Örgryte IS v GAIS — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 18 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
SWE-Allsvenskan
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.2%
- 0-1 10.9%
- 0-2 10.7%
- 1-2 9.9%
- 0-0 6.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | Under 2.5 | 47.2% |
| BTTS yes | 51.5% | BTTS no | 48.5% |
| Örgryte IS 1+ | 60.2% | Örgryte IS 2+ | 23.6% |
| GAIS 1+ | 84.5% | GAIS 2+ | 55.7% |
Expected goals 0.92 – 1.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- GAIS carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1404.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
GAIS have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for Örgryte IS. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.92 for Örgryte IS and 1.87 for GAIS.
Why Örgryte IS
Nothing in the data singles out Örgryte IS.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why GAIS can win
GAIS carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1404.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Örgryte IS, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for GAIS, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Örgryte IS: 42% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. GAIS: 53% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
GAIS are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 0.75–1.96 | 0-2 13% | 51% | 46% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to win | 65.1% | 64.9% | 36.6% | 1.77× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.4% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| Örgryte IS to win | 13.0% | 13.3% | 40.7% | 0.33× | 7.51 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS & not both score | 39.9% | 33.2% | 18.8% | 1.76× | 3.01 |
| GAIS & both teams score | 25.3% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 1.39× | 3.98 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.6% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 0.74× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.57× | 11.93 |
| Örgryte IS & not both score | 6.9% | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.35× | 11.93 |
| Örgryte IS & both teams score | 6.1% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 0.48× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS & over 1.5 | 52.6% | 48.7% | 27.7% | 1.76× | 2.05 |
| GAIS & under 3.5 | 43.1% | 40.3% | 25.4% | 1.59× | 2.48 |
| GAIS & over 2.5 | 39.9% | 34.9% | 22.9% | 1.52× | 2.87 |
| GAIS & under 2.5 | 25.2% | 26.0% | 14.0% | 1.86× | 3.84 |
| GAIS & over 3.5 | 22.0% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 1.89× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 1.00× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 1.00× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 0.72× | 7.77 |
| GAIS & under 1.5 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 1.40× | 7.77 |
| Örgryte IS & under 3.5 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 0.49× | 7.77 |
| Örgryte IS & over 1.5 | 8.5% | 7.9% | 34.6% | 0.23× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.47× | 12.70 |
| Örgryte IS & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 25.4% | 0.31× | 12.70 |
| Örgryte IS & under 2.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| Örgryte IS & under 1.5 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 0.75× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.93 |
| Örgryte IS & over 3.5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 0.32× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (1UP) | 75.3% | 78.5% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Örgryte IS (1UP) | 28.9% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (2UP) | 65.1% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Örgryte IS (2UP) | 13.0% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.45 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to win 2nd half | 54.6% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.0% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Örgryte IS to win 2nd half | 13.4% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.07 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (+2.5) | 99.2% | 96.3% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| GAIS (+1.5) | 96.2% | 96.3% | 76.3% | 1.26× | 1.04 |
| GAIS (+0.5) | 87.0% | 88.5% | 59.3% | 1.49× | 1.13 |
| GAIS (-0.5) | 65.1% | 68.7% | 36.6% | 1.87× | 1.46 |
| Örgryte IS (+0.5) | 34.9% | 31.3% | 63.4% | 0.49× | 3.19 |
| Örgryte IS (-0.5) | 13.0% | 11.5% | 40.7% | 0.28× | 8.70 |
| Örgryte IS (-1.5) | 3.8% | 3.7% | 23.7% | 0.16× | 26.83 |
| Örgryte IS (-2.5) | 0.8% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.32× | 27.02 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to concede | 52.9% | 55.9% | 76.1% | 0.74× | 1.79 |
| GAIS clean sheet | 47.1% | 44.1% | 23.9% | 1.84× | 2.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS clean sheet in 1st half | 72.3% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| GAIS to concede in 1st half | 27.7% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS over 2.5 corners | 88.1% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| GAIS over 3.5 corners | 76.7% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| GAIS under 6.5 corners | 64.7% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| GAIS over 4.5 corners | 62.8% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| GAIS under 5.5 corners | 51.5% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| GAIS over 5.5 corners | 48.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| GAIS under 4.5 corners | 37.2% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| GAIS over 6.5 corners | 35.3% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| GAIS under 3.5 corners | 23.3% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| GAIS under 2.5 corners | 11.9% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS under 3.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.9% | 95.2% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| GAIS over 0.5 goals | 85.8% | 87.9% | 71.2% | 1.23× | 1.14 |
| GAIS under 2.5 goals | 68.9% | 68.0% | 81.7% | 0.83× | 1.47 |
| GAIS over 1.5 goals | 58.2% | 59.5% | 39.2% | 1.52× | 1.68 |
| GAIS under 1.5 goals | 41.8% | 40.5% | 60.8% | 0.67× | 2.47 |
| GAIS over 2.5 goals | 31.1% | 32.0% | 18.3% | 1.75× | 3.12 |
| GAIS under 0.5 goals | 14.2% | 12.1% | 28.8% | 0.42× | 8.24 |
| GAIS over 3.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 2.51× | 8.25 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS under 1.5 in 1st half | 81.5% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| GAIS over 0.5 in 1st half | 54.3% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| GAIS under 0.5 in 1st half | 45.8% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| GAIS over 1.5 in 1st half | 18.5% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 62.7% | 62.1% | 36.0% | 1.72× | 1.61 |
| Örgryte IS (away no bet) | 37.3% | 37.9% | 64.0% | 0.59× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS even goals | 51.0% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.89 |
