Panathinaikos v Panetolikos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Panathinaikos

14:30

Panetolikos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 179h before kick-off

Panathinaikos win

60.8%

model 57.9%

Draw

28.5%

model 28.1%

Panetolikos win

10.7%

model 14.1%

612911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.3%
1-1 13.1%
2-0 12.7%
0-0 11.2%
2-1 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.6%	Under 2.5	57.4%
BTTS yes	43.7%	BTTS no	56.3%
Panathinaikos 1+	81.0%	Panathinaikos 2+	49.4%
Panetolikos 1+	51.5%	Panetolikos 2+	16.4%

Expected goals 1.66 – 0.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Panathinaikos (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 42%

56.9% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1437.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Panathinaikos have an estimated 60.8% win probability, against 28.5% for the draw and 10.7% for Panetolikos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for Panathinaikos and 0.72 for Panetolikos.

Why Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1437.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.5%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Panetolikos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Panetolikos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Panathinaikos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panetolikos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Panathinaikos: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panetolikos: 51% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Panathinaikos are the model's most likely outcome at 60.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.3%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	582814	1.66–0.72	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	632710	1.71–0.57	1-0 16%	40%	38%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win	63.3%	58.2%	41.5%	1.40×	1.72
Draw	26.5%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Panetolikos to win	10.2%	13.3%	33.7%	0.39×	7.54

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & not both score	44.4%	40.2%	24.0%	1.67×	2.49
Panathinaikos & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	16.8%	0.79×	7.55
Draw & not both score	12.0%	13.2%	8.4%	1.57×	7.55
Panetolikos & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	19.5%	0.43×	11.95
Panetolikos & both teams score	4.1%	4.9%	14.4%	0.34×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & over 1.5	47.7%	45.2%	32.4%	1.39×	2.21
Panathinaikos & under 3.5	47.6%	45.2%	29.8%	1.52×	2.21
Panathinaikos & over 2.5	32.8%	30.9%	26.5%	1.17×	3.24
Panathinaikos & under 2.5	30.5%	30.9%	15.2%	2.03×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Panathinaikos & under 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	9.2%	1.95×	5.56
Panathinaikos & over 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	11.9%	1.51×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.5%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	8.4%	1.53×	7.78
Panetolikos & under 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	26.7%	0.30×	12.69
Panetolikos & over 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	24.2%	0.33×	12.69
Panetolikos & under 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	15.4%	0.51×	12.69
Panetolikos & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	18.5%	0.26×	20.93
Panetolikos & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	9.7%	0.50×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	2.7%	4.8%	3.9%	1.22×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.7%	4.8%	3.9%	1.22×	20.94
Panetolikos & over 3.5	1.3%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1UP)	72.4%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Panetolikos (1UP)	23.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2UP)	63.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Panetolikos (2UP)	10.2%	13.1%	—	—	7.62

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win 2nd half	50.1%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
2nd half drawn	37.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Panetolikos to win 2nd half	12.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (+0.5)	89.8%	88.5%	66.3%	1.33×	1.13
Panetolikos (+2.5)	82.8%	82.4%	89.3%	0.92×	1.21
Panathinaikos (-0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	41.5%	1.52×	1.59
Panetolikos (+1.5)	62.4%	62.9%	78.9%	0.80×	1.59
Panathinaikos (-1.5)	37.6%	37.1%	21.2%	1.76×	2.69
Panetolikos (+0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	58.5%	0.63×	2.69
Panathinaikos (-2.5)	17.2%	17.6%	10.7%	1.65×	5.68
Panetolikos (-0.5)	10.2%	11.5%	33.7%	0.34×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to concede	81.9%	81.3%	72.3%	1.12×	1.23
Panetolikos clean sheet	18.1%	18.7%	27.7%	0.68×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos clean sheet in 1st half	47.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Panetolikos to concede in 1st half	52.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 6.5 corners	93.0%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Panetolikos under 5.5 corners	86.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Panetolikos under 4.5 corners	75.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Panetolikos under 3.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Panetolikos over 2.5 corners	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Panetolikos under 2.5 corners	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Panetolikos over 3.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Panetolikos over 4.5 corners	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Panetolikos over 5.5 corners	13.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Panetolikos over 6.5 corners	7.0%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 3.5 goals	99.7%	97.6%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Panetolikos under 2.5 goals	97.9%	97.6%	89.7%	1.09×	1.03
Panetolikos under 1.5 goals	88.7%	87.9%	67.6%	1.30×	1.14
Panetolikos under 0.5 goals	56.3%	59.6%	32.2%	1.85×	1.68
Panetolikos over 0.5 goals	43.7%	40.4%	67.8%	0.60×	2.48
Panetolikos over 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.1%	32.4%	0.37×	8.26
Panetolikos over 2.5 goals	2.1%	2.4%	10.3%	0.24×	41.09
Panetolikos over 3.5 goals	0.3%	2.4%	3.3%	0.74×	41.19

