Platense v Newell's Old Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Platense

16:00

Newell's Old Boys

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 324h before kick-off

Platense win

44.4%

model 41.2%

Draw

27.8%

model 29.4%

Newell's Old Boys win

27.8%

model 29.4%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.6%
1-0 12.9%
0-0 11.1%
0-1 10.3%
2-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.5%	Under 2.5	61.5%
BTTS yes	45.1%	BTTS no	54.9%
Platense 1+	70.9%	Platense 2+	34.9%
Newell's Old Boys 1+	63.1%	Newell's Old Boys 2+	26.3%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 60%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Platense.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Platense have an estimated 44.4% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 27.8% for Newell's Old Boys. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Platense and 1.00 for Newell's Old Boys.

Why Platense

Nothing in the data singles out Platense.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.23 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.00. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Newell's Old Boys can win

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Platense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Newell's Old Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Platense: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Newell's Old Boys: 47% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Platense's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Platense are the model's most likely outcome at 44.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412929	1.23–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	363034	1.09–1.06	1-1 14%	36%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to win	35.5%	36.4%	41.7%	0.87×	2.75
Newell's Old Boys to win	34.1%	30.4%	27.8%	1.09×	3.29
Draw	30.4%	30.3%	30.6%	0.99×	3.30

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & not both score	22.6%	21.9%	27.8%	0.79×	4.57
Newell's Old Boys & not both score	21.7%	21.9%	17.2%	1.27×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Platense & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.54
Newell's Old Boys & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.1%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & under 3.5	29.0%	26.0%	34.9%	0.75×	3.84
Newell's Old Boys & under 3.5	28.0%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Platense & over 1.5	23.2%	21.7%	27.6%	0.78×	4.62
Newell's Old Boys & over 1.5	22.1%	21.7%	17.5%	1.23×	4.62
Platense & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Newell's Old Boys & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Platense & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Newell's Old Boys & over 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.56
Platense & under 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.1%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Newell's Old Boys & under 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Platense & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.70
Newell's Old Boys & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	4.2%	1.86×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1UP)	49.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Newell's Old Boys (1UP)	48.3%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2UP)	35.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Newell's Old Boys (2UP)	34.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Newell's Old Boys to win 2nd half	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Platense to win 2nd half	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (+2.5)	95.6%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Newell's Old Boys (+1.5)	85.7%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Platense (+0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	72.2%	0.95×	1.46
Newell's Old Boys (+0.5)	64.5%	62.9%	58.3%	1.08×	1.59
Platense (-0.5)	35.5%	37.1%	41.7%	0.89×	2.70
Newell's Old Boys (-0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	27.8%	1.13×	3.20
Platense (-1.5)	14.3%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.69
Platense (-2.5)	4.4%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.79

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede	66.2%	72.5%	68.1%	1.06×	1.38
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet	33.8%	27.5%	31.9%	0.86×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 1st half	62.7%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 1st half	37.3%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 6.5 corners	93.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Newell's Old Boys under 5.5 corners	86.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Newell's Old Boys under 4.5 corners	76.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 corners	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 corners	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 corners	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 corners	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Newell's Old Boys over 4.5 corners	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Newell's Old Boys over 5.5 corners	13.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Newell's Old Boys over 6.5 corners	6.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 goals	71.4%	71.9%	78.2%	0.92×	1.39
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 goals	34.7%	32.1%	42.4%	0.76×	3.12
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 goals	28.6%	28.1%	21.8%	1.29×	3.56
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	6.7%	1.15×	13.02
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.14
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (away no bet)	53.9%	51.3%	57.7%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.1%	48.7%	42.3%	1.15×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys even goals	56.0%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Newell's Old Boys odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.7%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	50.3%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Platense to score 2+ in a row	23.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Newell's Old Boys to score 2+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Platense to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.77
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.80

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense corners (+3.5)	96.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Platense corners (+2.5)	93.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Platense corners (+1.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Platense corners (-1.5)	62.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Newell's Old Boys corners (+3.5)	60.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Platense corners (-2.5)	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Newell's Old Boys corners (+2.5)	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Platense corners (-3.5)	39.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Newell's Old Boys corners (+1.5)	38.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Newell's Old Boys corners (-1.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Newell's Old Boys corners (-2.5)	6.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Newell's Old Boys corners (-3.5)	3.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.56

