Platense v Fluminense FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 15 September 2026 · SAM-Libertadores · 2627

SAM-Libertadores results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Platense

18:00

Fluminense FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 206h before kick-off

Platense win

40.5%

model 38.7%

Draw

29.3%

model 29.2%

Fluminense FC win

30.1%

model 32.0%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.8%
1-1 13.2%
0-1 12.2%
0-0 11.8%
2-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	35.4%	Under 2.5	64.6%
BTTS yes	42.2%	BTTS no	57.8%
Platense 1+	67.5%	Platense 2+	30.9%
Fluminense FC 1+	62.9%	Fluminense FC 2+	26.1%

Expected goals 1.12 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

35/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Fluminense FC (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 52%

63.4% fair odds 1.58

moderate signal · 877 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fluminense FC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Platense.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Platense have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.1% for Fluminense FC and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Platense and 0.99 for Fluminense FC.

Why Platense

Nothing in the data singles out Platense.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. A combined 2.12 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.12 to 0.99. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Fluminense FC can win

Fluminense FC carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1463. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Platense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fluminense FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Platense: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fluminense FC: 62% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Platense are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%. Confidence 35/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392932	1.12–0.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	403327	0.98–0.73	1-0 18%	25%	32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to win	40.3%	43.0%	48.0%	0.90×	2.33
Draw	33.0%	30.4%	25.2%	1.21×	3.29
Fluminense FC to win	26.7%	27.9%	27.2%	1.03×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & not both score	30.2%	29.7%	31.9%	0.93×	3.37
Fluminense FC & not both score	19.8%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.58
Draw & not both score	17.8%	17.9%	9.4%	1.91×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	15.2%	17.9%	16.1%	1.11×	5.58
Platense & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	16.4%	0.81×	7.55
Fluminense FC & both teams score	6.9%	8.4%	9.4%	0.89×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & under 3.5	35.7%	34.9%	35.9%	0.97×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	30.5%	30.9%	22.8%	1.35×	3.24
Draw & under 3.5	30.5%	30.9%	22.8%	1.35×	3.24
Platense & under 2.5	26.6%	26.0%	24.2%	1.08×	3.84
Fluminense FC & under 3.5	24.3%	21.7%	22.5%	0.96×	4.62
Platense & over 1.5	22.4%	21.7%	32.9%	0.66×	4.62
Platense & under 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	15.4%	1.17×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	9.4%	1.91×	5.56
Fluminense FC & under 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Platense & over 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	24.2%	0.53×	7.77
Fluminense FC & under 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	10.7%	1.20×	7.77
Fluminense FC & over 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	16.8%	0.77×	7.77
Fluminense FC & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.70
Platense & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	12.4%	0.38×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	2.5%	4.8%	2.7%	1.78×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	2.7%	1.78×	20.94
Fluminense FC & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	5.0%	0.95×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1UP)	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Fluminense FC (1UP)	38.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2UP)	40.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Fluminense FC (2UP)	26.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	46.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
Platense to win 2nd half	30.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Fluminense FC to win 2nd half	22.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	90.3%	1.07×	1.04
Fluminense FC (+1.5)	84.7%	82.4%	77.2%	1.07×	1.21
Platense (+0.5)	73.3%	73.7%	72.8%	1.01×	1.36
Fluminense FC (+0.5)	59.7%	57.0%	52.0%	1.10×	1.75
Platense (-0.5)	40.3%	43.0%	48.0%	0.90×	2.33
Fluminense FC (-0.5)	26.7%	26.3%	27.2%	0.97×	3.80
Platense (-1.5)	15.3%	17.6%	22.8%	0.77×	5.69
Platense (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	9.7%	0.38×	26.79

