New England Revolution v Orlando City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

New England Revolution

19:30

Orlando City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 304h before kick-off

New England Revolution win

54.8%

model 54.1%

Draw

22.5%

model 21.9%

Orlando City win

22.6%

model 24.0%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 7.1%
3-1 6.6%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.4%	Under 2.5	33.6%
BTTS yes	64.9%	BTTS no	35.1%
New England Revolution 1+	87.5%	New England Revolution 2+	61.5%
Orlando City 1+	73.8%	Orlando City 2+	38.7%

Expected goals 2.08 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.6% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2590 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out New England Revolution.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

New England Revolution have an estimated 54.8% win probability, against 22.6% for Orlando City and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.08 for New England Revolution and 1.34 for Orlando City.

Why New England Revolution

Nothing in the data singles out New England Revolution.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Orlando City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Orlando City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for New England Revolution, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Orlando City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

New England Revolution: 55% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Orlando City: 57% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

New England Revolution are the model's most likely outcome at 54.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	542224	2.08–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592121	2.24–1.29	2-1 9%	68%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win	58.6%	54.1%	45.4%	1.19×	1.85
Orlando City to win	20.8%	24.4%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09
Draw	20.6%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & both teams score	34.3%	29.7%	24.4%	1.22×	3.36
New England Revolution & not both score	24.3%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Orlando City & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Orlando City & not both score	7.3%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.93
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & over 1.5	52.4%	48.7%	37.1%	1.31×	2.05
New England Revolution & over 2.5	45.0%	45.2%	30.9%	1.46×	2.21
New England Revolution & over 3.5	30.0%	30.9%	17.2%	1.80×	3.24
New England Revolution & under 3.5	28.6%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Orlando City & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.56
Orlando City & over 2.5	15.0%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.77
New England Revolution & under 2.5	13.6%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.1%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.1%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Orlando City & under 3.5	12.3%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Orlando City & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.69
New England Revolution & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Orlando City & under 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Orlando City & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1UP)	73.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Orlando City (1UP)	42.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2UP)	58.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Orlando City (2UP)	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win 2nd half	48.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	29.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Orlando City to win 2nd half	22.4%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (+2.5)	80.5%	82.4%	89.5%	0.92×	1.21
New England Revolution (+0.5)	79.2%	78.4%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Orlando City (+1.5)	62.9%	62.9%	76.7%	0.82×	1.59
New England Revolution (-0.5)	58.6%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
Orlando City (+0.5)	41.4%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
New England Revolution (-1.5)	37.1%	37.1%	23.3%	1.60×	2.70
Orlando City (-0.5)	20.8%	21.6%	29.9%	0.72×	4.64
New England Revolution (-2.5)	19.5%	17.6%	10.5%	1.67×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede	89.4%	86.5%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Orlando City clean sheet	10.6%	13.5%	18.0%	0.75×	7.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede in 1st half	61.9%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Orlando City clean sheet in 1st half	38.1%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 6.5 corners	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Orlando City under 5.5 corners	76.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Orlando City over 2.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Orlando City under 4.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Orlando City over 3.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Orlando City under 3.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Orlando City over 4.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Orlando City under 2.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Orlando City over 5.5 corners	23.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Orlando City over 6.5 corners	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Orlando City under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Orlando City over 0.5 goals	72.4%	72.0%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Orlando City under 1.5 goals	63.1%	63.0%	61.3%	1.03×	1.59
Orlando City over 1.5 goals	36.9%	37.0%	38.7%	0.96×	2.70
Orlando City under 0.5 goals	27.6%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.57
Orlando City over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	16.7%	0.73×	8.25
Orlando City over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	6.1%	0.41×	40.66

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Orlando City under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Orlando City over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Orlando City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.96

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (away no bet)	74.0%	68.6%	64.6%	1.06×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.0%	31.4%	35.4%	0.89×	3.19

