Nantes v AS Nancy Lorraine — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Nantes

14:45

AS Nancy Lorraine

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 11h before kick-off

Nantes win

28.8%

model 30.8%

Draw

21.8%

model 24.1%

AS Nancy Lorraine win

49.4%

model 45.1%

292249

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.2%
2-1 7.4%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.7%	Under 2.5	39.3%
BTTS yes	62.4%	BTTS no	37.6%
Nantes 1+	75.4%	Nantes 2+	40.9%
AS Nancy Lorraine 1+	82.4%	AS Nancy Lorraine 2+	51.8%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.74. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

52.0% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4274 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

AS Nancy Lorraine carry the stronger rating, 1432 Elo against 1360.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AS Nancy Lorraine have an estimated 49.4% win probability, against 28.8% for Nantes and 21.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Nantes and 1.74 for AS Nancy Lorraine.

Why Nantes

Nothing in the data singles out Nantes.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why AS Nancy Lorraine can win

AS Nancy Lorraine carry the stronger rating, 1432 Elo against 1360. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Nantes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Matthis Abline (0.37), Ignatius Ganago (0.27), Mohamed Kaba (0.22).

Availability

No lineup on record for AS Nancy Lorraine, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Nantes: 57% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.46 xG a match from set pieces. AS Nancy Lorraine: 53% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

