Mjällby AIF v Hammarby — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Mjällby AIF

12:30

Hammarby

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,194h before kick-off

Mjällby AIF win

23.1%

model 23.9%

Draw

23.1%

model 23.6%

Hammarby win

53.7%

model 52.5%

232354

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.7%
0-2 8.0%
0-1 7.9%
2-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.9%	Under 2.5	40.1%
BTTS yes	60.2%	BTTS no	39.8%
Mjällby AIF 1+	70.3%	Mjällby AIF 2+	34.2%
Hammarby 1+	84.8%	Hammarby 2+	56.2%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

20/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1579.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hammarby have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.1% for Mjällby AIF and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Mjällby AIF and 1.89 for Hammarby.

Why Mjällby AIF

Nothing in the data singles out Mjällby AIF.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hammarby can win

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1579. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Mjällby AIF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hammarby, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Mjällby AIF: 37% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hammarby: 63% possession, 25.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hammarby are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	302644	1.25–1.58	1-1 12%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win	44.3%	43.0%	36.6%	1.17×	2.32
Mjällby AIF to win	29.6%	27.9%	40.7%	0.68×	3.59
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	22.9%	1.22×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & both teams score	22.2%	21.9%	18.1%	1.21×	4.57
Hammarby & not both score	22.1%	21.9%	18.8%	1.16×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Mjällby AIF & both teams score	15.5%	17.9%	17.3%	1.03×	5.59
Mjällby AIF & not both score	14.1%	13.3%	23.7%	0.56×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.4%	5.3%	1.57×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & over 1.5	35.6%	34.9%	27.7%	1.26×	2.87
Hammarby & under 3.5	29.1%	26.0%	25.4%	1.02×	3.84
Hammarby & over 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	22.9%	1.14×	3.84
Mjällby AIF & over 1.5	22.9%	21.6%	34.6%	0.63×	4.62
Mjällby AIF & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Mjällby AIF & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.56
Hammarby & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	14.0%	1.29×	5.56
Hammarby & over 3.5	15.2%	18.0%	11.5%	1.57×	5.56
Mjällby AIF & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77
Mjällby AIF & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.70
Hammarby & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Mjällby AIF & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.3%	1.47×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1UP)	60.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Mjällby AIF (1UP)	48.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2UP)	44.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Mjällby AIF (2UP)	29.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win 2nd half	39.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Mjällby AIF to win 2nd half	26.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Hammarby (+1.5)	87.3%	88.5%	76.3%	1.16×	1.13
Hammarby (+0.5)	70.4%	73.7%	59.3%	1.24×	1.36
Mjällby AIF (+0.5)	55.7%	57.0%	63.4%	0.90×	1.76
Hammarby (-0.5)	44.3%	43.0%	36.6%	1.17×	2.33
Mjällby AIF (-0.5)	29.6%	26.4%	40.7%	0.65×	3.80
Mjällby AIF (-1.5)	12.7%	11.5%	23.7%	0.49×	8.69
Mjällby AIF (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	11.5%	0.33×	26.78

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to concede	71.3%	76.5%	76.1%	1.01×	1.31
Hammarby clean sheet	28.7%	23.5%	23.9%	0.98×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby clean sheet in 1st half	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Hammarby to concede in 1st half	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Hammarby under 6.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Hammarby over 3.5 corners	68.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Hammarby under 5.5 corners	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Hammarby over 4.5 corners	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Hammarby under 4.5 corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Hammarby over 5.5 corners	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Hammarby under 3.5 corners	31.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Hammarby over 6.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Hammarby under 2.5 corners	17.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby under 3.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Hammarby over 0.5 goals	79.3%	76.3%	71.2%	1.07×	1.31
Hammarby under 2.5 goals	79.0%	76.3%	81.7%	0.93×	1.31
Hammarby under 1.5 goals	53.3%	53.7%	60.8%	0.88×	1.86
Hammarby over 1.5 goals	46.7%	46.3%	39.2%	1.18×	2.16
Hammarby over 2.5 goals	21.0%	23.8%	18.3%	1.30×	4.21
Hammarby under 0.5 goals	20.7%	23.7%	28.8%	0.83×	4.21
Hammarby over 3.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	4.8%	1.58×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Hammarby over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Hammarby over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (away no bet)	53.2%	51.3%	64.0%	0.80×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.8%	48.7%	36.0%	1.35×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby even goals	52.1%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
Hammarby odd goals	47.9%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Hammarby to score 2+ in a row	37.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Mjällby AIF to score 2+ in a row	26.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Hammarby to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Mjällby AIF to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.76

