Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripoli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Panathinaikos

14:00

Asteras Tripoli

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Panathinaikos win

59.9%

model 61.8%

Draw

27.2%

model 26.4%

Asteras Tripoli win

12.9%

model 11.8%

602713

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.8%
2-0 13.7%
1-1 12.2%
0-0 10.8%
2-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.5%	Under 2.5	56.5%
BTTS yes	42.0%	BTTS no	58.0%
Panathinaikos 1+	82.7%	Panathinaikos 2+	52.4%
Asteras Tripoli 1+	48.5%	Asteras Tripoli 2+	14.3%

Expected goals 1.76 – 0.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1416.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Panathinaikos have an estimated 59.9% win probability, against 27.2% for the draw and 12.9% for Asteras Tripoli. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for Panathinaikos and 0.66 for Asteras Tripoli.

Why Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1416.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Asteras Tripoli can win

Nothing in the data singles out Asteras Tripoli.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Panathinaikos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Asteras Tripoli, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Panathinaikos: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Asteras Tripoli: 51% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Panathinaikos are the model's most likely outcome at 59.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	642510	1.80–0.61	2-0 15%	43%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win	64.3%	58.2%	41.5%	1.40×	1.72
Draw	25.5%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Asteras Tripoli to win	10.2%	13.3%	33.7%	0.39×	7.54

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & not both score	43.6%	40.1%	24.0%	1.67×	2.49
Panathinaikos & both teams score	20.7%	21.9%	17.7%	1.24×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	16.8%	0.79×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	8.4%	1.57×	7.55
Asteras Tripoli & not both score	5.8%	8.4%	19.5%	0.43×	11.93
Asteras Tripoli & both teams score	4.4%	4.9%	14.4%	0.34×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & over 1.5	49.8%	45.2%	32.4%	1.39×	2.21
Panathinaikos & under 3.5	46.6%	45.2%	29.8%	1.52×	2.21
Panathinaikos & over 2.5	35.2%	34.9%	26.5%	1.32×	2.87
Panathinaikos & under 2.5	29.0%	26.0%	15.2%	1.71×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Panathinaikos & over 3.5	17.7%	18.0%	11.9%	1.51×	5.56
Panathinaikos & under 1.5	14.5%	12.9%	9.2%	1.39×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	10.8%	12.9%	8.4%	1.53×	7.77
Asteras Tripoli & under 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	26.7%	0.30×	12.70
Asteras Tripoli & over 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	24.2%	0.33×	12.70
Asteras Tripoli & under 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	15.4%	0.51×	12.70
Asteras Tripoli & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	18.5%	0.26×	20.92
Asteras Tripoli & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	9.7%	0.50×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.0%	4.8%	3.9%	1.22×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.0%	4.8%	3.9%	1.22×	20.93
Asteras Tripoli & over 3.5	1.5%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1UP)	73.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Asteras Tripoli (1UP)	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2UP)	64.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Asteras Tripoli (2UP)	10.2%	13.1%	—	—	7.64

