Pumas UNAM v Tigres UANL — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Pumas UNAM

23:00

Tigres UANL

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,181h before kick-off

Pumas UNAM win

43.0%

model 44.2%

Draw

28.5%

model 27.8%

Tigres UANL win

28.5%

model 28.0%

432929

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
1-0 9.6%
2-1 9.1%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.3%	Under 2.5	50.7%
BTTS yes	54.0%	BTTS no	46.0%
Pumas UNAM 1+	77.6%	Pumas UNAM 2+	44.1%
Tigres UANL 1+	68.2%	Tigres UANL 2+	31.8%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

36/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Pumas UNAM carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1551.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Pumas UNAM have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 28.5% for Tigres UANL and 28.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Pumas UNAM and 1.15 for Tigres UANL.

Why Pumas UNAM

Pumas UNAM carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1551.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.5%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Tigres UANL can win

Nothing in the data singles out Tigres UANL.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Pumas UNAM, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tigres UANL, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Pumas UNAM: 48% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tigres UANL: 54% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Pumas UNAM are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 36/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	412831	1.43–1.21	1-1 13%	49%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to win	41.1%	43.0%	47.1%	0.91×	2.33
Tigres UANL to win	30.8%	30.3%	29.3%	1.04×	3.30
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM & not both score	21.6%	21.9%	22.7%	0.96×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	17.9%	17.4%	1.03×	5.58
Pumas UNAM & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	24.5%	0.73×	5.58
Tigres UANL & not both score	15.7%	17.9%	11.7%	1.53×	5.58
Tigres UANL & both teams score	15.1%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Draw & not both score	8.2%	8.4%	6.6%	1.28×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM & over 1.5	31.9%	30.9%	37.3%	0.83×	3.24
Pumas UNAM & under 3.5	28.8%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Pumas UNAM & over 2.5	24.6%	21.7%	30.4%	0.71×	4.62
Tigres UANL & over 1.5	23.2%	21.7%	23.4%	0.92×	4.62
Tigres UANL & under 3.5	22.4%	21.7%	19.7%	1.10×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.6%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Tigres UANL & over 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Pumas UNAM & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.56
Tigres UANL & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	9.6%	1.34×	7.77
Pumas UNAM & over 3.5	12.3%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.77
Pumas UNAM & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.9%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.70
Tigres UANL & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70
Tigres UANL & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	9.8%	0.81×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (1UP)	57.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Tigres UANL (1UP)	48.4%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (2UP)	41.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tigres UANL (2UP)	30.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Pumas UNAM to win 2nd half	34.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Tigres UANL to win 2nd half	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (+2.5)	92.4%	92.1%	90.9%	1.01×	1.09
Tigres UANL (+1.5)	79.8%	78.5%	77.1%	1.02×	1.28
Pumas UNAM (+0.5)	69.2%	68.7%	70.7%	0.97×	1.46
Tigres UANL (+0.5)	58.9%	57.0%	52.9%	1.08×	1.75
Pumas UNAM (-0.5)	41.1%	43.0%	47.1%	0.91×	2.33
Tigres UANL (-0.5)	30.8%	31.3%	29.3%	1.07×	3.20
Pumas UNAM (-1.5)	20.2%	21.5%	22.9%	0.94×	4.64
Pumas UNAM (-2.5)	7.6%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to concede	76.1%	79.0%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
Tigres UANL clean sheet	23.9%	21.0%	18.1%	1.16×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to concede in 1st half	45.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Tigres UANL clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL over 2.5 corners	87.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tigres UANL over 3.5 corners	76.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Tigres UANL over 4.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tigres UANL under 6.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tigres UANL under 5.5 corners	50.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Tigres UANL over 5.5 corners	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tigres UANL over 6.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tigres UANL under 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tigres UANL under 3.5 corners	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Tigres UANL under 2.5 corners	13.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Tigres UANL under 2.5 goals	87.8%	87.9%	86.7%	1.01×	1.14
Tigres UANL over 0.5 goals	70.2%	71.9%	70.9%	1.02×	1.39
Tigres UANL under 1.5 goals	65.9%	67.9%	64.8%	1.05×	1.47
Tigres UANL over 1.5 goals	34.1%	32.1%	35.2%	0.91×	3.12
Tigres UANL under 0.5 goals	29.9%	28.1%	29.1%	0.96×	3.56
Tigres UANL over 2.5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.26
Tigres UANL over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.70