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to concede	62.4%	67.2%	72.8%	0.92×	1.49
Fluminense FC clean sheet	37.6%	32.8%	27.2%	1.21×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC clean sheet in 1st half	65.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Fluminense FC to concede in 1st half	34.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 6.5 corners	90.3%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Fluminense FC under 5.5 corners	83.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Fluminense FC under 4.5 corners	72.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fluminense FC over 2.5 corners	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Fluminense FC under 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fluminense FC over 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fluminense FC under 2.5 corners	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fluminense FC over 4.5 corners	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fluminense FC over 5.5 corners	16.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Fluminense FC over 6.5 corners	9.7%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.6%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Fluminense FC under 2.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
Fluminense FC under 1.5 goals	83.3%	81.4%	76.8%	1.06×	1.23
Fluminense FC over 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	59.1%	0.91×	1.86
Fluminense FC under 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	40.9%	1.13×	2.16
Fluminense FC over 1.5 goals	16.7%	18.6%	23.2%	0.80×	5.38
Fluminense FC over 2.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	7.7%	0.32×	40.68
Fluminense FC over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.4%	2.3%	1.04×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 1.5 in 1st half	96.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Fluminense FC under 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Fluminense FC over 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Fluminense FC over 1.5 in 1st half	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (away no bet)	55.0%	51.3%	65.6%	0.78×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	45.0%	48.7%	34.4%	1.42×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC even goals	61.5%	59.0%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
Fluminense FC odd goals	38.5%	41.0%	41.6%	0.98×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.8%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.2%	4.1%	—	—	24.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	61.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Not both halves under 1.5	38.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Platense to score 2+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Fluminense FC to score 2+ in a row	13.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Either team to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.63
Platense to score 3+ in a row	5.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.83
Fluminense FC to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	39.02

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense corners (+3.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Platense corners (+2.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Platense corners (+1.5)	81.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Fluminense FC corners (+3.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Fluminense FC corners (+2.5)	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Platense corners (-1.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Fluminense FC corners (+1.5)	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Platense corners (-2.5)	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Platense corners (-3.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Fluminense FC corners (-1.5)	18.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Fluminense FC corners (-2.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Fluminense FC corners (-3.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	20.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	37.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	28.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	15.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	17.9%	13.8%	15.4%	0.89×	7.26
0-0	17.8%	13.8%	9.4%	1.47×	7.26
0-1	13.5%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.73
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	13.8%	0.83×	8.73
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	9.1%	0.82×	13.48
2-1	6.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.46
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.46
2-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.48
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.55×	58.49
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.49
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.55×	58.49
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.49
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.27×	58.49
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.10×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.09×	58.49
Any other score	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.49
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.49
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.48
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.10×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Fluminense FC leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw (1X)	73.3%	72.1%	72.8%	0.99×	1.39
Platense or Fluminense FC (12)	67.0%	69.6%	74.8%	0.93×	1.44
Fluminense FC or draw (X2)	59.7%	57.0%	52.0%	1.10×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw at HT	82.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Fluminense FC or draw at HT	72.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Platense or Fluminense FC at HT	44.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw (1UP)	73.3%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Fluminense FC or draw (1UP)	59.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Fluminense FC or draw in 2nd half	69.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Platense or Fluminense FC in 2nd half	53.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	76.1%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Neither half drawn	23.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (DNB)	60.2%	62.8%	63.8%	0.98×	1.59
Fluminense FC (DNB)	39.8%	37.2%	36.2%	1.03×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score first	47.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Fluminense FC to score first	35.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	17.8%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	67.8%	58.2%	58.7%	0.99×	1.72
Both teams to score	32.2%	41.8%	41.3%	1.01×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	62.7%	50.1%	47.7%	1.05×	1.99
Both score & over 2.5	19.5%	21.8%	27.9%	0.78×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	13.8%	0.90×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	5.1%	8.4%	11.4%	0.73×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.7%	91.7%	90.6%	1.01×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.3%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	15.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	77.5%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Both score 2nd half only	13.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score 1st half only	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.73
Both score in both halves	1.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.3%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both teams to score by HT	8.7%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	67.9%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	32.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	49.2%	47.4%	34.9%	1.36×	2.11
2-3 goals	41.3%	42.1%	46.0%	0.92×	2.38
4-6 goals	9.3%	7.6%	18.8%	0.41×	13.12
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.81×	54.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score exactly 0	48.0%	43.0%	40.9%	1.05×	2.33
Fluminense FC to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	36.2%	0.99×	2.78
Fluminense FC to score exactly 2	12.9%	12.8%	15.8%	0.81×	7.80
Fluminense FC to score 3+	3.8%	4.5%	7.7%	0.59×	22.04

