OFI Crete v PAOK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

OFI Crete

14:00

PAOK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,172h before kick-off

OFI Crete win

17.9%

model 18.6%

Draw

26.2%

model 25.3%

PAOK win

55.9%

model 56.1%

182656

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.9%
0-2 9.2%
0-1 7.6%
0-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.4%	Under 2.5	41.6%
BTTS yes	58.4%	BTTS no	41.6%
OFI Crete 1+	65.8%	OFI Crete 2+	29.1%
PAOK 1+	85.9%	PAOK 2+	58.3%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

72/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

89%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

PAOK carry the stronger rating, 1724 Elo against 1467.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).

Why the model thinks this

The price

PAOK have an estimated 55.9% win probability, against 26.2% for the draw and 17.9% for OFI Crete. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for OFI Crete and 1.96 for PAOK.

Why OFI Crete

Nothing in the data singles out OFI Crete.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why PAOK can win

PAOK carry the stronger rating, 1724 Elo against 1467. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for OFI Crete, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for PAOK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

OFI Crete: 48% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PAOK: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. OFI Crete's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

PAOK are the model's most likely outcome at 55.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 72/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	122167	0.97–2.37	0-2 10%	65%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to win	66.8%	65.0%	33.7%	1.93×	1.54
Draw	20.8%	24.4%	25.1%	0.98×	4.09
OFI Crete to win	12.4%	13.3%	41.5%	0.32×	7.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK & both teams score	34.0%	29.7%	14.4%	2.07×	3.36
PAOK & not both score	32.8%	29.7%	19.5%	1.52×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	16.8%	1.06×	5.59
OFI Crete & both teams score	8.0%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.93
Draw & not both score	5.0%	8.4%	8.4%	1.00×	11.94
OFI Crete & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	24.0%	0.20×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK & over 1.5	59.9%	55.1%	24.2%	2.27×	1.82
PAOK & over 2.5	49.9%	45.2%	18.5%	2.45×	2.21
PAOK & under 3.5	34.4%	30.9%	26.7%	1.16×	3.24
PAOK & over 3.5	32.4%	30.9%	7.2%	4.29×	3.24
PAOK & under 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	15.4%	1.17×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.7%	12.9%	21.4%	0.60×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.7%	12.9%	21.4%	0.60×	7.77
OFI Crete & over 1.5	10.4%	12.9%	32.4%	0.40×	7.77
OFI Crete & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	26.5%	0.30×	12.70
OFI Crete & under 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	29.8%	0.26×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	3.9%	2.02×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	3.9%	2.02×	12.70
PAOK & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	9.7%	0.82×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
OFI Crete & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	11.9%	0.40×	20.92
OFI Crete & under 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	15.2%	0.31×	20.93
OFI Crete & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (1UP)	78.7%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
OFI Crete (1UP)	32.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (2UP)	66.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
OFI Crete (2UP)	12.4%	13.4%	—	—	7.47

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to win 2nd half	57.8%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	28.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
OFI Crete to win 2nd half	14.0%	12.5%	—	—	8.01

