Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627
La Liga
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyOsasuna win
49.9%
model 48.5%
Draw
22.0%
model 25.0%
Rayo Vallecano win
28.1%
model 26.6%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.9%
- 1-0 10.7%
- 2-1 9.4%
- 2-0 8.5%
- 0-1 7.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 50.7% | Under 2.5 | 49.3% |
| BTTS yes | 53.4% | BTTS no | 46.6% |
| Osasuna 1+ | 79.6% | Osasuna 2+ | 47.2% |
| Rayo Vallecano 1+ | 67.1% | Rayo Vallecano 2+ | 30.5% |
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
99/100
Data quality
100/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Even goals in 2nd half
Odd/Even 2HT · usually 50%
51.7% fair odds 1.93
moderate signal · 2330 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time · usually 83%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Osasuna have created 1.51 xG a match over their last five while Rayo Vallecano have allowed 1.60.
- At home Osasuna average 1.62 xG a match.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Osasuna have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.1% for Rayo Vallecano and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Osasuna and 1.11 for Rayo Vallecano.
Why Osasuna
Osasuna have created 1.51 xG a match over their last five while Rayo Vallecano have allowed 1.60. At home Osasuna average 1.62 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Rayo Vallecano can win
Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger rating, 1546 Elo against 1473. Rayo Vallecano have created 1.58 xG a match over their last five while Osasuna have allowed 1.27. Away from home Rayo Vallecano average 1.42 xG a match.
Key players
Osasuna's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ante Budimir (0.61), Víctor Muñoz (0.27), Rubén García (0.20). Rayo Vallecano's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Álvaro García (0.40), Jorge De Frutos (0.34), Sergio Camello (0.28).
Availability
1 of Osasuna's top three contributors did not start their last match. Rayo Vallecano had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.44 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Rayo Vallecano: Jorge De Frutos (suspended), Fran Pérez (suspended).
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Osasuna: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.25 xG a match from set pieces. Rayo Vallecano: 46% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.29 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Osasuna are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Osasuna are finishing below their chances — 3.1 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.3 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
WLLLLLDWWL last 10
scored 12
from 15.1 xG
conceded 17
from 12.8 xG
Rayo Vallecano are finishing above their chances — 2.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.
DWDDWWLDLW last 10
scored 18
from 15.8 xG
conceded 16
from 16.0 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.59–1.11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.67–1.18 | 1-1 11% | 54% | 56% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to win | 50.5% | 51.4% | 46.9% | 1.09× | 1.95 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win | 25.6% | 27.9% | 28.1% | 0.99× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 23.9% | 24.5% | 25.1% | 0.97× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna & not both score | 26.0% | 25.2% | 25.3% | 0.99× | 3.97 |
| Osasuna & both teams score | 24.5% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 1.01× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.2% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 0.89× | 5.58 |
| Rayo Vallecano & both teams score | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 0.97× | 7.54 |
| Rayo Vallecano & not both score | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 0.91× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.64× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna & over 1.5 | 40.7% | 40.3% | 34.2% | 1.18× | 2.48 |
| Osasuna & under 3.5 | 32.6% | 30.9% | 33.1% | 0.93× | 3.24 |
| Osasuna & over 2.5 | 32.3% | 30.9% | 28.1% | 1.10× | 3.24 |
| Rayo Vallecano & over 1.5 | 19.0% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 0.85× | 5.56 |
| Osasuna & under 2.5 | 18.2% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| Osasuna & over 3.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 1.29× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.2% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Rayo Vallecano & under 3.5 | 18.3% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 0.83× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Rayo Vallecano & over 2.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.08× | 5.56 |
| Rayo Vallecano & under 2.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 1.11× | 7.77 |
| Osasuna & under 1.5 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 0.61× | 12.69 |
| Rayo Vallecano & over 3.5 | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.21× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.70 |
| Rayo Vallecano & under 1.5 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 1.11× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.54× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (1UP) | 65.5% | 69.8% | 63.2% | 1.10× | 1.43 |
| Rayo Vallecano (1UP) | 44.0% | 39.5% | 47.1% | 0.84× | 2.53 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (2UP) | 50.5% | 55.4% | 48.8% | 1.14× | 1.80 |
| Rayo Vallecano (2UP) | 25.6% | 24.7% | 29.7% | 0.83× | 4.04 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to win 2nd half | 45.7% | 45.3% | 39.4% | 1.15× | 2.21 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.7% | 34.5% | 33.0% | 1.04× | 2.90 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win 2nd half | 21.6% | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.83× | 4.33 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (+2.5) | 88.1% | 88.5% | 90.0% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Osasuna (+0.5) | 74.4% | 73.7% | 71.9% | 1.03× | 1.36 |
| Rayo Vallecano (+1.5) | 72.6% | 73.7% | 79.2% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| Osasuna (-0.5) | 50.5% | 52.3% | 46.9% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Rayo Vallecano (+0.5) | 49.5% | 47.7% | 53.1% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| Osasuna (-1.5) | 27.4% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 1.26× | 3.80 |
| Rayo Vallecano (-0.5) | 25.6% | 26.3% | 28.1% | 0.94× | 3.81 |
