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OFI Crete v Kifisia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
OFI Crete win
44.1%
model 40.3%
Draw
27.6%
model 29.6%
Kifisia win
28.3%
model 30.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.1%
  2. 2-1 8.9%
  3. 0-0 8.4%
  4. 1-2 7.6%
  5. 1-0 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.552.2% Under 2.547.8%
BTTS yes58.0% BTTS no42.0%
OFI Crete 1+77.6% OFI Crete 2+44.0%
Kifisia 1+72.0% Kifisia 2+36.3%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 72%
78.9% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out OFI Crete.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

OFI Crete have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.3% for Kifisia and 27.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for OFI Crete and 1.27 for Kifisia.

Why OFI Crete

Nothing in the data singles out OFI Crete.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.27. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Kifisia can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kifisia.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for OFI Crete, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kifisia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

OFI Crete: 48% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kifisia: 47% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. OFI Crete's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

OFI Crete are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.27 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.61–1.33 1-1 13% 56% 61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to win 42.2% 43.0% 41.5% 1.04× 2.33
Kifisia to win 29.4% 27.9% 33.7% 0.83× 3.59
Draw 28.4% 27.9% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete & both teams score 22.9% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 21.0% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
OFI Crete & not both score 19.3% 17.9% 24.0% 0.75× 5.58
Kifisia & both teams score 16.8% 17.9% 14.4% 1.25× 5.58
Kifisia & not both score 12.6% 13.3% 19.5% 0.68× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.3% 8.4% 8.4% 1.00× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete & over 1.5 35.7% 34.9% 32.4% 1.08× 2.87
OFI Crete & over 2.5 28.8% 26.0% 26.5% 0.98× 3.84
OFI Crete & under 3.5 26.3% 26.0% 29.8% 0.87× 3.84
Kifisia & over 1.5 24.4% 21.7% 24.2% 0.89× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 21.0% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.7% 21.7% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.7% 21.7% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
Kifisia & over 2.5 19.8% 18.0% 18.5% 0.97× 5.56
Kifisia & under 3.5 19.2% 18.0% 26.7% 0.67× 5.56
OFI Crete & over 3.5 16.0% 18.0% 11.9% 1.51× 5.56
OFI Crete & under 2.5 13.4% 12.9% 15.2% 0.85× 7.77
Kifisia & over 3.5 10.2% 12.9% 7.2% 1.79× 7.77
Kifisia & under 2.5 9.6% 7.9% 15.4% 0.51× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 7.3% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 3.9% 2.02× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 3.9% 2.02× 12.70
OFI Crete & under 1.5 6.5% 7.9% 9.2% 0.85× 12.70
Kifisia & under 1.5 5.0% 4.8% 9.7% 0.50× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (1UP) 60.0% 58.3% 1.72
Kifisia (1UP) 49.0% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (2UP) 42.2% 47.6% 2.10
Kifisia (2UP) 29.4% 25.0% 4.00
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to win 2nd half 35.9% 36.0% 2.78
2nd half drawn 35.2% 36.0% 2.78
Kifisia to win 2nd half 28.9% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (+2.5) 90.7% 92.1% 89.3% 1.03× 1.09
Kifisia (+1.5) 77.3% 78.4% 78.9% 0.99× 1.28
OFI Crete (+0.5) 70.6% 73.7% 66.3% 1.11× 1.36
Kifisia (+0.5) 57.8% 57.0% 58.5% 0.97× 1.75
OFI Crete (-0.5) 42.2% 43.0% 41.5% 1.04× 2.33
Kifisia (-0.5) 29.4% 26.3% 33.7% 0.78× 3.80
OFI Crete (-1.5) 22.7% 21.6% 21.2% 1.02× 4.64
OFI Crete (-2.5) 9.3% 7.9% 10.7% 0.74× 12.61
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to concede 80.1% 81.3% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Kifisia clean sheet 19.9% 18.7% 27.7% 0.68× 5.34
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia clean sheet in 1st half 50.0% 50.8% 1.97
Kifisia to concede in 1st half 50.0% 49.2% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 6.5 corners 88.7% 85.2% 1.17
Kifisia under 5.5 corners 80.3% 81.4% 1.23
Kifisia under 4.5 corners 67.9% 67.5% 1.48
Kifisia over 2.5 corners 67.3% 67.5% 1.48
Kifisia under 3.5 corners 51.4% 53.1% 1.88
Kifisia over 3.5 corners 48.6% 46.9% 2.13
Kifisia under 2.5 corners 32.7% 32.5% 3.08
Kifisia over 4.5 corners 32.1% 32.5% 3.08
Kifisia over 5.5 corners 19.7% 18.6% 5.39