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Asteras Tripoli to win 2nd half	12.4%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (+0.5)	89.8%	88.5%	66.3%	1.33×	1.13
Asteras Tripoli (+2.5)	81.5%	82.4%	89.3%	0.92×	1.21
Panathinaikos (-0.5)	64.3%	62.9%	41.5%	1.52×	1.59
Asteras Tripoli (+1.5)	60.8%	62.9%	78.9%	0.80×	1.59
Panathinaikos (-1.5)	39.2%	37.1%	21.2%	1.76×	2.69
Asteras Tripoli (+0.5)	35.7%	37.1%	58.5%	0.63×	2.70
Panathinaikos (-2.5)	18.5%	17.6%	10.7%	1.65×	5.68
Asteras Tripoli (-0.5)	10.2%	11.5%	33.7%	0.34×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to concede	83.4%	81.4%	72.3%	1.13×	1.23
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet	16.6%	18.6%	27.7%	0.67×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet in 1st half	46.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Asteras Tripoli to concede in 1st half	53.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli under 6.5 corners	82.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Asteras Tripoli over 2.5 corners	75.6%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Asteras Tripoli under 5.5 corners	71.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Asteras Tripoli over 3.5 corners	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Asteras Tripoli under 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Asteras Tripoli over 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Asteras Tripoli under 3.5 corners	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Asteras Tripoli over 5.5 corners	28.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Asteras Tripoli under 2.5 corners	24.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Asteras Tripoli over 6.5 corners	18.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.6%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Asteras Tripoli under 2.5 goals	97.6%	97.6%	89.7%	1.09×	1.03
Asteras Tripoli under 1.5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	67.6%	1.30×	1.14
Asteras Tripoli under 0.5 goals	54.4%	53.7%	32.2%	1.67×	1.86
Asteras Tripoli over 0.5 goals	45.6%	46.3%	67.8%	0.68×	2.16
Asteras Tripoli over 1.5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	32.4%	0.37×	8.26
Asteras Tripoli over 2.5 goals	2.4%	2.4%	10.3%	0.24×	40.85
Asteras Tripoli over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.4%	3.3%	0.74×	40.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli under 1.5 in 1st half	97.5%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Asteras Tripoli under 0.5 in 1st half	78.4%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Asteras Tripoli over 0.5 in 1st half	21.6%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Asteras Tripoli over 1.5 in 1st half	2.5%	4.1%	—	—	24.35

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (away no bet)	71.6%	68.5%	62.3%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.4%	31.5%	37.7%	0.84×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli even goals	64.8%	59.1%	56.7%	1.04×	1.69
Asteras Tripoli odd goals	35.2%	40.9%	43.3%	0.94×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Panathinaikos to score 2+ in a row	48.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Panathinaikos to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Asteras Tripoli to score 2+ in a row	8.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.69
Asteras Tripoli to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.74

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Panathinaikos corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Panathinaikos corners (+1.5)	78.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Asteras Tripoli corners (+3.5)	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Asteras Tripoli corners (+2.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Asteras Tripoli corners (+1.5)	51.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Panathinaikos corners (-1.5)	48.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Panathinaikos corners (-2.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Panathinaikos corners (-3.5)	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Asteras Tripoli corners (-1.5)	21.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Asteras Tripoli corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Asteras Tripoli corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	26.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.5%	11.5%	9.2%	1.24×	8.73
2-0	14.6%	11.5%	6.2%	1.86×	8.73
1-1	11.6%	11.4%	13.1%	0.87×	8.74
0-0	10.8%	11.4%	8.4%	1.36×	8.74
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.47
3-0	8.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.47
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.47
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.16×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.50
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.51
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.50
0-1	3.7%	1.7%	9.7%	0.18×	58.50
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.51
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.52
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.52
1-2	3.0%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.51
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.52
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
2-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.51
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.52
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.52
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos leading at HT (DNB)	81.1%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Asteras Tripoli leading at HT (DNB)	18.9%	13.9%	—	—	7.17

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1X)	89.8%	86.7%	66.3%	1.31×	1.15
Panathinaikos or Asteras Tripoli (12)	74.5%	72.2%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Asteras Tripoli or draw (X2)	35.7%	41.8%	58.5%	0.71×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw at HT	89.4%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Panathinaikos or Asteras Tripoli at HT	56.0%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Asteras Tripoli or draw at HT	54.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1UP)	89.8%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Asteras Tripoli or draw (1UP)	35.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw in 2nd half	87.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Panathinaikos or Asteras Tripoli in 2nd half	63.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Asteras Tripoli or draw in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (DNB)	86.3%	87.1%	55.2%	1.58×	1.15
Asteras Tripoli (DNB)	13.7%	12.9%	44.8%	0.29×	7.76