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 1.5 in 1st half	97.7%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Panetolikos under 0.5 in 1st half	79.5%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Panetolikos over 0.5 in 1st half	20.5%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Panetolikos over 1.5 in 1st half	2.3%	4.1%	—	—	24.39

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (away no bet)	70.5%	68.5%	62.3%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.5%	31.5%	37.7%	0.84×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos even goals	65.9%	64.7%	56.7%	1.14×	1.55
Panetolikos odd goals	34.1%	35.3%	43.3%	0.81×	2.83

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.5%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.45

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.5%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Panathinaikos to score 2+ in a row	46.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Panathinaikos to score 3+ in a row	20.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Panetolikos to score 2+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.92
Panetolikos to score 3+ in a row	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.50

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos corners (+3.5)	95.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Panathinaikos corners (+2.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Panathinaikos corners (+1.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Panetolikos corners (+3.5)	67.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Panetolikos corners (+2.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Panathinaikos corners (-1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Panetolikos corners (+1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Panathinaikos corners (-2.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Panathinaikos corners (-3.5)	32.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Panetolikos corners (-1.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Panetolikos corners (-2.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Panetolikos corners (-3.5)	4.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.0%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.6%	13.7%	9.2%	1.49×	7.28
2-0	14.9%	11.5%	6.2%	1.86×	8.73
0-0	12.0%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.73
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	13.1%	0.87×	8.73
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.46
3-0	8.5%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.46
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.56
0-1	4.1%	1.7%	9.7%	0.18×	58.57
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.58
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.59
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.59
1-2	2.9%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.58
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.59
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.59
2-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.58
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.59
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.58
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.16×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.31×	58.59
4-0	3.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.92×	58.57
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.58
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.31×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.31×	58.59
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos leading at HT (DNB)	81.0%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Panetolikos leading at HT (DNB)	19.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.17

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1X)	89.8%	86.7%	66.3%	1.31×	1.15
Panathinaikos or Panetolikos (12)	73.5%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Panetolikos or draw (X2)	36.7%	41.8%	58.5%	0.72×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw at HT	89.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Panetolikos or draw at HT	55.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Panathinaikos or Panetolikos at HT	54.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1UP)	89.8%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Panetolikos or draw (1UP)	36.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw in 2nd half	87.8%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Panathinaikos or Panetolikos in 2nd half	62.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Panetolikos or draw in 2nd half	49.9%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (DNB)	86.1%	87.4%	55.2%	1.58×	1.14
Panetolikos (DNB)	13.9%	12.6%	44.8%	0.28×	7.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score first	65.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Panetolikos to score first	22.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
No goal scored	12.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	62.4%	56.5%	51.5%	1.10×	1.77
Both teams to score	37.6%	43.5%	48.5%	0.90×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.2%	44.2%	38.6%	1.15×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	25.8%	33.6%	35.5%	0.95×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	14.2%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.2%	89.1%	88.9%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.8%	10.9%	11.1%	0.98×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	72.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both score 2nd half only	16.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
Both score 1st half only	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Both score in both halves	1.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.0%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.0%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.6%	47.4%	50.7%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.7%	30.7%	26.9%	1.14×	3.26
4-6 goals	18.8%	20.2%	21.8%	0.93×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.0%	1.76×	55.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to score exactly 0	56.3%	51.9%	32.2%	1.61×	1.93
Panetolikos to score exactly 1	32.3%	33.9%	35.5%	0.95×	2.95
Panetolikos to score exactly 2	9.3%	8.5%	22.4%	0.38×	11.77
Panetolikos to score 3+	2.1%	4.5%	10.3%	0.44×	22.34