| Osasuna (-2.5) | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 1.15× | 8.70 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano to concede | 81.9% | 81.3% | 80.4% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 0.95× | 5.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano to concede in 1st half | 47.0% | 50.7% | 48.1% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet in 1st half | 53.0% | 49.3% | 51.9% | 0.95× | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 corners | 80.2% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 6.5 corners | 76.2% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 3.5 corners | 65.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 5.5 corners | 64.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 4.5 corners | 50.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 4.5 corners | 49.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 5.5 corners | 35.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 3.5 corners | 34.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 6.5 corners | 23.8% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 2.5 corners | 19.8% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano under 3.5 goals | 97.1% | 97.5% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 2.5 goals | 89.0% | 87.9% | 90.1% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 0.5 goals | 68.3% | 68.0% | 69.7% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 1.5 goals | 68.1% | 68.0% | 68.2% | 1.00× | 1.47 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals | 31.9% | 32.0% | 31.8% | 1.01× | 3.12 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 0.5 goals | 31.7% | 32.0% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.12 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 goals | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 1.23× | 8.26 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 3.5 goals | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.89× | 40.72 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.7% | 94.1% | 93.4% | 1.01× | 1.06 |
| Rayo Vallecano under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.1% | 64.0% | 63.5% | 1.01× | 1.56 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.9% | 36.0% | 36.5% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 0.89× | 16.98 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (away no bet) | 67.9% | 66.4% | 65.2% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 32.1% | 33.6% | 34.8% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano even goals | 55.0% | 56.9% | 54.1% | 1.05× | 1.76 |
| Rayo Vallecano odd goals | 45.0% | 43.1% | 45.9% | 0.94× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.8% | 83.0% | 87.0% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.2% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 1.31× | 5.88 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 66.6% | 68.6% | 62.5% | 1.10× | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 33.4% | 31.4% | 37.5% | 0.84× | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 58.7% | 55.2% | 52.3% | 1.06× | 1.81 |
| Osasuna to score 2+ in a row | 42.5% | 38.3% | 34.3% | 1.12× | 2.61 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score 2+ in a row | 23.0% | 19.5% | 23.5% | 0.83× | 5.12 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 22.2% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 1.03× | 5.12 |
| Osasuna to score 3+ in a row | 16.7% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 1.25× | 6.13 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score 3+ in a row | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 0.88× | 17.82 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna corners (+3.5) | 85.2% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (+3.5) | 79.5% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Osasuna corners (+2.5) | 78.3% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (+2.5) | 71.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Osasuna corners (+1.5) | 69.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (+1.5) | 61.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Osasuna corners (-1.5) | 38.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (-1.5) | 30.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Osasuna corners (-2.5) | 28.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (-2.5) | 21.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Osasuna corners (-3.5) | 20.5% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Rayo Vallecano corners (-3.5) | 14.8% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 37.3% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 32.7% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.0% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 75.3% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 72.9% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 67.3% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 62.7% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 58.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 47.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 42.0% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 37.3% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 32.7% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 27.1% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 24.7% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.3% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 0.76× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.19× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.04× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.45× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.89× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.70× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.05× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.46 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.57× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.25× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.28× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.70× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.47 |
| 0-2 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.47 |
| 0-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.96× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.91× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.42× | 58.49 |
| 2-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.81× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.42× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.71× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna leading at HT (DNB) | 57.1% | 57.8% | 62.3% | 0.93× | 1.73 |