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (+2.5)	98.8%	96.3%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
PAOK (+1.5)	95.4%	96.3%	78.9%	1.22×	1.04
PAOK (+0.5)	87.6%	88.5%	58.5%	1.51×	1.13
PAOK (-0.5)	66.8%	68.7%	33.7%	2.04×	1.46
OFI Crete (+0.5)	33.2%	31.3%	66.3%	0.47×	3.19
OFI Crete (-0.5)	12.4%	11.5%	41.5%	0.28×	8.69
OFI Crete (-1.5)	4.6%	3.7%	21.2%	0.18×	26.75
OFI Crete (-2.5)	1.2%	3.7%	10.7%	0.35×	26.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to concede	62.2%	67.2%	72.3%	0.93×	1.49
PAOK clean sheet	37.8%	32.8%	27.7%	1.18×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK clean sheet in 1st half	65.8%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
PAOK to concede in 1st half	34.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK over 2.5 corners	84.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
PAOK over 3.5 corners	71.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
PAOK under 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
PAOK under 5.5 corners	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
PAOK over 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
PAOK under 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
PAOK over 5.5 corners	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
PAOK over 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
PAOK under 3.5 corners	28.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
PAOK under 2.5 corners	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK over 0.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	67.8%	1.36×	1.08
PAOK under 3.5 goals	78.7%	76.2%	96.7%	0.79×	1.31
PAOK over 1.5 goals	68.4%	68.0%	32.4%	2.10×	1.47
PAOK under 2.5 goals	57.9%	59.6%	89.7%	0.66×	1.68
PAOK over 2.5 goals	42.1%	40.4%	10.3%	3.94×	2.47
PAOK under 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.0%	67.6%	0.47×	3.12
PAOK over 3.5 goals	21.3%	23.8%	3.3%	7.23×	4.21
PAOK under 0.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	32.2%	0.24×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK under 1.5 in 1st half	75.6%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
PAOK over 0.5 in 1st half	61.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
PAOK under 0.5 in 1st half	38.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
PAOK over 1.5 in 1st half	24.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	62.5%	62.1%	37.7%	1.65×	1.61
OFI Crete (away no bet)	37.5%	37.9%	62.3%	0.61×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK even goals	50.4%	52.8%	56.7%	0.93×	1.90
PAOK odd goals	49.6%	47.2%	43.3%	1.09×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
PAOK to score 2+ in a row	60.8%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
PAOK to score 3+ in a row	31.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
OFI Crete to score 2+ in a row	16.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
OFI Crete to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK corners (+3.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
PAOK corners (+2.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
OFI Crete corners (+3.5)	76.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
PAOK corners (+1.5)	74.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
OFI Crete corners (+2.5)	67.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
OFI Crete corners (+1.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
PAOK corners (-1.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
PAOK corners (-2.5)	32.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
OFI Crete corners (-1.5)	25.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
PAOK corners (-3.5)	23.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
OFI Crete corners (-2.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
OFI Crete corners (-3.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.3%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	28.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	9.9%	7.4%	6.0%	1.25×	13.47
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	13.1%	0.57×	13.47
1-2	9.7%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.47
Any other score	9.4%	7.4%	2.5%	3.01×	13.47
0-1	6.9%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.47
0-3	7.8%	7.4%	3.1%	2.41×	13.47
1-3	7.6%	7.4%	2.1%	3.62×	13.47
0-0	5.0%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.47
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.50
0-4	4.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.50
1-0	2.0%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.51
1-4	4.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.50
2-0	1.7%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.51
2-1	4.0%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.50
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.50
2-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.51
3-0	0.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.52
3-1	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.52
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.52
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.16×	58.52
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.92×	58.52
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK leading at HT (DNB)	75.1%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
OFI Crete leading at HT (DNB)	24.9%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw (X2)	87.6%	86.7%	58.5%	1.48×	1.15
OFI Crete or PAOK (12)	79.2%	75.6%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
OFI Crete or draw (1X)	33.2%	35.0%	66.3%	0.53×	2.86

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw at HT	84.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
OFI Crete or PAOK at HT	62.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
OFI Crete or draw at HT	52.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw (1UP)	87.6%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
OFI Crete or draw (1UP)	33.2%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw in 2nd half	86.0%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
OFI Crete or PAOK in 2nd half	71.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
OFI Crete or draw in 2nd half	42.2%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (DNB)	84.3%	80.6%	44.8%	1.80×	1.24
OFI Crete (DNB)	15.7%	19.4%	55.2%	0.35×	5.16