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score exactly 1	30.9%	32.6%	33.7%	0.97×	3.06
Panathinaikos to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	20.7%	1.28×	3.77
Panathinaikos to score 3+	24.5%	23.3%	18.3%	1.27×	4.30
Panathinaikos to score exactly 0	18.1%	18.9%	27.7%	0.68×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Panathinaikos leading at HT	44.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Panetolikos leading at HT	10.3%	11.5%	—	—	8.68

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos -1: 1	37.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Panathinaikos -1: 2	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Panathinaikos -1: X	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:1)	37.6%	37.3%	21.2%	1.76×	2.68
Panetolikos (0:1)	36.7%	37.3%	58.5%	0.64×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	25.7%	27.0%	20.5%	1.31×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:2)	62.4%	67.2%	78.9%	0.85×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.4%	20.3%	10.7%	1.90×	4.93
Panathinaikos (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	10.7%	1.43×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:3)	82.8%	85.1%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.8%	10.0%	8.0%	1.25×	10.00
Panathinaikos (0:3)	6.4%	5.8%	2.9%	2.02×	17.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:4)	93.6%	94.7%	97.1%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	1.8%	0.65×	82.95
Panathinaikos (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.24

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1:0)	89.8%	86.5%	66.3%	1.30×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.4%	6.9%	20.1%	0.34×	14.48
Panetolikos (1:0)	2.8%	3.2%	13.8%	0.23×	31.64

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2:0)	97.2%	96.9%	86.2%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	8.2%	0.28×	44.27
Panetolikos (2:0)	0.5%	2.3%	5.7%	0.39×	44.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.3%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Halves equal	30.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet	56.3%	60.9%	32.2%	1.89×	1.64
Panathinaikos to concede	43.7%	39.1%	67.8%	0.58×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 1st half	79.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Panathinaikos to concede in 1st half	20.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos over 2.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Panathinaikos over 3.5 corners	72.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Panathinaikos under 6.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Panathinaikos under 5.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Panathinaikos over 5.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Panathinaikos under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Panathinaikos over 6.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Panathinaikos under 3.5 corners	28.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Panathinaikos under 2.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 3.5 goals	90.5%	92.2%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Panathinaikos over 0.5 goals	81.9%	82.1%	72.3%	1.14×	1.22
Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	81.7%	0.95×	1.29
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals	51.0%	53.3%	38.8%	1.37×	1.88
Panathinaikos under 1.5 goals	49.0%	46.7%	61.2%	0.76×	2.14
Panathinaikos over 2.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	18.3%	1.22×	4.48
Panathinaikos under 0.5 goals	18.1%	17.9%	27.7%	0.64×	5.60
Panathinaikos over 3.5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	5.7%	1.35×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 1st half	83.2%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 1st half	16.8%	15.3%	—	—	6.54

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	72.2%	66.6%	42.7%	1.56×	1.50
Panetolikos (home no bet)	27.8%	33.4%	57.3%	0.58×	3.00

