Orlando Pirates v Durban City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 17 September 2026 · RSA-Premiership · 2627

RSA-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Orlando Pirates

13:30

Durban City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 250h before kick-off

Orlando Pirates win

70.3%

model 68.8%

Draw

22.6%

model 23.7%

Durban City win

7.1%

model 7.5%

70237

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (92 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 16.4%
1-0 16.1%
0-0 11.2%
1-1 10.4%
3-0 10.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.7%	Under 2.5	58.3%
BTTS yes	34.5%	BTTS no	65.5%
Orlando Pirates 1+	84.4%	Orlando Pirates 2+	55.3%
Durban City 1+	39.0%	Durban City 2+	8.8%

Expected goals 1.86 – 0.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Orlando Pirates over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 30%

56.1% fair odds 1.78

strong signal · 737 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Orlando Pirates over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 69%

82.8% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Orlando Pirates carry the stronger rating, 1789 Elo against 1480.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Orlando Pirates have an estimated 70.3% win probability, against 22.6% for the draw and 7.1% for Durban City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for Orlando Pirates and 0.49 for Durban City.

Why Orlando Pirates

Orlando Pirates carry the stronger rating, 1789 Elo against 1480. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. A combined 2.35 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Durban City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Durban City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Orlando Pirates, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Durban City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Orlando Pirates: 55% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Durban City: 59% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Orlando Pirates are the model's most likely outcome at 70.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 16.4%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	69247	1.86–0.49	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	69265	1.56–0.28	1-0 23%	28%	21%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to win	68.7%	65.1%	42.1%	1.55×	1.54
Draw	26.2%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Durban City to win	5.0%	8.1%	27.4%	0.29×	12.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates & not both score	58.3%	51.2%	29.9%	1.71×	1.95
Draw & not both score	17.2%	17.9%	13.0%	1.38×	5.58
Orlando Pirates & both teams score	10.4%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.55
Draw & both teams score	9.0%	8.4%	17.9%	0.47×	11.92
Durban City & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	18.5%	0.26×	20.57
Durban City & both teams score	1.2%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.65

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates & under 3.5	58.2%	55.0%	35.6%	1.55×	1.82
Orlando Pirates & over 1.5	45.3%	45.2%	26.6%	1.70×	2.21
Orlando Pirates & under 2.5	42.8%	40.3%	26.0%	1.55×	2.48
Orlando Pirates & over 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	16.3%	1.60×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.4%	26.0%	27.8%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.4%	26.0%	27.8%	0.93×	3.84
Orlando Pirates & under 1.5	23.5%	21.7%	15.7%	1.38×	4.62
Draw & under 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	13.0%	1.38×	5.56
Orlando Pirates & over 3.5	10.5%	12.9%	6.7%	1.92×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	17.9%	0.44×	12.69
Durban City & under 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	23.0%	0.21×	20.93
Durban City & under 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	15.7%	0.31×	20.94
Durban City & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	10.6%	0.45×	20.94
Durban City & over 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	17.1%	0.28×	20.95
Durban City & over 2.5	1.2%	4.8%	12.0%	0.40×	20.95
Draw & over 2.5	0.8%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	0.8%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.95
Durban City & over 3.5	0.2%	4.8%	4.7%	1.02×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (1UP)	73.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Durban City (1UP)	12.8%	12.5%	—	—	8.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (2UP)	68.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Durban City (2UP)	5.0%	7.9%	—	—	12.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to win 2nd half	52.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	41.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Durban City to win 2nd half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.14

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (+0.5)	95.0%	92.1%	72.6%	1.27×	1.09
Durban City (+2.5)	82.8%	82.4%	93.7%	0.88×	1.21
Orlando Pirates (-0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	42.1%	1.63×	1.46
Durban City (+1.5)	60.6%	62.9%	80.7%	0.78×	1.59
Orlando Pirates (-1.5)	39.4%	37.1%	19.3%	1.92×	2.70
Durban City (+0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	57.9%	0.54×	3.20
Orlando Pirates (-2.5)	17.2%	17.6%	6.3%	2.79×	5.69
Durban City (-0.5)	5.0%	7.9%	27.4%	0.29×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City to concede	78.9%	79.0%	68.7%	1.15×	1.27
Durban City clean sheet	21.1%	21.0%	31.3%	0.67×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City to concede in 1st half	48.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Durban City clean sheet in 1st half	51.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City under 6.5 corners	95.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Durban City under 5.5 corners	90.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Durban City under 4.5 corners	81.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Durban City under 3.5 corners	67.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Durban City over 2.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Durban City under 2.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Durban City over 3.5 corners	32.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Durban City over 4.5 corners	18.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Durban City over 5.5 corners	10.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Durban City over 6.5 corners	5.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.71