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby corners (+3.5)	92.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby corners (+2.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hammarby corners (+1.5)	79.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF corners (+2.5)	65.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Mjällby AIF corners (+1.5)	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Hammarby corners (-1.5)	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Hammarby corners (-2.5)	34.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Hammarby corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mjällby AIF corners (-1.5)	20.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mjällby AIF corners (-2.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Mjällby AIF corners (-3.5)	7.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.6%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.4%	13.0%	0.88×	8.74
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.47
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.47
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.47
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.47
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
1-3	4.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.50
0-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.50
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.50
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.51
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.52
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT (DNB)	55.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Mjällby AIF leading at HT (DNB)	44.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or Hammarby (12)	73.9%	72.1%	77.1%	0.94×	1.39
Hammarby or draw (X2)	70.4%	72.1%	59.3%	1.22×	1.39
Mjällby AIF or draw (1X)	55.7%	57.0%	63.4%	0.90×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw at HT	74.4%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF or draw at HT	68.4%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Mjällby AIF or Hammarby at HT	57.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (1UP)	70.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Mjällby AIF or draw (1UP)	55.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Mjällby AIF or Hammarby in 2nd half	65.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Mjällby AIF or draw in 2nd half	60.8%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (DNB)	59.9%	58.3%	47.4%	1.23×	1.72
Mjällby AIF (DNB)	40.1%	41.7%	52.6%	0.79×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score first	52.1%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Mjällby AIF to score first	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.2%	54.8%	52.7%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.8%	45.2%	47.3%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.9%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	34.0%	34.3%	34.4%	1.00×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.4%	13.2%	0.63×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.4%	83.1%	84.2%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.6%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Both score in both halves	6.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.8%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.1%	22.8%	20.4%	1.12×	4.38
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.99

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score exactly 1	32.6%	33.8%	32.3%	1.05×	2.96
Hammarby to score exactly 2	25.7%	27.4%	21.1%	1.30×	3.65
Hammarby to score 3+	21.0%	22.4%	18.3%	1.22×	4.46
Hammarby to score exactly 0	20.7%	22.4%	28.8%	0.78×	4.46

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.6%	32.8%	1.08×	2.81
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 0	28.7%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 2	22.4%	23.3%	22.1%	1.05×	4.30
Mjällby AIF to score 3+	13.1%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Hammarby leading at HT	31.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Mjällby AIF leading at HT	25.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby -1: 1	55.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Hammarby -1: 2	22.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Hammarby -1: X	21.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:1)	70.4%	70.9%	59.3%	1.20×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.9%	17.8%	17.3%	1.03×	5.62
Mjällby AIF (0:1)	12.7%	13.9%	23.7%	0.59×	7.22

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:2)	87.3%	86.9%	76.3%	1.14×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	12.5%	0.62×	12.95
Mjällby AIF (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	11.5%	0.33×	26.48