Kifisia over 6.5 corners 11.3% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 3.5 goals 95.4% 97.5% 96.7% 1.01× 1.03
Kifisia under 2.5 goals 85.1% 87.9% 89.7% 0.98× 1.14
Kifisia over 0.5 goals 73.4% 72.0% 67.8% 1.06× 1.39
Kifisia under 1.5 goals 61.8% 63.0% 67.6% 0.93× 1.59
Kifisia over 1.5 goals 38.2% 37.0% 32.4% 1.14× 2.70
Kifisia under 0.5 goals 26.6% 28.0% 32.2% 0.87× 3.57
Kifisia over 2.5 goals 14.9% 12.1% 10.3% 1.18× 8.24
Kifisia over 3.5 goals 4.6% 2.5% 3.3% 0.75× 40.64
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia under 1.5 in 1st half 90.1% 94.1% 1.06
Kifisia under 0.5 in 1st half 58.9% 62.4% 1.60
Kifisia over 0.5 in 1st half 41.1% 37.6% 2.66
Kifisia over 1.5 in 1st half 9.9% 5.9% 16.91
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (away no bet) 59.8% 57.5% 62.3% 0.92× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 40.2% 42.5% 37.7% 1.13× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia even goals 53.5% 52.8% 56.7% 0.93× 1.89
Kifisia odd goals 46.5% 47.2% 43.3% 1.09× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.3% 82.9% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.7% 17.1% 5.86
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.1% 68.8% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.9% 31.2% 3.20
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 59.5% 55.3% 1.81
OFI Crete to score 2+ in a row 38.6% 36.5% 2.74
Kifisia to score 2+ in a row 28.6% 25.1% 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.0% 19.5% 5.12
OFI Crete to score 3+ in a row 14.0% 12.2% 8.18
Kifisia to score 3+ in a row 8.3% 5.7% 17.61
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete corners (+3.5) 91.7% 89.6% 1.12
OFI Crete corners (+2.5) 86.3% 84.5% 1.18
OFI Crete corners (+1.5) 78.6% 74.9% 1.34
Kifisia corners (+3.5) 75.9% 74.9% 1.34
Kifisia corners (+2.5) 66.1% 65.8% 1.52
Kifisia corners (+1.5) 54.7% 52.5% 1.91
OFI Crete corners (-1.5) 45.3% 47.5% 2.11
OFI Crete corners (-2.5) 33.9% 34.2% 2.92
OFI Crete corners (-3.5) 24.1% 25.1% 3.98
Kifisia corners (-1.5) 21.4% 25.1% 3.98
Kifisia corners (-2.5) 13.7% 15.5% 6.45
Kifisia corners (-3.5) 8.3% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 52.3% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 28.2% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 19.5% 22.7% 4.41
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.6% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 80.5% 80.8% 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 72.7% 72.7% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 63.2% 63.4% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 59.4% 57.7% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 52.3% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 47.7% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 40.6% 42.3% 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 36.8% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 27.3% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 19.5% 19.3% 5.20
Over 12.5 corners 13.4% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 13.1% 0.87× 8.73
2-1 9.1% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.48
0-0 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.48
1-0 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 0.80× 13.48
1-2 7.5% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.48
2-0 6.9% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.48
2-2 6.1% 7.4% 3.7% 2.01× 13.48
0-1 5.0% 1.7% 9.7% 0.18× 58.46
3-1 4.9% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.46
0-2 4.6% 1.7% 6.0% 0.29× 58.46
0-3 2.1% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.48
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.49
1-3 3.3% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.47
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.48
2-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.47
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.6% 2.78× 58.48
3-0 3.7% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.47
3-2 3.3% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.47
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 0.4% 4.16× 58.48
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.2% 8.33× 58.49
4-0 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93× 58.48
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.48
4-2 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.48
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.2% 8.33× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.33× 58.49
Any other score 3.6% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete leading at HT (DNB) 58.9% 58.0% 1.72
Kifisia leading at HT (DNB) 41.1% 42.0% 2.38
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete or Kifisia (12) 71.6% 72.1% 74.9% 0.96× 1.39
