Olympiacos v OFI Crete — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627
GRE-Super League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (75 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-0 15.7%
- 1-0 13.0%
- 3-0 11.4%
- 1-1 9.2%
- 2-1 8.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 51.0% | Under 2.5 | 49.0% |
| BTTS yes | 38.3% | BTTS no | 61.7% |
| Olympiacos 1+ | 88.7% | Olympiacos 2+ | 64.0% |
| OFI Crete 1+ | 41.7% | OFI Crete 2+ | 10.2% |
Expected goals 2.18 – 0.54. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Olympiacos carry the stronger rating, 1736 Elo against 1467.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Olympiacos have an estimated 75.2% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 6.2% for OFI Crete. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.18 for Olympiacos and 0.54 for OFI Crete.
Why Olympiacos
Olympiacos carry the stronger rating, 1736 Elo against 1467. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why OFI Crete can win
Nothing in the data singles out OFI Crete.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Olympiacos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for OFI Crete, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Olympiacos: 55% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. OFI Crete: 48% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Olympiacos's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Olympiacos are the model's most likely outcome at 75.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 15.7%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.18–0.54 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.22–0.41 | 2-0 18% | 49% | 31% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to win | 77.8% | 78.2% | 41.5% | 1.89× | 1.28 |
| Draw | 17.8% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 0.77× | 5.17 |
| OFI Crete to win | 4.3% | 5.5% | 33.7% | 0.16× | 18.19 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos & not both score | 57.8% | 51.0% | 24.0% | 2.12× | 1.96 |
| Olympiacos & both teams score | 20.1% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 1.24× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 9.5% | 8.4% | 16.8% | 0.50× | 11.92 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 1.00× | 11.93 |
| OFI Crete & not both score | 2.5% | 4.9% | 19.5% | 0.25× | 20.61 |
| OFI Crete & both teams score | 1.8% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 0.34× | 20.63 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos & over 1.5 | 63.0% | 54.7% | 32.4% | 1.69× | 1.83 |
| Olympiacos & under 3.5 | 52.9% | 48.8% | 29.8% | 1.64× | 2.05 |
| Olympiacos & over 2.5 | 45.3% | 45.2% | 26.5% | 1.71× | 2.21 |
| Olympiacos & under 2.5 | 32.5% | 30.9% | 15.2% | 2.03× | 3.24 |
| Olympiacos & over 3.5 | 24.9% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 1.82× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 21.4% | 0.84× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 21.4% | 0.84× | 5.56 |
| Olympiacos & under 1.5 | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 1.39× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 16.8% | 0.47× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.94× | 12.70 |
| OFI Crete & under 3.5 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 26.7% | 0.18× | 20.94 |
| OFI Crete & over 1.5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 24.2% | 0.20× | 20.94 |
| OFI Crete & under 2.5 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 15.4% | 0.31× | 20.94 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 1.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.22× | 20.95 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 1.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.22× | 20.95 |
| OFI Crete & under 1.5 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 0.49× | 20.95 |
| OFI Crete & over 2.5 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 18.5% | 0.26× | 20.95 |
| OFI Crete & over 3.5 | 0.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 0.66× | 20.96 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (1UP) | 83.5% | 87.3% | — | — | 1.15 |
| OFI Crete (1UP) | 15.1% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.74 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (2UP) | 77.8% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| OFI Crete (2UP) | 4.3% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.09 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to win 2nd half | 62.9% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.69 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.3% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| OFI Crete to win 2nd half | 6.8% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.88 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (+0.5) | 95.7% | 96.3% | 66.3% | 1.45× | 1.04 |
| Olympiacos (-0.5) | 77.8% | 78.4% | 41.5% | 1.89× | 1.28 |
| OFI Crete (+2.5) | 69.3% | 68.7% | 89.3% | 0.77× | 1.46 |
| Olympiacos (-1.5) | 54.5% | 52.4% | 21.2% | 2.48× | 1.91 |
| OFI Crete (+1.5) | 45.5% | 47.6% | 78.9% | 0.60× | 2.10 |
| Olympiacos (-2.5) | 30.7% | 31.3% | 10.7% | 2.93× | 3.20 |
| OFI Crete (+0.5) | 22.2% | 21.6% | 58.5% | 0.37× | 4.64 |
| OFI Crete (-0.5) | 4.3% | 3.7% | 33.7% | 0.11× | 26.79 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete to concede | 89.1% | 86.5% | 72.3% | 1.20× | 1.16 |
| OFI Crete clean sheet | 10.9% | 13.5% | 27.7% | 0.49× | 7.41 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete to concede in 1st half | 61.5% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| OFI Crete clean sheet in 1st half | 38.5% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete under 6.5 corners | 98.1% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| OFI Crete under 5.5 corners | 95.4% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| OFI Crete under 4.5 corners | 89.5% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| OFI Crete under 3.5 corners | 78.3% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| OFI Crete under 2.5 corners | 60.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| OFI Crete over 2.5 corners | 40.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| OFI Crete over 3.5 corners | 21.7% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| OFI Crete over 4.5 corners | 10.5% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.76 |
| OFI Crete over 5.5 corners | 4.6% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.73 |
| OFI Crete over 6.5 corners | 1.9% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.90 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete under 3.5 goals | 99.9% | 97.6% | 96.7% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| OFI Crete under 2.5 goals | 99.1% | 97.6% | 89.7% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| OFI Crete under 1.5 goals | 93.5% | 92.3% | 67.6% | 1.37× | 1.08 |
| OFI Crete under 0.5 goals | 66.2% | 67.9% | 32.2% | 2.11× | 1.47 |
| OFI Crete over 0.5 goals | 33.8% | 32.1% | 67.8% | 0.47× | 3.12 |
| OFI Crete over 1.5 goals | 6.5% | 7.7% | 32.4% | 0.24× | 13.05 |
| OFI Crete over 2.5 goals | 0.9% | 2.4% | 10.3% | 0.24× | 40.84 |
| OFI Crete over 3.5 goals | 0.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 0.74× | 40.88 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete under 1.5 in 1st half | 98.8% | 96.1% | — | — | 1.04 |
| OFI Crete under 0.5 in 1st half | 84.8% | 83.3% | — | — | 1.20 |
| OFI Crete over 0.5 in 1st half | 15.2% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.99 |
| OFI Crete over 1.5 in 1st half | 1.2% | 3.9% | — | — | 25.55 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (away no bet) | 81.4% | 82.6% | 62.3% | 1.33× | 1.21 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 18.6% | 17.4% | 37.7% | 0.46× | 5.76 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete even goals | 71.9% | 67.9% | 56.7% | 1.20× | 1.47 |
| OFI Crete odd goals | 28.1% | 32.1% | 43.3% | 0.74× | 3.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 86.3% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.7% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.07 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 62.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 37.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 63.7% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Olympiacos to score 2+ in a row | 61.5% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 33.9% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Olympiacos to score 3+ in a row | 33.6% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| OFI Crete to score 2+ in a row | 3.8% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.24 |
| OFI Crete to score 3+ in a row | 0.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.44 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos corners (+3.5) | 99.3% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Olympiacos corners (+2.5) | 98.5% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Olympiacos corners (+1.5) | 96.8% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Olympiacos corners (-1.5) | 82.0% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Olympiacos corners (-2.5) | 73.2% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Olympiacos corners (-3.5) | 63.1% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| OFI Crete corners (+3.5) | 36.9% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| OFI Crete corners (+2.5) | 26.8% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| OFI Crete corners (+1.5) | 18.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| OFI Crete corners (-1.5) | 3.2% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.57 |
| OFI Crete corners (-2.5) | 1.5% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.62 |
| OFI Crete corners (-3.5) | 0.7% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.65 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 41.8% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 12+ corners | 29.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 78.2% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.8% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 68.7% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 62.1% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 58.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 52.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 41.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 37.9% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 31.3% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 29.2% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 21.8% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 17.7% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 2.24× | 7.26 |
| 1-0 | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.24× | 8.73 |
| 3-0 | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.80× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.88× | 13.48 |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 0.56× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.86× | 13.48 |
| 4-0 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 4.02× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 7.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 3.01× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.13× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 9.7% | 0.18× | 58.48 |
| 0-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.49 |
| 0-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.56× | 58.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.08× | 58.49 |
| 1-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 8.6% | 0.20× | 58.48 |
| 1-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.49 |
| 1-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.19× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.48 |
| 2-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.76× | 58.49 |
| 2-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.78× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.56× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.16× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.33× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.19× | 58.47 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.19× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.33× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.33× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos leading at HT (DNB) | 90.1% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.13 |