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City even goals	53.8%	52.8%	53.6%	0.99×	1.89
Orlando City odd goals	46.2%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.6%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.0%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
New England Revolution to score 2+ in a row	55.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.4%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
New England Revolution to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Orlando City to score 2+ in a row	24.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Orlando City to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution corners (+3.5)	93.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
New England Revolution corners (+2.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
New England Revolution corners (+1.5)	84.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Orlando City corners (+3.5)	62.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
New England Revolution corners (-1.5)	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Orlando City corners (+2.5)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
New England Revolution corners (-2.5)	47.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Orlando City corners (+1.5)	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
New England Revolution corners (-3.5)	37.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Orlando City corners (-1.5)	16.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Orlando City corners (-2.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Orlando City corners (-3.5)	6.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	28.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	25.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
Any other score	8.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
2-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.48
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
0-1	3.4%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.47
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.48
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.48
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.46
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.47
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
4-2	2.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Orlando City leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or Orlando City (12)	79.4%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
New England Revolution or draw (1X)	79.2%	75.6%	70.1%	1.08×	1.32
Orlando City or draw (X2)	41.4%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw at HT	81.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
New England Revolution or Orlando City at HT	64.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Orlando City or draw at HT	54.7%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw (1UP)	79.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Orlando City or draw (1UP)	42.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
New England Revolution or Orlando City in 2nd half	70.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Orlando City or draw in 2nd half	51.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.1%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	45.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (DNB)	73.8%	71.4%	60.3%	1.19×	1.40
Orlando City (DNB)	26.2%	28.6%	39.7%	0.72×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score first	61.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Orlando City to score first	35.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.1%	58.1%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.9%	41.9%	38.9%	1.07×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.2%	47.2%	50.9%	0.93×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	22.7%	27.7%	29.9%	0.93×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	12.2%	12.3%	9.2%	1.35×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.8%	79.9%	79.5%	1.00×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.2%	20.1%	20.5%	0.98×	4.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	29.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Both score in both halves	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	25.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.2%	42.1%	33.1%	1.27×	2.38
2-3 goals	40.1%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.38
0-1 goals	12.9%	16.9%	20.5%	0.83×	5.91
7+ goals	6.7%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Orlando City to score exactly 0	27.6%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Orlando City to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
Orlando City to score 3+	14.0%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score 3+	38.9%	35.6%	25.2%	1.41×	2.81
New England Revolution to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
New England Revolution to score exactly 1	23.8%	23.2%	31.0%	0.75×	4.30
New England Revolution to score exactly 0	10.6%	14.3%	18.0%	0.80×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution leading at HT	45.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	35.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Orlando City leading at HT	19.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution -1: 2	41.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
New England Revolution -1: 1	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
New England Revolution -1: X	21.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (0:1)	41.4%	42.7%	54.6%	0.78×	2.34
New England Revolution (0:1)	37.1%	37.3%	23.3%	1.60×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.5%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (0:2)	62.9%	67.3%	76.7%	0.88×	1.49
New England Revolution (0:2)	19.5%	15.3%	10.5%	1.45×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (0:3)	80.5%	85.1%	89.5%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.8%	10.0%	6.6%	1.50×	10.02
New England Revolution (0:3)	8.6%	5.8%	4.0%	1.46×	17.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (0:4)	91.4%	94.6%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.4%	4.6%	2.1%	2.24×	21.66
New England Revolution (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.30