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score exactly 0	37.6%	35.6%	27.2%	1.31×	2.81
Platense to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	35.2%	1.01×	2.81
Platense to score exactly 2	18.0%	18.9%	20.5%	0.92×	5.29
Platense to score 3+	7.6%	10.3%	17.8%	0.58×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	55.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Platense leading at HT	27.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
Fluminense FC leading at HT	17.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense -1: 2	59.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Platense -1: X	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Platense -1: 1	15.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:1)	59.7%	55.9%	52.0%	1.07×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	25.5%	1.06×	3.71
Platense (0:1)	15.3%	17.7%	22.8%	0.78×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:2)	84.7%	82.8%	77.2%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.9%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.13
Platense (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	9.7%	0.39×	26.50

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	90.3%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.11
Platense (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	3.7%	0.32×	83.59
Platense (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.7%	1.78×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1:0)	73.3%	72.6%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.8%	17.0%	18.8%	0.91×	5.87
Fluminense FC (1:0)	7.8%	6.9%	8.7%	0.79×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2:0)	92.2%	93.9%	91.3%	1.03×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.5%	5.4%	1.20×	15.50
Fluminense FC (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	3.7%	0.61×	44.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.4%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Halves equal	33.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to concede	52.0%	53.1%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
Platense clean sheet	48.0%	46.9%	40.9%	1.15×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense clean sheet in 1st half	74.6%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Platense to concede in 1st half	25.4%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense over 2.5 corners	81.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Platense under 6.5 corners	70.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Platense over 3.5 corners	68.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Platense under 5.5 corners	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Platense over 4.5 corners	53.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Platense under 4.5 corners	46.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Platense over 5.5 corners	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Platense under 3.5 corners	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Platense over 6.5 corners	29.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Platense under 2.5 corners	18.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	93.6%	1.03×	1.04
Platense under 2.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	82.2%	1.12×	1.08
Platense under 1.5 goals	74.3%	74.2%	62.1%	1.20×	1.35
Platense over 0.5 goals	62.4%	63.5%	72.8%	0.87×	1.58
Platense under 0.5 goals	37.6%	36.5%	27.2%	1.34×	2.74
Platense over 1.5 goals	25.7%	25.8%	37.9%	0.68×	3.87
Platense over 2.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	17.8%	0.44×	12.91
Platense over 3.5 goals	1.8%	3.6%	6.4%	0.57×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Platense under 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Platense over 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Platense over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	4.5%	—	—	21.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.3%	56.7%	48.1%	1.18×	1.77
Fluminense FC (home no bet)	44.7%	43.3%	51.9%	0.83×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense even goals	57.1%	55.5%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Platense odd goals	42.9%	44.5%	46.6%	0.96×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	48.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
HT 1-0	20.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 0-1	14.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
Any other HT score	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	25.3%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Platense at HT / Platense at FT	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Platense at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Fluminense FC at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Platense at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Fluminense FC at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Fluminense FC at HT / Platense at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Platense at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score last	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Fluminense FC to score last	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	17.8%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	82.2%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Platense to lead by 1 at any time	50.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Fluminense FC to lead by 1 at any time	38.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	28.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Platense to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Fluminense FC to lead by 2 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Platense to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.18
Fluminense FC to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.21

