Molde v IK Start — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 18 October 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyMolde win
63.9%
model 65.8%
Draw
18.0%
model 19.2%
IK Start win
18.0%
model 15.0%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (999 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-1 9.7%
- 2-0 9.1%
- 1-1 8.7%
- 3-1 7.6%
- 1-0 7.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 66.5% | Under 2.5 | 33.5% |
| BTTS yes | 59.8% | BTTS no | 40.2% |
| Molde 1+ | 90.6% | Molde 2+ | 68.3% |
| IK Start 1+ | 65.5% | IK Start 2+ | 28.7% |
Expected goals 2.36 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
Positive factors
- Molde carry the stronger rating, 1557 Elo against 1427.
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Molde have an estimated 63.9% win probability, against 18.0% for the draw and 18.0% for IK Start. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.36 for Molde and 1.06 for IK Start.
Why Molde
Molde carry the stronger rating, 1557 Elo against 1427. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.0%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.
Why IK Start can win
Nothing in the data singles out IK Start.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Molde, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for IK Start, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Molde: 61% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IK Start: 49% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Molde are the model's most likely outcome at 63.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 2.52–1.04 | 2-1 9% | 69% | 60% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to win | 69.1% | 65.1% | 49.0% | 1.33× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 17.7% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 0.97× | 5.17 |
| IK Start to win | 13.2% | 13.3% | 31.3% | 0.42× | 7.51 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde & both teams score | 37.0% | 33.2% | 25.1% | 1.32× | 3.02 |
| Molde & not both score | 32.1% | 29.7% | 24.1% | 1.23× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 0.88× | 7.54 |
| IK Start & both teams score | 8.4% | 8.4% | 16.8% | 0.50× | 11.93 |
| IK Start & not both score | 4.8% | 4.9% | 14.8% | 0.33× | 20.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 0.94× | 20.59 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde & over 1.5 | 62.4% | 54.7% | 41.2% | 1.33× | 1.83 |
| Molde & over 2.5 | 53.3% | 48.8% | 34.7% | 1.40× | 2.05 |
| Molde & over 3.5 | 36.3% | 34.9% | 21.2% | 1.64× | 2.87 |
| Molde & under 3.5 | 32.7% | 30.9% | 28.0% | 1.10× | 3.24 |
| Molde & under 2.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.24× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 0.86× | 7.77 |
| IK Start & over 1.5 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 26.4% | 0.49× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 0.89× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 0.89× | 7.77 |
| IK Start & over 2.5 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 21.5% | 0.37× | 12.69 |
| IK Start & under 3.5 | 8.5% | 7.9% | 19.4% | 0.41× | 12.69 |
| Molde & under 1.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 0.98× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.38× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.38× | 12.70 |
| IK Start & over 3.5 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 0.39× | 20.93 |
| IK Start & under 2.5 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 0.47× | 20.93 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 0.92× | 20.94 |
| IK Start & under 1.5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 0.92× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (1UP) | 80.6% | 86.8% | — | — | 1.15 |
| IK Start (1UP) | 33.1% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (2UP) | 69.1% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| IK Start (2UP) | 13.2% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.44 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to win 2nd half | 56.7% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| 2nd half drawn | 27.3% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
| IK Start to win 2nd half | 16.0% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (+0.5) | 86.8% | 88.5% | 68.7% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| IK Start (+2.5) | 72.2% | 73.7% | 85.5% | 0.86× | 1.36 |
| Molde (-0.5) | 69.1% | 68.7% | 49.0% | 1.40× | 1.46 |
| IK Start (+1.5) | 52.2% | 52.3% | 72.0% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Molde (-1.5) | 47.8% | 47.7% | 28.0% | 1.70× | 2.10 |
| IK Start (+0.5) | 30.9% | 31.3% | 51.0% | 0.61× | 3.20 |
| Molde (-2.5) | 27.8% | 26.3% | 14.5% | 1.81× | 3.80 |
| IK Start (-0.5) | 13.2% | 11.5% | 31.3% | 0.37× | 8.70 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start to concede | 92.0% | 91.8% | 80.3% | 1.14× | 1.09 |
| IK Start clean sheet | 8.0% | 8.2% | 19.7% | 0.42× | 12.16 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start to concede in 1st half | 66.2% | 69.2% | — | — | 1.45 |
| IK Start clean sheet in 1st half | 33.8% | 30.8% | — | — | 3.25 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start under 6.5 corners | 89.5% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| IK Start under 5.5 corners | 81.8% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| IK Start under 4.5 corners | 70.1% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| IK Start over 2.5 corners | 64.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| IK Start under 3.5 corners | 54.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| IK Start over 3.5 corners | 45.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| IK Start under 2.5 corners | 35.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| IK Start over 4.5 corners | 29.9% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| IK Start over 5.5 corners | 18.2% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