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score first	66.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Asteras Tripoli to score first	22.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.38
No goal scored	10.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.2%	56.5%	51.5%	1.10×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.8%	43.5%	48.5%	0.90×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.3%	44.2%	38.6%	1.15×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	28.1%	33.6%	35.5%	0.95×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	15.0%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.3%	89.1%	88.9%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.7%	10.9%	11.1%	0.98×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.66
Both score in both halves	2.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	48.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.8%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
0-1 goals	29.0%	26.5%	26.9%	0.98×	3.78
4-6 goals	21.0%	22.8%	21.8%	1.05×	4.38
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.77×	55.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 0	54.4%	47.4%	32.2%	1.47×	2.11
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 1	33.1%	33.8%	35.5%	0.95×	2.95
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 2	10.1%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.82
Asteras Tripoli to score 3+	2.4%	4.5%	10.3%	0.44×	22.14

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score exactly 1	29.8%	26.5%	33.7%	0.79×	3.77
Panathinaikos to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	20.7%	1.28×	3.77
Panathinaikos to score 3+	26.8%	26.5%	18.3%	1.45×	3.77
Panathinaikos to score exactly 0	16.6%	18.9%	27.7%	0.68×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos leading at HT	45.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	44.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Asteras Tripoli leading at HT	10.6%	11.6%	—	—	8.66

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos -1: 1	39.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Panathinaikos -1: 2	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Panathinaikos -1: X	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:1)	39.2%	37.3%	21.2%	1.77×	2.68
Asteras Tripoli (0:1)	35.7%	37.3%	58.5%	0.64×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	20.5%	1.32×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli (0:2)	60.8%	67.1%	78.9%	0.85×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	10.7%	1.90×	4.92
Panathinaikos (0:2)	18.5%	15.3%	10.7%	1.43×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli (0:3)	81.5%	85.1%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	11.4%	10.0%	8.0%	1.25×	10.00
Panathinaikos (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	2.9%	2.02×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli (0:4)	92.8%	94.7%	97.1%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	1.8%	0.65×	83.04
Panathinaikos (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	1.2%	0.97×	83.34

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1:0)	89.8%	86.5%	66.3%	1.30×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.3%	6.9%	20.1%	0.34×	14.47
Asteras Tripoli (1:0)	2.9%	3.2%	13.8%	0.23×	31.64

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2:0)	97.1%	96.9%	86.2%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	8.2%	0.27×	44.36
Asteras Tripoli (2:0)	0.5%	2.2%	5.7%	0.39×	44.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Halves equal	29.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet	54.4%	53.2%	32.2%	1.65×	1.88
Panathinaikos to concede	45.6%	46.8%	67.8%	0.69×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 1st half	78.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Panathinaikos to concede in 1st half	21.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos over 2.5 corners	88.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Panathinaikos over 3.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners	63.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Panathinaikos under 6.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Panathinaikos under 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Panathinaikos over 5.5 corners	49.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Panathinaikos over 6.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Panathinaikos under 4.5 corners	36.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Panathinaikos under 3.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Panathinaikos under 2.5 corners	12.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 3.5 goals	89.2%	87.3%	94.3%	0.93×	1.15
Panathinaikos over 0.5 goals	83.4%	82.1%	72.3%	1.14×	1.22
Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	81.7%	0.91×	1.35
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.3%	38.8%	1.37×	1.88
Panathinaikos under 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.7%	61.2%	0.76×	2.14
Panathinaikos over 2.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	18.3%	1.41×	3.88
Panathinaikos under 0.5 goals	16.6%	17.9%	27.7%	0.64×	5.60
Panathinaikos over 3.5 goals	10.8%	12.7%	5.7%	2.22×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 1st half	81.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 1st half	18.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	71.4%	66.4%	42.7%	1.56×	1.51
Asteras Tripoli (home no bet)	28.6%	33.6%	57.3%	0.59×	2.98