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense most corners	62.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Fluminense FC most corners	26.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.4%	83.5%	87.6%	0.95×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.6%	81.5%	0.96×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.7%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-2 goals	57.6%	59.2%	52.0%	1.14×	1.69
2-6 goals	50.6%	53.2%	64.4%	0.83×	1.88
2-5 goals	50.0%	48.7%	62.1%	0.78×	2.06
2-4 goals	47.8%	48.7%	56.0%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	41.3%	43.6%	46.0%	0.95×	2.30
3-6 goals	24.4%	24.5%	38.3%	0.64×	4.08
3-5 goals	23.8%	24.5%	35.9%	0.68×	4.09
3-4 goals	21.6%	24.5%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09
4-6 goals	9.3%	8.7%	18.8%	0.47×	11.43
4-5 goals	8.7%	8.7%	16.4%	0.53×	11.44
5-6 goals	2.8%	2.6%	8.7%	0.29×	39.20
7+ goals	0.2%	2.5%	1.0%	2.53×	39.33

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense never behind	44.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Fluminense FC never behind	31.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.9%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 1st half	38.1%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.6%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.4%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.2%	95.5%	96.6%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.0%	95.5%	90.6%	1.05×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	80.5%	1.15×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	82.2%	82.4%	90.6%	0.91×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	61.1%	1.27×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	50.8%	52.5%	65.1%	0.81×	1.91
Under 1.5 goals	49.2%	47.5%	34.9%	1.36×	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	38.9%	0.58×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	17.8%	17.6%	9.4%	1.88×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	19.5%	0.40×	12.91
Over 4.5 goals	3.0%	4.5%	9.4%	0.48×	22.21
Over 5.5 goals	0.8%	4.5%	3.4%	1.34×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.2%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.8%	97.2%	89.6%	1.09×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	88.8%	86.8%	75.8%	1.14×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.7%	67.4%	47.3%	1.43×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.3%	32.6%	52.7%	0.62×	3.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.2%	13.2%	24.2%	0.55×	7.55
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.2%	2.8%	10.4%	0.26×	36.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.8%	2.8%	3.6%	0.77×	36.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.8%	1.0%	2.68×	36.22

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.4%	96.9%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.30
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.1%	—	—	32.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	92.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	8.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC not to score in both halves	91.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Platense not to score in both halves	85.3%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Platense to score in both halves	14.7%	14.4%	—	—	6.96
Fluminense FC to score in both halves	9.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	32.2%	33.3%	41.3%	0.81×	3.00
Only Platense scores	30.2%	33.3%	31.9%	1.05×	3.00
Only Fluminense FC scores	19.8%	16.1%	18.1%	0.89×	6.21
Neither team scores	17.8%	16.1%	9.4%	1.71×	6.22

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	31.4%	25.2%	25.8%	0.98×	3.96
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	25.0%	26.5%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	17.8%	17.4%	9.4%	1.86×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	15.1%	17.4%	19.8%	0.88×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	6.5%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	2.2%	4.4%	6.4%	0.69×	22.68
6 or more goals	0.8%	4.4%	3.4%	1.31×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.0%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	36.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	26.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Platense not to win both halves	91.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Platense to win both halves	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Fluminense FC to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.55

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to win neither half	63.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Platense to win neither half	50.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Platense to win either half	49.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Fluminense FC to win either half	36.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC not to win to nil	80.2%	83.0%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Platense not to win to nil	69.8%	69.7%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Platense to win to nil	30.2%	30.3%	31.9%	0.95×	3.30
Fluminense FC to win to nil	19.8%	17.0%	18.1%	0.94×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense by 1	25.1%	27.8%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Draw	33.0%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Fluminense FC by 1	18.8%	16.9%	18.8%	0.90×	5.91
Platense by 2	10.9%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.48
Fluminense FC by 2	6.1%	7.3%	5.4%	1.35×	13.79
Platense by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	9.7%	0.28×	36.94
Fluminense FC by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	3.7%	0.73×	37.03