NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord Rotterdam — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627
Eredivisie
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.NEC Nijmegen win
39.7%
Draw
25.5%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
34.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.69–1.57 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.79–1.52 | 1-1 11% | 64% | 66% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to win | 43.0% | 43.0% | 44.6% | 0.97× | 2.32 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win | 31.9% | 30.4% | 30.3% | 1.00× | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25.1% | 27.9% | 25.3% | 1.10× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen & both teams score | 26.0% | 25.2% | 21.3% | 1.18× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.3% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 1.00× | 4.57 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & both teams score | 20.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 1.04× | 5.58 |
| NEC Nijmegen & not both score | 17.0% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 0.76× | 5.58 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & not both score | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 1.01× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.38× | 20.54 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen & over 1.5 | 37.6% | 34.9% | 36.4% | 0.96× | 2.87 |
| NEC Nijmegen & over 2.5 | 31.8% | 30.9% | 29.1% | 1.06× | 3.24 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 1.5 | 27.5% | 26.0% | 26.3% | 0.99× | 3.84 |
| NEC Nijmegen & under 3.5 | 23.6% | 21.7% | 27.6% | 0.79× | 4.62 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 2.5 | 23.3% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 1.06× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 21.9% | 0.99× | 4.62 |
| NEC Nijmegen & over 3.5 | 19.5% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 1.05× | 5.56 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 3.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 1.20× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 1.20× | 5.56 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 3.5 | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 1.24× | 7.77 |
| NEC Nijmegen & under 2.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 0.82× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 0.76× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 0.76× | 12.69 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 2.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.69 |
| NEC Nijmegen & under 1.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 0.95× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.36× | 20.93 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 1.5 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.16× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (1UP) | 61.9% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (1UP) | 52.7% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (2UP) | 43.0% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (2UP) | 31.9% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to win 2nd half | 36.7% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.2% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 2nd half | 31.1% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (+2.5) | 89.6% | 88.5% | 86.7% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (+1.5) | 76.3% | 78.4% | 74.6% | 1.05× | 1.28 |
| NEC Nijmegen (+0.5) | 68.1% | 68.7% | 69.7% | 0.99× | 1.46 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (+0.5) | 57.0% | 57.0% | 55.4% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
| NEC Nijmegen (-0.5) | 43.0% | 43.0% | 44.6% | 0.96× | 2.33 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5) | 31.9% | 31.3% | 30.3% | 1.03× | 3.20 |
| NEC Nijmegen (-1.5) | 23.7% | 21.6% | 25.4% | 0.85× | 4.64 |
| NEC Nijmegen (-2.5) | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 0.86× | 8.71 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede | 83.3% | 81.3% | 83.5% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet | 16.7% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 1.13× | 5.36 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half | 46.4% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 1st half | 53.6% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 corners | 83.8% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 6.5 corners | 70.8% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 corners | 70.5% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 5.5 corners | 58.6% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 4.5 corners | 55.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 4.5 corners | 44.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 5.5 corners | 41.4% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 corners | 29.5% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 6.5 corners | 29.2% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 corners | 16.2% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 goals | 93.1% | 92.3% | 94.3% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 goals | 80.3% | 81.4% | 85.0% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 goals | 78.2% | 76.2% | 73.2% | 1.04× | 1.31 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 goals | 55.0% | 59.5% | 58.2% | 1.02× | 1.68 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 goals | 45.0% | 40.5% | 41.8% | 0.97× | 2.47 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 goals | 21.8% | 23.8% | 26.8% | 0.89× | 4.21 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 goals | 19.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 1.24× | 5.37 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 goals | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.35× | 13.04 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.5% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half | 54.4% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half | 45.6% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.14 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (away no bet) | 63.2% | 62.1% | 63.8% | 0.97× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 36.8% | 37.9% | 36.2% | 1.05× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam even goals | 52.4% | 52.8% | 57.4% | 0.92× | 1.89 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam odd goals | 47.6% | 47.2% | 42.6% | 1.11× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 76.9% | 82.1% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 23.1% | 17.9% | — | — | 5.60 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 75.1% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 24.9% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.63 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 65.6% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score 2+ in a row | 42.5% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row | 33.5% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 26.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score 3+ in a row | 16.2% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.13 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row | 10.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.25 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+3.5) | 83.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (+3.5) | 80.7% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+2.5) | 76.4% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (+2.5) | 72.9% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+1.5) | 67.6% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (+1.5) | 63.5% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-1.5) | 36.5% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (-1.5) | 32.4% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-2.5) | 27.1% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (-2.5) | 23.6% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-3.5) | 19.3% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| NEC Nijmegen corners (-3.5) | 16.4% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 35.4% | 35.1% | — | — | 2.85 |
| 12+ corners | 34.6% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.12 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.0% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 74.4% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 73.7% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 65.4% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 64.6% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 56.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54.2% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 45.8% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 44.0% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 35.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 34.6% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 26.3% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 25.6% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 0.98× | 8.73 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.87× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 0.90× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.99× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.02× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.13× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.46 |
| 0-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.46 |
| 0-2 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.47 |
| 0-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.74× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.86× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.66× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.80× | 58.48 |