| IK Start over 6.5 corners | 10.5% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.76 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start under 3.5 goals | 97.8% | 97.5% | 93.5% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| IK Start under 2.5 goals | 91.2% | 92.3% | 82.6% | 1.12× | 1.08 |
| IK Start under 1.5 goals | 72.1% | 71.9% | 63.0% | 1.14× | 1.39 |
| IK Start over 0.5 goals | 64.7% | 63.0% | 71.0% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| IK Start under 0.5 goals | 35.3% | 37.0% | 29.0% | 1.28× | 2.70 |
| IK Start over 1.5 goals | 27.9% | 28.1% | 37.0% | 0.76× | 3.57 |
| IK Start over 2.5 goals | 8.8% | 7.7% | 17.4% | 0.44× | 13.02 |
| IK Start over 3.5 goals | 2.2% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 0.38× | 40.77 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.4% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| IK Start under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.0% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| IK Start over 0.5 in 1st half | 34.0% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.14 |
| IK Start over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.6% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.28 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (away no bet) | 79.6% | 73.8% | 71.1% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 20.4% | 26.2% | 28.9% | 0.91× | 3.82 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start even goals | 56.2% | 56.9% | 52.9% | 1.08× | 1.76 |
| IK Start odd goals | 43.8% | 43.1% | 47.2% | 0.91× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 73.0% | 77.2% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 27.0% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.38 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 78.5% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 21.5% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.67 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 72.8% | 72.0% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Molde to score 2+ in a row | 63.8% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 37.7% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Molde to score 3+ in a row | 34.6% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| IK Start to score 2+ in a row | 17.4% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.12 |
| IK Start to score 3+ in a row | 3.5% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.41 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde corners (+3.5) | 93.8% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Molde corners (+2.5) | 89.7% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Molde corners (+1.5) | 83.7% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| IK Start corners (+3.5) | 66.0% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| IK Start corners (+2.5) | 55.8% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Molde corners (-1.5) | 55.2% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| IK Start corners (+1.5) | 44.8% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Molde corners (-2.5) | 44.2% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Molde corners (-3.5) | 34.0% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| IK Start corners (-1.5) | 16.3% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| IK Start corners (-2.5) | 10.3% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
| IK Start corners (-3.5) | 6.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 45.8% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.4% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 25.8% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.0% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 74.2% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 65.9% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 64.9% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 56.3% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 54.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 45.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43.7% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 35.1% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 34.1% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 25.8% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 19.0% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 1.58× | 8.73 |
| 2-0 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.10× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.92× | 13.48 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.77× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.79× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.19× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.46 |
| 4-0 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.46 |
| 4-1 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 58.46 |
| 0-0 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.47 |
| 0-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.48 |
| 0-2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.49 |
| 1-2 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.47 |
| 1-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.49 |
| 2-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.65× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.47 |
| 4-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.48 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde leading at HT (DNB) | 78.8% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| IK Start leading at HT (DNB) | 21.2% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde or draw (1X) | 86.8% | 86.7% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.15 |
| Molde or IK Start (12) | 82.3% | 80.7% | 80.1% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| IK Start or draw (X2) | 30.9% | 34.9% | 51.0% | 0.68× | 2.87 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde or draw at HT | 86.0% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Molde or IK Start at HT | 66.3% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| IK Start or draw at HT | 47.7% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde or draw (1UP) | 86.8% | 91.7% | — | — | 1.09 |