OFI Crete or draw (1X) 70.6% 72.1% 66.3% 1.09× 1.39
Kifisia or draw (X2) 57.8% 57.0% 58.5% 0.97× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete or draw at HT 76.1% 79.8% 1.25
Kifisia or draw at HT 65.8% 66.4% 1.51
OFI Crete or Kifisia at HT 58.0% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete or draw (1UP) 70.6% 80.0% 1.25
Kifisia or draw (1UP) 57.8% 62.7% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete or draw in 2nd half 71.1% 73.7% 1.36
OFI Crete or Kifisia in 2nd half 64.8% 64.0% 1.56
Kifisia or draw in 2nd half 64.1% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.1% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.9% 38.5% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (DNB) 58.9% 58.3% 55.2% 1.06× 1.72
Kifisia (DNB) 41.1% 41.7% 44.8% 0.93× 2.40
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to score first 50.9% 53.7% 1.86
Kifisia to score first 41.8% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 7.3% 7.5% 13.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 60.8% 56.5% 48.5% 1.17× 1.77
Not both teams to score 39.2% 43.5% 51.5% 0.84× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.5% 44.3% 35.5% 1.25× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 30.4% 34.3% 38.6% 0.89× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.8% 8.4% 13.1% 0.64× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.7% 83.0% 88.9% 0.93× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 18.3% 17.0% 11.1% 1.53× 5.90
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 66.3% 67.5% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 33.7% 32.5% 3.08
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 52.2% 55.9% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 26.9% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 14.1% 10.8% 9.28
Both score in both halves 6.8% 6.8% 14.76
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.1% 81.6% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.9% 18.4% 5.42
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 58.9% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 41.1% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.3% 47.4% 50.7% 0.93× 2.11
4-6 goals 30.9% 30.7% 21.8% 1.41× 3.25
0-1 goals 18.8% 20.2% 26.9% 0.75× 4.95
7+ goals 3.0% 1.8% 1.0% 1.79× 54.49
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia to score exactly 1 35.2% 36.0% 35.5% 1.01× 2.78
Kifisia to score exactly 0 26.6% 27.4% 32.2% 0.85× 3.65
Kifisia to score exactly 2 23.3% 22.4% 22.4% 1.00× 4.46
Kifisia to score 3+ 14.9% 12.8% 10.3% 1.25× 7.79
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to score exactly 1 32.1% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.06
OFI Crete to score exactly 2 25.9% 26.5% 20.7% 1.28× 3.77
OFI Crete to score 3+ 22.0% 23.2% 18.3% 1.27× 4.30
OFI Crete to score exactly 0 19.9% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.0% 43.1% 2.32
OFI Crete leading at HT 34.2% 33.6% 2.97
Kifisia leading at HT 23.9% 20.2% 4.95
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete -1: 2 57.8% 56.7% 1.77
OFI Crete -1: 1 22.7% 23.6% 4.24
OFI Crete -1: X 19.6% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (0:1) 57.8% 55.8% 58.5% 0.95× 1.79
OFI Crete (0:1) 22.7% 24.3% 21.2% 1.15× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 19.6% 17.8% 20.5% 0.87× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (0:2) 77.3% 79.4% 78.9% 1.01× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 13.3% 11.0% 10.7% 1.03× 9.12
OFI Crete (0:2) 9.3% 7.7% 10.7% 0.72× 12.93
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (0:3) 90.7% 92.6% 89.3% 1.04× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.2% 5.8% 8.0% 0.73× 17.18
OFI Crete (0:3) 3.2% 2.4% 2.9% 0.83× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (0:4) 96.8% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.3% 1.2% 1.8% 0.65× 83.42
OFI Crete (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.97× 83.58
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (1:0) 70.6% 72.5% 66.3% 1.09× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 15.7% 17.0% 20.1% 0.85× 5.88
Kifisia (1:0) 13.7% 12.8% 13.8% 0.93× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete (2:0) 86.3% 88.4% 86.2% 1.02× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.0% 6.5% 8.2% 0.79× 15.47
Kifisia (2:0) 4.8% 2.3% 5.7% 0.39× 44.07
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.2% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 26.8% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.0% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to concede 73.4% 73.1% 67.8% 1.08× 1.37
OFI Crete clean sheet 26.6% 26.9% 32.2% 0.83× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete clean sheet in 1st half 58.9% 62.4% 1.60
OFI Crete to concede in 1st half 41.1% 37.6% 2.66