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.07
Mjällby AIF (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.51
Mjällby AIF (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (1:0)	55.7%	58.0%	63.4%	0.92×	1.72
Hammarby (1:0)	22.8%	21.8%	16.5%	1.32×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	20.4%	1.07×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (2:0)	77.2%	80.4%	83.5%	0.96×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.5%	10.4%	10.4%	1.00×	9.61
Hammarby (2:0)	9.3%	6.5%	6.4%	1.01×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to concede	79.3%	76.0%	71.2%	1.07×	1.32
Mjällby AIF clean sheet	20.7%	24.0%	28.8%	0.84×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Mjällby AIF to concede in 1st half	46.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 6.5 corners	89.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Mjällby AIF under 5.5 corners	80.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Mjällby AIF under 4.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 corners	51.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 corners	48.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Mjällby AIF over 4.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Mjällby AIF over 5.5 corners	19.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Mjällby AIF over 6.5 corners	10.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 goals	86.9%	87.2%	78.4%	1.11×	1.15
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 goals	71.3%	74.2%	76.1%	0.98×	1.35
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.5%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 goals	35.5%	36.5%	43.5%	0.84×	2.74
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 goals	28.7%	25.8%	23.9%	1.08×	3.88
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 goals	13.1%	12.8%	21.6%	0.59×	7.84
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.41

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 in 1st half	89.8%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 in 1st half	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 in 1st half	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (home no bet)	62.9%	60.1%	61.5%	0.98×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.1%	39.9%	38.5%	1.04×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF even goals	54.1%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Mjällby AIF odd goals	45.9%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
HT 0-1	19.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-0	16.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	6.2%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.73
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.75
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.86
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	44.00

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby at HT / Hammarby at FT	24.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Mjällby AIF at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Hammarby at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Mjällby AIF at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Hammarby at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Mjällby AIF at HT / Hammarby at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Hammarby at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score last	52.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Mjällby AIF to score last	41.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Hammarby to lead by 1 at any time	60.7%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Mjällby AIF to lead by 1 at any time	48.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Hammarby to lead by 2 at any time	29.5%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Mjällby AIF to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Hammarby to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.63
Mjällby AIF to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.5%	—	—	15.31

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby most corners	58.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Mjällby AIF most corners	30.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.8%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.4%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	62.1%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.1%	53.2%	48.3%	1.10×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.9%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.8%	39.2%	42.0%	0.93×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.0%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.8%	30.2%	26.2%	1.15×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.6%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.1%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	2.5%	2.5%	4.8%	0.53×	39.40

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby never behind	45.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Mjällby AIF never behind	32.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.4%	82.4%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.9%	77.4%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.7%	66.2%	69.2%	0.96×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.6%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.4%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	31.3%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.1%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.6%	17.6%	16.5%	1.07×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.6%	92.5%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.5%	81.1%	80.7%	1.00×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.9%	72.6%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.7%	55.5%	60.5%	0.92×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.3%	44.5%	39.5%	1.12×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.1%	27.4%	27.8%	0.99×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.5%	18.9%	19.3%	0.98×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.4%	7.5%	8.9%	0.85×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.3%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.7%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to score in both halves	78.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Hammarby not to score in both halves	71.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Hammarby to score in both halves	28.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Mjällby AIF to score in both halves	21.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.2%	58.3%	52.7%	1.11×	1.72
Only Hammarby scores	22.1%	22.3%	18.8%	1.19×	4.48
Only Mjällby AIF scores	14.1%	11.0%	23.7%	0.46×	9.13
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.2%	5.3%	1.34×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.6%	27.0%	0.84×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	17.4%	15.3%	1.14×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.9%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.10
6 or more goals	6.7%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to win both halves	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Hammarby not to win both halves	87.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Hammarby to win both halves	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Mjällby AIF to win both halves	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win either half	58.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Mjällby AIF to win neither half	55.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
Mjällby AIF to win either half	44.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Hammarby to win neither half	41.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF not to win to nil	85.9%	88.2%	76.3%	1.16×	1.13
Hammarby not to win to nil	77.9%	78.0%	81.2%	0.96×	1.28
Hammarby to win to nil	22.1%	22.0%	18.8%	1.17×	4.55
Mjällby AIF to win to nil	14.1%	11.8%	23.7%	0.50×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.8%	22.9%	1.21×	3.60
Hammarby by 1	21.5%	24.1%	20.4%	1.19×	4.14
Mjällby AIF by 1	16.9%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.90
Hammarby by 2	13.5%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.47
Hammarby by 3+	9.3%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.79
Mjällby AIF by 2	8.5%	7.3%	12.5%	0.58×	13.79
Mjällby AIF by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	11.5%	0.24×	37.00