| OFI Crete leading at HT (DNB) | 9.9% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.03 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos or draw (1X) | 95.7% | 94.5% | 66.3% | 1.42× | 1.06 |
| Olympiacos or OFI Crete (12) | 82.2% | 80.7% | 74.9% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| OFI Crete or draw (X2) | 22.2% | 21.8% | 58.5% | 0.37× | 4.60 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos or draw at HT | 93.9% | 90.8% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Olympiacos or OFI Crete at HT | 61.6% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| OFI Crete or draw at HT | 44.5% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos or draw (1UP) | 95.7% | 97.1% | — | — | 1.03 |
| OFI Crete or draw (1UP) | 22.2% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos or draw in 2nd half | 93.2% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Olympiacos or OFI Crete in 2nd half | 69.7% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| OFI Crete or draw in 2nd half | 37.1% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 55.7% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Neither half drawn | 44.3% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (DNB) | 94.7% | 93.4% | 55.2% | 1.69× | 1.07 |
| OFI Crete (DNB) | 5.3% | 6.6% | 44.8% | 0.15× | 15.14 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to score first | 77.2% | 80.3% | — | — | 1.25 |
| OFI Crete to score first | 14.4% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
| No goal scored | 8.4% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.25 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 68.7% | 58.2% | 51.5% | 1.13× | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 31.3% | 41.8% | 48.5% | 0.86× | 2.40 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 38.6% | 1.08× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 25.4% | 33.6% | 13.1% | 2.55× | 2.98 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 23.6% | 27.7% | 35.5% | 0.78× | 3.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 0.64× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 95.8% | 91.7% | 88.9% | 1.03× | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 0.75× | 12.07 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 83.9% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 16.2% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 75.8% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 14.7% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.27 |
| Both score 1st half only | 8.1% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.69 |
| Both score in both halves | 1.5% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.44 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 90.4% | 90.7% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 9.6% | 9.3% | — | — | 10.72 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.1% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 46.9% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 47.4% | 50.7% | 0.93× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.3% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 1.21× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 25.0% | 22.8% | 26.9% | 0.85× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.78× | 54.62 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete to score exactly 0 | 66.2% | 59.4% | 32.2% | 1.84× | 1.68 |
| OFI Crete to score exactly 1 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 35.5% | 0.77× | 3.65 |
| OFI Crete to score exactly 2 | 5.6% | 8.4% | 22.4% | 0.38× | 11.85 |
| OFI Crete to score 3+ | 0.9% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 0.44× | 22.25 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to score 3+ | 38.2% | 35.6% | 18.3% | 1.95× | 2.81 |
| Olympiacos to score exactly 2 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 1.28× | 3.77 |
| Olympiacos to score exactly 1 | 24.1% | 23.3% | 33.7% | 0.69× | 4.30 |
| Olympiacos to score exactly 0 | 10.9% | 14.3% | 27.7% | 0.52× | 6.99 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos leading at HT | 55.5% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Draw at HT | 38.4% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| OFI Crete leading at HT | 6.1% | 9.2% | — | — | 10.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos -1: 1 | 54.5% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Olympiacos -1: X | 23.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Olympiacos -1: 2 | 22.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (0:1) | 54.5% | 51.2% | 21.2% | 2.42× | 1.95 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.3% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 1.18× | 4.12 |
| OFI Crete (0:1) | 22.2% | 24.3% | 58.5% | 0.41× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete (0:2) | 45.5% | 51.1% | 78.9% | 0.65× | 1.96 |
| Olympiacos (0:2) | 30.7% | 28.4% | 10.7% | 2.66× | 3.52 |
| Draw (0:2) | 23.8% | 20.4% | 10.7% | 1.91× | 4.91 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete (0:3) | 69.3% | 72.2% | 89.3% | 0.81× | 1.39 |
| Draw (0:3) | 16.4% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 2.00× | 6.24 |
| Olympiacos (0:3) | 14.3% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 3.49× | 9.96 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete (0:4) | 85.7% | 91.9% | 97.1% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.53× | 21.36 |
| Olympiacos (0:4) | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 3.75× | 21.63 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (1:0) | 95.7% | 93.8% | 66.3% | 1.41× | 1.07 |
| Draw (1:0) | 3.4% | 3.2% | 20.1% | 0.16× | 31.56 |
| OFI Crete (1:0) | 0.9% | 3.1% | 13.8% | 0.23× | 31.97 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos (2:0) | 99.1% | 97.0% | 86.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 0.8% | 2.3% | 8.2% | 0.27× | 44.32 |
| OFI Crete (2:0) | 0.1% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 0.39× | 44.37 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.3% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 27.4% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos clean sheet | 66.2% | 66.5% | 32.2% | 2.06× | 1.50 |
| Olympiacos to concede | 33.8% | 33.5% | 67.8% | 0.49× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos clean sheet in 1st half | 84.8% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Olympiacos to concede in 1st half | 15.2% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.22 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos over 2.5 corners | 94.0% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Olympiacos over 3.5 corners | 87.3% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Olympiacos over 4.5 corners | 78.0% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Olympiacos over 5.5 corners | 66.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Olympiacos over 6.5 corners | 55.1% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Olympiacos under 6.5 corners | 44.9% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Olympiacos under 5.5 corners | 33.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Olympiacos under 4.5 corners | 22.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Olympiacos under 3.5 corners | 12.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.29 |
| Olympiacos under 2.5 corners | 6.0% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.39 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos over 0.5 goals | 89.1% | 87.3% | 72.3% | 1.21× | 1.15 |
| Olympiacos under 3.5 goals | 81.6% | 82.1% | 94.3% | 0.87× | 1.22 |
| Olympiacos over 1.5 goals | 65.0% | 63.5% | 38.8% | 1.64× | 1.58 |
| Olympiacos under 2.5 goals | 61.8% | 63.5% | 81.7% | 0.78× | 1.58 |
| Olympiacos over 2.5 goals | 38.2% | 36.5% | 18.3% | 2.00× | 2.74 |
| Olympiacos under 1.5 goals | 35.0% | 36.5% | 61.2% | 0.60× | 2.74 |
| Olympiacos over 3.5 goals | 18.4% | 17.9% | 5.7% | 3.11× | 5.59 |
| Olympiacos under 0.5 goals | 10.9% | 12.7% | 27.7% | 0.46× | 7.86 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.3% | 77.0% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Olympiacos over 0.5 in 1st half | 61.5% | 64.6% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Olympiacos under 0.5 in 1st half | 38.5% | 35.4% | — | — | 2.83 |
| Olympiacos over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.7% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.34 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 80.5% | 85.5% | 42.7% | 2.00× | 1.17 |
| OFI Crete (home no bet) | 19.5% | 14.5% | 57.3% | 0.25× | 6.87 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos even goals | 50.6% | 50.6% | 52.8% | 0.96× | 1.98 |
| Olympiacos odd goals | 49.4% | 49.4% | 47.2% | 1.05× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.9% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| HT 1-0 | 31.0% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 2-0 | 14.9% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
| Any other HT score | 7.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.05 |
| HT 1-1 | 5.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 0-2 | 0.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.58 |
| HT 1-2 | 0.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.58 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.60 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos at HT / Olympiacos at FT | 52.6% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Draw at HT / Olympiacos at FT | 23.4% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Olympiacos at HT / Draw at FT | 2.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.86 |
| OFI Crete at HT / Draw at FT | 2.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Draw at HT / OFI Crete at FT | 2.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
| OFI Crete at HT / OFI Crete at FT | 2.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
| OFI Crete at HT / Olympiacos at FT | 1.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| Olympiacos at HT / OFI Crete at FT | 0.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.95 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to score last | 77.6% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| OFI Crete to score last | 14.0% | 9.9% | — | — | 10.07 |
| No goal scored | 8.4% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.25 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.6% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Olympiacos to lead by 1 at any time | 83.5% | 87.4% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 59.8% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Olympiacos to lead by 2 at any time | 57.9% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 32.7% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Olympiacos to lead by 3 at any time | 32.5% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| OFI Crete to lead by 1 at any time | 15.1% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| OFI Crete to lead by 2 at any time | 2.0% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.32 |
| OFI Crete to lead by 3 at any time | 0.2% | 1.6% | — | — | 64.18 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos most corners | 88.9% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.16 |
| OFI Crete most corners | 6.3% | 8.5% | — | — | 11.82 |
| Corners level | 4.8% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.60 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.5% | 87.4% | 88.5% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.0% | 78.6% | 80.1% | 0.98× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.2% | 72.4% | 72.3% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.9% | 69.0% | 70.0% | 0.98× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.6% | 63.4% | 69.2% | 0.92× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.4% | 63.4% | 61.6% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.0% | 48.7% | 50.7% | 0.96× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 47.1% | 48.7% | 47.6% | 1.02× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.8% | 43.6% | 45.4% | 0.96× | 2.30 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.7% | 43.6% | 43.3% | 1.01× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.2% | 39.1% | 37.0% | 1.06× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.3% | 30.2% | 21.8% | 1.39× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 22.0% | 24.5% | 19.5% | 