| GAIS odd goals | 49.0% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.6% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.4% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.04 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 63.7% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 36.3% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 59.4% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| GAIS to score 2+ in a row | 52.1% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 26.1% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| GAIS to score 3+ in a row | 24.3% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Örgryte IS to score 2+ in a row | 11.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
| Örgryte IS to score 3+ in a row | 1.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.43 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS corners (+3.5) | 90.3% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| GAIS corners (+2.5) | 84.8% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| GAIS corners (+1.5) | 77.4% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Örgryte IS corners (+3.5) | 73.4% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Örgryte IS corners (+2.5) | 63.9% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Örgryte IS corners (+1.5) | 53.3% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| GAIS corners (-1.5) | 46.7% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| GAIS corners (-2.5) | 36.1% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| GAIS corners (-3.5) | 26.6% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Örgryte IS corners (-1.5) | 22.6% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Örgryte IS corners (-2.5) | 15.2% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Örgryte IS corners (-3.5) | 9.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 35.5% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 33.4% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 31.0% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 75.0% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 74.6% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 66.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 64.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 56.9% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 46.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 43.1% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 35.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 33.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 25.4% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 25.0% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.25× | 8.73 |
| 0-2 | 12.7% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 2.25× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.88× | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.39× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.94× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.53× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 4.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.46 |
| 0-4 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 1-0 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 0.27× | 58.46 |
| 1-4 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 2-0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 0.18× | 58.48 |
| 2-1 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 0.29× | 58.47 |
| 2-2 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.49 |
| 3-1 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS leading at HT (DNB) | 75.5% | 77.6% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Örgryte IS leading at HT (DNB) | 24.5% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.46 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw (X2) | 87.0% | 86.7% | 59.3% | 1.46× | 1.15 |
| Örgryte IS or GAIS (12) | 78.2% | 75.6% | 77.1% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Örgryte IS or draw (1X) | 34.9% | 35.1% | 63.4% | 0.55× | 2.85 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw at HT | 85.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Örgryte IS or GAIS at HT | 57.8% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Örgryte IS or draw at HT | 56.3% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw (1UP) | 87.0% | 91.7% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Örgryte IS or draw (1UP) | 34.9% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw in 2nd half | 86.6% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Örgryte IS or GAIS in 2nd half | 68.0% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Örgryte IS or draw in 2nd half | 45.4% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.11 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 60.1% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.9% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (DNB) | 83.3% | 80.6% | 47.4% | 1.70× | 1.24 |
| Örgryte IS (DNB) | 16.7% | 19.4% | 52.6% | 0.37× | 5.14 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score first | 67.0% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Örgryte IS to score first | 25.8% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| No goal scored | 7.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.32 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 54.0% | 51.4% | 47.3% | 1.09× | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 46.0% | 48.6% | 52.7% | 0.92× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 38.8% | 38.5% | 34.4% | 1.12× | 2.60 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 35.6% | 38.5% | 39.9% | 0.96× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 15.2% | 21.7% | 13.2% | 1.64× | 4.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.9% | 85.6% | 84.2% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 0.91× | 6.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.7% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.3% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.02 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 64.2% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.7% | 20.7% | — | — | 4.82 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.5% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.6% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.97 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.9% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.1% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.7% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 46.3% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.1% | 47.4% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.7% | 26.4% | 26.2% | 1.01× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 24.2% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 1.12× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 0.38× | 54.59 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score 3+ | 31.1% | 33.8% | 18.3% | 1.84× | 2.96 |
| GAIS to score exactly 1 | 27.7% | 27.4% | 32.3% | 0.85× | 3.65 |
| GAIS to score exactly 2 | 27.1% | 27.4% | 21.1% | 1.30× | 3.65 |
