Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Motherwell

10:00

Heart of Midlothian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,168h before kick-off

Motherwell win

36.7%

model 36.4%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.0%

Heart of Midlothian win

36.7%

model 36.6%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.1%
1-0 10.0%
0-0 8.1%
1-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	51.5%	BTTS no	48.5%
Motherwell 1+	71.6%	Motherwell 2+	35.9%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	71.7%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	36.0%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1605.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Motherwell and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Motherwell and 1.26 for Heart of Midlothian.

Why Motherwell

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.26. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Heart of Midlothian can win

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1605. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	342839	1.16–1.27	1-1 13%	44%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win	38.8%	36.4%	30.9%	1.18×	2.75
Motherwell to win	33.6%	30.4%	45.9%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	23.4%	1.19×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	22.5%	21.9%	14.7%	1.49×	4.57
Motherwell & not both score	19.3%	17.9%	27.4%	0.65×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.58
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	16.3%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Motherwell & both teams score	14.4%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.9%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	29.4%	26.0%	22.4%	1.16×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	27.7%	26.0%	24.5%	1.06×	3.84
Motherwell & under 3.5	25.9%	26.0%	30.1%	0.87×	3.84
Motherwell & over 1.5	23.5%	21.7%	36.7%	0.59×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.9%	21.7%	14.9%	1.45×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.9%	21.7%	14.9%	1.45×	4.62
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	20.6%	21.7%	20.5%	1.05×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Motherwell & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Motherwell & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	6.6%	1.94×	7.77
Motherwell & under 1.5	10.2%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.69
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.69
Motherwell & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell (1UP)	49.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	38.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Motherwell (2UP)	33.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Motherwell to win 2nd half	28.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (+2.5)	95.6%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Heart of Midlothian (+1.5)	86.2%	88.5%	73.4%	1.21×	1.13
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	66.4%	68.7%	54.1%	1.27×	1.46
Motherwell (+0.5)	61.2%	62.9%	69.1%	0.91×	1.59
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	38.8%	37.1%	30.9%	1.20×	2.70
Motherwell (-0.5)	33.6%	31.3%	45.9%	0.68×	3.20
Motherwell (-1.5)	13.8%	11.5%	26.6%	0.43×	8.69
Motherwell (-2.5)	4.4%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.79

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede	68.7%	72.5%	79.7%	0.91×	1.38
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	31.3%	27.5%	20.3%	1.35×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	39.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	79.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	79.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	68.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	31.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	21.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	20.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	86.5%	87.9%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	71.8%	71.9%	67.0%	1.07×	1.39
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	63.9%	63.0%	63.1%	1.00×	1.59
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	36.1%	37.0%	36.9%	1.00×	2.70
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	28.2%	28.1%	33.0%	0.85×	3.56
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	13.5%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	3.7%	0.66×	40.67

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	55.0%	51.3%	66.2%	0.78×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	45.0%	48.7%	33.8%	1.44×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	54.0%	52.8%	57.7%	0.92×	1.89
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	46.0%	47.2%	42.3%	1.12×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.8%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	29.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	25.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.7%	—	—	17.58
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	6.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	81.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	73.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	61.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	38.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	26.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	18.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	18.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.6%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.6%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	18.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	12.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	6.6%	1.73×	8.73
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
0-2	7.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.48
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.48
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.46
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.47
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.48
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.47
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.48
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.48
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.47
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.49
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.49
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.49
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	50.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	49.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or Heart of Midlothian (12)	72.4%	72.1%	76.6%	0.94×	1.39
Heart of Midlothian or draw (X2)	66.4%	69.6%	54.1%	1.29×	1.44
Motherwell or draw (1X)	61.2%	63.6%	69.1%	0.92×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	73.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Motherwell or draw at HT	73.0%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Motherwell or Heart of Midlothian at HT	53.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	66.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	61.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	71.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Motherwell or Heart of Midlothian in 2nd half	62.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.7%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.3%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	53.6%	51.0%	40.3%	1.27×	1.96
Motherwell (DNB)	46.4%	49.0%	59.7%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first	47.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Motherwell to score first	43.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.6%	51.4%	47.5%	1.08×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.4%	48.6%	52.5%	0.93×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.2%	41.6%	33.8%	1.23×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.3%	38.5%	43.4%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	9.3%	1.32×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.3%	85.6%	83.8%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.7%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.6%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.0%	5.0%	—	—	19.89

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	48.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.2%	30.7%	21.4%	1.44×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.5%	22.8%	31.3%	0.73×	4.39
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.68