| IK Start or draw (1UP) | 33.1% | 38.9% | — | — | 2.57 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde or draw in 2nd half | 84.0% | 81.1% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Molde or IK Start in 2nd half | 72.7% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| IK Start or draw in 2nd half | 43.3% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half drawn | 48.7% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| A half drawn | 51.3% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (DNB) | 84.0% | 80.6% | 61.0% | 1.32× | 1.24 |
| IK Start (DNB) | 16.0% | 19.4% | 39.0% | 0.50× | 5.15 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to score first | 68.5% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| IK Start to score first | 28.2% | 28.3% | — | — | 3.53 |
| No goal scored | 3.3% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.40 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 59.9% | 54.9% | 56.5% | 0.97× | 1.82 |
| Not both teams to score | 40.1% | 45.1% | 43.5% | 1.04× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 52.0% | 47.1% | 47.2% | 1.00× | 2.13 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 23.1% | 27.7% | 29.3% | 0.95× | 3.61 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 17.0% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 1.50× | 4.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 0.87× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 80.0% | 83.0% | 83.4% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 20.0% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 1.02× | 5.89 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 64.5% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 35.5% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 49.8% | 53.6% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 27.6% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.6% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.27 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.0% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.70 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 77.4% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 22.6% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.40 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 68.0% | 66.9% | — | — | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 32.0% | 33.1% | — | — | 3.02 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 40.7% | 42.1% | 35.5% | 1.19× | 2.38 |
| 2-3 goals | 39.9% | 35.1% | 43.8% | 0.80× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 12.5% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 0.95× | 5.91 |
| 7+ goals | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.25× | 13.19 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 34.2% | 1.05× | 2.78 |
| IK Start to score exactly 0 | 35.3% | 36.0% | 29.0% | 1.24× | 2.78 |
| IK Start to score exactly 2 | 19.1% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 0.98× | 5.11 |
| IK Start to score 3+ | 8.8% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 0.49× | 11.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to score 3+ | 46.1% | 36.8% | 26.7% | 1.38× | 2.72 |
| Molde to score exactly 2 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 1.02× | 3.77 |
| Molde to score exactly 1 | 20.3% | 23.2% | 28.2% | 0.82× | 4.30 |
| Molde to score exactly 0 | 8.0% | 10.3% | 19.7% | 0.52× | 9.72 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde leading at HT | 52.3% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Draw at HT | 33.7% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| IK Start leading at HT | 14.0% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde -1: 1 | 47.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Molde -1: 2 | 30.9% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.33 |
| Molde -1: X | 21.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (0:1) | 47.8% | 46.0% | 28.0% | 1.64× | 2.18 |
| IK Start (0:1) | 30.9% | 30.0% | 51.0% | 0.59× | 3.33 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.3% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 1.14× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:2) | 52.2% | 58.3% | 72.0% | 0.81× | 1.71 |
| Molde (0:2) | 27.8% | 23.8% | 14.5% | 1.64× | 4.20 |
| Draw (0:2) | 20.0% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 1.48× | 4.93 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:3) | 72.2% | 77.9% | 85.5% | 0.91× | 1.28 |
| Draw (0:3) | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 1.43× | 9.97 |
| Molde (0:3) | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 1.29× | 9.97 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start (0:4) | 86.3% | 91.9% | 92.2% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.00× | 21.43 |
| Molde (0:4) | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.37× | 21.62 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (1:0) | 86.8% | 86.4% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.5% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 0.47× | 14.42 |
| IK Start (1:0) | 4.7% | 3.2% | 16.8% | 0.19× | 31.35 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde (2:0) | 95.3% | 96.9% | 83.2% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 3.4% | 2.3% | 9.1% | 0.25× | 44.15 |
| IK Start (2:0) | 1.3% | 2.3% | 8.0% | 0.28× | 44.29 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.3% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 21.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to concede | 64.7% | 63.4% | 71.0% | 0.89× | 1.58 |