| GAIS to score exactly 0 | 14.2% | 12.8% | 28.8% | 0.45× | 7.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS to score exactly 0 | 47.1% | 36.9% | 23.9% | 1.54× | 2.71 |
| Örgryte IS to score exactly 1 | 35.5% | 35.6% | 32.8% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| Örgryte IS to score exactly 2 | 13.4% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 0.65× | 6.98 |
| Örgryte IS to score 3+ | 4.1% | 6.2% | 21.6% | 0.29× | 16.18 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS leading at HT | 43.7% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Draw at HT | 42.2% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Örgryte IS leading at HT | 14.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS -1: 2 | 40.4% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| GAIS -1: 1 | 34.9% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| GAIS -1: X | 24.8% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (0:1) | 87.0% | 89.1% | 59.3% | 1.50× | 1.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 9.2% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 0.53× | 10.82 |
| Örgryte IS (0:1) | 3.8% | 5.8% | 23.7% | 0.24× | 17.26 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (0:2) | 96.2% | 94.1% | 76.3% | 1.23× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:2) | 3.0% | 3.8% | 12.5% | 0.30× | 26.58 |
| Örgryte IS (0:2) | 0.8% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.71 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (0:3) | 99.2% | 96.6% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 0.7% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.34× | 42.24 |
| Örgryte IS (0:3) | 0.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.26 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (0:4) | 99.9% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Örgryte IS (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.68 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.67 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (1:0) | 40.4% | 42.8% | 16.5% | 2.59× | 2.34 |
| Örgryte IS (1:0) | 34.9% | 30.6% | 63.4% | 0.48× | 3.27 |
| Draw (1:0) | 24.8% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.07× | 4.59 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS (2:0) | 59.6% | 63.3% | 83.5% | 0.76× | 1.58 |
| Draw (2:0) | 20.3% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 1.83× | 5.23 |
| GAIS (2:0) | 20.1% | 19.1% | 6.4% | 3.00× | 5.24 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 25.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS to concede | 85.8% | 86.0% | 71.2% | 1.21× | 1.16 |
| Örgryte IS clean sheet | 14.2% | 14.0% | 28.8% | 0.49× | 7.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS to concede in 1st half | 54.3% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Örgryte IS clean sheet in 1st half | 45.8% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS under 6.5 corners | 81.2% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Örgryte IS over 2.5 corners | 77.5% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Örgryte IS under 5.5 corners | 70.2% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Örgryte IS over 3.5 corners | 61.1% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Örgryte IS under 4.5 corners | 55.7% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Örgryte IS over 4.5 corners | 44.3% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Örgryte IS under 3.5 corners | 38.9% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Örgryte IS over 5.5 corners | 29.8% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Örgryte IS under 2.5 corners | 22.5% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Örgryte IS over 6.5 corners | 18.8% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS under 3.5 goals | 99.3% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Örgryte IS under 2.5 goals | 95.9% | 96.4% | 78.4% | 1.23× | 1.04 |
| Örgryte IS under 1.5 goals | 82.6% | 82.1% | 56.5% | 1.45× | 1.22 |
| Örgryte IS over 0.5 goals | 52.9% | 53.3% | 76.1% | 0.70× | 1.88 |
| Örgryte IS under 0.5 goals | 47.1% | 46.8% | 23.9% | 1.95× | 2.14 |
| Örgryte IS over 1.5 goals | 17.4% | 17.9% | 43.5% | 0.41× | 5.59 |
| Örgryte IS over 2.5 goals | 4.1% | 3.6% | 21.6% | 0.17× | 27.43 |
| Örgryte IS over 3.5 goals | 0.7% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.58 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.8% | 97.0% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Örgryte IS under 0.5 in 1st half | 72.3% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Örgryte IS over 0.5 in 1st half | 27.7% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
| Örgryte IS over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.2% | 3.0% | — | — | 33.40 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (home no bet) | 74.9% | 66.7% | 61.5% | 1.08× | 1.50 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 25.1% | 33.3% | 38.5% | 0.86× | 3.01 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS even goals | 61.1% | 55.9% | 53.9% | 1.04× | 1.79 |
| Örgryte IS odd goals | 38.9% | 44.1% | 46.1% | 0.96× | 2.27 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 33.2% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| HT 0-1 | 25.8% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 1-0 | 10.6% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 10.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| Any other HT score | 4.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.25 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.37 |
| HT 2-0 | 1.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.51 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.57 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS at HT / GAIS at FT | 39.3% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Draw at HT / GAIS at FT | 22.7% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Örgryte IS at HT / Örgryte IS at FT | 6.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.68 |
| Draw at HT / Örgryte IS at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Örgryte IS at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| GAIS at HT / Draw at FT | 3.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Örgryte IS at HT / GAIS at FT | 3.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| GAIS at HT / Örgryte IS at FT | 0.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score last | 67.1% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Örgryte IS to score last | 25.7% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.74 |
| No goal scored | 7.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.32 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.8% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| GAIS to lead by 1 at any time | 75.3% | 77.9% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.5% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| GAIS to lead by 2 at any time | 45.9% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Örgryte IS to lead by 1 at any time | 28.9% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 23.8% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.09 |