AS Nancy Lorraine are the model's most likely outcome at 49.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Nantes are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LLDDDLLWLD last 10 scored 7 from 12.7 xG conceded 11 from 13.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	312445	1.40–1.74	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312346	1.51–1.90	1-1 10%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to win	46.5%	47.5%	29.8%	1.59×	2.11
Nantes to win	30.7%	30.3%	42.5%	0.71×	3.30
Draw	22.9%	24.5%	27.8%	0.88×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine & both teams score	28.1%	25.2%	12.3%	2.05×	3.97
Nantes & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	18.8%	0.96×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
AS Nancy Lorraine & not both score	18.4%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Nantes & not both score	11.4%	13.3%	23.8%	0.56×	7.55
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	9.1%	0.54×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 1.5	40.5%	40.3%	20.2%	2.00×	2.48
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 2.5	34.6%	30.9%	16.3%	1.89×	3.24
Nantes & over 1.5	26.0%	26.0%	30.0%	0.87×	3.84
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 3.5	24.7%	21.7%	23.1%	0.94×	4.62
Nantes & over 2.5	22.2%	21.7%	24.2%	0.90×	4.62
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 3.5	21.8%	21.7%	6.9%	3.13×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Nantes & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	29.4%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	20.8%	0.62×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	20.8%	0.62×	7.77
Nantes & over 3.5	13.1%	12.9%	13.2%	0.97×	7.77
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 2.5	11.9%	12.9%	13.7%	0.94×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	7.2%	1.09×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	7.2%	1.09×	12.69
Nantes & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	18.5%	0.43×	12.69
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	9.8%	0.80×	12.70
Nantes & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	12.6%	0.38×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (1UP)	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Nantes (1UP)	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (2UP)	46.5%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Nantes (2UP)	30.7%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to win 2nd half	41.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	30.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Nantes to win 2nd half	27.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	92.2%	1.00×	1.09
AS Nancy Lorraine (+1.5)	85.6%	88.5%	80.8%	1.10×	1.13
AS Nancy Lorraine (+0.5)	69.3%	68.7%	57.5%	1.19×	1.46
Nantes (+0.5)	53.5%	52.3%	70.2%	0.75×	1.91
AS Nancy Lorraine (-0.5)	46.5%	47.7%	29.8%	1.60×	2.10
Nantes (-0.5)	30.7%	31.3%	42.5%	0.74×	3.20
Nantes (-1.5)	14.4%	11.5%	19.2%	0.60×	8.69
Nantes (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede	78.0%	79.0%	73.4%	1.08×	1.27
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet	22.0%	21.0%	26.6%	0.79×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede in 1st half	47.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet in 1st half	52.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 6.5 corners	83.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
AS Nancy Lorraine under 5.5 corners	74.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
AS Nancy Lorraine under 4.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
AS Nancy Lorraine over 4.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
AS Nancy Lorraine over 5.5 corners	26.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
AS Nancy Lorraine over 6.5 corners	16.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 goals	87.6%	87.9%	97.2%	0.90×	1.14
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 goals	85.0%	81.4%	67.2%	1.21×	1.23
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 goals	70.5%	71.9%	87.5%	0.82×	1.39
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 goals	56.5%	59.5%	31.7%	1.88×	1.68
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 goals	43.5%	40.5%	68.3%	0.59×	2.47
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 goals	29.5%	28.1%	12.5%	2.25×	3.56
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 goals	15.0%	18.6%	32.8%	0.57×	5.39
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 goals	12.4%	12.1%	2.8%	4.38×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes (away no bet)	57.3%	57.5%	60.4%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.7%	42.5%	39.6%	1.07×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine even goals	51.1%	52.8%	54.2%	0.97×	1.89
AS Nancy Lorraine odd goals	48.9%	47.2%	45.8%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.6%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 2+ in a row	45.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Nantes to score 2+ in a row	32.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Nantes to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes corners (+3.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+3.5)	81.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Nantes corners (+2.5)	80.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+2.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Nantes corners (+1.5)	71.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+1.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Nantes corners (-1.5)	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-1.5)	28.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Nantes corners (-2.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-2.5)	19.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Nantes corners (-3.5)	18.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-3.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
9-11 corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	61.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	38.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	29.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	14.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	11.8%	0.63×	13.48
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.48
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.48
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.48
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.48
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.48
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	2.8%	2.68×	13.48
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	3.1%	2.41×	13.48
1-0	4.7%	1.7%	12.6%	0.14×	58.46
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.47
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.71×	58.48
1-4	2.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.47
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.47
2-3	4.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.46
2-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.48
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.48
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.47
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.11×	58.48
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.70×	58.48
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.48
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.49
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	11.11×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT (DNB)	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Nantes leading at HT (DNB)	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes or AS Nancy Lorraine (12)	77.1%	75.5%	72.2%	1.05×	1.32
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (X2)	69.3%	69.7%	57.5%	1.21×	1.44
Nantes or draw (1X)	53.5%	52.5%	70.2%	0.75×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw at HT	72.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Nantes or draw at HT	65.9%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Nantes or AS Nancy Lorraine at HT	61.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (1UP)	69.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Nantes or draw (1UP)	53.5%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw in 2nd half	72.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Nantes or AS Nancy Lorraine in 2nd half	69.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Nantes or draw in 2nd half	58.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (DNB)	60.3%	62.8%	41.3%	1.52×	1.59
Nantes (DNB)	39.8%	37.2%	58.7%	0.63×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score first	53.6%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Nantes to score first	42.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.6%	58.2%	49.7%	1.17×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.4%	41.8%	50.3%	0.83×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.7%	47.2%	38.0%	1.24×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	24.0%	27.7%	40.9%	0.68×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	11.8%	0.71×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	9.5%	0.88×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.8%	80.7%	85.5%	0.94×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.2%	19.3%	14.5%	1.34×	5.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	29.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.5%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.5%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.4%	42.1%	41.8%	1.01×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.5%	35.1%	25.2%	1.39×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.3%	17.0%	31.2%	0.54×	5.90
7+ goals	5.8%	7.6%	2.0%	3.78×	13.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+	29.5%	27.4%	12.5%	2.20×	3.65
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 1	28.5%	27.4%	35.7%	0.77×	3.65
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	19.4%	1.41×	3.65
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 0	15.0%	19.6%	32.8%	0.60×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to score exactly 1	33.3%	32.7%	33.7%	0.97×	3.06
Nantes to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.5%	22.2%	1.20×	3.77
Nantes to score exactly 0	22.0%	23.2%	26.6%	0.87×	4.30
Nantes to score 3+	19.4%	18.9%	17.8%	1.06×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.2%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT	34.1%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
Nantes leading at HT	27.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: 1	53.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: 2	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:1)	69.3%	65.5%	57.5%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	16.2%	17.8%	23.4%	0.76×	5.63
Nantes (0:1)	14.4%	13.9%	19.2%	0.72×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:2)	85.6%	86.9%	80.8%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.93
Nantes (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	7.8%	0.98×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:3)	94.6%	92.6%	92.2%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	42.10
Nantes (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	3.1%	0.39×	83.54
Nantes (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.8%	1.55×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes (1:0)	53.5%	54.1%	70.2%	0.77×	1.85
AS Nancy Lorraine (1:0)	26.0%	25.1%	12.5%	2.01×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	20.4%	21.8%	17.5%	1.24×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes (2:0)	74.0%	76.5%	87.5%	0.87×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.1%	10.4%	7.1%	1.47×	9.62
AS Nancy Lorraine (2:0)	11.9%	10.4%	5.5%	1.87×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to concede	85.0%	80.9%	67.2%	1.20×	1.24
Nantes clean sheet	15.0%	19.1%	32.8%	0.58×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes to concede in 1st half	53.1%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Nantes clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes over 2.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Nantes under 6.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Nantes under 5.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Nantes over 3.5 corners	62.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Nantes under 4.5 corners	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Nantes over 4.5 corners	46.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Nantes under 3.5 corners	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Nantes over 5.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Nantes under 2.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Nantes over 6.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Nantes under 2.5 goals	80.6%	82.1%	82.2%	1.00×	1.22
Nantes over 0.5 goals	78.0%	77.8%	73.4%	1.06×	1.29
Nantes under 1.5 goals	55.4%	58.8%	60.2%	0.98×	1.70
Nantes over 1.5 goals	44.6%	41.2%	39.8%	1.03×	2.43
Nantes under 0.5 goals	22.0%	22.3%	26.6%	0.84×	4.49
Nantes over 2.5 goals	19.4%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.59
Nantes over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	6.6%	1.17×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Nantes over 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Nantes under 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Nantes over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.3%	—	—	9.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (home no bet)	67.0%	63.9%	51.7%	1.24×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	33.0%	36.1%	48.3%	0.75×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes even goals	52.4%	50.6%	53.4%	0.95×	1.98
Nantes odd goals	47.6%	49.4%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	15.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	5.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 1-2	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	26.8%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Nantes at HT / Nantes at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Nantes at FT	10.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Nantes at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Nantes at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Nantes at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score last	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Nantes to score last	42.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 1 at any time	64.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Nantes to lead by 1 at any time	51.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 2 at any time	34.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Nantes to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Nantes to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes most corners	49.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
AS Nancy Lorraine most corners	39.1%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	83.5%	84.8%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.6%	66.9%	1.17×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	62.6%	1.16×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.7%	72.4%	78.8%	0.92×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.0%	63.4%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
3-6 goals	60.3%	63.4%	45.5%	1.39×	1.58
3-5 goals	53.1%	53.2%	41.2%	1.29×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.0%	53.2%	64.0%	0.83×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.4%	43.6%	41.8%	1.04×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	35.2%	1.24×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.5%	39.2%	25.2%	1.55×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.3%	35.4%	20.9%	1.69×	2.83
1-2 goals	30.2%	35.4%	43.7%	0.81×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.9%	18.6%	10.5%	1.78×	5.37
7+ goals	5.8%	8.7%	2.0%	4.36×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine never behind	44.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Nantes never behind	31.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	49.8%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	50.2%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	93.7%	0.94×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.7%	87.6%	68.8%	1.27×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.3%	72.5%	87.7%	0.83×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.2%	66.2%	47.4%	1.40×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.7%	58.8%	72.9%	0.81×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	44.3%	41.2%	27.1%	1.52×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	33.8%	33.8%	52.6%	0.64×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	25.7%	27.5%	12.3%	2.23×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	14.3%	12.4%	31.2%	0.40×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	6.3%	1.96×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	9.1%	0.50×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.7%	92.5%	97.9%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.1%	86.7%	93.3%	0.93×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.2%	81.1%	60.3%	1.34×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.4%	67.4%	85.6%	0.79×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.7%	55.4%	34.0%	1.63×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.3%	44.6%	66.0%	0.68×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.6%	32.6%	14.4%	2.26×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.8%	18.9%	39.7%	0.48×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.9%	13.3%	6.7%	1.98×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.3%	7.5%	2.1%	3.61×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.5%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to score in both halves	72.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
AS Nancy Lorraine not to score in both halves	63.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
AS Nancy Lorraine to score in both halves	36.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Nantes to score in both halves	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.6%	59.5%	49.7%	1.20×	1.68
Only AS Nancy Lorraine scores	18.4%	16.1%	17.7%	0.91×	6.22
Only Nantes scores	11.4%	10.9%	23.8%	0.46×	9.15
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.83

