Philadelphia Union v Charlotte FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Philadelphia Union

14:30

Charlotte FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Philadelphia Union win

43.1%

model 44.8%

Draw

23.9%

model 24.7%

Charlotte FC win

33.0%

model 30.5%

432433

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 7.5%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.8%	Under 2.5	41.2%
BTTS yes	61.1%	BTTS no	38.9%
Philadelphia Union 1+	81.5%	Philadelphia Union 2+	50.3%
Charlotte FC 1+	74.4%	Charlotte FC 2+	39.5%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Philadelphia Union have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Charlotte FC and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.69 for Philadelphia Union and 1.36 for Charlotte FC.

Why Philadelphia Union

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Charlotte FC can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Philadelphia Union, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlotte FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Philadelphia Union: 50% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlotte FC: 48% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Philadelphia Union's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Philadelphia Union are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	432432	1.72–1.46	1-1 11%	62%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win	43.4%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32
Charlotte FC to win	32.4%	30.4%	29.9%	1.02×	3.29
Draw	24.2%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union & both teams score	24.8%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Charlotte FC & both teams score	19.1%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Philadelphia Union & not both score	18.6%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
Charlotte FC & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union & over 1.5	36.7%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.87
Philadelphia Union & over 2.5	30.6%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Charlotte FC & over 1.5	26.8%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Philadelphia Union & under 3.5	25.3%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Charlotte FC & over 2.5	22.3%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Charlotte FC & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Philadelphia Union & over 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Philadelphia Union & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
Charlotte FC & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.77
Charlotte FC & under 2.5	10.1%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Philadelphia Union & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Charlotte FC & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (1UP)	61.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Charlotte FC (1UP)	52.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (2UP)	43.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Charlotte FC (2UP)	32.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Charlotte FC to win 2nd half	31.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (+2.5)	90.1%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Charlotte FC (+1.5)	76.9%	78.4%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Philadelphia Union (+0.5)	67.6%	68.7%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
Charlotte FC (+0.5)	56.6%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75
Philadelphia Union (-0.5)	43.4%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Charlotte FC (-0.5)	32.4%	31.3%	29.9%	1.05×	3.20
Philadelphia Union (-1.5)	23.1%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
Philadelphia Union (-2.5)	9.9%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede	82.1%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Charlotte FC clean sheet	17.9%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 1st half	47.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Charlotte FC to concede in 1st half	52.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 6.5 corners	92.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Charlotte FC under 5.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Charlotte FC under 4.5 corners	75.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC under 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Charlotte FC over 2.5 corners	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Charlotte FC under 2.5 corners	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlotte FC over 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Charlotte FC over 4.5 corners	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Charlotte FC over 5.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Charlotte FC over 6.5 corners	7.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.05

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
Charlotte FC under 2.5 goals	81.8%	81.4%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Charlotte FC over 0.5 goals	76.8%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
Charlotte FC under 1.5 goals	57.1%	59.5%	61.3%	0.97×	1.68
Charlotte FC over 1.5 goals	42.9%	40.5%	38.7%	1.05×	2.47
Charlotte FC under 0.5 goals	23.2%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
Charlotte FC over 2.5 goals	18.2%	18.6%	16.7%	1.11×	5.38
Charlotte FC over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	6.1%	1.26×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 1st half	44.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (away no bet)	64.2%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.8%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC even goals	52.7%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.89
Charlotte FC odd goals	47.3%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.8%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.2%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Philadelphia Union to score 2+ in a row	40.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Charlotte FC to score 2+ in a row	32.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Philadelphia Union to score 3+ in a row	15.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Charlotte FC to score 3+ in a row	10.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union corners (+3.5)	97.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Philadelphia Union corners (+2.5)	96.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Philadelphia Union corners (+1.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Philadelphia Union corners (-1.5)	75.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Philadelphia Union corners (-2.5)	66.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Philadelphia Union corners (-3.5)	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Charlotte FC corners (+3.5)	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlotte FC corners (+2.5)	33.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Charlotte FC corners (+1.5)	24.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Charlotte FC corners (-1.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Charlotte FC corners (-2.5)	4.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.54
Charlotte FC corners (-3.5)	2.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
0-8 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	59.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	59.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	41.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	40.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	30.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
0-1	5.6%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
Any other score	4.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.46
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.46
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.46
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.48
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Charlotte FC leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or Charlotte FC (12)	75.8%	75.5%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Philadelphia Union or draw (1X)	67.6%	69.6%	70.1%	0.99×	1.44
Charlotte FC or draw (X2)	56.6%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw at HT	74.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Charlotte FC or draw at HT	65.0%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Philadelphia Union or Charlotte FC at HT	60.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw (1UP)	67.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC or draw (1UP)	56.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw in 2nd half	69.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Philadelphia Union or Charlotte FC in 2nd half	67.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Charlotte FC or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (DNB)	57.3%	58.3%	60.3%	0.97×	1.72
Charlotte FC (DNB)	42.7%	41.7%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score first	51.6%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Charlotte FC to score first	43.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.5%	56.5%	61.1%	0.93×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.5%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.6%	47.1%	50.9%	0.93×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	27.5%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.0%	79.9%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.0%	20.1%	20.5%	0.98×	4.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.4%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.2%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	37.8%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.8%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.0%	30.8%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	16.9%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.96
7+ goals	4.3%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score exactly 1	33.9%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Charlotte FC to score exactly 2	24.8%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
Charlotte FC to score exactly 0	23.2%	22.4%	26.8%	0.84×	4.46
Charlotte FC to score 3+	18.2%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 1	30.8%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Philadelphia Union to score 3+	24.8%	23.3%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 0	17.9%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Philadelphia Union leading at HT	35.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Charlotte FC leading at HT	25.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union -1: 2	56.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Philadelphia Union -1: 1	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Philadelphia Union -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:1)	56.6%	55.8%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Philadelphia Union (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	23.3%	1.04×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:2)	76.9%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.2%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.12
Philadelphia Union (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:3)	90.1%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.4%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.18
Philadelphia Union (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.39
Philadelphia Union (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.56