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score first	67.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
OFI Crete to score first	27.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.8%	54.9%	48.5%	1.13×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.2%	45.2%	51.5%	0.88×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.2%	44.3%	35.5%	1.25×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	25.6%	33.6%	38.6%	0.87×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	16.6%	21.7%	13.1%	1.65×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.6%	83.1%	88.9%	0.93×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.4%	16.9%	11.1%	1.53×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.8%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	35.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.3%	42.1%	50.7%	0.83×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.5%	35.1%	21.8%	1.61×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.0%	17.0%	26.9%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	5.3%	7.6%	1.0%	7.37×	13.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score 3+	42.1%	37.0%	10.3%	3.61×	2.70
PAOK to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	22.4%	1.22×	3.65
PAOK to score exactly 1	22.2%	22.4%	35.5%	0.63×	4.46
PAOK to score exactly 0	9.4%	8.5%	32.2%	0.26×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete to score exactly 0	37.8%	35.6%	27.7%	1.28×	2.81
OFI Crete to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	33.7%	1.06×	2.81
OFI Crete to score exactly 2	17.9%	18.9%	20.7%	0.91×	5.30
OFI Crete to score 3+	7.5%	10.3%	18.3%	0.56×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK leading at HT	47.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
OFI Crete leading at HT	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK -1: 2	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
PAOK -1: 1	33.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
PAOK -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (0:1)	87.6%	89.2%	58.5%	1.52×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	7.8%	9.2%	20.5%	0.45×	10.84
OFI Crete (0:1)	4.6%	5.9%	21.2%	0.28×	17.06

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (0:2)	95.4%	94.0%	78.9%	1.19×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.4%	3.8%	10.7%	0.35×	26.53
OFI Crete (0:2)	1.2%	3.8%	10.7%	0.35×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (0:3)	98.8%	96.6%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	8.0%	0.30×	42.17
OFI Crete (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
OFI Crete (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.2%	0.97×	83.61
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.8%	0.65×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (1:0)	45.7%	49.6%	13.8%	3.61×	2.02
OFI Crete (1:0)	33.2%	30.4%	66.3%	0.46×	3.29
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	20.1%	1.08×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete (2:0)	54.3%	56.0%	86.2%	0.65×	1.79
PAOK (2:0)	25.6%	23.0%	5.7%	4.00×	4.35
Draw (2:0)	20.1%	18.9%	8.2%	2.30×	5.29

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	24.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete to concede	90.6%	92.8%	67.8%	1.37×	1.08
OFI Crete clean sheet	9.4%	7.2%	32.2%	0.22×	13.96

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete to concede in 1st half	61.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
OFI Crete clean sheet in 1st half	38.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete under 6.5 corners	81.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
OFI Crete over 2.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
OFI Crete under 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
OFI Crete over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
OFI Crete under 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
OFI Crete over 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
OFI Crete under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
OFI Crete over 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
OFI Crete under 2.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
OFI Crete over 6.5 corners	18.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
OFI Crete under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
OFI Crete under 1.5 goals	74.6%	74.2%	61.2%	1.21×	1.35
OFI Crete over 0.5 goals	62.2%	63.4%	72.3%	0.88×	1.58
OFI Crete under 0.5 goals	37.8%	36.6%	27.7%	1.32×	2.74
OFI Crete over 1.5 goals	25.4%	25.8%	38.8%	0.66×	3.88
OFI Crete over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	12.92
OFI Crete over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
OFI Crete under 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
OFI Crete over 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
OFI Crete over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	4.6%	—	—	21.80

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (home no bet)	76.3%	78.5%	57.3%	1.37×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	23.7%	21.5%	42.7%	0.50×	4.66

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete even goals	57.1%	55.5%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
OFI Crete odd goals	42.9%	44.5%	47.2%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.8%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
HT 0-1	23.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-2	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-0	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
HT 1-2	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.71
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.91
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	44.00

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK at HT / PAOK at FT	42.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.27
Draw at HT / PAOK at FT	20.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
OFI Crete at HT / OFI Crete at FT	6.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
OFI Crete at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Draw at HT / OFI Crete at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
OFI Crete at HT / PAOK at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
PAOK at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
PAOK at HT / OFI Crete at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score last	67.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
OFI Crete to score last	27.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	5.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
PAOK to lead by 1 at any time	78.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
PAOK to lead by 2 at any time	52.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
OFI Crete to lead by 1 at any time	32.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
PAOK to lead by 3 at any time	29.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
OFI Crete to lead by 2 at any time	8.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
OFI Crete to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	64.52

