardo Silva |
| 18' |
Manchester City |
Erling Haaland | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 25' |
Manchester City |
Jéremy Doku | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Bernardo Silva |
| 51' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 59' |
Manchester City |
Julián Álvarez | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 60' |
Manchester City |
Phil Foden | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jéremy Doku |
| 66' |
Manchester City |
Erling Haaland | 0.15 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Phil Foden |
| 68' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Kaoru Mitoma | 0.29 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Anssumane Fati |
| 69' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Kaoru Mitoma | 0.23 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Solly March |
| 70' |
Manchester City |
Jéremy Doku | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Phil Foden |
| 72' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Anssumane Fati | 0.29 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 72' |
Manchester City |
Julián Álvarez | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
Players
Manchester City
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Álvarez AMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Erling Haaland FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Phil Foden AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Josko Gvardiol DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Stefan Ortega Moreno GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Kyle Walker DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Manuel Akanji DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Bernardo Silva AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.68 |
| Rodri DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Jéremy Doku AML | 79 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| John Stones DMC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Jack Grealish Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rúben Dias Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nathan Aké Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaoru Mitoma AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Pascal Groß DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Solly March DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| Simon Adingra AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Lewis Dunk DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Jason Steele GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Igor Julio DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Evan Ferguson Sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Carlos Baleba DMC | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| João Pedro FW | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| James Milner DR | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Joël Veltman Sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Anssumane Fati Sub | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Billy Gilmour Sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Danny Welbeck AMC | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |