Once Caldas v Llaneros — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Once Caldas

17:05

Llaneros

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 839h before kick-off

Once Caldas win

55.9%

model 57.1%

Draw

26.2%

model 26.0%

Llaneros win

17.9%

model 17.0%

562618

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.6%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	46.9%	BTTS no	53.1%
Once Caldas 1+	81.7%	Once Caldas 2+	50.6%
Llaneros 1+	56.2%	Llaneros 2+	20.0%

Expected goals 1.70 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1467.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Once Caldas have an estimated 55.9% win probability, against 26.2% for the draw and 17.9% for Llaneros. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for Once Caldas and 0.82 for Llaneros.

Why Once Caldas

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1467.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.2%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Llaneros can win

Nothing in the data singles out Llaneros.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Once Caldas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Llaneros, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Once Caldas: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Llaneros: 40% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Once Caldas are the model's most likely outcome at 55.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	562717	1.57–0.75	1-0 14%	41%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win	55.8%	54.0%	45.9%	1.18×	1.85
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Llaneros to win	16.7%	19.3%	24.8%	0.78×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & not both score	36.3%	33.1%	27.1%	1.22×	3.02
Once Caldas & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Draw & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	10.8%	1.22×	7.55
Llaneros & not both score	10.0%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.92
Llaneros & both teams score	6.8%	8.4%	11.4%	0.73×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & under 3.5	41.9%	40.3%	35.7%	1.13×	2.48
Once Caldas & over 1.5	41.4%	40.3%	33.9%	1.19×	2.48
Once Caldas & over 2.5	29.3%	26.0%	25.6%	1.02×	3.84
Once Caldas & under 2.5	26.5%	26.0%	20.4%	1.27×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	23.6%	21.7%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.6%	21.7%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Once Caldas & under 1.5	14.4%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Once Caldas & over 3.5	13.9%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Llaneros & under 3.5	14.1%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Llaneros & over 1.5	10.4%	12.9%	16.4%	0.78×	7.77
Llaneros & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.69
Llaneros & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.70
Llaneros & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Llaneros & over 3.5	2.6%	4.8%	5.0%	0.95×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1UP)	67.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Llaneros (1UP)	31.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2UP)	55.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Llaneros (2UP)	16.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win 2nd half	44.1%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	38.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Llaneros to win 2nd half	17.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (+2.5)	87.3%	88.5%	91.8%	0.96×	1.13
Once Caldas (+0.5)	83.3%	82.4%	75.2%	1.10×	1.21
Llaneros (+1.5)	69.7%	68.7%	79.6%	0.86×	1.46
Once Caldas (-0.5)	55.8%	57.0%	45.9%	1.24×	1.76
Llaneros (+0.5)	44.2%	43.0%	54.1%	0.79×	2.33
Once Caldas (-1.5)	30.3%	31.3%	20.4%	1.53×	3.20
Llaneros (-0.5)	16.7%	17.6%	24.8%	0.71×	5.69
Once Caldas (-2.5)	12.7%	11.5%	8.2%	1.40×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to concede	79.1%	79.0%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
Llaneros clean sheet	20.9%	21.0%	24.2%	0.87×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to concede in 1st half	49.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Llaneros clean sheet in 1st half	51.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 6.5 corners	82.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Llaneros over 2.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Llaneros under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Llaneros under 4.5 corners	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Llaneros over 3.5 corners	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Llaneros under 3.5 corners	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Llaneros over 4.5 corners	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Llaneros under 2.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Llaneros over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Llaneros over 6.5 corners	17.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.6%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Llaneros under 2.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Llaneros under 1.5 goals	82.7%	81.4%	74.4%	1.09×	1.23
Llaneros over 0.5 goals	52.7%	53.7%	62.2%	0.86×	1.86
Llaneros under 0.5 goals	47.3%	46.3%	37.8%	1.22×	2.16
Llaneros over 1.5 goals	17.3%	18.6%	25.6%	0.73×	5.38
Llaneros over 2.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.66
Llaneros over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.4%	1.9%	1.26×	40.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 1.5 in 1st half	96.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Llaneros under 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Llaneros over 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Llaneros over 1.5 in 1st half	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.36