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1:0)	79.2%	78.4%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	12.2%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.81
Orlando City (1:0)	8.6%	6.9%	13.2%	0.53×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2:0)	91.4%	93.9%	86.8%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.50
Orlando City (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede	72.4%	73.1%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
New England Revolution clean sheet	27.6%	26.9%	26.8%	1.00×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
New England Revolution to concede in 1st half	40.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 2.5 corners	90.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
New England Revolution over 3.5 corners	80.9%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
New England Revolution over 4.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
New England Revolution over 5.5 corners	56.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
New England Revolution under 6.5 corners	55.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
New England Revolution over 6.5 corners	44.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
New England Revolution under 5.5 corners	43.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
New England Revolution under 4.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
New England Revolution under 3.5 corners	19.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
New England Revolution under 2.5 corners	9.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
New England Revolution under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.1%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
New England Revolution over 1.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	51.1%	1.33×	1.47
New England Revolution under 2.5 goals	61.1%	63.5%	74.8%	0.85×	1.58
New England Revolution over 2.5 goals	38.9%	36.5%	25.2%	1.45×	2.74
New England Revolution under 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	48.9%	0.66×	3.11
New England Revolution over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.9%	9.4%	1.91×	5.59
New England Revolution under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	18.0%	0.71×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 1st half	74.9%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 1st half	25.1%	19.8%	—	—	5.05

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (home no bet)	50.2%	51.6%	54.6%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.8%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution even goals	50.6%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
New England Revolution odd goals	49.4%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	11.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-1	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.51

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution at HT / New England Revolution at FT	38.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / New England Revolution at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Orlando City at HT / Orlando City at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Orlando City at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
New England Revolution at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Orlando City at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Orlando City at HT / New England Revolution at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
New England Revolution at HT / Orlando City at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score last	61.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Orlando City to score last	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
New England Revolution to lead by 1 at any time	73.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.1%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
New England Revolution to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Orlando City to lead by 1 at any time	42.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
New England Revolution to lead by 3 at any time	23.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Orlando City to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Orlando City to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	59.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution most corners	67.8%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Orlando City most corners	23.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	8.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.1%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.5%	75.5%	1.11×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.7%	69.0%	73.1%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.7%	63.4%	55.9%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.1%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.9%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.7%	48.7%	57.2%	0.85×	2.06
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
2-3 goals	40.1%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
4-6 goals	40.2%	43.6%	33.1%	1.32×	2.30
4-5 goals	32.4%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
1-2 goals	28.3%	30.3%	34.4%	0.88×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.3%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	6.7%	8.7%	4.1%	2.12×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution never behind	54.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Orlando City never behind	22.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	79.5%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	78.8%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.5%	66.2%	59.9%	1.11×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.0%	52.5%	62.9%	0.83×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	47.0%	47.5%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	31.5%	33.8%	40.1%	0.84×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	21.2%	1.30×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.09
Under 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	20.5%	0.60×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.7%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.1%	81.1%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.1%	81.1%	87.6%	0.92×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	65.5%	67.4%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.8%	55.5%	48.1%	1.15×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.2%	44.5%	51.9%	0.86×	2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	34.5%	32.6%	25.2%	1.29×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.9%	18.9%	12.4%	1.53×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.9%	18.9%	25.5%	0.74×	5.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.3%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.26

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.2%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.24

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to score in both halves	78.4%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
New England Revolution not to score in both halves	55.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
New England Revolution to score in both halves	44.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Orlando City to score in both halves	21.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.1%	59.4%	61.1%	0.97×	1.68
Only New England Revolution scores	24.3%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.48
Only Orlando City scores	7.3%	7.2%	12.3%	0.59×	13.91
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.85

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.0%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	18.6%	17.4%	19.7%	0.88×	5.74
6 or more goals	14.6%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.9%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
1 goal in 2nd half	26.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
New England Revolution not to win both halves	78.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
New England Revolution to win both halves	21.9%	24.7%	—	—	4.06
Orlando City to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.43

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win either half	71.6%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Orlando City to win neither half	62.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Orlando City to win either half	37.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
New England Revolution to win neither half	28.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to win to nil	92.7%	92.0%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
New England Revolution not to win to nil	75.7%	78.0%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
New England Revolution to win to nil	24.3%	22.0%	21.1%	1.04×	4.55
Orlando City to win to nil	7.3%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution by 1	21.5%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	20.6%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
New England Revolution by 3+	19.5%	16.9%	10.5%	1.61×	5.91
New England Revolution by 2	17.6%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
Orlando City by 1	12.2%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.48
Orlando City by 2	5.8%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.79
Orlando City by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.99