| Molde clean sheet | 35.3% | 36.6% | 29.0% | 1.26× | 2.74 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde clean sheet in 1st half | 66.0% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Molde to concede in 1st half | 34.0% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde over 2.5 corners | 85.9% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Molde over 3.5 corners | 74.2% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Molde under 6.5 corners | 64.8% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Molde over 4.5 corners | 60.7% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Molde under 5.5 corners | 52.7% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Molde over 5.5 corners | 47.3% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Molde under 4.5 corners | 39.3% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Molde over 6.5 corners | 35.2% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Molde under 3.5 corners | 25.8% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Molde under 2.5 corners | 14.1% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde over 0.5 goals | 92.0% | 92.3% | 80.3% | 1.15× | 1.08 |
| Molde under 3.5 goals | 75.4% | 77.7% | 87.6% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| Molde over 1.5 goals | 71.7% | 74.2% | 52.3% | 1.42× | 1.35 |
| Molde under 2.5 goals | 53.9% | 53.3% | 73.3% | 0.73× | 1.88 |
| Molde over 2.5 goals | 46.1% | 46.7% | 26.7% | 1.75× | 2.14 |
| Molde under 1.5 goals | 28.3% | 25.8% | 47.7% | 0.54× | 3.87 |
| Molde over 3.5 goals | 24.6% | 22.3% | 12.4% | 1.79× | 4.49 |
| Molde under 0.5 goals | 8.0% | 7.8% | 19.7% | 0.39× | 12.90 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.5% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Molde over 0.5 in 1st half | 66.2% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Molde under 0.5 in 1st half | 33.8% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Molde over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.5% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 57.4% | 56.7% | 38.9% | 1.46× | 1.76 |
| IK Start (home no bet) | 42.6% | 43.3% | 61.1% | 0.71× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde even goals | 50.3% | 50.6% | 53.9% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Molde odd goals | 49.7% | 49.4% | 46.1% | 1.07× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1-0 | 24.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 0-0 | 22.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 2-0 | 13.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| Any other HT score | 10.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.47 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.53 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde at HT / Molde at FT | 46.6% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Draw at HT / Molde at FT | 18.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
| IK Start at HT / IK Start at FT | 6.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.69 |
| Draw at HT / IK Start at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Molde at HT / Draw at FT | 4.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| IK Start at HT / Molde at FT | 3.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| IK Start at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Molde at HT / IK Start at FT | 1.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to score last | 68.6% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| IK Start to score last | 28.2% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
| No goal scored | 3.3% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.40 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.7% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Molde to lead by 1 at any time | 80.6% | 86.9% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 64.2% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Molde to lead by 2 at any time | 55.3% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 34.0% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.40 |
| IK Start to lead by 1 at any time | 33.1% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Molde to lead by 3 at any time | 31.8% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| IK Start to lead by 2 at any time | 9.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.97 |
| IK Start to lead by 3 at any time | 2.2% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.09 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde most corners | 66.0% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| IK Start most corners | 24.3% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
| Corners level | 9.7% | 8.5% | — | — | 11.80 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 81.7% | 83.5% | 87.0% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.5% | 83.5% | 79.0% | 1.06× | 1.20 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.5% | 72.4% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 68.1% | 69.0% | 73.1% | 0.94× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 62.1% | 63.4% | 58.3% | 1.09× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.9% | 59.2% | 60.4% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.0% | 53.2% | 53.6% | 0.99× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 49.1% | 48.7% | 56.5% | 0.86× | 2.06 |
| 4-6 goals | 40.7% | 43.6% | 35.5% | 1.23× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.5% | 43.6% | 39.6% | 1.10× | 2.30 |