| GAIS to lead by 3 at any time | 22.5% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Örgryte IS to lead by 2 at any time | 6.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.09 |
| Örgryte IS to lead by 3 at any time | 1.3% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.05 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS most corners | 57.7% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Örgryte IS most corners | 31.8% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.1% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.0% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.8% | 72.4% | 75.1% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.1% | 72.4% | 71.8% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.0% | 63.4% | 64.1% | 0.99× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.0% | 63.4% | 63.4% | 1.00× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 48.8% | 48.7% | 48.3% | 1.01× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.1% | 48.7% | 49.1% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 45.1% | 48.7% | 45.0% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.0% | 43.6% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.0% | 39.1% | 36.6% | 1.07× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.7% | 30.2% | 26.2% | 1.15× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.0% | 24.5% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 1.24× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.53× | 39.24 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS never behind | 63.9% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Örgryte IS never behind | 17.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.36 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.7% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.3% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.7% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.3% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.4% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.6% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.3% | 92.3% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.8% | 92.3% | 94.7% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86.2% | 87.6% | 83.5% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | 77.3% | 79.6% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.3% | 72.5% | 69.2% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.2% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.8% | 27.5% | 30.8% | 0.89× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.2% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.8% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 0.75× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.45× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.95× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.9% | 97.2% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.8% | 92.5% | 91.1% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.8% | 81.1% | 80.7% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 67.8% | 67.4% | 72.2% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 63.1% | 62.1% | 60.5% | 1.03× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 36.9% | 37.9% | 39.5% | 0.96× | 2.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 32.2% | 32.6% | 27.8% | 1.17× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 16.2% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 0.98× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 0.85× | 13.27 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.55× | 36.16 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.9% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 69.6% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 66.8% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 33.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 30.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.7% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.3% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.2% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.8% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 21.7% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.3% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS not to score in both halves | 90.3% | 89.8% | — | — | 1.11 |
| GAIS not to score in both halves | 62.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| GAIS to score in both halves | 37.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Örgryte IS to score in both halves | 9.7% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.79 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 46.0% | 50.5% | 52.7% | 0.96× | 1.98 |
| Only GAIS scores | 39.9% | 39.9% | 18.8% | 2.12× | 2.51 |
| Neither team scores | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.35× | 13.91 |
| Only Örgryte IS scores | 6.9% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 0.30× | 13.91 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.0% | 22.6% | 27.0% | 0.84× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 1.01× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 1.14× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 0.83× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 0.88× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.43× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 0.94× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.8% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.9% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.3% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS not to win both halves | 98.1% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| GAIS not to win both halves | 76.0% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| GAIS to win both halves | 24.0% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.02 |
| Örgryte IS to win both halves | 1.9% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.46 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS to win neither half | 74.4% | 73.1% | — | — | 1.37 |
| GAIS to win either half | 74.3% | 73.1% | — | — | 1.37 |
| GAIS to win neither half | 25.7% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.71 |
| Örgryte IS to win either half | 25.6% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.71 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örgryte IS not to win to nil | 93.1% | 92.1% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| GAIS not to win to nil | 60.1% | 66.7% | 81.2% | 0.82× | 1.50 |
| GAIS to win to nil | 39.9% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 1.77× | 3.00 |
| Örgryte IS to win to nil | 6.9% | 8.0% | 23.7% | 0.34× | 12.58 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS by 1 | 24.8% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 1.05× | 4.14 |
| GAIS by 2 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 10.4% | 2.31× | 4.14 |
| GAIS by 3+ | 20.1% | 24.1% | 6.4% | 3.80× | 4.14 |
| Örgryte IS by 1 | 9.2% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 0.42× | 13.77 |
| Örgryte IS by 2 | 3.0% | 2.7% | 12.5% | 0.22× | 36.99 |
| Örgryte IS by 3+ | 0.8% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 0.24× | 37.06 |