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City under 3.5 goals	100.0%	97.6%	98.0%	1.00×	1.03
Durban City under 2.5 goals	99.7%	97.6%	92.5%	1.05×	1.03
Durban City under 1.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	78.3%	1.25×	1.03
Durban City under 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	42.7%	1.79×	1.31
Durban City over 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	57.3%	0.41×	4.21
Durban City over 1.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	21.7%	0.11×	40.71
Durban City over 2.5 goals	0.3%	2.4%	7.5%	0.33×	40.87
Durban City over 3.5 goals	0.0%	2.4%	2.0%	1.20×	40.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City under 1.5 in 1st half	99.4%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Durban City under 0.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Durban City over 0.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.22
Durban City over 1.5 in 1st half	0.6%	3.8%	—	—	26.19

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (away no bet)	72.4%	68.5%	57.8%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.6%	31.5%	42.2%	0.75×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City even goals	78.5%	80.9%	58.5%	1.38×	1.24
Durban City odd goals	21.5%	19.1%	41.5%	0.46×	5.24

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.7%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.54

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	57.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Not both halves under 1.5	42.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Orlando Pirates to score 2+ in a row	43.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Orlando Pirates to score 3+ in a row	18.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Durban City to score 2+ in a row	2.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.25
Durban City to score 3+ in a row	0.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.57

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates corners (+3.5)	97.6%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Orlando Pirates corners (+2.5)	95.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Orlando Pirates corners (+1.5)	91.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Orlando Pirates corners (-1.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Orlando Pirates corners (-2.5)	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Durban City corners (+3.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Orlando Pirates corners (-3.5)	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Durban City corners (+2.5)	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Durban City corners (+1.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Durban City corners (-1.5)	8.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Durban City corners (-2.5)	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.53
Durban City corners (-3.5)	2.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	26.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	20.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.19

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	23.5%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.94
2-0	19.3%	13.8%	10.6%	1.30×	7.26
0-0	17.2%	13.8%	13.0%	1.06×	7.27
3-0	10.0%	11.5%	3.5%	3.31×	8.73
1-1	8.2%	7.4%	15.0%	0.49×	13.48
2-1	5.4%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.21×	58.49
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.21×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.41×	58.49
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-1	3.2%	1.7%	10.6%	0.16×	58.47
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.49
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.21×	58.49
1-2	1.0%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.48
1-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.49
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
2-2	0.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.49
2-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.49
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.21×	58.49
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.47
3-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
3-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.21×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.41×	58.49
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.81×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates leading at HT (DNB)	89.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Durban City leading at HT (DNB)	10.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.05

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw (1X)	95.0%	91.9%	72.6%	1.27×	1.09
Orlando Pirates or Durban City (12)	73.8%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Durban City or draw (X2)	31.3%	34.9%	57.9%	0.60×	2.87

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw at HT	94.6%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Durban City or draw at HT	55.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Orlando Pirates or Durban City at HT	50.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw (1UP)	95.0%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Durban City or draw (1UP)	31.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates or draw in 2nd half	93.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Orlando Pirates or Durban City in 2nd half	59.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Durban City or draw in 2nd half	47.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.0%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	31.0%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (DNB)	93.2%	93.2%	60.5%	1.54×	1.07
Durban City (DNB)	6.8%	6.8%	39.5%	0.17×	14.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score first	70.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
No goal scored	17.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.62
Durban City to score first	12.7%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	79.4%	62.7%	61.0%	1.03×	1.60
Both teams to score	20.6%	37.3%	39.0%	0.96×	2.68

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	63.8%	50.2%	54.3%	0.93×	1.99
Not both score & over 2.5	15.6%	21.7%	6.9%	3.14×	4.61
Both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	24.2%	0.51×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	15.0%	0.56×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	98.5%	91.8%	94.3%	0.97×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	1.5%	8.2%	5.7%	1.44×	12.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	90.4%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Both teams to score in 2nd half	9.6%	9.6%	—	—	10.45