| 2-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.70× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.72× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.79× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.93× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.40× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.79× | 58.48 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 11.16× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen leading at HT (DNB) | 57.9% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB) | 42.1% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or Feyenoord Rotterdam (12) | 74.9% | 72.1% | 74.7% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X) | 68.1% | 69.6% | 69.7% | 1.00× | 1.44 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (X2) | 57.0% | 57.0% | 55.4% | 1.03× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or draw at HT | 74.3% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at HT | 64.6% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT | 61.1% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or draw (1UP) | 68.1% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1UP) | 57.0% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or draw in 2nd half | 68.9% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Feyenoord Rotterdam in 2nd half | 67.8% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half | 63.3% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 57.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 42.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (DNB) | 57.4% | 58.3% | 59.5% | 0.98× | 1.72 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (DNB) | 42.6% | 41.7% | 40.5% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to score first | 51.4% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score first | 43.8% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 4.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.14 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 66.3% | 58.2% | 60.2% | 0.97× | 1.72 |
| Not both teams to score | 33.7% | 41.8% | 39.8% | 1.05× | 2.39 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 55.2% | 47.2% | 48.7% | 0.97× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 24.6% | 27.8% | 28.8% | 0.96× | 3.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 1.06× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 0.75× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 76.0% | 79.9% | 80.6% | 0.99× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 24.0% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 1.03× | 4.97 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 61.3% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 38.7% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 46.0% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 29.3% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.3% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
| Both score in both halves | 9.4% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.63 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 75.3% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 24.7% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 64.5% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.70 |
| A half without a goal | 35.5% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 43.2% | 42.1% | 46.9% | 0.90× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.0% | 35.1% | 33.7% | 1.04× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 14.6% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 1.09× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.83× | 13.24 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 1 | 33.2% | 33.8% | 31.5% | 1.07× | 2.96 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 2 | 25.3% | 27.4% | 27.0% | 1.02× | 3.65 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 0 | 21.8% | 22.4% | 26.8% | 0.84× | 4.46 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ | 19.7% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 1.30× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 1 | 29.9% | 26.5% | 33.1% | 0.80× | 3.77 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 2 | 26.7% | 26.5% | 27.0% | 0.98× | 3.77 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score 3+ | 26.6% | 26.5% | 23.7% | 1.12× | 3.77 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 0 | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 1.14× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 38.9% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| NEC Nijmegen leading at HT | 35.4% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT | 25.7% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen -1: 2 | 57.0% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.77 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1: 1 | 23.7% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1: X | 19.3% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:1) | 57.0% | 55.8% | 55.4% | 1.01× | 1.79 |
| NEC Nijmegen (0:1) | 23.7% | 24.3% | 25.4% | 0.96× | 4.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.3% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 0.92× | 5.63 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:2) | 76.3% | 79.4% | 74.6% | 1.06× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 0.90× | 9.12 |
| NEC Nijmegen (0:2) | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 0.82× | 9.13 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:3) | 89.6% | 90.8% | 86.7% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 0.75× | 17.17 |
| NEC Nijmegen (0:3) | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 0.42× | 42.09 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:4) | 96.2% | 98.1% | 94.3% | 1.04× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 0.46× | 83.37 |
| NEC Nijmegen (0:4) | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 0.37× | 83.55 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (1:0) | 68.1% | 69.9% | 69.7% | 1.00× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 1.15× | 5.87 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:0) | 15.6% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 1.09× | 5.88 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (2:0) | 84.4% | 84.6% | 84.4% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 0.73× | 15.46 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (2:0) | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 0.94× | 15.50 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.5% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 23.8% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to concede | 78.2% | 76.0% | 73.2% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 21.8% | 24.0% | 26.8% | 0.90× | 4.16 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 1st half | 54.4% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| NEC Nijmegen to concede in 1st half | 45.6% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 corners | 82.1% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 6.5 corners | 73.6% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 corners | 68.0% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 5.5 corners | 61.7% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 4.5 corners | 52.7% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 4.5 corners | 47.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 5.5 corners | 38.3% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 corners | 32.0% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 6.5 corners | 26.4% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 corners | 17.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.36 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 goals | 89.3% | 87.3% | 89.1% | 0.98× | 1.15 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals | 83.3% | 82.1% | 83.5% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals | 73.4% | 74.2% | 76.3% | 0.97× | 1.35 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals | 53.4% | 53.3% | 50.5% | 1.05× | 1.88 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 goals | 46.6% | 46.7% | 49.5% | 0.95× | 2.14 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 goals | 26.6% | 25.8% | 23.7% | 1.09× | 3.87 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 goals | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 1.08× | 5.59 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 goals | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 1.17× | 7.86 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.0% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 1st half | 46.4% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 1st half | 53.6% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
| NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 1st half | 18.0% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.34 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (home no bet) | 56.0% | 56.7% | 54.5% | 1.04× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 44.0% | 43.3% | 45.5% | 0.95× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen even goals | 51.4% | 50.6% | 51.1% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| NEC Nijmegen odd goals | 48.6% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 1.01× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 25.4% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.48 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.2% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.2% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 12.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| Any other HT score | 6.6% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.27 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.28 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.35 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.51 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT | 26.4% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.74 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT | 17.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT | 13.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT | 11.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| NEC Nijmegen at HT / Draw at FT | 6.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.71 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| NEC Nijmegen at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT | 3.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT | 3.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to score last | 51.5% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score last | 43.8% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 4.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.14 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.2% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| NEC Nijmegen to lead by 1 at any time | 61.9% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 54.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time | 52.7% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| NEC Nijmegen to lead by 2 at any time | 31.9% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time | 23.1% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 21.7% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| NEC Nijmegen to lead by 3 at any time | 13.4% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.53 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time | 8.3% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.02 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam most corners | 46.8% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| NEC Nijmegen most corners | 42.5% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Corners level | 10.7% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.4% | 83.5% | 87.6% | 0.95× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.3% | 83.5% | 80.4% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.6% | 72.4% | 75.5% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 71.3% | 72.4% | 75.8% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.5% | 63.4% | 63.7% | 1.00× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 59.1% | 59.2% | 55.7% | 1.06× | 1.69 |
| 1-3 goals | 53.0% | 53.2% | 59.0% | 0.90× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 52.4% | 53.2% | 50.8% | 1.05× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 43.2% | 43.6% | 46.9% | 0.93× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.3% | 43.6% | 39.1% | 1.12× | 2.30 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.0% | 39.1% | 33.7% | 1.16× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 30.9% | 35.4% | 36.9% | 0.96× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 30.4% | 35.4% | 28.8% | 1.23× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.8% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 1.11× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 5.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.11× | 11.47 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen never behind | 42.6% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam never behind | 33.3% | 35.7% | — | — | 2.80 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.6% | 50.8% | 49.0% | 1.04× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 52.4% | 49.2% | 51.0% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.6% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.4% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.8% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.2% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.2% | 95.5% | 96.5% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 88.2% | 87.6% | 91.0% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% | 87.6% | 84.4% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76.1% | 77.3% | 79.2% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% | 61.8% | 59.7% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.8% | 58.8% | 62.3% | 0.94× | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% | 41.2% | 37.7% | 1.09× | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.7% | 38.2% | 40.3% | 0.95× | 2.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23.9% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 1.09× | 4.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 0.79× | 8.09 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 1.37× | 8.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.28× | 22.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 94.5% | 92.5% | 95.7% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 86.5% | 86.7% | 89.8% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 81.5% | 81.0% | 79.3% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 70.7% | 72.6% | 75.0% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.2% | 51.8% | 48.3% | 1.07× | 1.93 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.8% | 48.2% | 51.7% | 0.93× | 2.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 29.3% | 27.4% | 25.0% | 1.10× | 3.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 18.5% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 0.91× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 1.29× | 7.54 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.73× | 13.28 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 83.9% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 74.6% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 59.7% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 40.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 25.4% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 16.1% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.30 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 85.1% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 69.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 57.9% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 42.1% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 30.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 14.9% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.77 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam not to score in both halves | 72.7% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| NEC Nijmegen not to score in both halves | 65.7% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| NEC Nijmegen to score in both halves | 34.3% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to score in both halves | 27.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 66.3% | 59.5% | 60.2% | 0.99× | 1.68 |
| Only NEC Nijmegen scores | 17.0% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 0.69× | 6.22 |
| Only Feyenoord Rotterdam scores | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 0.83× | 9.15 |
| Neither team scores | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.30× | 21.78 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 1.02× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 21.1% | 22.6% | 24.8% | 0.91× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 1.03× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 1.01× | 8.28 |
| 6 or more goals | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 1.34× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.8% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 0.62× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.25× | 22.64 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 57.9% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 27.2% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 14.9% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.86 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win both halves | 91.8% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| NEC Nijmegen not to win both halves | 86.8% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| NEC Nijmegen to win both halves | 13.2% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win both halves | 8.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.47 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen to win either half | 58.9% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win neither half | 51.3% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win either half | 48.7% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| NEC Nijmegen to win neither half | 41.1% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win to nil | 88.1% | 88.2% | 86.8% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| NEC Nijmegen not to win to nil | 83.0% | 83.0% | 76.6% | 1.08× | 1.20 |
| NEC Nijmegen to win to nil | 17.0% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 0.72× | 5.89 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam to win to nil | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 0.89× | 8.49 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% | 27.8% | 25.3% | 1.10× | 3.59 |
| NEC Nijmegen by 1 | 19.3% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 0.88× | 5.91 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam by 1 | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 1.14× | 5.91 |
| NEC Nijmegen by 2 | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 0.96× | 8.47 |
| NEC Nijmegen by 3+ | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 0.89× | 8.48 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam by 2 | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 0.82× | 13.77 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam by 3+ | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 1.05× | 13.79 |