| Rayo Vallecano leading at HT (DNB) | 42.9% | 42.2% | 37.7% | 1.12× | 2.37 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano (12) | 76.1% | 75.5% | 74.9% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Osasuna or draw (1X) | 74.4% | 72.1% | 71.9% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw (X2) | 49.5% | 48.6% | 53.1% | 0.92× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna or draw at HT | 75.5% | 79.8% | 78.6% | 1.01× | 1.25 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw at HT | 67.5% | 66.4% | 64.6% | 1.03× | 1.51 |
| Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano at HT | 57.0% | 56.9% | 56.7% | 1.00× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna or draw (1UP) | 74.4% | 80.3% | 78.2% | 1.03× | 1.25 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw (1UP) | 49.5% | 52.9% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.89 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna or draw in 2nd half | 78.4% | 76.9% | 72.3% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano in 2nd half | 67.3% | 65.5% | 67.0% | 0.98× | 1.53 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw in 2nd half | 54.3% | 54.7% | 60.6% | 0.90× | 1.83 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.6% | 61.5% | 62.3% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.4% | 38.5% | 37.7% | 1.02× | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (DNB) | 66.4% | 67.1% | 62.6% | 1.07× | 1.49 |
| Rayo Vallecano (DNB) | 33.6% | 32.9% | 37.4% | 0.88× | 3.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to score first | 56.4% | 61.9% | 55.4% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score first | 37.9% | 32.9% | 39.5% | 0.83× | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.45× | 13.41 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55.9% | 54.9% | 55.2% | 0.99× | 1.82 |
| Not both teams to score | 44.1% | 45.1% | 44.8% | 1.01× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 34.3% | 34.3% | 35.5% | 0.97× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 0.82× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 0.88× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 83.7% | 83.1% | 86.3% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 1.23× | 5.91 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 68.9% | 67.7% | 71.5% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 31.1% | 32.3% | 28.5% | 1.13× | 3.09 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 56.0% | 59.3% | 60.3% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 25.3% | 26.5% | 23.0% | 1.15× | 3.78 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 0.96× | 9.30 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.20× | 14.82 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.3% | 82.3% | 83.2% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.7% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 1.05× | 5.66 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 55.9% | 57.2% | 54.7% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 44.1% | 42.8% | 45.3% | 0.94× | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.8% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.4% | 26.5% | 23.3% | 1.13× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.1% | 22.8% | 24.8% | 0.92× | 4.39 |
| 7+ goals | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.82× | 54.53 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano to score exactly 1 | 36.4% | 36.0% | 38.0% | 0.95× | 2.78 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score exactly 0 | 31.7% | 33.8% | 30.3% | 1.11× | 2.96 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score exactly 2 | 20.9% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 1.01× | 4.47 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score 3+ | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 1.30× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to score exactly 1 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 38.3% | 0.85× | 3.06 |
| Osasuna to score exactly 2 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 1.17× | 3.77 |
| Osasuna to score 3+ | 24.5% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 1.18× | 4.30 |
| Osasuna to score exactly 0 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 0.96× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.0% | 43.1% | 43.3% | 1.00× | 2.32 |
| Osasuna leading at HT | 32.5% | 33.6% | 35.4% | 0.95× | 2.98 |
| Rayo Vallecano leading at HT | 24.5% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 0.95× | 4.94 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna -1: 2 | 49.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Osasuna -1: 1 | 27.4% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Osasuna -1: X | 23.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (0:1) | 49.5% | 46.0% | 53.1% | 0.87× | 2.17 |
| Osasuna (0:1) | 27.4% | 27.0% | 20.8% | 1.30× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.2% | 24.3% | 26.2% | 0.93× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (0:2) | 72.6% | 75.7% | 79.2% | 0.96× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 1.39× | 6.55 |
| Osasuna (0:2) | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 1.10× | 9.12 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (0:3) | 88.1% | 90.8% | 90.0% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 0.82× | 17.15 |
| Osasuna (0:3) | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.79× | 42.07 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (0:4) | 95.7% | 98.1% | 97.0% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.51× | 83.33 |
| Osasuna (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.60× | 83.53 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (1:0) | 74.4% | 72.6% | 71.9% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 15.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 0.97× | 5.88 |
| Rayo Vallecano (1:0) | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 1.21× | 7.82 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna (2:0) | 90.0% | 88.4% | 89.4% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 0.94× | 15.49 |
| Rayo Vallecano (2:0) | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 0.58× | 44.18 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.7% | 50.2% | 51.3% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 26.5% | 26.4% | 1.00× | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 23.9% | 24.1% | 22.4% | 1.08× | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to concede | 68.3% | 66.6% | 69.7% | 0.96× | 1.50 |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 31.7% | 33.4% | 30.3% | 1.10× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna clean sheet in 1st half | 60.1% | 64.0% | 63.5% | 1.01× | 1.56 |