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete over 2.5 corners 81.2% 80.9% 1.24
OFI Crete under 6.5 corners 75.2% 76.5% 1.31
OFI Crete over 3.5 corners 66.7% 66.7% 1.50
OFI Crete under 5.5 corners 63.3% 62.3% 1.61
OFI Crete over 4.5 corners 51.1% 52.8% 1.90
OFI Crete under 4.5 corners 48.9% 47.2% 2.12
OFI Crete over 5.5 corners 36.7% 37.7% 2.65
OFI Crete under 3.5 corners 33.3% 33.3% 3.00
OFI Crete over 6.5 corners 24.8% 23.5% 4.26
OFI Crete under 2.5 corners 18.8% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete under 3.5 goals 91.9% 92.3% 94.3% 0.98× 1.08
OFI Crete over 0.5 goals 80.1% 82.1% 72.3% 1.14× 1.22
OFI Crete under 2.5 goals 78.0% 77.8% 81.7% 0.95× 1.29
OFI Crete under 1.5 goals 52.0% 53.2% 61.2% 0.87× 1.88
OFI Crete over 1.5 goals 48.0% 46.8% 38.8% 1.20× 2.14
OFI Crete over 2.5 goals 22.0% 22.2% 18.3% 1.22× 4.50
OFI Crete under 0.5 goals 19.9% 17.9% 27.7% 0.65× 5.59
OFI Crete over 3.5 goals 8.1% 7.8% 5.7% 1.35× 12.90
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete under 1.5 in 1st half 84.6% 84.4% 1.19
OFI Crete under 0.5 in 1st half 50.0% 51.0% 1.96
OFI Crete over 0.5 in 1st half 50.0% 49.0% 2.04
OFI Crete over 1.5 in 1st half 15.4% 15.6% 6.41
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia (home no bet) 50.9% 51.6% 57.3% 0.90× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 49.1% 48.4% 42.7% 1.13× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete even goals 52.0% 50.6% 52.8% 0.96× 1.98
OFI Crete odd goals 48.0% 49.4% 47.2% 1.05× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.8% 28.9% 3.46
HT 1-0 20.1% 24.1% 4.16
HT 0-1 15.2% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-1 11.2% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 7.1% 7.1% 14.05
Any other HT score 5.0% 2.3% 43.25
HT 0-2 4.1% 2.3% 43.31
HT 2-1 3.8% 2.3% 43.33
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.54
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete at HT / OFI Crete at FT 25.6% 26.7% 3.75
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.0% 16.8% 5.97
Kifisia at HT / Kifisia at FT 15.9% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / OFI Crete at FT 13.9% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Kifisia at FT 11.0% 12.7% 7.90
OFI Crete at HT / Draw at FT 6.1% 6.0% 16.71
Kifisia at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% 16.73
Kifisia at HT / OFI Crete at FT 2.6% 3.5% 28.86
OFI Crete at HT / Kifisia at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.87
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to score last 51.0% 51.9% 1.93
Kifisia to score last 41.7% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 7.3% 7.5% 13.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.7% 92.6% 1.08
OFI Crete to lead by 1 at any time 60.0% 55.2% 1.81
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 49.5% 44.1% 2.27
Kifisia to lead by 1 at any time 49.0% 44.1% 2.27
OFI Crete to lead by 2 at any time 29.7% 25.5% 3.92
Kifisia to lead by 2 at any time 20.0% 19.6% 5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.3% 14.9% 6.70
OFI Crete to lead by 3 at any time 11.8% 10.5% 9.56
Kifisia to lead by 3 at any time 6.5% 6.6% 15.10
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete most corners 57.3% 55.4% 1.80
Kifisia most corners 31.2% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 11.5% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.9% 83.5% 88.5% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 78.1% 78.6% 72.3% 1.09× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.2% 78.6% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.4% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 63.7% 63.4% 61.6% 1.03× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.8% 59.2% 69.2% 0.86× 1.69
3-6 goals 53.3% 53.2% 47.6% 1.12× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.5% 48.7% 45.4% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.3% 48.7% 50.7% 0.96× 2.06
3-4 goals 38.8% 39.2% 37.0% 1.06× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.4% 39.1% 43.3% 0.90× 2.56
4-6 goals 30.9% 35.4% 21.8% 1.62× 2.83
4-5 goals 26.1% 30.2% 19.5% 1.55× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.4% 14.9% 10.9% 1.37× 6.72
7+ goals 3.0% 2.6% 1.0% 2.49× 39.19
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete never behind 43.6% 48.3% 2.07
Kifisia never behind 32.7% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.8% 50.8% 53.8% 0.94× 1.97