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (1:0)	67.6%	69.9%	70.1%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.2%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Charlotte FC (1:0)	15.2%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (2:0)	84.8%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.46
Charlotte FC (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to concede	76.8%	75.9%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
Philadelphia Union clean sheet	23.2%	24.1%	26.8%	0.90×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union clean sheet in 1st half	55.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Philadelphia Union to concede in 1st half	44.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union over 2.5 corners	94.4%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Philadelphia Union over 3.5 corners	88.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Philadelphia Union over 4.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Philadelphia Union over 5.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Philadelphia Union over 6.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Philadelphia Union under 6.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Philadelphia Union under 5.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Philadelphia Union under 4.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Philadelphia Union under 3.5 corners	11.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Philadelphia Union under 2.5 corners	5.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union under 3.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Philadelphia Union over 0.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Philadelphia Union under 2.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 goals	51.3%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
Philadelphia Union under 1.5 goals	48.7%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
Philadelphia Union over 2.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	25.2%	0.88×	4.49
Philadelphia Union under 0.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.59
Philadelphia Union over 3.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Philadelphia Union under 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Philadelphia Union over 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (home no bet)	57.2%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.8%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union even goals	51.6%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Philadelphia Union odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	26.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Charlotte FC at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Philadelphia Union at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Charlotte FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Philadelphia Union at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Charlotte FC at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score last	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Charlotte FC to score last	43.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Philadelphia Union to lead by 1 at any time	61.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Charlotte FC to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Philadelphia Union to lead by 2 at any time	30.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Charlotte FC to lead by 2 at any time	22.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Philadelphia Union to lead by 3 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Charlotte FC to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union most corners	82.8%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Charlotte FC most corners	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	6.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.8%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.3%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.1%	59.2%	57.2%	1.04×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.3%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.8%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.0%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.0%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
1-2 goals	33.8%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.0%	30.3%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.3%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	4.3%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union never behind	43.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Charlotte FC never behind	33.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.7%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.1%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.4%	77.4%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.7%	61.7%	62.9%	0.98×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.3%	38.3%	37.1%	1.03×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	40.1%	0.95×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.6%	22.6%	21.2%	1.07×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	16.9%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.3%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.4%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.4%	86.8%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.5%	75.9%	74.5%	1.02×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.7%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.6%	51.8%	48.1%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.4%	48.2%	51.9%	0.93×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.3%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.5%	24.1%	25.5%	0.94×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.6%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.6%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	36.09

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.1%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to score in both halves	74.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Philadelphia Union not to score in both halves	67.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Philadelphia Union to score in both halves	32.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Charlotte FC to score in both halves	25.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.5%	60.3%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only Philadelphia Union scores	18.6%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.22
Only Charlotte FC scores	13.3%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.79

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.5%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.7%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	12.3%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.3%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
6 or more goals	10.3%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to win both halves	92.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Philadelphia Union not to win both halves	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Philadelphia Union to win both halves	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Charlotte FC to win both halves	8.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.49

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win either half	58.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Charlotte FC to win neither half	51.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Charlotte FC to win either half	48.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Philadelphia Union to win neither half	41.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to win to nil	86.7%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Philadelphia Union not to win to nil	81.4%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Philadelphia Union to win to nil	18.6%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.89
Charlotte FC to win to nil	13.3%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.2%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Philadelphia Union by 1	20.3%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Charlotte FC by 1	17.2%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
Philadelphia Union by 2	13.2%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
Philadelphia Union by 3+	9.9%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.77
Charlotte FC by 2	9.5%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.77
Charlotte FC by 3+	5.6%	7.3%	4.6%	1.58×	13.79