1.25× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.9% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 1.37× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.48× | 39.25 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos never behind | 76.5% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| OFI Crete never behind | 8.1% | 4.6% | — | — | 21.64 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.4% | 50.8% | 53.8% | 0.94× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 52.6% | 49.2% | 46.2% | 1.06× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.7% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.3% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.2% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.8% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.9% | 92.3% | 96.7% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.6% | 92.3% | 91.6% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87.3% | 87.6% | 88.3% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.0% | 77.3% | 73.1% | 1.06× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.0% | 72.5% | 77.4% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.1% | 52.5% | 51.5% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% | 47.5% | 48.5% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.0% | 27.5% | 22.6% | 1.22× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.0% | 22.7% | 26.9% | 0.84× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 1.06× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 0.92× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.35× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.2% | 97.2% | 99.0% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.5% | 92.5% | 96.4% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 85.2% | 86.7% | 86.9% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 66.2% | 67.4% | 64.3% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 65.4% | 67.4% | 69.5% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 34.6% | 32.6% | 30.5% | 1.07× | 3.07 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 33.8% | 32.6% | 35.7% | 0.91× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 1.01× | 7.53 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.10× | 13.28 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.63× | 36.17 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.7% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 69.0% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.1% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.9% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.0% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.3% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.14 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 80.6% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 77.5% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.0% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.0% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 22.5% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 19.4% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete not to score in both halves | 96.7% | 96.8% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Olympiacos not to score in both halves | 55.9% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Olympiacos to score in both halves | 44.1% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| OFI Crete to score in both halves | 3.3% | 3.2% | — | — | 31.42 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Only Olympiacos scores | 57.8% | 58.4% | 24.0% | 2.43× | 1.71 |
| Both teams score | 31.3% | 33.3% | 48.5% | 0.69× | 3.00 |
| Neither team scores | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 0.85× | 13.90 |
| Only OFI Crete scores | 2.5% | 4.6% | 19.5% | 0.23× | 21.88 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.1% | 25.0% | 24.8% | 1.00× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.9% | 22.6% | 26.1% | 0.87× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.6% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 0.93× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 1.09× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 0.91× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 0.89× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.32× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 45.0% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.5% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 22.5% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.33 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete not to win both halves | 99.5% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Olympiacos not to win both halves | 64.8% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Olympiacos to win both halves | 35.2% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.23 |
| OFI Crete to win both halves | 0.5% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.13 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete to win neither half | 87.6% | 92.1% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Olympiacos to win either half | 83.1% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Olympiacos to win neither half | 16.9% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.91 |
| OFI Crete to win either half | 12.5% | 7.9% | — | — | 12.70 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete not to win to nil | 97.5% | 96.2% | 80.5% | 1.20× | 1.04 |
| Olympiacos to win to nil | 57.8% | 58.9% | 24.0% | 2.45× | 1.70 |
| Olympiacos not to win to nil | 42.2% | 41.1% | 76.0% | 0.54× | 2.43 |
| OFI Crete to win to nil | 2.5% | 3.8% | 19.5% | 0.20× | 26.25 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos by 3+ | 30.7% | 27.6% | 10.7% | 2.58× | 3.63 |
| Olympiacos by 2 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 10.7% | 2.26× | 4.14 |
| Olympiacos by 1 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 1.18× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 17.8% | 16.9% | 25.1% | 0.68× | 5.91 |
| OFI Crete by 1 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 20.1% | 0.13× | 36.97 |
| OFI Crete by 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 0.33× | 37.06 |
| OFI Crete by 3+ | 0.1% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 0.47× | 37.08 |