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK most corners	53.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
OFI Crete most corners	35.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.9%	83.5%	88.5%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.8%	83.5%	72.3%	1.16×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.9%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.6%	72.4%	80.1%	0.90×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.5%	59.2%	47.6%	1.24×	1.69
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.2%	45.4%	1.17×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.2%	53.2%	69.2%	0.77×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.3%	43.6%	50.7%	0.86×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.0%	1.18×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.5%	39.2%	21.8%	1.80×	2.55
4-5 goals	30.7%	35.4%	19.5%	1.81×	2.83
1-2 goals	30.2%	35.4%	43.3%	0.82×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.1%	18.6%	10.9%	1.71×	5.37
7+ goals	5.3%	8.7%	1.0%	8.51×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK never behind	63.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
OFI Crete never behind	16.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.8%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.2%	46.2%	1.06×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	87.9%	87.6%	96.7%	0.91×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	73.1%	1.20×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.6%	77.4%	88.3%	0.88×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.8%	61.7%	48.5%	1.27×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.2%	58.8%	77.4%	0.76×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	42.8%	41.2%	22.6%	1.82×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.2%	38.3%	51.5%	0.74×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.4%	22.6%	11.7%	1.93×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	26.9%	0.46×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	12.1%	12.4%	3.3%	3.76×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	8.4%	0.92×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.3%	92.5%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.2%	86.7%	96.4%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.3%	81.1%	64.3%	1.26×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.1%	72.6%	86.9%	0.84×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.8%	51.8%	30.5%	1.70×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.2%	48.2%	69.5%	0.69×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.9%	27.4%	13.1%	2.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.7%	18.9%	35.7%	0.53×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.8%	13.3%	3.6%	3.70×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.7%	7.5%	1.1%	7.16×	13.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.2%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.2%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.8%	29.0%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.8%	13.5%	—	—	7.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete not to score in both halves	85.4%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
PAOK not to score in both halves	53.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
PAOK to score in both halves	46.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
OFI Crete to score in both halves	14.6%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.8%	58.3%	48.5%	1.20×	1.72
Only PAOK scores	32.8%	33.4%	19.5%	1.71×	3.00
Neither team scores	5.0%	7.2%	8.4%	0.85×	13.93
Only OFI Crete scores	4.4%	4.6%	24.0%	0.19×	21.77

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	26.1%	0.87×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.4%	11.1%	1.57×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	8.6%	1.40×	8.29
6 or more goals	12.1%	12.1%	3.3%	3.67×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	8.9%	7.6%	18.7%	0.41×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.0%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
1 goal in 2nd half	26.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	14.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.78

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
PAOK not to win both halves	72.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
PAOK to win both halves	27.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
OFI Crete to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to win either half	77.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
OFI Crete to win neither half	72.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
OFI Crete to win either half	27.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
PAOK to win neither half	22.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
OFI Crete not to win to nil	95.6%	96.1%	76.0%	1.27×	1.04
PAOK not to win to nil	67.2%	69.6%	80.5%	0.87×	1.44
PAOK to win to nil	32.8%	30.4%	19.5%	1.56×	3.29
OFI Crete to win to nil	4.4%	3.9%	24.0%	0.16×	25.71

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK by 3+	25.6%	27.8%	5.7%	4.84×	3.60
PAOK by 1	21.1%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
Draw	20.8%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
PAOK by 2	20.1%	24.1%	8.2%	2.94×	4.14
OFI Crete by 1	7.8%	7.2%	20.5%	0.35×	13.80
OFI Crete by 2	3.4%	2.7%	10.7%	0.25×	37.03
OFI Crete by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	10.7%	0.25×	37.10