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	85.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both score 2nd half only	9.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.64
Both score 1st half only	4.9%	5.1%	—	—	19.70
Both score in both halves	0.5%	4.8%	—	—	20.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	94.6%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Both teams to score by HT	5.4%	5.3%	—	—	18.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	64.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	36.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.6%	42.1%	47.4%	0.89×	2.37
0-1 goals	43.9%	42.1%	38.8%	1.08×	2.37
4-6 goals	11.2%	16.9%	13.0%	1.30×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	1.2%	1.50×	54.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City to score exactly 0	75.5%	74.9%	42.7%	1.75×	1.34
Durban City to score exactly 1	21.2%	22.4%	35.8%	0.63×	4.47
Durban City to score exactly 2	3.0%	4.5%	14.4%	0.31×	22.10
Durban City to score 3+	0.3%	4.5%	7.5%	0.60×	22.29

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.7%	38.6%	0.85×	3.06
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.5%	20.3%	1.31×	3.77
Orlando Pirates to score exactly 0	21.1%	23.2%	31.3%	0.74×	4.30
Orlando Pirates to score 3+	20.6%	23.2%	10.2%	2.29×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Orlando Pirates leading at HT	44.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Durban City leading at HT	5.4%	8.9%	—	—	11.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates -1: 1	39.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Orlando Pirates -1: 2	31.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Orlando Pirates -1: X	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (0:1)	39.4%	37.3%	19.3%	1.93×	2.68
Durban City (0:1)	31.3%	30.0%	57.9%	0.52×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	29.3%	27.0%	23.0%	1.18×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City (0:2)	60.6%	67.2%	80.7%	0.83×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	22.3%	20.3%	13.2%	1.54×	4.92
Orlando Pirates (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	6.3%	2.43×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City (0:3)	82.8%	85.1%	93.7%	0.91×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	11.2%	10.0%	5.3%	1.89×	10.01
Orlando Pirates (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	1.2%	4.77×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City (0:4)	94.0%	94.7%	98.8%	0.96×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	0.8%	1.48×	83.18
Orlando Pirates (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	1.96×	83.48

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (1:0)	95.0%	92.8%	72.6%	1.28×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	4.2%	3.2%	16.3%	0.20×	31.42
Durban City (1:0)	0.8%	3.1%	11.4%	0.27×	31.99

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates (2:0)	99.2%	97.0%	88.6%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	7.7%	0.29×	44.33
Durban City (2:0)	0.1%	2.3%	3.9%	0.58×	44.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	33.9%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates clean sheet	75.5%	75.9%	42.7%	1.78×	1.32
Orlando Pirates to concede	24.5%	24.1%	57.3%	0.42×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates clean sheet in 1st half	89.4%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Orlando Pirates to concede in 1st half	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.41

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates over 2.5 corners	90.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Orlando Pirates over 3.5 corners	81.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Orlando Pirates over 4.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Orlando Pirates over 5.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Orlando Pirates under 6.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Orlando Pirates over 6.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Orlando Pirates under 5.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Orlando Pirates under 4.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Orlando Pirates under 3.5 corners	19.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Orlando Pirates under 2.5 corners	9.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Orlando Pirates under 2.5 goals	79.4%	77.8%	89.8%	0.87×	1.29
Orlando Pirates over 0.5 goals	78.9%	77.8%	68.7%	1.13×	1.29
Orlando Pirates under 1.5 goals	53.9%	53.3%	69.7%	0.76×	1.88
Orlando Pirates over 1.5 goals	46.1%	46.7%	30.3%	1.54×	2.14
Orlando Pirates under 0.5 goals	21.1%	22.2%	31.3%	0.71×	4.50
Orlando Pirates over 2.5 goals	20.6%	22.2%	10.2%	2.19×	4.50
Orlando Pirates over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	3.5%	2.24×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Orlando Pirates over 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Orlando Pirates under 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Orlando Pirates over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.66

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	83.9%	86.4%	52.8%	1.64×	1.16
Durban City (home no bet)	16.1%	13.6%	47.2%	0.29×	7.36

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates even goals	52.2%	50.6%	53.7%	0.94×	1.98
Orlando Pirates odd goals	47.8%	49.4%	46.3%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	46.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
HT 1-0	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 2-0	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 0-1	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.25
HT 1-1	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-1	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 0-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 1-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.61