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-0	12.1%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
0-1	12.0%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-0	12.3%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-0	6.9%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.48
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.47
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.49
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense leading at HT (DNB)	53.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT (DNB)	47.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or Newell's Old Boys (12)	69.6%	69.7%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Platense or draw (1X)	65.9%	69.6%	72.2%	0.96×	1.44
Newell's Old Boys or draw (X2)	64.5%	63.6%	58.3%	1.09×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw at HT	76.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Newell's Old Boys or draw at HT	73.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Platense or Newell's Old Boys at HT	50.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw (1UP)	65.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1UP)	64.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or draw in 2nd half	71.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Platense or draw in 2nd half	70.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Platense or Newell's Old Boys in 2nd half	58.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.0%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	30.0%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (DNB)	51.0%	50.9%	60.1%	0.85×	1.97
Newell's Old Boys (DNB)	49.0%	49.1%	39.9%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score first	44.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Newell's Old Boys to score first	43.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	12.1%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.3%	54.9%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.7%	45.1%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.9%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.8%	33.6%	27.2%	1.24×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.4%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.5%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.5%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.2%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	19.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	36.4%	35.1%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.3%	20.2%	13.3%	1.52×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 0	34.7%	33.8%	42.4%	0.80×	2.96
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.11
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+	9.1%	8.5%	6.7%	1.27×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Platense to score exactly 0	33.8%	32.7%	31.9%	1.02×	3.06
Platense to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.29
Platense to score 3+	9.7%	10.3%	10.0%	1.03×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Platense leading at HT	26.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT	23.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense -1: 2	64.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Platense -1: X	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Platense -1: 1	14.3%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:1)	64.5%	61.5%	58.3%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12
Platense (0:1)	14.3%	13.9%	17.5%	0.79×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:2)	85.7%	86.9%	82.5%	1.05×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.92
Platense (0:2)	4.4%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.50

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:3)	95.6%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.12
Platense (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.58
Platense (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1:0)	65.9%	69.9%	72.2%	0.97×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	20.6%	21.8%	18.7%	1.16×	4.60
Newell's Old Boys (1:0)	13.5%	12.8%	9.2%	1.40×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2:0)	86.5%	88.4%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.5%	6.3%	1.03×	15.46
Newell's Old Boys (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.4%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	29.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to concede	65.3%	66.5%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Platense clean sheet	34.7%	33.5%	42.4%	0.79×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Platense to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense over 2.5 corners	88.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Platense over 3.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Platense over 4.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Platense under 6.5 corners	62.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Platense over 5.5 corners	50.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Platense under 5.5 corners	49.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Platense over 6.5 corners	38.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Platense under 4.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Platense under 3.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Platense under 2.5 corners	11.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Platense under 2.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Platense under 1.5 goals	70.4%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Platense over 0.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
Platense under 0.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	31.9%	1.01×	3.11
Platense over 1.5 goals	29.6%	25.8%	31.7%	0.82×	3.87
Platense over 2.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	10.0%	0.78×	12.89
Platense over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Platense under 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Platense over 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Platense over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	4.7%	—	—	21.50

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (home no bet)	52.9%	51.6%	47.5%	1.09×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.1%	48.4%	52.5%	0.92×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense even goals	55.7%	55.4%	55.7%	0.99×	1.80
Platense odd goals	44.3%	44.6%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.1%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
HT 1-0	19.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Platense at HT / Platense at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Platense at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Platense at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Platense at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Platense at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score last	44.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Newell's Old Boys to score last	43.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	12.1%	9.4%	—	—	10.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.9%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Platense to lead by 1 at any time	49.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 1 at any time	48.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Platense to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 2 at any time	17.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Platense to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense most corners	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Newell's Old Boys most corners	18.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	9.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.9%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.9%	63.4%	60.6%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.3%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.9%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.7%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.6%	39.1%	33.5%	1.17×	2.56
3-5 goals	34.0%	35.4%	32.9%	1.07×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.6%	30.3%	28.7%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.3%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.37
4-5 goals	14.8%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.72
5-6 goals	6.0%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense never behind	39.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Newell's Old Boys never behind	38.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.8%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.9%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.0%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	63.8%	61.8%	66.2%	0.93×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	63.6%	61.8%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	36.4%	38.2%	39.1%	0.98×	2.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.3%	38.2%	33.8%	1.13×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	17.0%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	12.1%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.2%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.7%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.6%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.0%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.1%	51.8%	53.6%	0.97×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.9%	48.2%	46.4%	1.04×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.0%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.4%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.3%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Platense not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Platense to score in both halves	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Newell's Old Boys to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.7%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.15
Only Platense scores	22.6%	22.3%	27.8%	0.80×	4.48
Only Newell's Old Boys scores	21.7%	22.3%	17.2%	1.30×	4.48
Neither team scores	12.1%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	24.3%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	12.1%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	10.3%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.4%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.2%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.8%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win both halves	92.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Platense not to win both halves	92.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Platense to win both halves	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Newell's Old Boys to win both halves	7.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to win neither half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Platense to win neither half	52.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Platense to win either half	47.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Newell's Old Boys to win either half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil	78.3%	78.1%	82.8%	0.94×	1.28
Platense not to win to nil	77.4%	78.0%	72.2%	1.08×	1.28
Platense to win to nil	22.6%	22.0%	27.8%	0.79×	4.56
Newell's Old Boys to win to nil	21.7%	21.9%	17.2%	1.28×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.4%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Platense by 1	21.2%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Newell's Old Boys by 1	20.6%	24.1%	18.7%	1.29×	4.14
Platense by 2	10.0%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.77
Newell's Old Boys by 2	9.5%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.77
Platense by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.94
Newell's Old Boys by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.95