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Monaco v Brest — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 22 November 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

3–2
2.56 – 1.39 xG
Shots
10 – 12
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 8
xG per shot
0.26 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.04 – 0.64
Goals − xG
+0.40 – +0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.22.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Maghnes Akliouche 4' — goalAleksandr Golovin 23' — goalAbdallah Sima 49' — goalMaghnes Akliouche 90' — goalLudovic Ajorque 95' — goal
Monaco 2.60 xGBrest 1.39 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Maghnes Akliouche 4' — Goal (0.61 xG, Open Play)Maghnes Akliouche 8' — Shot On Post (0.39 xG, Open Play)Jordan Amavi 12' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Aleksandr Golovin 23' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Ajorque 29' — Missed Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 31' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Julien Le Cardinal 35' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Abdallah Sima 45' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Breel Embolo 48' — Missed Shot (0.59 xG, Open Play)Abdallah Sima 49' — Goal (0.49 xG, From Corner)Kamory Doumbia 53' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Salisu 56' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ben Seghir 58' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Ajorque 73' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Mama Baldé 77' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Edimilson Fernandes 81' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)George Ilenikhena 82' — Saved Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Soungoutou Magassa 83' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Denis Zakaria 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jordan Amavi 88' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maghnes Akliouche 90' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Ajorque 95' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)
Monaco attacking right Brest attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Monaco Maghnes Akliouche 0.61 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ben Seghir
8' Monaco Maghnes Akliouche 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Aleksandr Golovin
12' Brest Jordan Amavi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Hugo Magnetti
23' Monaco Aleksandr Golovin 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal
29' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.31 Open Play Missed Shot Romain Del Castillo
31' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
35' Brest Julien Le Cardinal 0.08 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Ludovic Ajorque
45' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
48' Monaco Breel Embolo 0.59 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ben Seghir
49' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.49 From Corner Goal Kamory Doumbia
53' Brest Kamory Doumbia 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mahdi Camara
56' Monaco Mohammed Salisu 0.04 From Corner Blocked Shot Ben Seghir
58' Monaco Ben Seghir 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Vanderson
73' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
77' Brest Mama Baldé 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
81' Brest Edimilson Fernandes 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kamory Doumbia
82' Monaco George Ilenikhena 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
83' Monaco Soungoutou Magassa 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
85' Monaco Denis Zakaria 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jordan Teze
88' Brest Jordan Amavi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mama Baldé
90' Monaco Maghnes Akliouche 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Goal George Ilenikhena
95' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.06 Open Play Goal Kenny Lala

Players

Brest

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ludovic Ajorque FW 90 1 0 3 1 0.44 0.08 0.45
Julien Le Cardinal DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.19
Jordan Amavi DL 90 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Brendan Chardonnet DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.44
Kenny Lala DR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.37
Marco Bizot GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mahdi Camara MC 85 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.30 0.23
Hugo Magnetti MC 85 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Abdallah Sima FWL 77 1 0 2 0 0.57 0.00 0.08
Edimilson Fernandes Sub 69 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.16
Romain Del Castillo FWR 50 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.31 0.34
Kamory Doumbia Sub 40 0 1 1 2 0.08 0.51 0.10
Pierre Lees-Melou MC 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mama Baldé Sub 13 0 0 1 1 0.13 0.02 0.21
Pereira Lage Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jonas Martin Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06

Monaco

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Maghnes Akliouche AMR 90 2 0 3 0 1.31 0.00 1.90
Soungoutou Magassa DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Aleksandr Golovin AML 90 1 0 1 1 0.07 0.39 0.47
Mohammed Salisu DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Denis Zakaria DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 1.52
Thilo Kehrer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.61
Christian Mawissa Elebi DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Radoslaw Majecki GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ben Seghir AMC 84 0 1 1 3 0.03 1.23 1.22
Vanderson DR 84 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Breel Embolo FW 72 0 0 1 0 0.59 0.00 1.19
George Ilenikhena Sub 18 0 1 1 1 0.45 0.31 0.76
Jordan Teze Sub 6 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Wilfried Stephane Singo Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kassoum Ouattara Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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