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	42.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	25.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Durban City at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Orlando Pirates at HT / Draw at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Durban City at HT / Draw at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Durban City at HT / Durban City at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Durban City at HT / Orlando Pirates at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Orlando Pirates at HT / Durban City at FT	0.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates to score last	70.6%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
No goal scored	17.2%	12.5%	—	—	8.00
Durban City to score last	12.2%	9.4%	—	—	10.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	82.8%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Orlando Pirates to lead by 1 at any time	73.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Orlando Pirates to lead by 2 at any time	41.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Orlando Pirates to lead by 3 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Durban City to lead by 1 at any time	12.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Durban City to lead by 2 at any time	1.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.98
Durban City to lead by 3 at any time	0.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates most corners	79.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Durban City most corners	13.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	7.5%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.7%	83.5%	85.0%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.6%	81.1%	0.97×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.3%	72.4%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-6 goals	55.9%	59.2%	60.2%	0.98×	1.69
2-5 goals	55.0%	59.2%	59.1%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.8%	53.2%	56.3%	0.94×	1.88
2-4 goals	52.2%	53.2%	55.3%	0.96×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.6%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.30
3-6 goals	27.7%	30.2%	29.9%	1.01×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.8%	30.2%	28.9%	1.05×	3.31
3-4 goals	24.1%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.08
4-6 goals	11.2%	14.9%	13.0%	1.14×	6.73
4-5 goals	10.4%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.73
5-6 goals	3.6%	2.6%	5.1%	0.50×	39.17
7+ goals	0.3%	2.5%	1.2%	2.09×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates never behind	70.0%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Durban City never behind	9.0%	5.0%	—	—	19.95

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.8%	47.8%	1.06×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.2%	52.2%	0.94×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	39.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.5%	97.8%	0.98×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	93.9%	1.02×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.5%	87.7%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	82.8%	82.4%	87.0%	0.95×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	56.1%	58.8%	61.2%	0.96×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	43.9%	41.2%	38.8%	1.06×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	30.9%	0.89×	3.64
Under 0.5 goals	17.2%	17.6%	13.0%	1.35×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	14.0%	0.88×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	6.1%	0.74×	22.20
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.5%	2.2%	2.01×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	98.8%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.8%	97.2%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.8%	97.2%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.2%	86.7%	83.1%	1.04×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.0%	62.1%	55.7%	1.11×	1.61
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.0%	37.9%	44.3%	0.86×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.8%	13.3%	16.9%	0.79×	7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.2%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	36.10
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.2%	2.8%	2.3%	1.19×	36.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	1.2%	2.24×	36.22

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.5%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	81.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	46.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Over 1.5 in 1st half	18.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.5%	3.8%	—	—	26.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.9%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.1%	11.2%	—	—	8.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City not to score in both halves	98.4%	98.4%	—	—	1.02
Orlando Pirates not to score in both halves	71.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Orlando Pirates to score in both halves	28.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Durban City to score in both halves	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Orlando Pirates scores	58.3%	58.4%	29.9%	1.95×	1.71
Both teams score	20.6%	22.3%	39.0%	0.57×	4.48
Neither team scores	17.2%	16.1%	13.0%	1.24×	6.22
Only Durban City scores	3.9%	4.6%	18.5%	0.25×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	30.5%	0.82×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	26.7%	25.0%	26.0%	0.96×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	17.2%	17.4%	13.0%	1.34×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	16.5%	17.4%	17.1%	1.02×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	7.6%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	2.8%	4.4%	4.1%	1.08×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.4%	2.2%	1.97×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	35.2%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
2+ goals in 2nd half	28.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City not to win both halves	99.6%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Orlando Pirates not to win both halves	76.1%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Orlando Pirates to win both halves	23.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Durban City to win both halves	0.4%	2.7%	—	—	37.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City to win neither half	88.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Orlando Pirates to win either half	73.5%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Orlando Pirates to win neither half	26.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Durban City to win either half	11.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Durban City not to win to nil	96.1%	96.1%	81.5%	1.18×	1.04
Orlando Pirates to win to nil	58.3%	58.9%	29.9%	1.97×	1.70
Orlando Pirates not to win to nil	41.7%	41.1%	70.1%	0.59×	2.43
Durban City to win to nil	3.9%	3.9%	18.5%	0.21×	25.86

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Pirates by 1	29.3%	27.9%	23.0%	1.21×	3.59
Draw	26.2%	27.8%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Orlando Pirates by 2	22.3%	24.1%	13.2%	1.83×	4.14
Orlando Pirates by 3+	17.2%	16.9%	6.3%	2.69×	5.91
Durban City by 1	4.2%	2.7%	16.3%	0.17×	36.95
Durban City by 2	0.7%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	37.06
Durban City by 3+	0.1%	2.7%	3.9%	0.70×	37.08