| 2-3 goals | 39.9% | 39.2% | 43.8% | 0.89× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 32.6% | 35.4% | 30.8% | 1.15× | 2.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 27.7% | 30.2% | 33.7% | 0.90× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 21.6% | 24.5% | 18.9% | 1.29× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 6.9% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 2.59× | 11.45 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde never behind | 63.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| IK Start never behind | 16.1% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.42 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.1% | 50.8% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.9% | 49.2% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.6% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.4% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.1% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.9% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.7% | 95.5% | 94.8% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% | 87.6% | 82.1% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 85.0% | 87.6% | 92.0% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71.4% | 72.5% | 78.0% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.0% | 66.2% | 61.4% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52.4% | 52.5% | 61.4% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.6% | 47.5% | 38.6% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.0% | 33.8% | 38.6% | 0.88× | 2.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 28.6% | 27.5% | 22.0% | 1.25× | 3.64 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.09 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12.5% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 0.69× | 8.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 0.87× | 22.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 92.5% | 92.5% | 96.5% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 84.6% | 81.1% | 77.5% | 1.05× | 1.23 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 82.7% | 81.1% | 90.7% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 64.7% | 62.1% | 73.6% | 0.84× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 60.6% | 62.1% | 50.0% | 1.24× | 1.61 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 39.4% | 37.9% | 50.0% | 0.76× | 2.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 35.3% | 37.9% | 26.4% | 1.44× | 2.64 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 17.4% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.03× | 5.28 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 15.4% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 0.84× | 5.28 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.13× | 13.26 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 80.9% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 77.6% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 55.7% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 44.3% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 22.4% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 19.1% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.22 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 87.1% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 66.1% | 67.4% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 61.2% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 38.8% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 33.9% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 12.9% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start not to score in both halves | 84.2% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Molde to score in both halves | 50.5% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Molde not to score in both halves | 49.5% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
| IK Start to score in both halves | 15.8% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 59.9% | 58.4% | 56.5% | 1.03× | 1.71 |
| Only Molde scores | 32.1% | 33.3% | 24.1% | 1.38× | 3.00 |
| Only IK Start scores | 4.8% | 4.6% | 14.8% | 0.31× | 21.78 |
| Neither team scores | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 0.88× | 21.85 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.4% | 22.6% | 23.1% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 1.04× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 18.5% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 0.83× | 5.74 |
| 6 or more goals | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 1.51× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 13.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 0.85× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.2% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 0.59× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 0.85× | 22.67 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 61.2% | 58.3% | — | — | 1.72 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 26.0% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 12.9% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.92 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start not to win both halves | 97.7% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Molde not to win both halves | 70.2% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Molde to win both halves | 29.8% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| IK Start to win both halves | 2.3% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.31 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde to win either half | 79.2% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| IK Start to win neither half | 72.3% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| IK Start to win either half | 27.7% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
| Molde to win neither half | 20.8% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Start not to win to nil | 95.2% | 96.1% | 85.2% | 1.13× | 1.04 |
| Molde not to win to nil | 67.9% | 69.7% | 75.9% | 0.92× | 1.44 |
| Molde to win to nil | 32.1% | 30.3% | 24.1% | 1.26× | 3.30 |
| IK Start to win to nil | 4.8% | 3.9% | 14.8% | 0.26× | 25.61 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde by 3+ | 27.8% | 27.9% | 14.5% | 1.92× | 3.59 |
| Molde by 1 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 1.14× | 4.14 |
| Molde by 2 | 20.0% | 24.1% | 13.7% | 1.76× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 17.7% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 0.85× | 5.91 |
| IK Start by 1 | 8.5% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.49× | 13.78 |
| IK Start by 2 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 9.1% | 0.30× | 36.97 |
| IK Start by 3+ | 1.3% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 0.34× | 37.04 |