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Nantes v Saint-Etienne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

2–2
2.62 – 1.02 xG
Shots
16 – 5
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
14 – 4
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.20
Set-piece xG
0.60 – 0.89
Goals − xG
-0.62 – +0.98
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.22.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Johann Lepenant 9' — goalSorba Thomas 48' — goalIbrahim Sissoko 56' — goalIbrahim Sissoko 66' — goal
Nantes 2.62 xGSaint-Etienne 1.02 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Douglas Augusto 8' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Johann Lepenant 9' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 13' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dylan Batubinsika 18' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Moses Simon 21' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ibrahim Sissoko 29' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jean-Charles Castelletto 34' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Douglas Augusto 39' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Sorba Thomas 42' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Sorba Thomas 48' — Goal (0.65 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 53' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ibrahim Sissoko 56' — Goal (0.11 xG, From Corner)Ibrahim Sissoko 66' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Mathis Amougou 69' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Moses Simon 75' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ignatius Ganago 79' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Moses Simon 79' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Florent Mollet 91' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ignatius Ganago 91' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Mostafa Mohamed 92' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Mostafa Mohamed 94' — Missed Shot (0.47 xG, Set Piece)
Nantes attacking right Saint-Etienne attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
8' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Sorba Thomas
9' Nantes Johann Lepenant 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Goal
13' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sorba Thomas
18' Saint-Etienne Dylan Batubinsika 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Zuriko Davitashvili
21' Nantes Moses Simon 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pedro Chirivella
29' Saint-Etienne Ibrahim Sissoko 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Ben Old
34' Nantes Jean-Charles Castelletto 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pedro Chirivella
39' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Moses Simon
42' Nantes Sorba Thomas 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
48' Nantes Sorba Thomas 0.65 Open Play Right Foot Goal Johann Lepenant
53' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
56' Saint-Etienne Ibrahim Sissoko 0.11 From Corner Goal Zuriko Davitashvili
66' Saint-Etienne Ibrahim Sissoko 0.76 Right Foot Goal
69' Saint-Etienne Mathis Amougou 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
75' Nantes Moses Simon 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Douglas Augusto
79' Nantes Ignatius Ganago 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Douglas Augusto
79' Nantes Moses Simon 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolas Cozza
91' Nantes Florent Mollet 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ignatius Ganago
91' Nantes Ignatius Ganago 0.01 From Corner Blocked Shot Florent Mollet
92' Nantes Mostafa Mohamed 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Dehmaine Assoumani
94' Nantes Mostafa Mohamed 0.47 Set Piece Missed Shot Dehmaine Assoumani

Players

Saint-Etienne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dylan Batubinsika DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Zuriko Davitashvili FWL 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.00
Pierre Ekwah MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Mickael Nade DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Aïmen Moueffek MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Dennis Appiah DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Leo Petrot DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Gautier Larsonneur GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Mathis Amougou MC 85 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.14
Ibrahim Sissoko FW 80 2 0 3 0 0.93 0.00 0.06
Ben Old FWR 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Lucas Stassin Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathieu Cafaro Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Benjamin Bouchouari Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Augustine Boakye Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nantes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Douglas Augusto DMC 90 0 0 2 2 0.55 0.16 0.72
Johann Lepenant AMC 90 1 1 1 1 0.35 0.65 1.61
Moses Simon AML 90 0 0 3 1 0.19 0.42 0.84
Jean-Charles Castelletto DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.65
Alban Lafont GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marcus Coco DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.30
Nathan Zeze DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Nicolas Cozza DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.72
Pedro Chirivella DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.56
Sorba Thomas AMR 81 1 0 2 2 0.67 0.19 0.84
Matthis Abline FW 81 0 0 2 0 0.18 0.00 0.22
Mostafa Mohamed Sub 9 0 0 2 0 0.52 0.00 0.00
Ignatius Ganago Sub 9 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.07 0.07
Florent Mollet Sub 1 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.01 0.07
Dehmaine Assoumani Sub 1 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.52 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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