| Osasuna to concede in 1st half | 39.9% | 36.0% | 36.5% | 0.98× | 2.78 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna over 2.5 corners | 83.8% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Osasuna over 3.5 corners | 70.6% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Osasuna under 6.5 corners | 70.7% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Osasuna under 5.5 corners | 58.4% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Osasuna over 4.5 corners | 55.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Osasuna under 4.5 corners | 44.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Osasuna over 5.5 corners | 41.6% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Osasuna under 3.5 corners | 29.4% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Osasuna over 6.5 corners | 29.3% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Osasuna under 2.5 corners | 16.2% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna under 3.5 goals | 90.5% | 92.2% | 92.6% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Osasuna over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.1% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Osasuna under 2.5 goals | 75.5% | 77.7% | 80.3% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Osasuna over 1.5 goals | 51.0% | 53.2% | 42.2% | 1.26× | 1.88 |
| Osasuna under 1.5 goals | 49.0% | 46.8% | 57.8% | 0.81× | 2.14 |
| Osasuna over 2.5 goals | 24.5% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 1.13× | 4.49 |
| Osasuna under 0.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.91× | 5.59 |
| Osasuna over 3.5 goals | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 1.05× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.7% | 89.7% | 86.0% | 1.04× | 1.12 |
| Osasuna over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.0% | 50.8% | 48.1% | 1.06× | 1.97 |
| Osasuna under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.0% | 49.2% | 51.9% | 0.95× | 2.03 |
| Osasuna over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.3% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 0.73× | 9.71 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano (home no bet) | 51.7% | 51.6% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 48.3% | 48.4% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna even goals | 51.6% | 50.6% | 47.4% | 1.07× | 1.98 |
| Osasuna odd goals | 48.4% | 49.4% | 52.6% | 0.94× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 31.9% | 32.3% | 32.2% | 1.00× | 3.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.2% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 1.06× | 4.16 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 1.15× | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 1.08× | 9.18 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 1.14× | 14.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.77× | 43.31 |
| Any other HT score | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.51× | 43.31 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.71× | 43.37 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.53× | 43.42 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.83× | 43.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna at HT / Osasuna at FT | 27.0% | 26.8% | 26.5% | 1.01× | 3.74 |
| Draw at HT / Osasuna at FT | 19.7% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 0.93× | 5.96 |
| Rayo Vallecano at HT / Rayo Vallecano at FT | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 0.99× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.91× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Rayo Vallecano at FT | 9.3% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 0.52× | 16.61 |
| Rayo Vallecano at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 0.98× | 16.72 |
| Osasuna at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 0.68× | 28.80 |
| Rayo Vallecano at HT / Osasuna at FT | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.26× | 28.81 |
| Osasuna at HT / Rayo Vallecano at FT | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 0.86× | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to score last | 56.4% | 56.4% | 55.8% | 1.01× | 1.77 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score last | 37.9% | 38.6% | 39.2% | 0.98× | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.45× | 13.41 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.3% | 92.6% | 94.9% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Osasuna to lead by 1 at any time | 65.5% | 69.4% | 63.2% | 1.10× | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 49.4% | 44.1% | 41.6% | 1.06× | 2.27 |
| Rayo Vallecano to lead by 1 at any time | 44.0% | 39.3% | 47.1% | 0.84× | 2.54 |
| Osasuna to lead by 2 at any time | 34.2% | 29.5% | 26.5% | 1.11× | 3.39 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 18.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 0.89× | 6.69 |
| Rayo Vallecano to lead by 2 at any time | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 0.97× | 6.72 |
| Osasuna to lead by 3 at any time | 14.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 0.86× | 9.51 |
| Rayo Vallecano to lead by 3 at any time | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.36× | 60.02 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna most corners | 49.0% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Rayo Vallecano most corners | 40.3% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 10.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.2% | 87.4% | 89.1% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.1% | 78.6% | 81.3% | 0.97× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.2% | 78.6% | 73.0% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.9% | 72.4% | 69.4% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.2% | 63.4% | 69.5% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.7% | 63.4% | 61.5% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.8% | 53.2% | 47.6% | 1.12× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.4% | 48.7% | 43.9% | 1.11× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.8% | 48.7% | 49.8% | 0.98× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.8% | 39.2% | 45.3% | 0.86× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.3% | 39.2% | 36.1% | 1.09× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.4% | 30.3% | 23.3% | 1.30× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 25.1% | 30.2% | 19.7% | 1.53× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 1.28× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.13× | 39.21 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna never behind | 50.3% | 61.7% | 