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos even goals	51.6%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Panathinaikos odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	27.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
HT 2-0	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 0-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 1-1	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.62
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.75
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.88
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	39.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	21.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Panetolikos at HT / Panetolikos at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Draw at HT / Panetolikos at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Panathinaikos at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
Panetolikos at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Panetolikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.21
Panathinaikos at HT / Panetolikos at FT	0.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.26

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score last	66.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Panetolikos to score last	21.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
No goal scored	12.0%	9.4%	—	—	10.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.0%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Panathinaikos to lead by 1 at any time	72.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Panathinaikos to lead by 2 at any time	41.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Panetolikos to lead by 1 at any time	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Panathinaikos to lead by 3 at any time	18.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Panetolikos to lead by 2 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.13
Panetolikos to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.5%	—	—	65.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos most corners	67.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Panetolikos most corners	22.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	68.3%	69.0%	69.2%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.4%	69.0%	72.3%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.4%	69.0%	70.0%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.5%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.6%	48.7%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	48.1%	48.7%	43.3%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.1%	39.2%	47.6%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.1%	39.2%	45.4%	0.86×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.8%	35.4%	37.0%	0.96×	2.83
4-6 goals	18.8%	18.6%	21.8%	0.86×	5.37
4-5 goals	16.8%	18.6%	19.5%	0.95×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.7%	10.9%	0.80×	11.44
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.0%	2.46×	39.54

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos never behind	64.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Panetolikos never behind	15.6%	18.3%	—	—	5.48

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.9%	50.8%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.1%	49.2%	46.2%	1.07×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	95.5%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.7%	91.6%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	77.4%	1.06×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	68.3%	66.3%	73.1%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	61.7%	51.5%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	40.0%	38.3%	48.5%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	31.7%	33.7%	26.9%	1.25×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	22.6%	0.78×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.3%	8.4%	1.46×	8.11
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.5%	3.3%	1.37×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.8%	92.5%	86.9%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.3%	75.9%	69.5%	1.09×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.8%	55.5%	64.3%	0.86×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.2%	44.5%	35.7%	1.25×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.7%	24.1%	30.5%	0.79×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.3%	7.5%	13.1%	0.57×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.8%	3.6%	0.77×	36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	1.1%	2.61×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to score in both halves	94.0%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Panathinaikos not to score in both halves	67.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Panathinaikos to score in both halves	32.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Panetolikos to score in both halves	6.0%	9.3%	—	—	10.72

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Panathinaikos scores	44.4%	46.6%	24.0%	1.94×	2.14
Both teams score	37.6%	39.8%	48.5%	0.82×	2.51
Neither team scores	12.0%	10.9%	8.4%	1.30×	9.14
Only Panetolikos scores	6.1%	7.2%	19.5%	0.37×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	25.0%	24.8%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	26.1%	0.87×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.7%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.0%	12.1%	8.4%	1.43×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	11.6%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.14
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.4%	3.3%	1.35×	22.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	27.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to win both halves	98.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Panathinaikos not to win both halves	77.4%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Panathinaikos to win both halves	22.6%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Panetolikos to win both halves	1.4%	2.8%	—	—	36.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to win neither half	78.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Panathinaikos to win either half	71.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Panathinaikos to win neither half	28.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
Panetolikos to win either half	21.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to win to nil	93.9%	92.1%	80.5%	1.14×	1.09
Panathinaikos not to win to nil	55.6%	58.8%	76.0%	0.77×	1.70
Panathinaikos to win to nil	44.4%	41.2%	24.0%	1.72×	2.43
Panetolikos to win to nil	6.1%	7.9%	19.5%	0.41×	12.59

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.5%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Panathinaikos by 1	25.7%	27.8%	20.5%	1.36×	3.59
Panathinaikos by 2	20.4%	24.1%	10.7%	2.26×	4.14
Panathinaikos by 3+	17.2%	16.9%	10.7%	1.59×	5.90
Panetolikos by 1	7.4%	7.2%	20.1%	0.36×	13.80
Panetolikos by 2	2.3%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.00
Panetolikos by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	37.06