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL under 1.5 in 1st half	91.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Tigres UANL under 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Tigres UANL over 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Tigres UANL over 1.5 in 1st half	8.5%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (away no bet)	59.4%	57.5%	66.4%	0.87×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.6%	42.5%	33.6%	1.27×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL even goals	54.5%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.89
Tigres UANL odd goals	45.5%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.3%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	—	—	8.07

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Pumas UNAM to score 2+ in a row	33.8%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Tigres UANL to score 2+ in a row	25.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Pumas UNAM to score 3+ in a row	11.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Tigres UANL to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Tigres UANL corners (+2.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Tigres UANL corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Pumas UNAM corners (+3.5)	67.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Pumas UNAM corners (+2.5)	58.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tigres UANL corners (-1.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Pumas UNAM corners (+1.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tigres UANL corners (-2.5)	41.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tigres UANL corners (-3.5)	32.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Pumas UNAM corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Pumas UNAM corners (-2.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Pumas UNAM corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
12+ corners	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.48
0-0	8.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.48
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.48
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.48
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.49
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.47
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.48
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.48
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.48
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.81×	58.49
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM leading at HT (DNB)	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Tigres UANL leading at HT (DNB)	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM or Tigres UANL (12)	71.9%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Pumas UNAM or draw (1X)	69.2%	69.7%	70.7%	0.99×	1.44
Tigres UANL or draw (X2)	58.9%	57.0%	52.9%	1.08×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM or draw at HT	76.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Tigres UANL or draw at HT	67.9%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Pumas UNAM or Tigres UANL at HT	55.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM or draw (1UP)	69.2%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Tigres UANL or draw (1UP)	58.9%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM or draw in 2nd half	71.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Tigres UANL or draw in 2nd half	65.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Pumas UNAM or Tigres UANL in 2nd half	63.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (DNB)	57.1%	58.2%	61.6%	0.95×	1.72
Tigres UANL (DNB)	42.9%	41.8%	38.4%	1.09×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to score first	49.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Tigres UANL to score first	42.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.4%	51.4%	59.3%	0.87×	1.94
Not both teams to score	45.6%	48.6%	40.7%	1.19×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	37.4%	38.5%	32.7%	1.18×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.7%	85.6%	82.6%	1.04×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.3%	14.4%	17.4%	0.83×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	25.4%	26.4%	29.1%	0.91×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.9%	22.8%	22.2%	1.03×	4.38
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	54.61

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Tigres UANL to score exactly 0	29.9%	27.4%	29.1%	0.94×	3.65
Tigres UANL to score exactly 2	21.8%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46
Tigres UANL to score 3+	12.2%	12.8%	13.3%	0.96×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.7%	33.4%	0.98×	3.06
Pumas UNAM to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	26.6%	0.87×	4.30
Pumas UNAM to score exactly 0	23.9%	23.2%	18.1%	1.28×	4.30
Pumas UNAM to score 3+	17.4%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Pumas UNAM leading at HT	32.1%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Tigres UANL leading at HT	23.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM -1: 2	58.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Pumas UNAM -1: X	20.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Pumas UNAM -1: 1	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:1)	58.9%	55.9%	52.9%	1.06×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	20.9%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12
Pumas UNAM (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	22.9%	1.06×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:2)	79.8%	79.5%	77.1%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	14.0%	0.78×	9.12
Pumas UNAM (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:3)	92.4%	92.6%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	6.0%	0.96×	17.19
Pumas UNAM (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	3.2%	0.74×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.8%	0.67×	83.48
Pumas UNAM (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (1:0)	69.2%	70.0%	70.7%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.5%	17.0%	19.0%	0.90×	5.87
Tigres UANL (1:0)	13.3%	12.8%	10.5%	1.22×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM (2:0)	86.7%	88.4%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.0%	6.5%	7.3%	0.89×	15.47
Tigres UANL (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	3.4%	0.67×	44.09