52.9% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano never behind | 28.8% | 30.2% | 36.8% | 0.82× | 3.32 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.8% | 50.8% | 53.7% | 0.95× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.2% | 49.2% | 46.3% | 1.06× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.1% | 57.4% | 53.6% | 1.07× | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.9% | 42.6% | 46.4% | 0.92× | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.6% | 52.1% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.4% | 47.9% | 50.2% | 0.96× | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.3% | 92.3% | 94.9% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.0% | 92.3% | 94.1% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83.8% | 82.4% | 86.3% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% | 77.3% | 75.2% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67.9% | 66.2% | 74.5% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% | 52.5% | 49.7% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.6% | 47.5% | 50.3% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% | 33.8% | 25.5% | 1.33× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.1% | 22.7% | 24.8% | 0.91× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 1.28× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.32× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.51× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.2% | 97.2% | 97.7% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.3% | 92.5% | 93.6% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 80.8% | 81.0% | 84.4% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 71.1% | 72.6% | 66.7% | 1.09× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 58.7% | 55.5% | 66.4% | 0.84× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 41.4% | 44.5% | 33.6% | 1.33× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 28.9% | 27.4% | 33.3% | 0.82× | 3.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 19.2% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 1.22× | 5.27 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.18× | 13.26 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.19× | 36.14 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.1% | 89.0% | 89.9% | 0.99× | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.3% | 69.0% | 70.8% | 0.97× | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 68.1% | 69.0% | 67.8% | 1.02× | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 31.9% | 31.0% | 32.2% | 0.96× | 3.23 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.7% | 31.0% | 29.2% | 1.06× | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 1.08× | 9.12 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.0% | 82.8% | 81.7% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.3% | 79.7% | 79.7% | 1.00× | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.1% | 53.1% | 46.3% | 1.15× | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.9% | 46.9% | 53.7% | 0.87× | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 24.7% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 1.00× | 4.92 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.0% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 0.94× | 5.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano not to score in both halves | 81.1% | 84.2% | 81.5% | 1.03× | 1.19 |
| Osasuna not to score in both halves | 69.0% | 70.5% | 73.6% | 0.96× | 1.42 |
| Osasuna to score in both halves | 31.0% | 29.5% | 26.4% | 1.12× | 3.40 |
| Rayo Vallecano to score in both halves | 18.9% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 0.85× | 6.34 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 55.9% | 58.4% | 55.2% | 1.06× | 1.71 |
| Only Osasuna scores | 26.0% | 26.1% | 25.3% | 1.03× | 3.83 |
| Only Rayo Vallecano scores | 12.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 0.75× | 9.15 |
| Neither team scores | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.40× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.4% | 22.6% | 25.6% | 0.88× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 24.3% | 0.93× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.4% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 0.88× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.0% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 1.47× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.96× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.30× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.49× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 51.1% | 51.3% | 46.3% | 1.11× | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.9% | 33.4% | 35.5% | 0.94× | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.0% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 0.94× | 5.82 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano not to win both halves | 94.7% | 94.0% | 94.6% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Osasuna not to win both halves | 85.1% | 87.8% | 88.1% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Osasuna to win both halves | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 1.03× | 8.20 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win both halves | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.11× | 16.68 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to win either half | 63.4% | 65.1% | 63.0% | 1.03× | 1.54 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win neither half | 59.2% | 59.5% | 56.3% | 1.06× | 1.68 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win either half | 40.8% | 40.5% | 43.7% | 0.93× | 2.47 |
| Osasuna to win neither half | 36.6% | 34.9% | 37.0% | 0.94× | 2.87 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano not to win to nil | 87.7% | 88.2% | 85.4% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Osasuna not to win to nil | 74.0% | 75.3% | 74.7% | 1.01× | 1.33 |
| Osasuna to win to nil | 26.0% | 24.7% | 25.3% | 0.97× | 4.05 |
| Rayo Vallecano to win to nil | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 0.81× | 8.49 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% | 24.2% | 25.1% | 0.96× | 4.14 |
| Osasuna by 1 | 23.2% | 24.2% | 26.2% | 0.92× | 4.14 |
| Rayo Vallecano by 1 | 15.6% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 0.96× | 5.91 |
| Osasuna by 2 | 15.4% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 1.54× | 5.91 |
| Osasuna by 3+ | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 1.18× | 8.48 |
| Rayo Vallecano by 2 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 1.06× | 13.78 |
| Rayo Vallecano by 3+ | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 0.70× | 36.98 |