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	30.3%	1.19×	2.78
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	28.2%	27.4%	33.0%	0.83×	3.65
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	22.6%	22.4%	22.6%	0.99×	4.46
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	13.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	31.1%	1.14×	2.81
Motherwell to score exactly 0	31.3%	32.6%	20.3%	1.61×	3.06
Motherwell to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Motherwell to score 3+	11.2%	14.3%	23.9%	0.60×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	27.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
Motherwell leading at HT	26.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1	61.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Heart of Midlothian -1: X	21.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2	17.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	66.4%	65.4%	54.1%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	19.5%	0.91×	5.62
Motherwell (0:1)	13.8%	13.9%	26.6%	0.52×	7.22

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	86.2%	86.9%	73.4%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	12.93
Motherwell (0:2)	4.4%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.49

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	95.6%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.12
Motherwell (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.8%	0.25×	83.58
Motherwell (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.15×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	61.2%	65.0%	69.1%	0.94×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	21.6%	21.8%	17.6%	1.23×	4.59
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	17.2%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	82.8%	84.5%	86.5%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.3%	10.4%	7.7%	1.35×	9.64
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	5.9%	6.5%	6.0%	1.07×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	71.8%	73.1%	67.0%	1.09×	1.37
Motherwell clean sheet	28.2%	26.9%	33.0%	0.82×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	60.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	39.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	76.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	72.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	53.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	46.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	27.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	23.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	88.8%	87.3%	76.1%	1.15×	1.15
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	68.7%	67.9%	79.7%	0.85×	1.47
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	67.7%	67.9%	51.2%	1.32×	1.47
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	32.3%	32.1%	48.8%	0.66×	3.11
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	31.3%	32.1%	20.3%	1.58×	3.11
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	11.2%	12.7%	23.9%	0.53×	7.85
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	4.7%	—	—	21.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (home no bet)	58.5%	56.7%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.5%	43.3%	43.1%	1.00×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	54.9%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Motherwell odd goals	45.1%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	18.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Motherwell at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Motherwell at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last	47.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Motherwell to score last	43.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	22.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.06
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Motherwell most corners	37.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.5%	79.7%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.6%	69.0%	77.0%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.4%	69.0%	61.4%	1.12×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.9%	71.4%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.2%	64.1%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.7%	37.3%	1.30×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.5%	43.6%	55.4%	0.79×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.0%	43.6%	49.8%	0.87×	2.30
3-4 goals	33.8%	35.4%	42.5%	0.83×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.5%	24.5%	31.3%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.0%	18.6%	25.7%	0.72×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.7%	8.7%	13.1%	0.67×	11.44
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	1.9%	1.36×	39.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind	41.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Motherwell never behind	37.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.5%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.5%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.3%	95.5%	92.5%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.3%	77.3%	67.0%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.8%	66.2%	78.6%	0.84×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.3%	58.8%	42.9%	1.37×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.7%	41.2%	57.1%	0.72×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.2%	33.8%	21.4%	1.58×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	33.0%	0.69×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	5.8%	1.33×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.7%	4.5%	7.5%	0.60×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	91.9%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.6%	86.8%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.3%	72.6%	56.6%	1.28×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.2%	55.5%	72.8%	0.76×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.8%	44.5%	27.2%	1.63×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.7%	27.4%	43.4%	0.63×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.4%	13.2%	18.0%	0.74×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	8.1%	0.34×	36.10
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	2.0%	1.40×	36.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.4%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to score in both halves	81.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	78.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	21.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Motherwell to score in both halves	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.4%	50.5%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	22.5%	22.3%	14.7%	1.52×	4.48
Only Motherwell scores	19.3%	16.1%	27.4%	0.59×	6.21
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	25.0%	21.8%	1.15×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.3%	22.6%	15.8%	1.43×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	18.5%	0.65×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.7%	4.4%	7.5%	0.59×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	24.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win both halves	92.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	90.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Motherwell to win both halves	7.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win neither half	52.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	51.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	48.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Motherwell to win either half	47.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win to nil	80.7%	83.0%	72.6%	1.14×	1.21
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	77.6%	78.0%	85.3%	0.92×	1.28
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	22.5%	22.0%	14.7%	1.49×	4.56
Motherwell to win to nil	19.3%	17.0%	27.4%	0.62×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	23.4%	1.19×	3.59
Heart of Midlothian by 1	21.6%	24.1%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Motherwell by 1	19.8%	16.9%	19.5%	0.87×	5.91
Heart of Midlothian by 2	11.3%	11.8%	7.7%	1.54×	8.48
Motherwell by 2	9.4%	7.3%	14.5%	0.50×	13.77
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	5.9%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.79
Motherwell by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.94