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos even goals	51.4%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Panathinaikos odd goals	48.6%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	27.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
HT 2-0	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	8.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 1-1	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.73
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.87
HT 0-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.99
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	44.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	40.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Draw at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	21.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Draw at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Panathinaikos at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Panathinaikos at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score last	67.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Asteras Tripoli to score last	22.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
No goal scored	10.8%	9.1%	—	—	11.03

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.2%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Panathinaikos to lead by 1 at any time	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Panathinaikos to lead by 2 at any time	43.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 1 at any time	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Panathinaikos to lead by 3 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 2 at any time	5.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.35
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	1.5%	—	—	65.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos most corners	59.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Asteras Tripoli most corners	30.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.6%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	69.8%	69.0%	72.3%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.4%	69.0%	70.0%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.0%	69.0%	69.2%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.4%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.8%	48.7%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.1%	48.7%	43.3%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.9%	43.6%	47.6%	0.91×	2.30
3-5 goals	39.5%	39.2%	45.4%	0.86×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.5%	35.4%	37.0%	0.96×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.0%	24.5%	21.8%	1.12×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.6%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.5%	8.8%	10.9%	0.80×	11.43
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	1.0%	2.47×	39.47

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos never behind	64.8%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Asteras Tripoli never behind	15.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.1%	50.8%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.9%	49.2%	46.2%	1.06×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.7%	91.6%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.8%	77.4%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.0%	72.5%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.9%	58.8%	51.5%	1.14×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.1%	41.2%	48.5%	0.85×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	29.0%	27.5%	26.9%	1.02×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	3.3%	1.37×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.2%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.0%	86.8%	86.9%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.0%	72.6%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.8%	55.5%	64.3%	0.86×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.2%	44.5%	35.7%	1.25×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.0%	27.4%	30.5%	0.90×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.0%	13.2%	13.1%	1.01×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.8%	2.8%	3.6%	0.77×	36.31
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	1.1%	2.62×	36.39

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.76

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to score in both halves	93.4%	90.5%	—	—	1.11
Panathinaikos not to score in both halves	65.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Panathinaikos to score in both halves	34.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Asteras Tripoli to score in both halves	6.6%	9.5%	—	—	10.55

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Panathinaikos scores	43.6%	46.6%	24.0%	1.94×	2.15
Both teams score	39.8%	39.9%	48.5%	0.82×	2.51
Neither team scores	10.8%	10.9%	8.4%	1.30×	9.15
Only Asteras Tripoli scores	5.8%	7.2%	19.5%	0.37×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.9%	25.0%	24.8%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.6%	26.1%	0.87×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.2%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.6%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.4%	1.43×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.4%	3.3%	1.34×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	25.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to win both halves	98.6%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Panathinaikos not to win both halves	76.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Panathinaikos to win both halves	23.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.04
Asteras Tripoli to win both halves	1.4%	2.7%	—	—	36.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to win neither half	78.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Panathinaikos to win either half	72.9%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Panathinaikos to win neither half	27.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Asteras Tripoli to win either half	21.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to win to nil	94.2%	92.1%	80.5%	1.14×	1.09
Panathinaikos not to win to nil	56.4%	58.8%	76.0%	0.77×	1.70
Panathinaikos to win to nil	43.6%	41.2%	24.0%	1.71×	2.43
Asteras Tripoli to win to nil	5.8%	7.9%	19.5%	0.41×	12.59

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.5%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.60
Panathinaikos by 1	25.1%	27.8%	20.5%	1.35×	3.60
Panathinaikos by 2	20.7%	24.1%	10.7%	2.26×	4.14
Panathinaikos by 3+	18.5%	17.0%	10.7%	1.59×	5.90
Asteras Tripoli by 1	7.3%	7.2%	20.1%	0.36×	13.80
Asteras Tripoli by 2	2.4%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.06
Asteras Tripoli by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	37.12