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (away no bet)	67.0%	66.4%	60.9%	1.09×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.0%	33.6%	39.1%	0.86×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros even goals	61.2%	59.0%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
Llaneros odd goals	38.8%	41.0%	42.6%	0.96×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	7.9%	—	—	12.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.9%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.1%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Once Caldas to score 2+ in a row	40.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Once Caldas to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Llaneros to score 2+ in a row	12.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Llaneros to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas corners (+3.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Once Caldas corners (+2.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Once Caldas corners (+1.5)	79.8%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Llaneros corners (+3.5)	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Llaneros corners (+2.5)	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Once Caldas corners (-1.5)	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Llaneros corners (+1.5)	47.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Once Caldas corners (-2.5)	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Once Caldas corners (-3.5)	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Llaneros corners (-1.5)	20.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Llaneros corners (-2.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Llaneros corners (-3.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	35.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	71.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	64.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	35.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	28.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	26.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.4%	11.5%	12.1%	0.95×	8.73
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
2-0	12.1%	11.5%	8.5%	1.35×	8.73
0-0	11.0%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.48
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.48
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.48
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.46
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.46×	58.47
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.49
1-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	58.46
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.48
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.49
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.49
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.49
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.15×	58.49
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.48
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.49
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT (DNB)	73.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Llaneros leading at HT (DNB)	26.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.54

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1X)	83.3%	80.7%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Once Caldas or Llaneros (12)	72.5%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Llaneros or draw (X2)	44.2%	46.0%	54.1%	0.85×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw at HT	85.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Llaneros or draw at HT	60.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Once Caldas or Llaneros at HT	53.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1UP)	83.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Llaneros or draw (1UP)	44.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw in 2nd half	82.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Once Caldas or Llaneros in 2nd half	61.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Llaneros or draw in 2nd half	55.9%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.7%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.3%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (DNB)	76.9%	74.6%	65.0%	1.15×	1.34
Llaneros (DNB)	23.1%	25.4%	35.0%	0.72×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score first	60.2%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Llaneros to score first	28.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goal scored	11.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	57.2%	54.9%	51.2%	1.07×	1.82
Both teams to score	42.8%	45.1%	48.8%	0.92×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.6%	44.3%	43.1%	1.03×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.1%	34.3%	35.9%	0.95×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	8.2%	1.50×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.0%	89.1%	88.7%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.0%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	19.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.4%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.7%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.4%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.95
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to score exactly 0	47.3%	42.9%	37.8%	1.13×	2.33
Llaneros to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Llaneros to score exactly 2	13.3%	12.8%	18.6%	0.69×	7.80
Llaneros to score 3+	4.0%	4.5%	7.1%	0.64×	22.03

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score exactly 1	32.7%	32.7%	34.4%	0.95×	3.06
Once Caldas to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.5%	26.1%	1.01×	3.77
Once Caldas to score exactly 0	20.9%	23.2%	24.2%	0.96×	4.30
Once Caldas to score 3+	20.8%	23.2%	15.6%	1.49×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Once Caldas leading at HT	39.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Llaneros leading at HT	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas -1: 2	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Once Caldas -1: 1	30.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Once Caldas -1: X	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:1)	44.2%	42.7%	54.1%	0.79×	2.34
Once Caldas (0:1)	30.3%	30.0%	20.4%	1.47×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	25.6%	1.05×	3.71

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:2)	69.7%	72.2%	79.6%	0.91×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.4%	1.23×	6.54
Once Caldas (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	8.2%	1.34×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:3)	87.3%	90.8%	91.8%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.4%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.14
Once Caldas (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.32
Once Caldas (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.54