Even number of goals 54.2% 49.2% 46.2% 1.06× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.0% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 45.0% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.0% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.0% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 92.7% 92.3% 91.6% 1.01× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.2% 92.3% 96.7% 0.95× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.5% 82.4% 88.3% 0.93× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 81.2% 82.4% 73.1% 1.13× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 66.1% 66.2% 77.4% 0.86× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 56.3% 58.8% 48.5% 1.21× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 43.7% 41.2% 51.5% 0.80× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 33.9% 33.8% 22.6% 1.50× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 18.8% 17.6% 26.9% 0.66× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 17.5% 17.6% 11.7% 1.51× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 7.8% 7.7% 3.3% 2.36× 12.92
Under 0.5 goals 7.3% 7.7% 8.4% 0.92× 12.92
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.8% 97.2% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.4% 92.5% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.1% 75.9% 86.9% 0.87× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 74.9% 72.6% 64.3% 1.13× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 56.3% 55.4% 69.5% 0.80× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 43.7% 44.6% 30.5% 1.46× 2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 25.1% 27.4% 35.7% 0.77× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.9% 24.1% 13.1% 1.83× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.6% 7.5% 3.6% 2.10× 13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.2% 2.8% 1.1% 2.64× 36.13
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.4% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.2% 71.1% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.0% 68.9% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.0% 31.1% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.8% 28.9% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.6% 11.0% 9.07
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.3% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.3% 79.7% 1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.8% 53.2% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.2% 46.8% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.7% 20.3% 4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.7% 17.2% 5.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to score in both halves 77.4% 78.2% 1.28
OFI Crete not to score in both halves 69.9% 70.6% 1.42
OFI Crete to score in both halves 30.1% 29.4% 3.40
Kifisia to score in both halves 22.6% 21.8% 4.60
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 60.8% 60.2% 48.5% 1.24× 1.66
Only OFI Crete scores 19.3% 16.1% 24.0% 0.67× 6.21
Only Kifisia scores 12.6% 10.9% 19.5% 0.56× 9.15
Neither team scores 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 0.85× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.9% 22.6% 24.8% 0.91× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 26.1% 0.87× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.5% 17.4% 11.1% 1.57× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 11.5% 12.1% 18.7% 0.65× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 9.7% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.08
6 or more goals 7.8% 7.6% 3.3% 2.33× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 7.3% 7.6% 8.4% 0.91× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.8% 51.3% 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 29.5% 29.9% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 18.7% 17.2% 5.82
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win both halves 92.8% 94.0% 1.06
OFI Crete not to win both halves 87.4% 87.9% 1.14
OFI Crete to win both halves 12.6% 12.1% 8.26
Kifisia to win both halves 7.2% 6.0% 16.54
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
OFI Crete to win either half 57.5% 59.5% 1.68
Kifisia to win neither half 54.4% 55.0% 1.82
Kifisia to win either half 45.6% 45.0% 2.22
OFI Crete to win neither half 42.6% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kifisia not to win to nil 87.4% 88.2% 80.5% 1.10× 1.13
OFI Crete not to win to nil 80.7% 83.0% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
OFI Crete to win to nil 19.3% 17.0% 24.0% 0.71× 5.89
Kifisia to win to nil 12.6% 11.8% 19.5% 0.60× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.4% 27.9% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
OFI Crete by 1 19.6% 16.9% 20.5% 0.82× 5.91
Kifisia by 1 15.7% 16.9% 20.1% 0.84× 5.91
OFI Crete by 2 13.3% 11.8% 10.7% 1.11× 8.47
OFI Crete by 3+ 9.3% 7.3% 10.7% 0.68× 13.77
Kifisia by 2 9.0% 7.3% 8.2% 0.88× 13.77
Kifisia by 3+ 4.8% 2.7% 5.7% 0.47× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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