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.5%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.4%	14.9%	1.17×	5.74
6 or more goals	13.0%	12.1%	6.3%	1.92×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	6.2%	1.96×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.1%	22.3%	0.54×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.4%	9.1%	0.49×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	26.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to win both halves	92.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win both halves	85.7%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
AS Nancy Lorraine to win both halves	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Nantes to win both halves	7.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to win either half	61.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Nantes to win neither half	52.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Nantes to win either half	47.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
AS Nancy Lorraine to win neither half	38.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nantes not to win to nil	88.6%	88.2%	76.2%	1.16×	1.13
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win to nil	81.6%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
AS Nancy Lorraine to win to nil	18.4%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.89
Nantes to win to nil	11.4%	11.8%	23.8%	0.49×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	24.1%	27.8%	0.87×	4.14
AS Nancy Lorraine by 1	20.4%	24.1%	17.5%	1.38×	4.14
Nantes by 1	16.2%	16.9%	23.4%	0.72×	5.91
AS Nancy Lorraine by 2	14.1%	11.8%	7.1%	1.67×	8.47
AS Nancy Lorraine by 3+	11.9%	11.8%	5.5%	2.13×	8.48
Nantes by 2	9.0%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.77
Nantes by 3+	5.4%	7.3%	7.8%	0.92×	13.79