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1:0)	83.3%	81.5%	75.2%	1.08×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.6%	12.8%	17.2%	0.74×	7.81
Llaneros (1:0)	5.1%	6.9%	7.7%	0.90×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2:0)	94.9%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	5.0%	0.45×	44.11
Llaneros (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to concede	52.7%	53.1%	62.2%	0.85×	1.88
Once Caldas clean sheet	47.3%	46.9%	37.8%	1.24×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 1st half	74.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Once Caldas to concede in 1st half	25.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas over 2.5 corners	87.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Once Caldas over 3.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Once Caldas over 4.5 corners	65.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Once Caldas under 6.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Once Caldas over 5.5 corners	52.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Once Caldas under 5.5 corners	47.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Once Caldas over 6.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Once Caldas under 4.5 corners	35.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Once Caldas under 3.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Once Caldas under 2.5 corners	12.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 3.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Once Caldas under 2.5 goals	79.2%	77.8%	84.4%	0.92×	1.29
Once Caldas over 0.5 goals	79.1%	77.8%	75.8%	1.03×	1.29
Once Caldas under 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.3%	58.4%	0.91×	1.88
Once Caldas over 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.7%	41.6%	1.12×	2.14
Once Caldas under 0.5 goals	20.9%	22.2%	24.2%	0.92×	4.50
Once Caldas over 2.5 goals	20.8%	22.2%	15.6%	1.43×	4.50
Once Caldas over 3.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 1st half	85.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 1st half	14.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.1%	60.2%	54.4%	1.11×	1.66
Llaneros (home no bet)	37.9%	39.8%	45.6%	0.87×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas even goals	52.2%	50.6%	53.4%	0.95×	1.98
Once Caldas odd goals	47.8%	49.4%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	25.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 1-1	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas at HT / Once Caldas at FT	33.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / Once Caldas at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Llaneros at HT / Llaneros at FT	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Draw at HT / Llaneros at FT	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Once Caldas at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Llaneros at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Llaneros at HT / Once Caldas at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Once Caldas at HT / Llaneros at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score last	60.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Llaneros to score last	28.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	11.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.98

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Once Caldas to lead by 1 at any time	67.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Once Caldas to lead by 2 at any time	35.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Llaneros to lead by 1 at any time	31.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Once Caldas to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Llaneros to lead by 2 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Llaneros to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas most corners	62.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Llaneros most corners	28.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	9.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.7%	69.0%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.3%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.2%	68.9%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.2%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.3%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.8%	39.2%	42.6%	0.92×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.7%	39.2%	40.5%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.2%	35.4%	34.8%	1.02×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.4%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.3%	18.6%	17.4%	1.07×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.6%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.45
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas never behind	57.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Llaneros never behind	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.7%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.7%	77.4%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.3%	66.2%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	44.0%	0.94×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.7%	33.8%	31.2%	1.08×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.3%	22.6%	20.9%	1.09×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	3.6%	1.25×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.3%	92.4%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.4%	72.6%	72.9%	1.00×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.4%	58.5%	0.95×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.6%	41.5%	1.07×	2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.6%	27.4%	27.1%	1.01×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.7%	7.6%	10.5%	0.72×	13.24
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.6%	1.77×	36.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros not to score in both halves	90.6%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Once Caldas not to score in both halves	71.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Once Caldas to score in both halves	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Llaneros to score in both halves	9.4%	10.2%	—	—	9.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.8%	46.6%	48.8%	0.95×	2.15
Only Once Caldas scores	36.3%	39.8%	27.1%	1.47×	2.51
Neither team scores	11.0%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.15
Only Llaneros scores	10.0%	7.2%	13.5%	0.53×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	20.7%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	26.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros not to win both halves	97.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Once Caldas not to win both halves	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas to win both halves	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Llaneros to win both halves	2.6%	2.8%	—	—	36.17

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to win neither half	70.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Once Caldas to win either half	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Once Caldas to win neither half	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Llaneros to win either half	29.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros not to win to nil	90.1%	92.0%	86.5%	1.06×	1.09
Once Caldas not to win to nil	63.7%	66.8%	72.9%	0.92×	1.50
Once Caldas to win to nil	36.3%	33.2%	27.1%	1.22×	3.01
Llaneros to win to nil	10.0%	8.0%	13.5%	0.59×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Once Caldas by 1	25.4%	27.8%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
Once Caldas by 2	17.6%	16.9%	12.4%	1.37×	5.91
Once Caldas by 3+	12.7%	11.8%	8.2%	1.44×	8.47
Llaneros by 1	11.6%	11.8%	17.2%	0.68×	8.48
Llaneros by 2	4.0%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.95
Llaneros by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	37.05