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to concede	70.2%	73.0%	70.9%	1.03×	1.37
Pumas UNAM clean sheet	29.9%	27.0%	29.1%	0.93×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM clean sheet in 1st half	61.7%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Pumas UNAM to concede in 1st half	38.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM under 6.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Pumas UNAM under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Pumas UNAM over 2.5 corners	71.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Pumas UNAM under 4.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Pumas UNAM over 3.5 corners	54.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Pumas UNAM under 3.5 corners	45.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Pumas UNAM over 4.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Pumas UNAM under 2.5 corners	28.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Pumas UNAM over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Pumas UNAM over 6.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Pumas UNAM under 2.5 goals	82.6%	82.1%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Pumas UNAM over 0.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Pumas UNAM under 1.5 goals	58.2%	58.8%	51.3%	1.15×	1.70
Pumas UNAM over 1.5 goals	41.8%	41.2%	48.7%	0.85×	2.43
Pumas UNAM under 0.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	18.1%	1.23×	4.49
Pumas UNAM over 2.5 goals	17.4%	17.9%	22.2%	0.81×	5.59
Pumas UNAM over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	7.6%	1.01×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Pumas UNAM over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Pumas UNAM under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Pumas UNAM over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (home no bet)	52.3%	51.6%	55.2%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.7%	48.4%	44.8%	1.08×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM even goals	52.9%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Pumas UNAM odd goals	47.1%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	20.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	6.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM at HT / Pumas UNAM at FT	24.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Tigres UANL at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Pumas UNAM at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Pumas UNAM at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Tigres UANL at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Pumas UNAM at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Tigres UANL at HT / Pumas UNAM at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to score last	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Tigres UANL to score last	42.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.8%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Pumas UNAM to lead by 1 at any time	57.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Tigres UANL to lead by 1 at any time	48.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Pumas UNAM to lead by 2 at any time	26.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Tigres UANL to lead by 2 at any time	18.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Pumas UNAM to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Tigres UANL to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL most corners	62.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Pumas UNAM most corners	28.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	9.6%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.0%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.2%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	69.0%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.5%	63.4%	61.8%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
3-6 goals	47.3%	48.7%	53.3%	0.91×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.9%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.7%	43.6%	37.7%	1.16×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.3%	39.1%	38.4%	1.02×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.4%	30.2%	29.1%	1.04×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.9%	15.1%	0.98×	6.73
7+ goals	1.8%	2.5%	2.8%	0.90×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM never behind	43.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Tigres UANL never behind	34.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.2%	87.6%	82.2%	1.07×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.1%	77.3%	77.8%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	68.2%	1.06×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.9%	52.5%	44.1%	1.19×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.1%	47.5%	56.0%	0.85×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	31.8%	0.86×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.9%	22.7%	22.2%	1.02×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	17.8%	0.70×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	6.6%	1.18×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.4%	92.5%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.0%	86.7%	79.3%	1.09×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.3%	67.4%	71.6%	0.94×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.1%	67.4%	58.1%	1.16×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.9%	32.6%	41.9%	0.78×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.7%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.0%	13.3%	20.7%	0.64×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.6%	7.5%	8.0%	0.95×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.8%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Pumas UNAM not to score in both halves	74.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Pumas UNAM to score in both halves	25.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Tigres UANL to score in both halves	19.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.4%	54.0%	59.3%	0.91×	1.85
Only Pumas UNAM scores	21.6%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.48
Only Tigres UANL scores	15.7%	16.1%	11.7%	1.37×	6.22
Neither team scores	8.2%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	25.0%	22.0%	1.13×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.7%	17.4%	15.8%	1.10×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.4%	12.1%	14.2%	0.85×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.2%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	21.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL not to win both halves	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Pumas UNAM not to win both halves	88.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Pumas UNAM to win both halves	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Tigres UANL to win both halves	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pumas UNAM to win either half	55.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Tigres UANL to win neither half	54.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Tigres UANL to win either half	45.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Pumas UNAM to win neither half	44.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL not to win to nil	84.3%	83.0%	88.3%	0.94×	1.20
Pumas UNAM not to win to nil	78.4%	78.1%	77.3%	1.01×	1.28
Pumas UNAM to win to nil	21.6%	21.9%	22.7%	0.97×	4.56
Tigres UANL to win to nil	15.7%	17.0%	11.7%	1.45×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Pumas UNAM by 1	20.9%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Tigres UANL by 1	17.5%	16.9%	19.0%	0.89×	5.91
Pumas UNAM by 2	12.5%	11.8%	14.0%	0.84×	8.48
Tigres UANL by 2	9.0%	7.3%	7.3%	1.00×	13.77
Pumas UNAM by 3+	7.6%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.78
Tigres UANL by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.94